Ultimate Draft Tips + Eye-Popping Insights - Fantasy Football Podcast

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Find Primal Kitchen buffalo sauce at grocery stores nationwide or on primalcitchen.com. This episode is brought to you by State Farm. Every football fan is different. Some won't wash their lucky mustard-stained jersey until the season's over. Some insist they can't sit down on third downs and some pick their favorite team because, I don't know, just like football fandom.

Nobody's life is exactly the same. And that's why State Farm gets to know you, not as a policy number, but as an actual person. So they can help personalize a coverage plan that's just for you. Whether it's game day or just another Tuesday, State Farm has you covered. Hey, this is John the Taylor running back for the Indianapolis Cults. And you're listening to the Fantasy Footballers podcast. To the Fantasy Footballers podcast with your host, Andy Holloway.

Jason Moore and Mike Wright. Welcome in. Or as Jonathan Taylor would say. Welcome in. Welcome in to the show Thursday, May 28, the fantasy footballers podcast. Back with you, Jason Moore, Mike, the fantasy hitman, Wright. I'm Andy Holloway. It's going to be a great show today. Yes, it is. For a change. It's about time, you know. You sounded.

almost like tired well i am very tired mike i am i am exhausted just as a you seem like you've been tired for days i you are you have nailed it you are right on the money i am exhausted did you know there's cures for that there are like one specific yeah energy drinks i hear you loud and clear michael uh you you're doing okay oh yeah i mean look the the honest truth is we are putting in

a ton of work and recording hundreds of videos. Yeah. It's exhausting. But we're here for the people. I guess that brings me to the first point I'll make, the first reminder. Since this is the last episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast before the ultimate draft kit is released, we should talk about that. And today on the show, we have our ultimate draft tips episode. So we're going to bring forth some insight.

some guidance from the UDK, from some of the reports and some of the features inside of the draft kit that are illuminating, that are interesting, that will help you understand some players a little bit better and get an idea of just, you know, kind of crack open the lid a little bit. I know my draft tips that I'm coming with today, they've crafted things for me. Like personally have changed how I'm looking at 2020. So this is great. One would hope. I mean, one would hope that you are.

pliable to your own advice. Yes. I wasn't going to do it this way. And then I heard myself say something. It changed everything. That dude's smart. All right. So like I said, this is the last show before it comes out, which means this is the last chance for you to get the lowest possible price on the ultimate draft kit. And that's ultimate draft kit.com. We've got the draft tips on the show today. But if you go to ultimate draft kit.com and.

pre-order. That's the lowest price. You can get the UDK. You can get the UDK plus the DFS. That's what I was going to bring up is if you do play DFS. The combo is so crazy discounted before Monday. I mean, Monday, you know, everything is out. It's up. It's ready to go. And, you know, it's just for sale. You're going to love it. You're going to have it. But if you get there now, the combo is such a smoking deal. Yeah, and that has all the DFS pass plus the lineup generator and things like that.

A reminder you can find us on Instagram.com slash fantasy footballers, the community of listeners, players, commissioners, champions. Join thefoot.com. We love you. Footclam. We do. And let's go ahead and do some buy sell. Buy or sell presented by pristine auction. All right.

The Detroit Lions will finish in the top half of the league in rushing yards for the first time since 1998. That is what we are buying or selling. Do you believe the Lions will buck the trend of the last 21 years and end up in the top half in rushing yards? Look, D'Andre Swift arrives. Carry on Johnson's there. Is he maybe? He's still good. And being highlighted by...

our famous producer, Judge Giamatti, quickly highlighted because I think the judge thought I would believe this is just a layup of softball. I was kind of insinuating that obviously I was going to sell, but he wants to remind us that over the past three seasons,

They have averaged, their average is 16th. So they've been very, very close to the top. Actually, maybe I wrote that confusingly. Andy, what I meant was over the past three seasons, the team with the 16th most rushing yards had 1,800 rushing yards, right around 1,800 rushing yards. Yes, and the Lions have averaged 16. Yeah, they were 24. No, they're not going to do it. Oh, I love my answer. Are you ready to hear my answer? I love it, because here's why.

Because it's yours? No, we stat every single player out, every single team out for the ultimate draft kit. So I went and looked at my team rushing yardage to see where they land. And they are the 17th worst or the 17th, the 16th best, the 17th worst. They edged out being in the top half by 12 yards according to mine. So I'm a clear buy. They're in the top half this season. Yeah, but you.

You don't even get to answer because carry-ons on the team. So I don't trust anything that you would say about Detroit. There's no way. There's no way they do it. I don't trust the running game at all. And they haven't been able to do it in so long. And we've talked so much about Matthew Stafford and what we saw last year. If anything, we've seen Matt Patricia give up on coming in with the New England philosophy. No? No, I think he's had to.

Their offensive line has been bad. They made some improvements this year. Andy, coming into the NFL draft, you thought D'Andre Swift was the most talented running back in this year's class, correct? But he can't run the ball if you don't, if Matthews Effers is throwing it down the field.

