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Main show · November 12, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 10 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

RSSNov 12, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 10 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

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Inside the episode

142 passages
27:37 ↗

This means better things for that side of the ball or that side of the offense. What do we think about first? Start with the Jets. Talk to me about Marshall and Decker. I think everybody knows you're going to roll Marshall out there. But let me give you some decisions to make with Decker. Would you start Eric Decker? Right now we have him 16. So would you start him over Crabtree? No. Yeah, Mike would not. I think I would. Jason has Michael Crabtree.

28:04 ↗

so low that I can't even, I don't even know what that number is. I can't even read it. 700. Yeah, so you just have them matchup base down? Yep. Okay. Now, that, yeah, that being said, if, if Amari Cooper is out, while Crabtree might get the better defender, which that, you know, we didn't talk about that in the news that much, but there's the, you know, he sat out for some knee issue. Quad. It was a quad. That's right. It was a quad. If, if something.

28:32 ↗

If he does go, then that's all the more targets, and I would bump Crabtree up despite the... So what about Decker over somebody like Devante Adams? Oh, that is really rough because Adams' matchup is so delightful against the lions. My heart says Decker, though. Yeah, as does your rankings. Yes, nailed it. As does your rankings. So what do we think about? Is Charles Clay like no longer viable? Oh, Charles Clay, what happened?

29:01 ↗

What happened then? Turn over at running back. Turn over at quarterback. Offensive changes. He's still a low end one for me. Okay. Yeah. I don't think there's anybody we're missing there other than, you know, we can talk Tyrod Taylor. He's starting him? I am. You start in Fitzpatrick? Yes. Okay. Fitzpatrick was my, wasn't he my start of the week? Or stream of the week? Yeah. All right, let's go ahead and talk about the Jaguars going to Baltimore to face the Ravens. Yes.

29:27 ↗

You talk about the division. This is an opportunity for the Jaguars to get a win against the team that's been struggling. Now without Steve Smith, what stands out to you fantasy-wise from this matchup? The Jaguars are seventh against the run. The Ravens are 10th against the run. That is the upper echelon of run defenses in terms of fantasy points given up to running backs, but they both stink against the past. Yeah, and that's what we see a lot of times, right? Is that you're considered upper echelon against the...

29:54 ↗

run defense because you can be passed on so easily. So I don't know that it's really that either of these teams has a fantastic defensive line that's going to stop the run. I expect for set to have a very nice game in the running position because he could catch the ball as well. And obviously the ones for both side, the wide receiver ones on both side of the ball, man, do I love it. We talked earlier about A-Rob, Alan Robinson, the target monster. I mean, he's just going to.

30:23 ↗

feast in this matchup. And I actually like Kamar Aiken just from a standpoint of he's going to have the most targets. I expect this to be a high scoring game. You know, I like Flacco and Bortles in this game a lot. So this is a game that should see a lot of points put on the board and your star players are going to be the ones doing it. Yeah, I agree. I think Alan Robinson is going to go to the old country buffet and just gorge himself on the Ravens secondary.

30:53 ↗

I love Aiken tremendously this week. And the guys that I actually don't like, because I agree with the run defense numbers on these. I'm a little shaky on four set. He's still a one for me, but I have my concerns over it. I believe it was Adam Azer was talking about. The Jaguars are giving up the lowest yards per carry of any team. So I think the run defense is actually okay. Calvin Smith.

31:21 ↗

It's not just you can pass on the Jags. Their run defense is actually pretty solid. And same thing with the Ravens, man. Their run defense, they don't have T. Cizzle, clearly. He's been gone all year. But their run defense has held up for the most part throughout the year. So for T.J. Yeldin.

31:38 ↗

He's still getting out there, but you've got to have expectations where they should be. Now, that was what I was going to ask you. What is the reverberating effect of Alan Huron's sitting? Wouldn't that mean Julius Thomas and Yeldon might be more involved in the passing game? Yeah, Julius Thomas, I can see it. We know that the Ravens are kind of known for their tight end defense as they've been shutting down tight ends throughout the year. That's good because I have to face Thomas in one of my leagues. That's good to hear. Thanks, Mike. You got it, man.

