Week 11 Matchups + Bringing the Hammer, Wheel of Shame - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/15

You're favored by four and you're against a weak run defense. But he can let you down, man. Breeze Hall can let you down. You're feeling it. You're feeling the burns. But Hall should be fine. Your jets should be fine. They should win this game. I agree. And on the Colts side, Michael Pittman was a full practice on Wednesday and Thursday, which he's generally been taking Wednesday off. So this is goodbye Adonai Mitchell. Goodbye Alec Pierce. Yeah, that's the point is Adonai becomes. a far sketchier start. Alec Pierce remains, like, he's just, Alex Pierce is who he is. I think regardless of Pittman or Adnights, say, pray for the one. Jonathan Taylor splits with or without, um, a rich, basically the same. You, you can play him, uh, against the Jets defense that, you know, let Amari DiMarcato run 50-something yards at the end of the half and, um, oh, wait, that was the, no, that was the Bears. He let James Connor run while against them.

And Benson. The Falcons at 6 and 4 take on the 5 and 5 Denver Broncos. The Drafking Sportsbook line here, Denver minus 2 at home, overrunners 44. Both teams in the playoffs as of right now. Wild. I think both teams deserve to be in the playoffs. The Denver Broncos have looked awesome. They basically beat the Chiefs until the field goal was blocked at the end. That still blows my mind. Basically. Well, it's one of those, you know, if you missed it, it was they're running the clock out to kick the field goal because they're close enough where it's, it was an intentional. It's a gimmy, you know, they're just trying to get the clock to four seconds. The game is over. They're going to win. Wow, how'd they do that? And then the field goal was blocked. Yeah, it was a dogfight game, 14 to 16. That's how Denver wins right now. Bo Nix, your stream of the week, Jason. He's been a quarterback one and four of six starts.

I like Russell Wilson more than Bo Nix this week. That's one of the biggest questions on our start sit tool. It's so funny, considering that they let Russell Wilson go to essentially get Bo Nix. But yeah, I agree. I think Russell Wilson is a better start this week, even though I like Bo Nix this week. Saw Giovante Williams hit Waver Wires in all my leagues this week. Audra Guestime, Mike. Are you willing to start him in this game against the Falcons run defense, which is top half? Am? I mean, I'm not expecting big things, but he has... What would you estimate he would be able to put up? I mean, I think he can get to Jason's threshold of 10 points. I think he can get there. I think the only way he can get to 10 points is a touchdown. So this is a guy who's constantly referred to as the first and second down back. I don't think he's going to get past catching work. He won't. And so against the top half rush defense for a team that, you know...

They're usually a little bit more slog and dog. Their defense, you know, they're not, I don't know, I just roll with it. That's new. That's new. You wanted fresh and new. I liked it. You said, felt good. Slog and dog. So they're, you know, they're a slog and dog team. Yeah, apparently. Defense. I'm not, I'm not loving Estimate here as a start. He's certainly a great pick up. It's like Brian Robertson last night. Sure. I'm like, I expect Estimate will get double digit carries, probably be in that. 60 to 70 rushing yards area. And then you're, I mean, like, Alger or estimate? I'd go estimate. Okay. Yeah, I would as well. The Broncos defense has just been outstanding. I think they're, especially the past game, I worry a little bit about Drake London on the other side of the ball. I usually when I see like the, you've got a sauce gardener or a Patrick Sartan or, you know, Legerius Sneed, you've got one of these guys that's like taking.

out the one. You look for the two in those games a lot of times. Pretty sad that right now, Mooney looks a little banged up with an Achilles, limited participant on Thursday, because, you know, I might be excited for him to be really necessary in this game. Yeah, and you've got to remember the Broncos defense number one in the NFL against wide receivers. You can look at last six weeks where it's softened a bit, but they missed Sir Tan for two of those weeks. The default defense for the Broncos is very good against the pass. a good defense in general. You're going to look at Tobijon to kind of be your table setter for this offense in this game. And it's not surprising to me that the Broncos are favored at home. It should be a good game. Kyle Pitts. Yeah, Kyle Pitts or one of the waiver type guys like Johnny. I would stick with Pitts there. Okay. And if we somehow get information that the T. Higgins Hill narrative is.

incorrect this week. Would you go back to Sticky Gassiki or would you play Kyle Pitts? I would go with Gisicki. I think that I know it didn't come through for a big performance last week, but his snaps, his routes, even his targets, they were all there. It just wasn't down the field stuff as much as you wanted and he didn't get a touchdown. But the opportunity is certainly there. T. Higgins is not going through the team stretch this morning. but is in uniform and has a helmet as he works on the side. Do we know about this morning's hill? We do not. No. Harditz was asking, but we don't have information yet. Let's dig, man. Corlin Sutton is the wide receiver seven since week six. Would you play him in this matchup? Yes. Probably. Both of the Falcons. Oh, man. It's funny. Mooney, yes. Yeah, I agree. I mean, you know, you talk down Drake London because of the matchup, but London has been.

