Week 12 Buy or Sell + Triple Mailbag, Sneaky Tank

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Find Primal Kitchen buffalo sauce at grocery stores nationwide or on primalcitchen.com. This episode is brought to you by State Farm. Every football fan is different. Some won't wash their lucky mustard-stained jersey until the season's over. Some insist they can't sit down on third downs and some pick their favorite team because, I don't know, just like football fandom.

Nobody's life is exactly the same. And that's why State Farm gets to know you, not as a policy number, but as an actual person. So they can help personalize a coverage plan that's just for you. Whether it's game day or just another Tuesday, State Farm has you covered. This is D.D. Westbrook here with the Jacksonville Jaguars. And you're listening to the Fantasy Footballers podcast. To the Fantasy Footballers podcast.

Coming to you from pristineauction.com studios with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Welcome in. I could hear the echoes of football time. It's tomorrow, I think. It's tomorrow. Oh, gosh. I only do it on Thursdays. Oh, man. Leave the people wanting. I can't wait. Welcome in, the fantasy footballers.

Back again Wednesday, November 20th. Jason Moore, Mike, the fantasy hitman right. I'm Andy Holloway. Welcomeing you into the show. Buy yourself today, the Thursday night preview. Some very important mailbag, some news to get into. It's nearly playoff time. And we're going to leave you in silence on that to just think about the weight of the playoffs. I would like to take a moment of silence. Yeah, apparently.

For those who have not made the playoffs. And for those of us that have. Very nice, Jason. Shh. Oh. Did you hit the mute button again? Shut up. Shut your mouth. Just shut your face. Just let it happen. All right. Before we get into buy yourself, I want to remind you, you can find us on Twitter at the FFBallers Instagram.com slash fantasy footballers. If you want to follow Jason on Instagram or Twitter, you can do so at Jason FFL. You follow Mike at FF Hitman.

You can follow me at Andy Holloway. I posted this morning. Just lay of the land. Wanted to hear some feedback on the show. We always want to make this show. The two most important things for us is that it is the most accurate show that helps you in your league and it's the most entertaining show out there because you're listening all the time and we want you to enjoy your life. Yeah, we play fantasy football to have fun. So we do this show and have fun. Despite.

Also, winning is fun. Despite what you may have thought about fantasy football yesterday. Yeah, well, it's good to be back America because I have come back to life. I no longer hate everyone and everything. I have moved on past Philip Rivers. I did a healthy Baxter punt him off the bridge situation on my roster. And I'm, I'm super excited for this show. That was a two sleep recovery.

Yes. You needed two reboots. You needed two sleeps and I'm back. It was so bad that I thought there's a chance you would rebrand one of our two bathrooms here in the studio. That's how bad it was. The picture is in the mail. Okay. All right. Because right now it's Jeff Fisher, which I can't imagine he loses that. The last time it happened, it was Greg Olson. Yeah. He did me wrong and I did him wrong. He really did. You did? Very vindictive with my losses and fantasy. All right. Let's get into buy ourselves.

Buy or sell, presented by pristine auction. All right. Week 11 last week, we did AFC West edition. We did. All right, I suppose. Keenan Allen, he did top 70 yards. Uh-huh. Damien Williams, 100 total yards, kind of unfair, but also didn't seem like he was on his way. But you guys both. He would have got there. Sure, sure, but I win. And then Derek Carr, top 10 quarterback.

He didn't get there. He was the QB12. Yeah, he was the QB12, which I believe I said he would be top 12, but not top 10. Nailed it. Although I did lose this week. And on the back of the Philip Lindsay call is the way that I see it, I was super happy that I bought Philip Lindsay because of his utilization, what finally happened this week with the Denver Broncos? But 16 carries, but the matchup was too tough against the Minnesota Viking. Yeah, and Darren Waller, five catches. What do you do now?

What do you do with Darren Waller? I can't imagine not playing him, but he's just... He did. He had the five receptions. He was back to having a solid game. That's fair. He did drop a touchdown. So, I mean, that sucks, but he had that opportunity where the play was exactly for him. It was executed perfectly except for the catch part. Oh, it always comes down to the details like that, Mike. Well, with the Finns.

Fins? Yeah. Are they flippers or they fins? Fins are ocean? Yeah, they're flippers. Yeah, fins are like a, like a fish. Yes. Yeah. A slippery fish. You know what I mean? Yeah. All right. That's why shady fumbles all the time. Well, yeah. Because he's the slippery fish. I haven't said that nickname in a long time because he hasn't been very slippery. No. You have been a sticky fish. Fish out of water. Yeah. All right. Buy sell for week 12.

Let's start with Calvin Ridley here. Is he going to finish as a top 12 wide receiver against Tampa Bay? Week 11 last week was the first top 12 finish for him since week two. He finished as the wide receiver 8 last week. Tampa is the juiciest of all matchups for wide outs. I have to buy this prequel to tomorrow's show. Yeah, I love Calvin Ridley this week. I do think the line is too high here. I'm going to sell similar to Derek Carr last week where I do like him.

But I just don't think he cracks the top 12. He'll be a great play, though. Do you want to shoot your shot and say top 14, but not top 12? I'm going to sell as well just because the line is tough. But Andy, you're right, that the matchup is about as juicy as it comes. I'm looking at the streamfinder here, though. Shocking to me. You know who the second juiciest matchup is for fantasy-wide receivers?

The Minnesota Vikings. Yeah, they've been so good against the run. They have fallen apart. But Xavier Rhodes has been terrible. And there's only been a handful of times he's shadowed this year. And those have been really bad for them. Those are like groundhog shadows. Yeah. Sometimes you see them. Sometimes you don't. Yes. All right. I'm with you. Marvin Jones, 10 fantasy points against Washington. Marvin Jones has since week six. Here's his fantasy finishes. 73rd. First. 65th.

