THE MEGALASHOW! Bold Predictions LIVE in LA - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/26

Ladies and gentlemen, the fantasy footballers. I'm sweaty. I'm pretty sweaty. I got a tummy ache. That is first time with dancing sharks, I think. Give it up for the sharks. Give it up for the sharks. You have no idea how sweaty they are. Oh, they are headed to the showers right now. Welcome to the 10th anniversary Megalus show. Oh, yeah.

Shout out to Sleeper for sponsoring this event. Yes, thank you. Shout out to pristine auction who supplied so many things that we just threw. We got more to throw. And we've got a grand prize over here at Cooper Cup. Signed helmet. It's the good stuff. I'm not going to throw that. I'm not going to throw the helmet. Unless I need to. Right, right. Watch it. How was the gun? You like the gun? The gun was great. Oh, hey, insight. Yeah, this is interesting. Anyone hear a giant gunshot? What do you think that was? Whoops! Whoops! Yeah, before the show. It was a misfire. Well, we just noticed I went to grab this bad boy, and one of them. We had two tanks, thankfully. One was entirely emptied into the gun on accident. It would have been through the roof. Yeah, we would have killed someone.

Thankfully, we didn't. Yeah. Appreciate your patient safety. Safety first. Before we get the show started, which so excited to have you all here for a live bold predictions episode today, which I think we're still 10 years in, 100% of the bold predictions. That is right. That is right. Rushing them. I definitely didn't say the Jets here in L.A. would win the Super Bowl. And then moments later, Aaron Rogers. That was the reaction. You were like four plays away. I know. I know. From that happening. But we ready for a show? And I'm going to need you help on the mailbag. And you can help us on the welcome in as well. Yeah, yeah. We got two requirements here for the live show. Number one is the mailbag. We know you're going to represent. But number two, the intro. We know everybody at home does the ah. Well, we want to hear it. I want to feel it. I want to feel it in my heart.

In my large intestines, I want to feel it everywhere in my body. I don't know, man. Al, are you ready back there? He doesn't have a microphone. I'm going to just trust that he's back. I see a light and that's it. Are we good? If it starts, we'll be good. All right, go for it. A fantasy footballer's podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Ah, baby. Yes.

I think they forgot the welcome in, Bart. That's okay. Welcome into the 10th anniversary Megalus Show live in Los Angeles. We rowdy tonight. We are. And shout out to Sleeper for sponsoring this event, Pristine Auction. We're so excited. We got a bold predictions episode on the show today, but a whole lot more. We got news to talk about, some controversial news. So we'll talk about that. We've got... We do? I am unaware of this news. I'm... I guess I missed the news. We'll find out. And how many out there with the UDK? Yeah, that's our people. That's good. That's good. And you can get the UDK Ultimate DraftKit.com. A reminder, a portion of every UDK goes to St. Jude, Children's Research Hospital. We've donated in 10 years over $250,000 to St. Jude, and that was because of you guys. And us winning fantasy leagues. Come on. That doesn't hurt. Give us some credit.

And we have something fun. We like to do this for the live shows. We have a quick question today. And we've had a lot of fun with these over the years. But today, we're going to compare a player to a television show. And Mike is going to kick it off. I am. Travis Kelsey, you may have heard of him. Wait, people don't like you to Ross. You said it's rowdy. Do you play fantasy football? You should be cheering. Oh, take it easy out there. Take it easy. Don't make us send the sharks after you. We'll bring them back out. I appreciate the hometown love, but you're telling me you didn't like Travis Kelsey. You're a bunch of big fat liars. All right. Only Antonio Gates for that guy. Here we go. Travis Kelsey, look, he's giving us some of the best fantasy seasons of all time. His peak seasons will go down in history. I'm not sure there's any tight end coming in the future that will ever match.

what he has done. The run is probably the longest we will ever see. And that's why Travis Kelsey is, it's the Simpsons, baby. Look, because here's the thing about the Simpsons. We're coming to the end. And that's okay. It's okay. Look, he may not be the difference maker that he once was. See the Simpsons. Yeah. But it's like, when the Simpsons are on, I'm still gonna watch it. I'm still going to enjoy it. And you know what? We're always going to remember the Laman of Troy, aka Travis Kelsey 2018. Oh, Marge versus the monorail. Kelsey 2020. Look, the show isn't what it once was. But if you put the new ones on, you're still going to watch it. And you're still going to have a good time. So that's why Travis Kelsey. Yeah. Yeah. What does it, what does it mean, though? What does it mean, though, if like.

