MEGALODON Episode - Week 12 Matchups, Turkey Day Awards & More! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/22

Yeah, thank you. I love that. You got it. Coming up. Titanium underpits. One hot pair. Titanium undies. Order of titanium undies, please. Yeah, yeah. Thank you. For quarterback start of the week, I'm going with Brock Purdy, who I've got as my quarterback six this week. There's basically the super, super stars, your Mahomes and Hertz and guys ahead of them. And otherwise, I'm going to stay in the flames with Purdy. He's been on fire right now. He's leading the NFL in QBR in pass-a-rating and expected points per pass attempt. And teams are throwing on Seattle at the fifth highest rate in the NFL 37.4 passing attempts per game. There are people that probably should have been starting purdy and how as locks all season long instead of.

you know, whatever it was, Winston and Lawrence and some of these guys that they thought were auto starts. Yeah, I mean, even, you know, we talk about Tua and his poor matchup or there's a lot of players you might have even good players like Justin Fields where it's like Barack Purdy's just getting it done. And as a touchdown favorite on Thanksgiving evening, you get to relax with a full belly feeling pretty good about your prospects. Okay. And my QB start of the week. What? Pretty. Oh, no, no. Sorry. No, we heard it. We just moving past it. It's, it's Dak Prescott. We've already laid out the entire case for Dak Prescott. So is this a case for number one on the week? This is a case for number one. And he's just, it, he was my sleeper. So I'm just like taking this opportunity here to say. We've praised you, Mike. We've already praised you tremendously. I need more. Okay. Yeah, that makes sense. Moving on. Running backs? Yeah.

All right. This is the only one that's kind of more of a layup. But look, the Jets are 30th against the run. They're allowing the third most rushing yards per game. So Rahim Moster is my start of the week on Black Friday. You know, it looked like maybe the season was starting to turn towards, you know, the beginning half of the year Moster couldn't win you a championship. Suddenly things have been kind of cleared up a little bit. And I don't think Moster is. going to get less than 60% of the work rest of the season. So even when the A-chan comes back, they're going to have to manage him a little bit. Mostard is set up against the Jets on Black Friday to be kind of a weak-winning guy, not just a run-of-the-mill 10-pointer. No, I would agree. Running back, I've got Rashad White against the Indianapolis Colts. We've made a living this year on thinking that the Indianapolis Colts games are going to hit the over. They usually have.

And Rashad White's just been, I mean, he's an absolute every week volume play, averaging 18 and a half opportunities per game on pace for 70 plus receptions. He's the running back seven, even though he only has five total touchdowns this season. But the Colts are given up a ton of touchdowns, 15 rushing touchdowns that's tied for third most in the NFL. Since week four, they are dead last in schedule adjusted fantasy points given up to the running back position. So this is just a... complete smash play. I think DFS lineups, if you've got him anywhere, he should be fantastic this week. I tried so hard to get Rashad White to play against you this week, Jason. Oh, well. Because this Indianapolis matchup, I think Rashad White has the potential to be the best running back of the week. He could. Mike, who do you have? Oh, boy. It's Yeti time. Derek Henry, which it has been a...

unpleasant. This makes me so nervous. This is his fantasy finish in points the past couple weeks. Week 10, two and a half points. The following week, we did improve. But 4.9, the biggest key in that is tougher matchups and that got blown out. The Tennessee Titans, like unfortunately Derek Henry is now at the point of you have to pay attention to matchup. You have to pay attention to are they favorites? When they're losing, Spears is going to be on the field a ton. We will get an update on whether or not it's snowing in Vermont, but it's just the Panthers 31st and schedule adjusted points. And there are three and a half point favorites right now. So I'm rolling Derek Henry out with confidence. Okay. Brandon Cooks, my start of the week at the wide receiver position, my touchdown guarantee, the boom game's on the way.

Your draft king's wide receiver. I don't know that. Washington dead last and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. And they're giving up like 16.9 yards per reception. That's crazy. CD Lamb draws the coverage. Brandon Cooks brings the boom. And it's happening on Thanksgiving. You'll be cooking. That makes sense. At wide receiver, I'm going with the city. Petty City Michael Pittman Jr. Build it. Do we have that? On the season, he has a 30% target share. He's the dude there. Since week six, he's averaging 13 and a half fantasy points per game, 10 targets a game, 76 receiving yards per game. And I talk about it, the Colts home games. They're averaging 57 combined points. That's number one in the NFL. And Tampa Bay is a great matchup for wide receivers.