I mean, London's been great. Well, I think many people can. But London is the wide receiver five on the season. So I don't think you can, I don't think you can sit London. You just have to hold your breath. That one is so tough because you have the production from Drake London. But you know, when guys are in these matchups, you know that they're going to let you down. It's the exact Jane Daniels or a pivot. choice. Yes. That's what I mean. Do you stick with the guy that has gotten you there where, you know, Drake London has been very good, but probably needs a touchdown in this game to salvage the day for you. You know, Sutton and London are very close in my rankings. I would, I'm going to all do it for the team. I would play Cortland Sutton. I think so. I think so. That's a really tough call, but I.

I think it's the right way. I think that I am with you. I can see it. The Seattle Seahawks at four and five, the 49ers at five and four, the Draft King Sportsbook line, San Francisco at home, minus six and a half. The over under is 48. Seattle is, they've really kind of, uh, been on a falling off. Yeah, they've fallen apart. They're rattling off their losses. Yeah, one in five, one and five in their last six games after starting the year with three straight wins over not good teams. Correct. Quarterback, Jacoby Brissette, and then not Tua. So Seattle might have been one of the pumpkin teams of the year. It's concerning a little bit in terms of just, you know, their defense is very,

problematic. It could hurt Kenneth Walker's opportunities to run the football as the game goes on. I'm not saying you're benching him. I'm just saying. But he's catching passes. The last time they played San Francisco, eight catches for Ken Bone. It's Seattle is actually, if you're not a Seahawks fan, they're fantastic. This is what we want. We want a team that can be a really high-powered offense. We like pretty much everyone in this offense. And I know that their defense is going to give up a bunch of points. Yeah, they're falling apart. They started the season looking really good. Their defense was tough. They had some easier matchups, but they are really falling apart. I don't know the situation and the details, but four days ago, they, you guys know, they cut, they straight up cut their leading tackler on defense. The guy with the most tackles on their defense, they just cut them.

And I don't know any of the details there. I don't know why. He was too productive. He was like, you're, you know, we're trying to get fantasy points here. So it's great for fantasy, but, um, a wild storyline. And D.K. Metcalf is back. Like, he's practicing in full. That's a really big deal for the offense. Yeah. I mean, on the course of the season, the 49ers have been very difficult to throw on, but D.K. Metcalf. You know, he's got experience against San Francisco being a divisional opponent. I think D.K. is actually a pretty good play this week. The, oh, man, that was the 11 target game where he only had three catches for 48 where it was like he just kept missing. Well, he had, didn't he have a touchdown call back in that one? That one I don't remember. I remember so many. Okay. But just so many near catches. 11 targets turning into three for D.K. Metcalfe is weird.

The biggest question on Seattle is, is JSN. Like, do you, do you chase after the potential break it? Like, was that a breakout performance? I'm seven for 180 and two. You've been happy twice in nine weeks for what it's worth. Yeah, and that was what D.K. gone. D. K. McKaff back. I'm not playing Jackson Smith. It's a tough cornerback matchup in the slot. It does make me nervous. Debo and Joanne Jennings. I think we're all about. Mike has Juan Jennings as the start of the week. Ricky Pearsall is a dart throwish type of guy. He was 4-4-73 with the big touchdown last week. Would you play Ricky Pearsall or Rashad Bateman? Ooh, that one's interesting. I like Pearsall. I think he's got great hands. I could see that Pittsburgh, Baltimore game going.

starting slow, starting defensive, and then ending the game with, you know, some huge, some huge stuff. I'd go, I'd go huge for upside against Cincinnati. Yeah, I'd play the kind of number one versus the number three, four. But Pearsall versus Bateman, I think that's, that's very tough. I think if Kittle was to miss due to the hamstring, Pierceall really steps up. But we'll see CMC again, heavily, heavily, very high odds of scoring a touchdown. Yes, but it's that way. But the point being of like, you know, over under 48 will take that. Gino Smith's passing yard line at 247. I mean, I expect a pretty rapid moving game and I expect both teams to score. Brock Purdy, is he an option? What quarterback do you think he is on the year? Oh, nine? No, I'd go higher than that. I'll go like six. He's eight. Right in the middle. Somebody's closer. He has not had a finish inside.