I don't really watch Simpsons. You're like, if you put the Simpsons on, I'm like, I'm going to walk out of the room. I don't, I just, I don't really care. Hold on. Hold on. Hold on. Hold on. Yeah. Yes, feed me. You're going to sit in front of a crowd of a thousand people and say you don't watch the Simpsons. Yeah, I don't. I don't. I'm not saying I don't think the Simpsons is an all-time great show. I just don't watch it anymore. Do you guys actually actively watch The Simpsons? Yeah, is there a saying... So did you take it as, like, bench Kelsey? No, no, I get it. I get what you're saying. He's an all-timer. He's not at the top. But I just take umbrage with, I take umbrage with like, I'm still going to watch the Simpsons if it's on because it's not true. And I'm a man of truth. That's great. I can't wait for you to go so I could take a dump on everything you just say. Yeah, try it. Yeah, go ahead. Well, he's going last. Oh, okay. I'm jumping in. We're going to talk about Alvin Camara.

It's a weird story. That is the correct response. Yeah, no, that is exactly what I wanted to hear. Because get this, Alvin Camara, he is Downton Abbey. All right, now just stay with me on this for a second. And enjoy that picture of Derek Carr. Because he doesn't seem like something you should like in fantasy. The side characters are a bit much. I'm not here for a history lesson, right? I don't want to remember the magnificent past of Alvin Camara. That doesn't help me in fantasy. And it seems like he's so boring to roster because he's going to be so boring to roster. Nobody takes him in the draft with a lot of joy. But you're going to watch and you're going to give it a try and you're going to like it this year.

Because this was a player who was so boring that he still ended up the number two fantasy running back from weeks four to 15 when he came back. I can feel the crowd they're like, do I admit that I like Downton Abbey? This is my message. I can't tell people that. There's only two types of people in the world. There are people who have seen Downton Abbey and they know it's great and people that haven't yet seen it. And they go, that looks so boring. Because it looks so boring. But what I'm saying is embrace that boring. Embrace the history lesson and just don't tell your friends you drafted him. Right. Just like you don't tell them you watch Downton Abbey. Yeah. Downton Abbey is full PPR. That is like down. Abbey is 100 like point per reception. It's more valuable than you think it should be. For sure. All right. I'm up. Yeah. Yeah. Mike's ready. You ready to crawl. They will. You will boo this one because once once you understand it. Maybe not right out of the bad, but.

Justin Jefferson is the office. Yeah, baby. Justin Jefferson is one of the best ever. He is awesome. The office is fantastic. I think it might be my favorite comedy show of all time. But there's bad news, Foot Clan. When Michael Scott left, Yeah, what happened? It wasn't the same. It wasn't as good. And Captain Kirk is leaving. And I'm telling you right now, I know Justin Jefferson is great. Obviously, this isn't a, it will be bold takes later. He's great. But he's not going to be great for fantasy in the middle of the first round without a quarterback. The same way that the greatest comedy show of all time was not as good.

It wasn't bad, but no one out here is like, oh, dude, I think the, I got better. I think the seasons without Michael Scott were the best. No, that's why it got canceled. Okay. What about the lizard king? There were a lot of Justin Jefferson dynasty managers out there that were very sad a minute ago. Yeah, well, they're sad. They're going to be sad this year, too, because you got Sam Darnold. And at least you had a bright spot in J.J. McCarthy. And that stinks that he's gone. You're not a big Sam fan. I'm not a big Sam fan. The more that I've dug into the numbers and seeing his touchdown rates over his career, it's putrid. And that's where, like, Justin Jefferson's going to be fine between the 20s. It's going to have a lot of yards. He's going to be, I'm not saying he's like the wide receiver 40, but he can't return on middle of the first round value. It's almost impossible unless you're up at, you know, 9, 10, 11 touchdowns. And Sam Donald's not doing that.