They're allowing the third highest yards per attempt. They rank 29th and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. You can't run on them easily. You can throw on them easily. Pity City, a great play this week. And I'm going with Zay Flowers against the Chargers. I like it. On Sunday night. I love it. Oh, wants some more of it? I do. I want a little bit more of it. It's been rough here after the explosion of week one, the target surprise. And why talk about week one? Well, Mark Andrews was not there. Ten targets, nine for 78. He was the number one read of the offense. I think we have a great chance that goes back to that. The other Ravens wide receivers, I think, are very interesting dart throws at this point, but Zay Flowers seems like he's going to be the number one guy. And also, the matchup is great. Los Angeles 30th in schedule adjusted fantasy points. Recall last week.

Total Packer domination at the wide receiver position. All right. I said I was going deeper. My tight end, look, you're likely to need underpants on this one too. It's Isaiah likely against those same chargers. What level underpants? I think he's the base level. Do I got to call the Smith? He's the base level of underpants. It's just some steelys. Just some steelys. Look, my guy can whip out steel underpants. No problem. Yeah, that's like quick. That's real quick. They don't always fit well. But they're steel. They're made out of steel, man. What do you want? There ain't no elastic in there. No breathability. Yeah, you don't want to eat too much Thanksgiving. No. And try to slip on the same pair that fit the week before. Yeah, that's no good. Or you have to get them off in an emergency. No, no, they don't come off. They're permanent. They're permanent underpants. Look, it's time to find out what Isaiah likely has in store. The opportunity is there. The matchup, it couldn't be better. Chargers, 28th and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to the tight-in position.

In fact, you know, we know the capability. I think the athleticism of Isaiah likely, it's there. How much of the game plan is there? And how healthy is Odell Beckham? I mean, if you're going out there and it's, you know, you've got limitations with your receiving targets. No Andrews. Beckham's limited. Bateman's Bateman. Zay Flowers is there. Like somebody else has to absorb some of that, especially, you know, the chargers are capable of putting up some points and making this a game. So, um, Isaiah likely, going to go with him as my start of the week. I'm playing him in our family league. I'm playing him in our dynasty league. Is that what you? That's currently who's in. You pivoted back to him. I pivoted based on you two gentlemen. You talked up, you know, Isaiah likely. And so I hope you're not wrong. Yeah, we weren't wrong about that waddle lamb thing. No. At tighted, I'm going with Tassum Hill against Atlanta. He's coming off the by. There's a lot of quarterback questions here. Is it Winston? Is it car? I think.

Taysom Hill will be involved in this game a lot. And historically, Taysom has destroyed the Falcons in his career. He has four rushing touchdowns, four passing touchdowns, a receiving touchdown. He's averaging 7.2 yards per carry. And last year against Atlanta, he was the tight in three on the week. Thanks for going four for 81 in a touchdown on the ground. I think you could put him right back in your lineup. I think it's a really good pick because if Carr is out. How much taste them do you see? Yeah. You might see a lot. A lot. I'm going with... I'm going with David Najoku. Fifteen targets. Fifteen targets last week from DTR. Combined that. Matchup. Denver. Dead last in fantasy points. If you adjust for schedule, dead last and tight-in receiving yards allowed. David Nujoku is set up for a big, big week. And a big, big end of the season, I think. Yeah.

All right, our starts of the week, we want to thank our sponsor Purina ProPlan Sport. ProPlan Sport provides fine-tuned nutrition for strength and stamina that enables dogs and owners to take on life's adventures together. Pro-plan sport, high-performance fuel for active dogs. It all starts here. Jason Moore's Ironclad, locked and loaded, 100% guaranteed boom-boom kicker of the week. Last week on the boom-boom kicker, I escaped prison. And hijacked a plane. Just another week. Out over open water, my plane became the slaughter. For the Megalodon chumped the plane's anus. What? Pants stained with pee-pee. We were toast like a pinini. Parachuting with the Jaguars Brandon McManus. It's the best one. It's a Megalodon special.

I'm really proud of this one, guys. There is no chance that whatever hashtag we reveal later can be trending because no one is here. They're gone. The plane has an anus? The medleodon stomped the plane's anus. Yeah. That's what you and Kyle came up with this week. Also, it sounded like you saved the kicker. Well, weren't you on a quest to destroy all kickers? He's on his way down. I just, I didn't have time to. you know, reveal my plan of how I was going to expose or dispose of Brandon McManus. You could have just left him on the plane. He jumped on his own. He jumped on his own. The megalodons probably still get him in the water. I'm still sorry, everybody. I'm sorry, Brandon. Yeah. Because your name got pronounced differently today. Well, I mean, you got to rhyme. You got to rhyme. Yeah, you got to, when you have anus, you got to rhyme with it.