the top five, but he's been eight, seven, six, eight, seven, five. Those have been his best performances. I think Brock Purdy's a really good start this week. There's a lot of quarterbacks. You know, like my start of the week, C.J. Stroud, if I had Brock Purdy or C.J. Stroud, I think I'd go Brock Purdy. This match up against Seattle, you expect him to. Have success. Are we done with Gino Smith as a stream? Are you guys picking a different week? Not done, but this is not the week. What quarterback on the year is Gino Smith, by the way? Oh, gosh. I feel like that's got to be 14. Yeah. I think he's high in QB2 right now. QB9. What? Yeah. But I mean, I needed it. You dog. He started hot. That's no bye week. Oh, okay. No, I mean, he didn't play last week. So I guess that is a bi week. I'm not doing good on the buys today.

I want to be honest with you. They're all over the place. You know, I need a buy week to get my buys correct. Yeah, when do we instate that? Oh, do you get a buy? Yeah. And we just like sit Al Borland out here to just play the harmonica. Yeah, the deucers take over. I have to raise the chairs. I've often thought about an episode when we're all gone. Did you just say we have to raise the chair? I took a cheap shot. I love it. I got Jeremy to laugh, so that makes it good. That was good. I have thought about, well, the deucers are now ranking. Oh, you're ranking jokes. They're now ranking jokes. Oh, got a nine from the Falcon. Thank you. I've often thought about just doing an episode when we all, you know, we're all out and just having three bears and just, but they make the deucers. Just roars? No, it's just dead silent. It's dead silent. It's dead silent. With the camera switching. Camera switching. They have to do it all 60 minutes. It's like when. Yeah, exactly.

Who's the actor for this song just keeps going? Nick Offerman. You remember when he sat on YouTube? Oh, yeah, just drinking whiskey. It was 10 hours. Was it really? I looked it up. 10 hours of sitting there sipping whiskey by a fire. I mean, he had to have taken a break. No. No, no, no. He had to, you know. Take a tinkle. Yeah. I can't drink that much whiskey. I mean, if you're not drinking and sitting. He's sipping. He's just nursing it. It's still got to go somewhere. Yeah. Well, I mean, I don't know. Too much whiskey. Maybe I missed it. Yeah, that's what they say. I'm a fuck swish. Yeah. That was a swish, Mike. Too much whiskey. You got to take a pissky. Oh, you're only getting a six and a two over there from Duzer's Valley. Those guys have no taste.

They just all right. They also have nothing to do if they're ranking jokes. Kansas City 9 and 0 Buffalo 8 and 2. The Draft King Sports Book Line Buffalo minus 2. The over under is 46. First impressions of this game. Who wins it? Oh, Buffalo is going to absolutely demolish the Chiefs. Woo. That's that's spicy. Demolish? I don't mind calling for the win. You're going demolish. Yeah. I mean, I don't think they're going to blow them out. No, Dalton Kincaid. I don't think they're going to blow them out in the end score, but I think they will. No, no, no, no, no. Not a hedge. You can't use the word demolish and then say this. An explanation. I think that they will completely control the game. I think they will look better on offense, defense, special teams. In the end, maybe it's, you know, a close score. But like, you'll watch this game and be like, the bills, the bills are controlling this game. They're the better team. And I think they, I think they win handedly.

Wait, win handedly. Yeah, that's not a blowout. I'm not saying they're going to win by 14 points. Don't be mad at us when you start it with demolish. Use the word demolish. What do you mean by demolish? They're going to win by one. I mean that when you've got an undefeated team in Kansas City that hasn't yet had a scoreboard say negative one, they're going to go to Buffalo and they're going to get a rude awakening because the chiefs aren't that great. What's the final score, Jason? Final score. will be 24 to 16. Okay. I'll take the chiefs. Yeah, I think the chiefs will probably win it. Of course, big ref over here would always say that. Let's see. So the chiefs have allowed 24 points twice. The Bengals put up 25 and the box put up 24. Three times. Three? This week in Buffalo. Okay. All right. Demolish.

