Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Rookie WR's, Interview with Adam Aizer, Mailbag

He is a trash man with his garbage time fantasy points. But I'll tell you, I feel a lot better about David Carr, and if you look on a lot of boards, he's one of the guys... He's one of the guys that benefited the most from this draft. He's going to be a great streamer this year. You had James Jones, and now you've got Crabtree for what it's worth. He's coming in number two, whatever. Crabtree is twice as good as James Jones and isn't that good. And you have Latavius Murray in the passing game, and now you have Amari Cooper. I mean, yeah, is he going to put up 1,500 yards? No chance. Zero.

Zero chance. But he might have 75-80 catches. I think that's a pretty safe bet for Murray Cooper if he stays healthy. So anything more you guys want to say about these two top picks? Because these are the guys want to know about. We'll definitely ask Adam a little bit later. The same question about these two guys. But anything else you want to add? I think that's good. You guys are wrong. Okay. All right. There you go. All right. Let's talk Devante Parker. He went to the Miami Dolphins. He was one of the top guys on everybody's board. A lot of people thought if you had to...

break the rookie wide receivers down into an elite three pack, Parker was part of that three pack. And so they spend the high pick on Parker. Some people thought Gurley might end up there in the first round. Their first round pick ends up being Parker. How good is Devante Parker? And what is his role? Because he's competing with Jarvis Landry, Jordan Cameron, now Greg Jennings. Greg Jennings. You didn't get that I won. Yeah. So who is Devante Parker? Why should people be excited about this opportunity?

I really like Devante Parker as a player, but I'm not too hot on him this year. If you're in a Dynasty League, I think he's a great pickup. But this year, just like you just named, he has to right now beat someone out to even be in the starting two wide receiversiers. Because right now it's slated for Kenny Stills and Jarvis Landry. He has to beat one of them out. And he could do that.

in camp, and then that can upgrade him for me. But these other two guys, they don't have to beat anybody out. They're already penciled in. They're already in that spot. So I think that Devante Parker is great for Ryan Tannahill. He's a great pick for the Miami Dolphins in real life. But as far as a fantasy player this year, there's actually quite a few guys that I see have a much better opportunity that's also matched with decent skill. And I would rather take them than Devante Parker. And Parker will probably go ahead of some of those guys.

I agree. Devante Parker, maybe not. I don't think he's competing with... He's not competing with Stills, though. That's not the report that I read. I read he's completing to start with Greg Jennings. Yeah, well, he'll take, to me... Because Lander, you play in the slot, won't he? Yes. When they go three wide, it's going to be Parker, Landry, in the slot, and Kenny Stilton the outside, which is just incredible. With Parker... You guys like Kenny Stills so much. I don't understand it. No, no, no, I'm just... With...

Those two guys and Landry. So Parker, for those who don't, 6-3-4-5, three drops since 2012. The guy's got Mitz that are sure, and he's sure going to catch some of those Ryan Tannahill kind of accurate deep passes. Yeah, I think of... Sorry, no, you can keep going to. What I really, really like, I like for Tannehill, and Landry. Landry gets to go in the slot and be the PPR machine. And have lots of room. Yeah, they...

There's, and they got Jordan Cameron is there, which some people like him, but he's still athletic. Lamar Miller, the Miami offense is going to be off the chains. Yeah, plenty of reasons to like Ryan Tenhill when you hear all those names. I think a part of me says, and we'll move on here, but part of me says Parker has the same situation I said with Gordon where.

We talk about him competing for a starting spot, but they spent a first-round pick for him, and his talent is so far above Greg Jennings. That I don't think there's any doubt he's on the field. That doesn't mean I think his productions through the roof. That's just my take on him being on the field. So let's talk Nelson Aguilar of the Eagles real quick here. I think if you're a rookie wide receiver coming into the NFL, you're pretty happy if you land on Chip Kelly's track squad. Yeah, especially after they got rid of Jeremy Macklin, and you have been compared.

prior to the draft as a Jeremy Macklin type player. I mean, he's coming in to that role. And if you look at, you know, Jordan Matthews, a lot of people were saying Jordan Matthews would go to the outside and have that opportunity because Jeremy Macklin left. But they said all along, they want to keep him in that role that he was so good at. And so it makes sense here that Nelson Aguilar would go in and actually...

fill in that Jeremy Maclin role and that Jeremy Maclin spot. And if he does that, I think this is a perfect example of a guy I would want to have in a redraft league a hundred times more than Devante Parker because the opportunity, I believe he's going to be there. I don't think there's going to be nearly as many mouths to feed.

and that's in a much higher power offense that is going to have more snaps per game by a wide margin than the dolphins who, you know, went and signed in Dominica Sue and are going to grind some games out. You're not grinding and slowing down any games with the Eagles. So I think that depending on where his draft value ends up closer to the draft, he might be a guy that's on almost all my teams. Chip Kelly in his two years has produced fantastic.

fantasy wide receivers he always gives us one elite option and then a two which is a great option so i think that nelson has the chance with jordan matthews what i'm what i want to see first is i'm not so sure that matthews keeps manning the slot where jordan matthews is a six three guy and aguilar is only six foot so and there was the the knock on aguilar

from that I was reading of like the anonymous GMs was saying that he's a slot receiver that will cap his value because that's all he can do. So where does he play? Is it Huff and Matthews on the outside? That's what we don't know that yet. Yeah, you're right. And that's something you have to watch, right? And even in regards to Matthews, you still have to watch his usage too and what they do with him now that the situation has changed with Macklin. One thing I like about Aguilar that you brought up, I mean, he might be six foot, but he was a...