Sam Donald is not a good quarterback. Here's, look. Oh, no. Sam Donald has played. Oh, no. Mark of the Beast games. Okay, he's played 66 games over six seasons. Mark of the Beast. The real. This can't be your thing, man. My thing is the Mark of the Beast. I'm the Mark of the Beast guy. Tell me another podcast of references. The Mark of the Beast. It's me. So Warren Sharp points us on qualified completion rates. Sam Donald's completion rate on his career is 59.7%. His career? His career. That ranks 47th out of 48 qualified quarterbacks. Kirk Cousins is number four of 48. That's going to change things, people. Why are we still drafting Justin Jefferson ahead of A.J. Brown and other guys who have good quarterbacks.

It's not saying that he's bad to use logic and be smart. Now, see, Mike, you don't have to dump on his take because his take is kind of like a dump in and of it. Yeah, it is negative. It is negative. I apologize. I know. And honestly, look, I was looking at the show doc today. I'm like, man, I am a hateful dude. My bold predictions are really negative. We brought them here to disappoint them. I want more positivity in the show. I got you. But I want. I think, Andy, why don't you talk about how much you love Kyle Pitts? Make it positive. Why don't you bring Kyle Pitts up? You love them. Well, no, hold on. Hold on. Wait a minute. Hold on. Because I seem to remember, I've got a golden ticket. You know how long I've been saving on to this for this show, baby?

He I have no Yeah I love Kyle Pitts Yes you do. Let me tell you how much you do Andy Why don't you? Oh no Why don't you read the people what you think about Kyle Pitts? This is a novel Andy has no idea that this is happening right now. Yeah, we knew he was in the dark, babies. I wanted what was happening when you brought the name up. Yeah. I was ready to move on. All right. Well, let's listen to. I have to read. Oh, my goodness. Yeah. It's basically another take swap. Golden ticket version. Let's go. It is the golden ticket, so I guess I have no choice. I'm glad everyone's here. It's time to come clean about something that has been bugging me for quite a while.

I love Kyle Pitts, and I want the world to know it. Nice. Oh, okay, because Kyle Pitts is Parks and Rec. Come on. You got to be kidding. How did you pull this up? All right. I refuse to watch Parks and Rec forever. Everyone said it was great, and I was snooty. That's true. I was slow to listen. I said, nah. I said, I'm too cool for that. Yeah, you really did. And then one day I came to the realization that maybe, just maybe, I was missing out on something great. So I watched. And the beginning of that show sucked. It did? Yeah, first season was pretty rough. Season one was not funny. It was like they had a bad director, like Arthur Smith was in charge. Oh, what a good cop, Andy. Yeah, this is good thoughts of mine. But after season one, they cut some characters, reshaped others, and it literally turned into one of, if not the best, comedy show of all time. Oh.

And that's what I think is going to happen with Kyle Pitts. Really? I really think that. A slow start with a bad cast of characters, and then you exit Arthur Smith, exit left, and Desmond Ritter, goodbye, and enter the Rams offense and Kirk Cousins. Kyle Pitts will finish his career as one of the all-time greatest ever to play. Wow. That's bold, man. Because Pitts is not even 24 years old and Travis Kelsey caught his first pass in the NFL when he was 24. I'm glad I thought of that. Kelsey had his first 1,000 yard season at age 27. Yeah. Pitts did that at age 21. Whoa. Clearly better. It's a big difference. Buckle up. Please keep going. Do not turn off your TV. Kyle Pitts will break out this year like season two of Parks and Rec. He is the steal of the draft.

And you heard it from me, Andy Holloway. Yeah, there we go. Yeah, that's great. That's big of you. I'm not sure why you. Oh, the crowd loves it. Yeah, Andy. Yeah. Does that mean that golden ticket is gone? Yeah, tear that thing up. Yeah, tear it up. Tear it up. Tear it up. Crip. Uh, why'd you tell people. I can't believe you pulled that off. Why'd you tell people to, don't turn off your TVs. Well, like, that's what you do when you're done with the show. Yeah, like, and then he's saying turn it back on. Some people stop watching Parks of Rec after one season. Yeah, but we're not, we're a podcast. Well, it was more about watching Parks of Rec. Okay, I'm just saying it was a bad reference. Have another drink. Have another drink, Mike. We're ready to roll. Welcome to Ready to Roll, presented by Nissan. You got animations I didn't know about. Mm-hmm. Yeah, pictures and scripts and.