5th, 29th, and now 8th. You are leaning on Driscoll, which on paper. Marvin. Is not the worst thing to do. Washington is one of the best teams to stream a quarterback against to the point where you look at Driscoll and you wonder if you can recommend him this week. But do I want my buy sell in the hands of old Driscoll? I mean, even on his down weeks here when he was, you know, the wide receiver 29 against Chicago, he was still over this line.

Which means three straight weeks of doing that. Yeah. So what do you got? What do you got? I'm going to buy. And for those, if you are not fully paying attention, Marvin Jones currently outscoring Kenny Galladay in a half point PPR scoring format. Surprising, but yet. I'm just here stating the facts. Yeah, I will go ahead and sell it. I'm going to sell Marvin Jones 10 fantasy points.

I believe that you can run and pass against Washington. They slow the total play count down. If they can run against them, they will. That's the trick. Who's going to run? Yeah. Bo Scarborough. Now, I'm going to sell it. I think he finishes just below. I will sell it as well. Jarvis Landry. Jarvis Landry, the touchdown, the touchdown streak. Does it continue against Miami? He scored a touchdown in three straight games. Revenge?

It is a revenge game, but... I'm going to buy this. I keep... Now, there's a complete narrative here where it's like, okay, there's... The targets are still going to O'Dell Beckham. Like, he's leading, you know, you look at the last few games. He's getting more targets than Jarvis's, but Jarvis is still producing for fantasy. The narrative is that this week with a bad pass rush and poor secondary, they're going to actually be able to connect on those targets, and it's going to be an Odell Beckham game.

I'm going to wait until I see that before I say that Jarvis isn't the better fantasy producer. And so I'm going to say Jarvis gets another touchdown this week. I think Baker is a great play. He was my stream of the week yesterday. And he's his number one wide receiver. He's going to get another touchdown. Yeah. Jarvis Landry is getting a monster target share. Yeah. Yeah. No, they're both great. I'm going to buy it. I'm going to buy it. I'm going to sell. All right. All right. Just because the odds of a touchdown.

Come on. Four games in a row. Miami, though. That'd be nice. All right. Curtis Samuel, will he receive 7.5 targets against New Orleans? And do we care? Freaking Kyle Allen. That dude stinks. Well, DJ Moore's liking it. Yeah. J. Moore target share is way up there. He's at 30% over the last six weeks, believe it or not. But Curtis Samuel's not in there. So I'll go ahead and sell it. What's so upsetting is the matchup this past week.

Now, I know the Atlanta Falcons had a revolutionary meeting apparently during the by week because their entire team has changed. Their defense looks incredible. They're sacking the quarterback like five times a week the past couple weeks. They were averaging 0.9 before that. And they were not before. But Curtis Samuel in that match, it comes through with 4 for 25 against the Falcons. I will.

What's the line here, seven and a half targets? I'm going to sell it. I will sell as well while I want to be contrarian. There's only been three games this year where he has been at eight or more targets, despite the average being 7.8 because he's had a couple of monster, you know, 13, 11 targets. I think he ends up about seven. Hopkins is the target share leader over the last six weeks, 35%. Beckham 27, Jarvis 26. So they're both getting their fair share. Seems like the Landry ones are probably higher.

probability targets, so he's ending up the better fantasy play. This is a really, really tough one. I said... Sell! I just wanted to get my answer out first. Okay. And loudly. Even before the question. Even before. I didn't want you to think I was following. It was going to be Mike Wright as a top 10 analyst in fantasy. Sell! Yeah. Michael Gallup, 75 receiving yards against New England. Oh, we got to move this line.

The line's bad. I have already sold it to sell. It's going to be three cells. Don't just be a copycat. This is New England Patriots. Right now, I'm afraid to play any wide receiver against them. Michael Gallup 45 yards. I would buy 45 yards. I would buy 45 yards. 55 yards. How many? It's got to be. It's got to be. Oh. That's the new line. 55? 55 yards. Because that's a good line to make you have to stop and think.

55 yards receiving, I will sell it. I will sell it. I will sell it. All right. How low can we go? What's the line to make what you buy? This is basically the tie breaker. You know how you've got like 40? 40 yards. I will buy 40 yards. I think I'll buy it. So 45, you said you would buy 45? 45. Yeah, I'll buy 45. If you're at 45, I'm going to go to 40. 40 yard for the man with the glasses. What are you at, Mike? I'm 50. Oh, all right. So the line, so set the line at 45. Sell.

Uh, sell. Oh, I thought you, I'm confused. Okay, so you'll buy it 40? I think the moral of this story, guys, if we want to really drill it down for the people listening. Is that we're expecting Michael Gallup to receive between 40 and 50 yards maximum in this game making him a very, look, it's hard to sit him. No, it's not. If Amari Cooper's out, how do you make that decision to sit him? You say, hey, whoa boy. Whoa boy.

Gallup on into that stall. No. Are you playing Gallup if Cooper's gone? No. It depends on options, of course, but preferably not. It's in New England. Oh, no. It's just a very, that being said, you know, Zach Hertz had a very fine game. I mean, being the number one target last week, he had nine catches. He had a nice fantasy day.

Still a very different player. Gallup has been fantastic. On a DNA level, Mike? It's totally different. Just on a size, yes. This season, he's been great. It's really just a matter of, do you believe that Dak and the Cowboys can get it done against this great offense? If you think they can get it done, Andy, you brought up Zach Goertz. People do score fantasy points. It's not like you can't start Michael Gallup. But Gilmore.