He was a guy who was super vital on the receiving game, or I'm sorry, on the, like, kicking game for USC. That was one of the things you go watch the tape. He was one of the leading returners in the league, and I can see him being used creatively in those screen passes and just being productive in that type of a role. I think, obviously, them spinning at that high of a pick on him. I think you need to...

temper any sleeper Josh Huff stuff a little bit because I think Aguilar just jumps into the picture there and I think we all like the opportunity. So Jason, you talked to me earlier today a little bit about Bashad Perryman. Yeah. Going to the Ravens and you made some good points. I'm not the biggest Perryman fan and talent wise, but he's going to the Ravens team that's got...

old man Smith, and that's it. Yeah, and that's it. I mean, it reminds me a little bit of Kelvin Benjamin last year. Calvin Benjamin, you know, he had a case of the drops, which Bashar Perman is criticized for, but he came into a team where he was really one of the only options that were legitimate to throw the ball to, and he had a very good year. And so I think that Bashad Perman...

First of all, I don't think his drops are going to be as serious as they were in college. I really don't. I think he's going to be able to improve that. It's a concentration issue. It's something he's focusing on. And his pedigree is there. I think his talent pre-draft, he was one of my highest, most talented players. He goes to a team where the opportunity is completely there for the taking and his skill set of being a complete tall burner.

You match that with Joe Flacco's arm, and I think that you've got a more talented player than Tori Smith going into the Tori Smith role. All of that said, and I like everything I just laid out.

I don't like having Tori Smith on my team because he's a boom or bust guy, and I think you're going to see some of that with Breschard Perryman. So it's like I really like him. I think he finishes the year with good numbers, but he is going to be just judging from the way that offense rolls out, he's going to be a guy that puts up good numbers and then is not reliable through the year. And so that's my worry on him. I would love to see if somebody has done a study on guys with questionable hands as they come into the NFL, what...

do they actually improve? Because to me, if you come in with questionable hands, it's like a quarterback who has severe accuracy problems. Yes, the NFL coaches will be able to fine tune a little bit, but if you're a quarterback who is inaccurate, you're inaccurate in the NFL. And to me, wide receivers who come in with questionable hands, they have...

questionable hands for their entire career. Well, the reason that I, the reason that I think Bashar Phaarman's going to change is because if you go back and look at those drops, some of those drops that were, quote, catchable balls were terrible. He had awful quarterback play. I mean, phenomenally bad quarterback play. Well, and are his drops going to be?

The way they used him in college, or is it going to be, I mean, is he just running a fly down the side of the field and has to beat his guys down the sideline? I mean, he's not going to be a possession-orientative receiver in year one. So I think in that regard, maybe those are mitigated a little bit. But put these guys in order. Mike, Devante Parker, Nelson, Aguilar, and Bashard Perryman. I would risk it on Aguilar, then Parker. Then Perryman. Okay. Jason. I would go Aguilar, Perriman, Parker.

If it's a redraft leak. Aguilar, Perryman, Parker. Okay, cool. Cool. Let's talk Philip Dorset. Mike, you got some hilarious statistics on Philip Dorset. The surprise pick of the first round to the Indianapolis Colts, if you don't know who he is. He is a little guy. Give me his measurables, Mike. So we were all blown away when the Indianapolis Colts drafted in 2015. They drafted T.Y. Hilton. Good player. Congratulations. Really good player. Except he's already on your team.

What are you doing? Wait, you're saying they just drafted T.Y. Hilton? Philip Dorset and T.Y. Hilton, the exact same size, same height, a difference of weight by four pounds, and a difference of a 40 time by 0.01. You're... How...

What are you, like, I am baffled by this move of the Colts. Yeah, I mean, it's nice to have T.Y. Hilton, but clearly they need someone across from T.Y. Hilton, right? They need someone like, you know, some other option. If only they had other options on the field. Like Andre Johnson? Yeah, or Dante Monkrie. Okay, he's good. Kobe Flan. Yeah, Kobe Flan. I guess that's a good point. But they need a Dorset. Because their defense was really good. Don't forget Carter, right? I think we need to forget Carter now. Yeah. But the fact that.

To me, it's almost like the GM is playing fantasy football where he just, he doesn't really care about winning a Super Bowl. He just wants his offense to be as great as it can possibly be. He wants Andrew Luck to have just historical numbers. So he's going to pat all these super fast wide receivers. Let's not care about winning. Three guys, you told me Dante Moncrief's 40 time. They have three burners now to go along with Andre Johnson. And yet they had a defense that was struggling against the run. I think there were.

somewhere in the back half. I know that 18th, 19th against the run last year. And a terrible offensive line. But aside from ripping Ryan Grigsin a new one, what in the world can Philip Dorset do in year one? Is he going to return kicks? Is he going to run fly patterns when one of these guys goes down? When Hilton's winded, he's going to jump out there and run a nine. I will say this for, you know, because...

At most everybody right now is saying it's just such a stupid pick. And if you're in a redraft league, seriously, stay away from them. There's just not a whole lot of upside value here.

But if you are in a dynasty league, you're pairing him with Andrew Luck for the long term. And Andre Johnson is not a long term option. And I think that that's a guy. It reminds me a lot of when the Colts took Reggie Wayne, when people were saying they didn't need Reggie Wayne, they had Marvin Harrison. They had other wide receivers there. But then long term, it was really good because you paired him with Peyton Manning. So if you are in, you know, he's a guy that I actually really love in a dynasty league in a rookie draft.