32:06 ↗

But that's not going to stop me from starting Thomas as a lower type option. But this game is really about Blake Bortles, Mr. Beebe himself and Alan Robinson for me. I saw a question come in yesterday, a paid question that came in and someone wanted to know right away. It was an urgent trade question. They've been offered to Marco Murray for Blake Bortles. What?

32:36 ↗

I wanted to give him a robust, long response and felt like I had to send the email as fast as humanly possible. And he already had Cam Newton on his team. And I was like, go, go, click the button. Yes, do it. It's a no-brainer. But speaking of trades, Blake Bortles is a guy I'm trying to acquire in leagues where I can still trade because his end-of-season schedule starts is just delicious.

33:05 ↗

It is an apple dumpling from Cracker Barrel. Delicious. I know how much you love those. So that is high praise. Yes. All right. The Browns go and face the Steelers this week. The McCown Landry Jones face off. Maybe. We either get Josh McCown and Big Ben or Johnny Football versus Landry Jones. How do we possibly adjust the fantasy expectations in this game?

33:34 ↗

You lower them. You lower them for every player across the board because you're not going to have, I don't see this game being one that's going to be, you know, 35 to 28. This is a game that's going to be some ineptitude. You might want to put a kicker in there. You probably get some field goals in this game, but even still, that's not how I predict my kickers. You know, you've got Rathlisberger with, or not Rathlisberger, you've got Landre Jones.

34:01 ↗

with the weapons. So any time you've got Martavis Bryant that could break one off, he's absolutely startable. You always are going to roll with Antonio Brown, but you just have to lower the expectations of what you're thinking. So in your roster, you know, if you're going up against a high-powered guy and you've got those other guys, you might need to think to yourself on those flex decisions. I need someone that's got bigger...

34:25 ↗

height potential. You need to go boom. Yeah, exactly. Now, here's a situation you might run into. Now, we're pretty sure Big Ben's out, right? Like, if you gave a percentage, Jason, what would you have it at? 95%. Mike? I would put him at a 10% chance to play. Okay. But you don't know then. Okay, Mike, you don't know for sure. So do you play Eric Decker over Martavis Bryant? Ooh, that's an interesting question. And it's no, because Landry Jones has thrown three touchdowns. Martavis Bryant has caught those three touchdowns.

34:55 ↗

So you're riding that? I'm not afraid of Brian. Okay. Against the Browns. All right. That's a good question. Now, DeAngelo Williams, if he plays, he's a gorgeous, gorgeous start. Yes. What about the other side of the ball? Is Duke Johnson, the guy you would want to roll out there? Of anybody, it would be Duke. And Crowell, he might not be too bad. Robert Turban got waived. And Crowell, if you watched the Browns play last week, he had some burst. Man, if there's a hole.

35:23 ↗

Crowell was getting through it. So because Turbin is out of the picture, Crowell is back to being an RB3, RB2 maybe type guy. And Duke Johnson, I like him just because he catches so many passes, especially if Josh McCown at his point. If you're the DeAngelo Williams owner, do you go and pick up Jordan Todman? No. No? Nope. I don't. I don't. I'm not. Super deep. If you're a super deep league, then.

35:52 ↗

Just because the Browns, you know, the actual matchup is delicious. What do you think the chances are that DeWil doesn't play? I would say he's 5%. Okay, so you're sold on him playing. Yeah, as of now, new information, new opinion. But as of right now, the information that I have, I think he's going to play. And I, you know, you get to a certain point in the depth chart where you're at the Alfred Blue Chris Polk point.

36:17 ↗

of time, and you'd rather start another guy than you would. It's not like Jordan Tomlin, I think, is going to come in there, and either A, set the world on fire, or B, get every carry and catch. You know, he's just, if he was that kind of player, probably wouldn't be signed last week. Especially on the Landry Jones version of the Steelers. Yeah, so let me think here. Is there anybody else we needed to talk about? I did want to bring up Travis Benjamin. Yes. Because I think he's a little bit actually a sneaky play this week.