James Cook's going to have a hard time running inside against the. That's my concern is that you have either a missing or casted Amari Cooper. You have no Dalton Kincaid. You have no Kean Coleman. Which you have a running game that's going to be stifled. You're going to be dinking and dunking with Cook in the running game. Kincaid was ruled out. Yes. Did we say it officially? Yeah, he's gone. Cook and Shakir are both dink and dunk. options in the passing game. That's my biggest concern with scoring enough points. Yeah, I think the chiefs, I think it's close. I don't think they're going to demolish them, but I think it'll be close. And, you know, it'll be a tough place to go in and play. The bills have found a way to win. I definitely think they can win the ball game. And, uh,

You know, this is not the game, this is not the Bill's Chiefs matchup of days of old with Tyreek and Diggs and the high flying, high scoring affair. The overrunners 46 is fine. How do you feel about, how do you feel about Hopkins? So his reception line right now is at four and a half, but, which it's a tiny, it's a small, but, but Juju Smith Schuster is practicing in full. I knew, should be back. I knew for sure that Hopkins was going to take a step back from the previous week in terms of targets and production. you know, how do I feel about him? Not great. I mean, wide receiver two, three range to me. Okay. Yeah, I mean, I would take the over on four and a half receptions. You know, towards the end of this game, it's going to become Mahomes versus Allen and the defenses, I think, will start the game strong and the quarterbacks will finish the game strong. That's often how it happens with these type of players. You know, Mahomes.

Passing lines at one and a half touchdowns. I mean, your start of the week, Mike Kareem Hunt, I love this week. I think that the place that you do beat the bills is on the ground. And Hunt has just been his fewest since, since, you know, his first week in action, he didn't even hit 50% of snaps. If you take that one out, he hasn't had fewer than 22 opportunities in a single game. He's a great play in this matchup. Is Mike's start of the week? Patrick Mahomes has a touchdown prop of one and a half. You know, him getting more weapons back is good. Kelsey is certainly a start and been playing well. Are you playing Stroud against Dallas? Are you going to play Mahomes against Buffalo? I'm not. I'll play Stroud. I agree. With Nico Collins bag, not being on, you know, better match. I agree. We'll get into Sunday night football in a minute, but we'll first take a break.

Cincinnati's four and six, the Chargers, six and three games in L.A. Drafking Sportsbook line, Los Angeles, minus one and a half. The overrunner is 48. Every week feels like a must win right now for Cincinnati. It would obviously be very good for, like, Jamar Chase went wild last week. But his numbers with and without Higgins over time, it's always better when Higgins is back. I hope Higgins plays because the, you know, The charges are a good defense, and you need more weapons to kind of allow them to have to pick their poison. So I love the opportunity for Higgins if he's in there. As a wide receiver, too, I hope he's back. Chase Brown, his rushing lines at 62 and a half. He's been a beast. RB5 since week four. What decisions do you have to make on that side? Is it get sicky? Is it Higgins? Are those the two big ones? Yeah, for...

For Cincinnati, McBurrow is in. He's just, he's playing too well. Obviously, chase is in, or both. I'll say both chases are in. And it's then T. Higgins, if T. plays, I'm going to play him. It's sketchy. Hopefully we'll know before Sunday night, or Sunday morning, I should say, that for sure T. Higgins is projected to play. But if he is out, then I'll go back to. Mike Kosicki. It didn't work. The production went to, what was it, Tanner Hudson. But the targets were still there. It was nine targets. And if you're going to give a tight end nine targets, I'm going to, I'm going to bet on that more than not. Jason, who demolishes who by a couple points here? You know, I've got the Bengals winning despite being the road underdogs, but I am.

I'm in love with this game. I was very sad. You want this game? I want this game. I was very sad that this was Sunday night football. Great for watching it, but from creating our DK lineup, I wanted players in this game. I think, you know, over the course of the season, I've brought it up. The Chargers are the type of team that hits the under and over and over, or under and under and whichever way you want to look at it. This game, the way that Joe Burrow has been playing, I don't think the Chargers are going to be able to impose.

their slow it down will against the bangles. I think they're letting Herbert throw the ball more. Are they going to get pulled into a high-paced game? That's what I'm saying. I think they're going to get pulled into a higher-paced game. That's how I project this matchup. That means I really want a lot of the pieces here. It's hard to take an over of 48 for a Chargers game. That just hasn't been how they're playing football. But I... I... Something in me just is like, I think it happens. You know, Gus Edwards, I think has a good chance at a touchdown. If you're in one of those by week injury areas where you're looking for a, you know, every week there's a team or two that needs a waiver running back that you have to start. Gus Edwards would be my pick this week. Did you mention JK? No, I haven't. So, J.K. Dobbins, it's just something to monitor. We don't know what happened, but he didn't practice on Thursday listed as personal. So, I mean, you don't expect its injury, but.