That's what I've always been taught. And from now on, it is Brandon. Oh, no. For me. Maybe for you. All right. Oh, my gosh. Wow, that was a Megalodon special. Don't worry, folkland. We have the fantasy forecast coming up right now. Fantasy forecast. The Norland Saints at 5 and 5 take on the 4 and 6 Atlanta Falcons, the draft king sports book line here. Atlanta minus 1. The overrunner is 42. Kind of been a pickum in terms of the odds, and the winner will take control of the division. I think that's an exaggeration, actually. Taking control means... They'll be at the... Yeah, Atlanta could be at the top at 5 and 6, yes. Come on. I know. Play better. Play better, South. But both teams coming off the buys. Both teams...

High expectations this week. Who do you like in this game? Let's start there. I think I like the Falcons. The fact that, you know, the game is in Atlanta, you know, that kind of sways me a little bit. The quarterback question mark, I think that if I had to project it right now, I think Carr plays, but I worry about how well he plays. We've seen him. fight through injuries and play really poorly early in the season. I'm a little bit afraid of that for multiple reasons, one for the negative that could happen to Chris Olavei and the positive that could happen for Alvin Camara, which is what we saw earlier when he was playing through these injuries and I am playing against Alvin Camara. I think Olave is fine no matter what. Yeah. I do. Michael Thomas, his departure, I'm not that worried about him.

I think both players will be fine. But my question to Mike, because I think we discussed this when you're out, I would like you to, how would you describe Bijon Robinson's rookie season through 10 games? I would call it for just fantasy. Yeah. Just fantasy. You call it goodish. Goodish? Yeah. Goodish. Do we think we get more goodish or do we think we get greatish on the way out? Because to me, this game matters a lot coming out of the buy in where we are with Arthur Smith. If we come out of the buy and Bejan Robinson does what we think he can do, I mean, he's got a tremendous schedule on the way when it comes to against the run, or at least some really good opportunities for the fantasy playoffs, Carolina, Indianapolis, Chicago. This could be season defining for him. If we're back to the same old thing this week, I think it'll be really disappointing for everybody. The nice thing is the last time we saw Bejohn, like.

Jason had mentioned, 24 opportunities, 75% of the snaps. The targets weren't where you wanted them, but they were playing Arizona, so you can just give it to Bijan 22 times on the ground. I am optimistic that we will have turned the corner after the byweek. We have the number nine-ranked run defense that Bijon will be facing in New Orleans. You also have a new quarterback. That's an old quarterback, but doesn't have been taking back over. That last Bijon game, it was Heineke against Arizona. So that'll be one to watch. Obviously, you play Bijon and you hope for great things, not just goodish things. Yep. Yeah, it's not a great matchup. I expect him to be more involved in the passing game because it's very difficult to run on the ground against the Saints, which, you know, leads you to believe hopefully Drake London could have a better game, you know, you would hope with Desmond Ritter. You have very little hope. Yeah, and look, I think an important week, I would be trying to play somebody other than Drake London.

I mean, I don't think I play another, I'm not playing another Falcon. Just trying to play Bijon. Bejon, end of list. Kyle Pitts. Bejone, end of list. All right. You know what's crazy? This could be the fourth game in a row that the Falcons play against a like first time starter. Because they played against Will Levis for his kind of first, you know, start. And then they played against. uh, Kyler. And who was the third one? Now they could be playing against James. They, they lost to Dobbs, I believe. Yeah, and Dobbs as the first time for the Vikings. So they lost to the first time starter in Kyler. Correct. They lost the first time starter in Levice. Correct. They lost to the first time starter in Dobbs. Yes. So James Winston, take your W. That is on. That's the side of him on. He's going to eat it. Eat that dub. Yeah. Alvin Kamara has been, uh, super reliable averaging tons of targets. It doesn't seem like.

You know, Kinderu Miller can't stay healthy, and Jamal Williams is just an ancillary breath. Alave, you play them and you hope. You hope that you see reliability over the back half of the year. And I think Rashid Shaheed is in play. Like, I'd play Shehita over Drakeland. Let me put it down. Really? No way. I would not personally go that far. I, I, I, I, I, I get it. No, I mean, I feel like I'd be alone in that. So I'm not. Like Shaheed has three boom games and everything else has stunk, but I do like his integration into the offense. Yeah, I mean, there's a hope without Michael Thomas that he can step up into a more target heavy role. We've seen the connection with Derek Carr. This week, though, I'm not personally willing to put him in. I need to see Derek Carr's health or see James Winston's tendency.