36:46 ↗

If McCown is back, because the, you know, the Steelers are not a great past defense in terms of just production given up to wide receivers. And Benjamin has obviously done well this year at times. He might be a very good DFS play because he might be cheap because he's had a couple bad weeks. So do you agree with that assessment? Yeah, completely agree. If it comes out that Johnny Football is starting, I don't want to play Benjamin. I'm still going to roll Barnage out if...

37:14 ↗

If football is the quarterback, I just, if I'm a barnage owner, I'm really, really hoping that Josh McCown comes back. Yeah, and if you're in a deep league, both Heartline and Andrew Hawkins, who had concussions, both practice. Which, the sentence of saying, if I'm a Gary Barnage owner, I desperately hope Josh McCown is the quarterback is a sentence that has never been, like that has not been put together. That's all we talked about in draft season.

37:44 ↗

The old McCown Barnage connection. Remember how much we love that stat? It's lethal. It's a really good matchup for tight ends, though. Pittsburgh has not done well against tight ends, so definitely. Gary Barnage was almost my start of the week, but I figured you guys would say, well, of course you start him. You can't pick him too easy. Today I was the last person to get to the starts of the week, and I didn't look at you guys first because I wanted to just be completely unbiased, and we're going to get to the starts of the week here soon. But...

38:10 ↗

Yeah, I picked one or two of the guys that you had, so. Ooh, they must be very good. They must be very good. All right, Panthers, they go and play the Titans in a trap game. Oh, oh. No, I'm not doing it. I'm not doing it. It is a little bit of a trap game. Wouldn't you expect the line to be a little different than five points? I mean, I know the Tennessee's at home. No. The Panthers are...

38:38 ↗

You mean as in what do you think it should be the Titans lower? He's saying that... I'm just saying I'm surprised that the undefeated Panthers against the Titans are not favored by more than five and a half, even though it's in Tennessee. No, I think it's about right. Okay. So number one fantasy quarterback last week was Marcus, Mario 2. That is correct, because they included that interception tip pass that counts towards his stats. But, I mean, Mario has been...

39:06 ↗

productive. He's been okay. He's been very up and down. You started him at home against Carolina? No. No way. Do you stream him over Fitzpatrick? No. No, Fitzpatrick, man. Do you stream him over McCown? No. Uh, nope, I would go McCown. All right. Yeah, this is a terrible matchup for him. He's not start. Kendall Wright. What's the latest on Kendall Wright? Is he? I think he's out this week. Yeah. I think he's out this week. It's been an MCL sprain has been the report. If he's back, I don't start him anyway. Right.

39:35 ↗

So if he's back, it does impact, you know, any hope you had for Doriel Greenbeckham having a good game. If you signed Green Beckham this week, you signed him knowing you're probably stashing him and letting him evolve into kind of the better end-of-season schedule. This is a team that plays the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts. Better matchups in the future coming for Doriel Greenbeckham is my point. So let's talk about Jonathan Stewart.

40:03 ↗

Uh, yeah, I dig him, man. I dig it. You see, ankle injury report early in the week, he was limited. That's par for the course. His ankles are not a good. His ankles have been a problem his whole career. Yeah, which is... I just, my alarms were going off because I'm a guy who lost Arian Foster and Dionne Lewis, and now I'm down to two backs, and one of them is Jonathan Stewart. The Reaper cometh. Oh, it's been a while.

40:31 ↗

One of the things people said in their listener surveys was they wanted you to somehow grief me more for being the Reaper. Yeah, well, there you go. You got it. Don't like Jonathan Stewart at all here. Really? Yeah, really. Tennessee, you might think, well, they're kind of not that good a team, but their run defense, fantasy-wise, has been excellent. They're the fourth best running defense against fantasy. They don't give up a lot of points. They don't give up touchdowns. Jonathan Stewart.

41:00 ↗

kind of doesn't get the touchdown opportunities anyways. So, you know, you've got a game here where I think Cam is going to be able to throw the ball, run the ball. And Jonathan Stewart's just going to kind of be one of those middling performances is what I expect. You know, one of those, sure, he might touch the ball, you know, 20 times and get 60 yards, but, you know, that's not going to win you weeks. So that's how I see. So he's had 20 carries four consecutive weeks. So Jonathan Stewart or LaShawn McCoy tonight? LaShawn McCoy.

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