got to pay attention to it. We also just got an update here from Zach Taylor, Coach Taylor, saying he expects T. Higgins to play. They'll say, and they said, we'll see you about Orlando Brown Jr. Yeah, this one is, you know, I like Herbert. Having the opportunity against the Cincinnati defense that's been really, really bad against quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends. My only worry is that if the Chargers defense has, you know, they're at home and if they have their kind of game. and they are able to slow down what Cincinnati does best, then we could be disappointed with the outcome. The overrunner is 48, but they're number three against running backs. They're number three against tight ends. I love how Burroughs playing, though. Their defense has just been so good. They gave up the last week. The Chargers gave up 17 points, the week before 10 points, a week before eight points. Those are phenomenal. However, you have to take it with a grain of salt. The matchups were the New Orleans Saints.

Yeah, with nobody. The Cleveland Browns, you know, with James playing James ball that week, and then the Tennessee Titans. So I don't think they've really been tested the way that Joe Burroughs. Yeah. Joe Burroughs going to come in here. However, their offense has been getting it going. Their offense, you know, they've scored 27 points two weeks in a row, 26 before that. Cuge being back, I think really helps them. The fact that Cuge was gone got Will Disley more involved than the passing. I just, I really like this game. The hardest part is that McConkey is like, even if the offense is getting going, because of the nature of his role in this offense, if he doesn't score a touchdown, I think you get really disappointed. I mean, the last five games, you've been thrilled. You were thrilled in week eight. He was number two wide receiver. He was number two wide receiver, two touchdowns, 11 yards. But he was also a good part of the offense, the weeks surrounding it, where he was the wide receiver 36 and 37, still seven targets, didn't get into the end zone, kind of doing the PPR thing. Yeah, on average right now.

He's averaging four receptions and 55 yards. That's just not going to be a happy game. So you need the touchdowns, which have come. He's been looked to around the goal line. And I think for that reason, and with a higher over-drunner, you can play him here. But I do agree. If you don't get a touchdown, I don't think you're going to be happy with Lad. I want a happy game. You know what I mean? We all want happy games. Yes. Who would you start between Ladd and Quinn and Johnston? I'd start Quinn. I would as well. I'm always going to make that choice because I just think we know the big plays and the touchdowns are both in the cars for Quentin. Yeah, those are more likely. I mean, Quentin Johnston's types of targets are farther down the field. Ladd McConkey, a lot of those are the...

the short move, the sticks type of throws that are important but not great. Now, Kyle says that this episode today is teaching him that you have very, very high standards for fantasy. The four for 55, you're not, you're thinking that's, that's not a happy game. Correct. And then the wide receiver, the running back 23. Let me teach Kyle some because I don't know how many times I got to say this because there's like the 20th time. If you don't score 10 fantasy points, you're not happy. You're not happy with any player ever. No single digits. And if you go four for 55, I mean, you didn't, you didn't, goose. Oh, okay, that's great. But did you? Yeah, you didn't get 10 fancy points. That's my barometer for a happy or an unhappy manager. And I think that's true. Now, hold on. Technically speaking, our bust metric for consistency charts is seven points or fewer. But that's full bust. Right. So you're saying there's a line between.

unhappy yes it goes happy unhappy bust correct because we measure busts uh good and great right do we need an you're talking about for the truth series yeah yeah do we need an unhappy one in there between bust and good is it the me zone so here's the funny thing we actually do have that and it's literally called the me we don't bring it up on that episode but in our docks It's listed as meh games and they're not. No, it's not. 100% is not calculated in. Those are kind of taken out of the score because they're meh. Yeah. But they exist and they're meh. And now we have clarity. All right, Monday night football, Houston, six and four, going to Dallas. There's seven and a half point road favorites against Dallas in Dallas. The overrunners 42. Dallas is an implied point total of 17. This.

line and, you know, the Houston being such heavy favorites on the road in Dallas. It tells you how holistically bad Dallas is. He's screaming about the moon. Oh, okay. I didn't. Did he say the moon? Yeah. Demon. I couldn't. I know. I understand it. But I understand it now. Now that you know what he's saying is going to be great. Gonna be, huh? Oh, great. That's Jerry, huh? Yeah. That's sticking. All right, Houston minus seven and a half over under 42. Houston gets Nico Collins back. Dallas made the choice to bring Cooper rush back. His passing line, 182. After last week's performance, that seems high. You know, you need CD Lamb to be peppered with targets and created opportunities, into rounds, screen passes.