And so I'm probably taking a wait-and-see approach, but I know you're a little bit more bullish on Shahid's talent. I like the nine targets last week split between those quarterbacks. Tasum Hills Jason started the week, and that's it. Mike, we've got Pittsburgh, six and four, taking on the five-and-five Cincinnati Bengals. Oh, man. The Draft King's Sportsbook line is Pittsburgh minus one. The over-under is 34 and a half. Come on. Okay, they're on the road. All right. That's not a good over or under. No, it's not a good over under. It was more of a man. The Steelers are only favored by one against a backup quarterback, but it's in Cincinnati. I had somebody asked me about the prognosis for Jamar Chase, the rest of season. Okay. We have a hurt T. Higgins. We don't know his situation, but Mike, you know, you're somebody who has him on your roster. Are you expecting him back this week? Higgins? Never. Never. Never. I was.

personally quite encouraged with the Jake Browning situation last week. In fact, I had tried to trade for Jamar Chase masking my optimism. Didn't work out. But I actually think, I look at Chase as neutral to slightly, basically slightly below neutral. You have to downgrade him. You do have to downgrade him. But I was really encouraged with how often they let Jake Browning throw right when putting him into that game. and I was pretty encouraged by the way he played. And so, you know, I'm not saying this is going to be an easy situation. Pittsburgh is playing very well on the defensive side of the ball over the last six weeks. But I do think Jamar Chase, you know, they came out and they said they're going to run the offense as normal. I don't know if you saw that this morning. Okay. But they're going to run the offense as normal. They did throw the ball a lot. I thought when Jake Browning came into that game, we would just see endless handoffs to Joe Mixing. And we didn't. So I'm a little bit optimistic that Jake Browning can get it done.

Who's favorite? Pittsburgh. Okay. It's a one-point game. It's only a one-point game. Okay. That was questioning the almost upset. I got to go look at that line. I mean, I just think Cincinnati might take care of it at home. Jamar Chase, obviously he has the talent where you can throw him in. It's very similar to Garrett Wilson. He's just a super talented guy who could take over a game, can take any ball to the house. But the floor is very, very low, I think, for Jamar Chase. When you've got these backup quarterbacks that are coming in, they can fall flat on their face. So I do, you know, it's probably a player that right now you have to start. I can't imagine that there are other options that I would be willing to start over Jamar Chase. I mean, there could be like a tank dell or something. You know, that's, that should be an easy like, let's just go with the guy on fire. But for the most part, you're playing Jamar Chase and you're just holding your breath that Browning doesn't collapse. I've had a lot of questions about.

Joe Mixon. What do we expect from Joe Mixon who's been really, really good? He's the RB 11 on the year. He's been heavily utilized. He gets all the work with Jake Browning moving forward. You know, he had three top 12 finishes in the last four weeks. What's Joe Mixon rest of the season? He, assuming they run the offense as usual, it's definitely still a downgrade because he's going to have to, he won't have the same scoring opportunities. Even if Browning comes in and exceeds our. expectations of being competent and may be good, you still aren't going to see the scoring like we did before. I did forget that it's been a bad week for people with Brown in their name. Oh, yeah. Is Hollywood Brown, A.J. Brown. I don't know if Browning pants. You don't want your pants to be browning. I think it counts. That's on the way. If they are browning, they will soon. You don't want your pants to be browning because that is the beginning of fully brown. Mm-hmm.

They're getting hot at that point. We're really mostly bathroom focused here at the fantasy footballers. Pittsburgh side. We've got a new offensive coordinator. You know, there are those out there desperate for some life to Deonti Johnson, George Pickens. Jaylon Warren's had two straight 100-yard games. Hey, let's throw the ball in the middle of the field. Yeah. Let's try that on for size. The guy that I am most interested to see what happens is George Pickens. Really? Yes. With Deontay Johnson back and the Matt Canada offense, George Pickens went right back into his, this is never going to work. We're doing dumb stuff with a very physically gifted wide receiver. I don't know what the new play callers are going to do, but that's what I'm, like, Deontay Johnson is just, he's such a target hog that I can.

The last couple weeks have been atrocious, but I'm still willing to play him as a flex play. But the guy I'm really watching is Pickens. Pickens, through the first six weeks of the year, was on pace for 1,500 yards receiving. So, like, we know he's capable of the big plays. Just a matter of he gets those opportunities in the right part of the field, not just running fly routes and praying. Galen Warren, definitively ahead of nausea. Yeah, Jalen Warren is the player I'm most interested to see with the new offensive coordinator what happens because this is a player who's played his way into more and more touches because every single time those two guys touch the ball, you go, oh, Warren's better. Everyone on the planet can see it. Warren is better for our offense when we give him the ball.