You broke it out. It takes a village. All right. Time for some ready to roll. I thought this would be very interesting. We have looked at some very eye-opening stats, stuff to get you ready to go for the season. And we looked at juicy opening schedules. This is literally ready to roll. Yeah, yeah, yeah. And we look at those that are going to, like you talk about Jared golf all the time, how the start of the season, it's really good. But we also know that there's, turnover on the defensive side. So sometimes bad defenses become better and vice versa. So we wanted to look at every position and whether there were some players, and this is just going to be fascinating, are there players that just start hot, independent of the schedule? Year after year. Like they're just, they're hot starters. The opposite of Derek Henry and Najee Harris, who finished strong and James Connor. Yeah. Yeah. So I'll start.

We've got two quarterbacks that have been hot starters. I brought one up frequently. He goes late in drafts, but Tua, Tua Tuna Viloa. Those are like late season booers because you can't be a first part of the season booer. There's not a name I can say. Seriously, we're hot tonight. Yeah. But Tua, if you remember two years ago, that 40 point plus, you know, the six touchdown game. started as the quarterback seven through the first 10 weeks of the season. And then last year he was the quarterback one in week one. He was the quarterback five through the first eight weeks. And then I traded him to Mike. And then I cooled him off. And then he cooled him off. So. So grab an icy, dude. And then another player that's not being talked about because of the injury and because I think people are hesitant. But Kirk Cousins. Oh, you love him. He's going to be one of the greatest of all time. Yeah, because of pits.

But over the last three years, he's averaged over 20 fantasy points per game through the first half of the season. And we even forget how good he was before the injury last year. He was the quarterback six in fantasy. He has my favorite player, Kyle Pitts. He's got Bijon. He's got Drake London. You talked about Darnell Mooney as like a late value. So those are two hot starters at the quarterback position that we've seen for multiple years. Sure. And a wide receiver, Tyree Kill. I mean, it makes sense because Tua has been. such a hot starter, but over the last two years, he's averaging over 100, 120 receiving yards per game. Like that, that is an outrageous pace. I think that people forget how fast Miami is every start of the year. Yeah. Like they think, okay, you know, they can't be that fast. I mean, it makes sense. I mean, you're in Florida, right? When the, when the cold weather comes in, you just, you don't know what to do. You're used to the heat, and then Stefan Diggs.

We all remember last year. Yeah, this one's interesting. This one is is pretty fascinating. Weeks one through nine, almost 18 points per game wide receiver three in that span. Last year. Wide receiver 10 or a week 10 on just absolutely terrible. And this has actually been something that that he has done to us. It was really magnified this past year. But Stefan Diggs has been a hot starter and. Not as hot at the end. Yeah, 16 fantasy points per game in September, 15 in October, 13 in November, 11 in December. Yeah. For whatever reason, he has slowed down over the course of this season. So I don't know what's going to happen in Houston. He feels like one of those players that we're not drafting a lot of, but I still think we acknowledge that that could be a situation where they do find a lot of fantasy value early. He could definitely get off to a hot start. Another guy that I'm not drafting much of, but when we're looking at this data where I saw, man.

I'm like, am I going to get got? You don't want to draft him. I don't want to draft him, but I'm starting to think I'm wrong here. And the data says it. And what's going on around the team says it's Josh Jacobs, the running back for the Green Bay Packers. He has. Yeah, I mean, okay, people are in. People are in. So here's the data. In 2021, he had over 13 fantasy points per game. He was the only running back not to bust in the first half. The first half, no bust games. Obviously, he was great that year. But I don't think.

We realized last season, he was actually the running back seven in the first half before, you know. It didn't feel like last year as a whole didn't feel good. Yeah. Well, 2020, RB7 in the first half last year, RB5 in the first half before the wheels fell off. And so you're going like, okay, are the wheels gone? Is he on blocks? You know, is he, is he a car raised up and he's just, keep him going? He's done. Or he's been stolen? Does he just start fast? You know, when you start fast right now, report came out today that both A.J. Dillon and Marshawn Lloyd are questionable for week one with the hot starter of Josh Jacobs. It's like, okay, goodness gracious, is he going to work? So now I'm, I haven't done my main drafts yet, and I'm moving Josh Jacobs up, and I'm going, all right, maybe there are some players. You don't draft to trade. You don't draft them only to trade them. But you go, like these players, I know that they can start hot and.