I think the combination of D'Andre Swift and Carry On Johnson are a really good one-two punch. When it comes to rushing the ball, in the past they had Theo Riddick and he was great for, you know, as a receiving back. But as a, as pure rushers, they just haven't had anybody for a long, long time. The only good rusher has been carry-on who hasn't been on the field. But the one-two punch of these two guys, I think you're talking top half in rushing. It's just not been close.

The last four years, 21st, 23rd, last and 30th, last before that, 28th. It was Barry Sanders. That was the last time they did it, 1998. Barry Sanders' final year. It's more about the defense for me. I believe that if you're good on the defensive side, then you have more rushing yards. And I'm not exactly sure they...

are better this year than they were last year. So I'm going to sell. I will say they will be in the bottom half of rushing teams yet again. I mean, they will break it eventually. They'll break that streak, I imagine. They got to 17th in 2013. I will say this. The way that we have statted teams out, bears.

at least what so far myself and Andy are saying. I have them down for 1,846 rushing yards. Andy, you have them down for just under 1,500 rushing yards, not running the ball very much. So we are true to ourselves. You see them as not a top half running team. I, yeah, I just think they had success throwing the football last year. They were competing. I mean, I can think of the Minnesota game. You know, when it was back and forth, Cousins and Stafford.

You know, you've got weapons on the outside. I definitely like DeAndre Swift. I definitely didn't carry on Johnson in a committee. Make sense. I just don't know if they get there. Like you said, Mike, are they going to be winning games? Right. I mean, look at the times last year when you have David Blow as your starting quarterback. I'm pretty sure your plan is that we're going to run the ball a lot. And then they're against the Bears and Trubisky and

They can't. They can't run the ball because their defense can't stop anybody. Last year, Carry on Johnson, Beau Scarborough, Ty Johnson, J.D. McKissick, C.J. Anderson for a minute. Would you like two games? Remember Trey Carson, too? Yeah. Paul Perkins made an appearance last year. I mean, they were trying to everybody. That's why they. That makes it a little harder.

All right, that was by herself from Pristine Auction. Use the code ballers at pristineauction.com for some sweet autograph sports memorabilia. Again, use the code ballers to get a $10 credit. You guys want to get into the tips? I think we don't have any big news to talk about. Nope. All right. Tips and tricks. All right. Some ultimate draft tips for you. I'm pulling some observations out of our Red Zone report in the Ultimate Draft Kid. That's where I'm going to kick it off.

This report gives you the opportunity to find, you know, players that maybe had an opportunity and things didn't go their way. There are some interesting things that I found. Nick Chup. I want to talk about Nick Chub because I know I've heard Mike bring up, and we've joked about it. I mean, we've seen Nick Chub. Yes, it defies all logic. Last year, he tied.

Christian McCaffrey for the most 10 zone attempts in the NFL. Those are valuable. For running backs, the difference between the red zone, it doesn't matter if you're between the 20 and the 12. But when you're inside the 10 zone, those are valuable. Yeah. Why did you say the 20 and the 12? I was just throwing out an example. 20 and the 10. Well, because often you see a stat about a running back. He had this many carries in the red zone. I don't care.

If you say red zone and he's getting the carry from the 18, it's just not, it's not even close to as valuable as a carry inside the 10. So with the red zone report, we're looking at 10 zone attempts. We're looking at 5 zone attempts. So inside the 5 yard line. But Christian McCaffrey had 32 10 zone attempts. He ends up with 10 touchdowns. You've got Nick Chubb with 32 attempts. He ends up with four touchdowns. That's not great, Bob. Everybody near him in that opportunity.

uh metric look dalvin cook 31 attempts 11 touchdowns zeke 31 attempts 11 touchdowns girly 29 attempts 11 touchdown here's nick chub with a complete inability to go from 10 zone opportunity to the end zone but what do we believe about nick chub he's a great running back yes he also had a horrible problematic offensive line last year something we talk over and over again about what the team has addressed this off season

and, you know, Baker's opportunity to bounce back, but the efficiency wasn't there for Nick Chubb. Now, you might not make that an excuse for him if you thought the opportunities weren't coming this year, but his head coach is Kevin Stefansky. Dalvin Cook was second in these 10-zone attempts. We've seen him do this. Nick Chub will be the goal line back.

Right. Do you guys disagree with that contention at all? Not at all. I don't disagree with it. What's funny is, as you're bringing it up now, now I'm thinking about it. Like, what are the Browns look like if Nick Chubb was actually successful at the rate of the rest of the league? Like, how many more games do the Cleveland Browns win? How different is the narrative? Right. If he's not scoring. If he has six more touchdowns. Yeah. A lot of things are different for that team.

Yeah, and so even within the five zone, like I was saying, McCaffrey, 60% of the time he got into the end zone, Cook 69%. Zeke, 83% of the time that he got the ball inside the five, he scored. And here's Nick Chubb at 37%. That almost seems like you have to be trying not to. Yeah. At 37%. The other takeaway, and I know you guys will be a huge fan of this. Yes, yes, I am. But it's the fact that Devante Adams is.