So you have a new offensive coordinator coming in, and you kind of saw this a little bit with James Cook last week, how James Cook was actually in inside the five where, you know, they refused to do that prior to the office coordinator change. So if this game comes out and Jalen Warren has more carries than Najee and is still running the routes and more targets, I would not be surprised. I would be excited for it. That's where my eyes are going to be. So looking top. you know from a high level here in the game though 34 point over under is there a chance we're just disappointed with everybody in this one yeah yes it's the Steelers and it's a it's a a FC divisional matchup of like 13 10 13 10's in the car exactly what I was good you can have both of these teams at full strength and their games are not really fun to watch carolina's one and nine taken on the three and seven Tennessee Titans the drafting sports book line Tennessee minus three and a half at home

The overrunner is 36 and a half. And, you know, Mike just brought up. He has Derek Henry as the start of the week. The matchup, very juicy. Panthers running defense. Very bad. It's kind of a funnel system. They haven't given up a lot to wide receivers because they just give it up on the ground. Yeah. And look, Mike, your start of the week at the Yeti, we've got a meteorologist update here. Winter is coming. The snow model. is humming after last night. 2.4 inches in Stowe, 3.5 inches in Springfield. Heck, even Brattleboro got 3.7 inches of snow. Vermont is snowing. And if you're new to the fancy footballers when it snows in Vermont, there is a perfect correlation for monstrous Derek Henry games. It's silly, but it's true. But it's science. But it's science. I just want Derek Henry to get enough work to do it.

If you want him to get enough work. Does the snow affect his snap counts? Because that's, look, I expect him to run hard and run like a Yeti. No, but if he's, he can't do that on the bench. This is, this is the matchup for Derek Henry. It is hard to have the Titans be favored. The Carolina Panthers have found a way by playing against them. And the Carolina Panthers can't stop anyone on the ground. Obviously, you don't need to be told to start Derek Henry, but this should be a perfect. perfect play. They've only won three games, but in those games, he's averaging 18.4 fantasy points per game, 23 rushing attempts and 100 rushing yards. And they're favored this week, and that's not going to be the situation for many of their games. Correct. DeAndre Hopkins, last week, reemerged again. He had the monster game with Levis. He had a couple of mediocre games, even though the target totals were high. And then last week, the flea flicker, he ends up with a 43-yard touchdown, four for 59 and a score.

Okay this week? No. No. No. I mean, if you look at playing the Panthers, this is the same situation that we had all last year with the Houston Texans. When you've got a team that is this bad, like the Texans were last year, the team on the other side of the ball just ends up running it the whole game. They don't throw much. They don't need a lot of passing yards. There just isn't much to go around. It took us too long last year to realize with the Texans. Like, don't play your, you look at him and be like, oh, my quarterback's a great play because they stink. No, it's not because they stink. Same with wide receivers. So for me, I'm playing Derek Henry, and that is it from the Titans. I don't really want the passing game. 17 pass attempts for Levis last week despite losing 34 to 14. Gross. Oh, Vrabel. I mean, it had been up there the week before, 39, 39. And then all of a sudden it was like.

Yep, we'll run our way back into this one. Adam Thieland looks like a very good play. Frank Reich was calling plays, and he was a top 24 wide receiver last week, 11 targets, 8 for 74. Thielen or lock it? Thielen. Okay. That makes sense. Are we not playing anybody else? Nope, Thielen, Henry, goodbye. Yeah, the running backs have cannibalized each other. All right, quick break back with some more matchups. Tampa Bay 4 and 6 taking on the Indianapolis Colts who are 5 and 5. The Draft King Sports Book Line, Indianapolis minus 2 and a half. The over under is 44. Look, the cults have been good for fantasy this year. Home games are averaging 57 combined points per game. They're at home this week. But when you play there, that's the most combined points of any destination, of any team. And both defenses, very vulnerable defenses.

Buccaneers do stop the run. So I think there are people that, you know, we're expecting big things from Jonathan Taylor. He got all the work. I know Tampa's really good against the run, but Taylor's in a category where you just lock them in a man. Yeah, you've got to start him. And the nice thing is he's been getting targets when he's been playing with Gardner Minshue. So even if they lock down the ground game, there should be enough PPR value there. Speaking of Gardner Minshue, does he do enough for Michael Pittman this week? Well, Jason says yes, start of the week.