have the wheels fall off, so maybe midway through the season, I'll trade them. We'll talk about one of those guys later. And a tight end, I just want to remind you guys, Mark Andrews has been a model of consistency. What? What's that? Yeah. Did you reboot halfway through the sentence? Was that a bit? Powering down. That's just how I say consistent. See. All right. In 2021, he was the tight end two. I don't know. Through the first six games. In 2022, he was the tight end two through the first six games. In 2020, he was the tight end two through the first six games. So he's pretty good. And trade him before he gets injured is basically it. But he's he's a hot starter. And you know, I think right now I'm scooping him up in the fifth round sometimes. Oh, that's an amazing value. And you can't draft guys to trade them unless they do well. You don't trade, you know.

between your draft and kickoff very often. So it's like you want guys that start hot. I think Mark Andrews is a great pick for that. Yeah, I know it makes sense. And I was a little disappointed you didn't take him in our last mock draft because I didn't know if you were starting to fade, but I guess you're not. You're very consistent. See about him. Yeah. All right. That was ready to roll. Presented as always by Nissan, find your path in the 2024 Nissan Pathfinder Rock Creek. Whether that's rocky trails or snowy roads, there's plenty of. places to show off this SUV. Learn more at NissanUSA.com. Intelligent four-wheel drive cannot prevent collisions or provide enhanced traction in all conditions. Always monitor traffic and weather conditions. Yeah. Let's get into the news. News and notes from around the league. Presented by USAA Insurance. All right. We do have some fun stuff to talk about. Maybe not fun. Maybe we should have gotten you a deck of cards, Mike.

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin. Michael. Michael. He said he's not going to name a starter at quarterback. Michael? Until the end of the work week? The work week? Wait, is that a true? Is that what it says? Michael? What is the work week for them? Is that Friday? I mean, here's the thing, guys. Book it. Week one, Steelers slaughter their opponents because they have no idea who this, they have no clue that Russell's about to be the starting quarterback for the Steelers. Mr. Tomlin, what are you doing? This is an embarrassment. You don't question Mr. Tomlin. I do. I do not. He has, what is this? Like 17 years in a row of him being over five years. He's one of the best coaches in the league. I think that this says something maybe about. Yeah, I mean, I mean, I watched his interviews this week before this quote came out and he was still saying like nothing has changed with the order of my quarterbacks.

Now he's saying in the work week, is there any chance it's not Russell Wilson? No. Yeah, okay. That's why this is dumb. All right, I see that point. This is budget magician material. Yeah. Now, Matt Nagy's like, oh, man, Tom was about to crush. There was a point. What an advantage. This off season where it seemed like they stole Russell Wilson and they stole Justin Fields and that they were going to fix situation at quarterback. How do you feel about that now? I think they're going to play good defense and try to run the ball. So it brings up points about George Pickens, too, because what's the latest on Brandon Ayuk? Nothing? Anybody know? Yeah, anybody in California here with insight? Y'all live here. What's going on? I believe the last report we saw was an active report of there's nothing to report. That's not a joke. There's like two minutes of nothing to report. And I am like we're drafting now.

Like people are, this is like the biggest draft weekend of the year. And who's, who's drafted their league of record? Okay. Okay. Is there anybody drafting right now during the show? Yeah, we got a handful. Yeah, you got a handful and a couple of liars. They said yes, but they don't have phones out. No. Liars. All right. But, but this was fun in games when it was like, oh, we'll just wait to see what happens. And then we'll figure out Debo and we'll figure out Kittle. And then on the other side, I love George Pickens. If he's the guy in Pittsburgh.

What do you do now if you're actively in a draft? And at any moment, because the report that nothing's happening also said the trade's still on the table. Like the 49ers, if they can't work a deal out, they can just click, click the accept button, basically. So what do you do with? My honest opinion is find your stance. Like, don't sit on the fence. Because when you sit on the fence, you know what goes right in the crotch. You don't want that. The fenced. It's not, you ever done that? I think they get it. It's not good. Yeah. Especially don't sit on the pole. Like, you know, you want to go, you want to go to the whole wide. Right. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I got it. Yeah. Thanks. Pick your stance how it's going to end up one way or the other. To me, it's I you plays for the 49ers and that's how I am drafting. So wait, wait, wait. I want to, I want to challenge that for a minute. Okay. Because.