Ultimate Draft Tips + Eye-Popping Insights - Fantasy Football Podcast

Still a beat. Tell me something I don't know. And despite being hurt, he was still, and we knew he was off the field. He was still third in the NFL and red zone targets. Three behind Michael Thomas. Michael Thomas had 26. Despite those huge target numbers, which he was number three in the league, he only had four touchdowns. That is two. Red zone touchdowns. That's correct. Which is.

two fewer than any other outside wide receiver in that target range. So there were other guys that had a great deal of red zone targets. Tyler Locker had 24 of them. Julian Edelman had 23. Jarvis Landry had 22. All those guys scored more touchdowns than Devante Adams. And DeVante Adams was arguably the most predictable touchdown score at the wide receiver position coming in. You know it's not Julio. Right. It wasn't Michael Thomas coming in. It was Devante Adams. So.

there's really no reason he shouldn't be in that upper echelon of consideration other than you look at last year. He said he didn't score as much and he got beat up. So to me that just kind of speaks to Adams was the same guy. Rogers has the same tendencies inside of the red zone. Bing, bang, boom. Yes. Adams could easily be the number one. I totally agree with that.

Yeah, I mean, Adams is just such a valuable wide receiver because you know he's the number one for Aaron Rogers, but it's the touchdowns. It's the touchdowns that have always made him so valuable. And this data just shows it's still going to be there. He's the number one. He's the wide receiver one. He's also the wide receiver two. Funches is a three. That's the way that's the way out. How dare you?

overlook Alan Lazard yet again. Okay, Funches is the four. Thank you. I apologize. You're 100% right there. I accept your apology. Any chance to make, kind of make fun of Devin Funchy. Oh, yeah. You got to take it. Don't you think Aaron Jones is the four? We're playing the Devin S. scrumptious sound effect. When else am I going to get to play? While we drop him to number five, because he's clearly behind Aaron Jones, right?

In terms of Target? Yeah. Yeah, probably. Yeah. Funches is five. Is he behind Mary Stringer? Sturber? Yes. Let's get them down to seven. Can we get them down to seven? All right. Am I up? Am I up with my ultimate traffic? You should give us a tip now. All right. So for, for 2020, one of the things I look at every year and you'll hear us talk pros and cons of strength of schedule, right? In general.

overarching thought of a generic strength of schedule tool is not helpful. Things are incorrect about assumptions. We need a lot of data. Turnover. A lot of people coming into the season, they look at a strength of schedule tool and they look at those playoff matchups because they want to win it all. And so they're looking at, you know, weeks 14, 15, 60, you know, who has the best matchup?

And by that time, we're going to know who has the best matchup, and it's not going to be who we predicted in preseason. But where it does matter is two places for me. It's early season schedule for the quarterbacks and early season schedule for team defenses. The reason why is because unless you've got Pat Mahomes or Lamar Jackson.

or last year alone, the New England Patriots, you should be starting different players in those positions on a week-to-week basis more often than not, especially for defenses. You're always starting someone based on the matchup and cycling through those. So when I'm at my draft, doesn't it make sense to look at, you know, you want to draft this great defense, right? Minnesota.

Very good defense. Well, when I'm looking at the strength of schedule tool, we have it tabbed. We've got it default to the entire season. Okay, just so you can get a frame of reference for who appears to have a good schedule, bad schedule. We do have the playoffs on there. You could click it if you want to. It's there for you to look. You know, we've got a top 200, though I wouldn't use that either. But we're here for the people.

But click that early season schedule. And that will show those first four weeks. How are you going to get off to a good start or a bad start at the beginning of the season? And specifically with those players that there are other options based on matchup. So here's some nuggets for 2020. This is what I saw when I went. I click early season. And I'm looking at quarterbacks and, you know, the streaming later round quarterback options. Here's two good options that were at the top of the list. Jared Goff.

And Josh Allen. We've talked about how bad Josh Allen's season schedule might be. But at the beginning of the year, Josh Allen, the New York Jets, the Miami Dolphins, and the Raiders are three of his first four games. That's fantastic. And with Jared Goff, you've got basically, he's playing the NFC East. He's got the Eagles. He gets off to.

Start with the Cowboys whose defense is much worse and the Giants as three of his first four weeks. So I'm in on, you know, those guys. Whereas, you know, I've brought up Daniel Jones already in the fact that I like him as a breakout candidate in 2020. But there's no chance in the world I'm drafting him as my late round guy because you're not going to start him against Pittsburgh at Chicago and then the 49ers for his first three games. I don't have the confidence in that. But there's other guys. Sam Donald, another.

Another late round guy, you hope, takes that step forward. He's got Buffalo and the Niners and the Colts in those first three weeks. He's off my draft board. And Ryan Fitzpatrick, I love, when I can put Ryan Fitzpatrick in my lineup, I do it because, you know, you can end up with those four touchdown 400-yard crazy games. He's starting at New England and then Buffalo.

to start the season. So he's off my draft. He's a full no-go. He's a full no-go. And then for defenses, you've got, I mean, this is unfortunate or fortunate, depending on your perspective. But the Patriots, the Ravens, and the 49ers, three of the best defenses, they get off to really nice schedule. So if you're in that second to last round and you get your choice of those teams, you can pick the ones that are going to help you win early.

Whereas Minnesota, really good defense, they're going to play against Green Bay and the Colts and the Titans teams that don't turn the ball over. And Green Bay plays Minnesota and the Saints and the Falcons high-powered offenses in those first couple weeks. So that's how I like to use the strength of schedule. I personally use it every single year with those two positions going into my drafts. Well, and a lot of the times, you know, part of what.

We look at in ranking players for your draft is the tier type of mentality where there are players very, very comparable. So you need a reason to draft one over the other. They might be in the same tier. Things like that early season schedule may tip the scales for that decision. Same with risk and risk ratings. All right. Mike, you don't get a talk. Oh, that's all right. Good body. Not yet that is because I want to thank today's sponsor.

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I love the brand. I recommend it to everybody. And you can get 20% off in free shipping with the code footballers at manscape.com. That's 20% off with free shipping at manscaped.com. Use the code footballers. You know what they call the nose hair trimmer? No. What do they call that one? The weed whacker. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, that makes sense. The problem with nose hairs that I have found at least, I mean, amongst many, is...

Every, it doesn't matter the last time I trim my nose hair. If I thought pops up in my head of like, I probably need to trim my nose. You still have? They instantly, they just fly out. I could have shaved yesterday. The older you get, the faster your nose hair grows. What? What is the deal with that? Judge, what's the deal? Okay, real quick. I don't know. Just so you guys are aware. And this isn't just for you too, but anyone at home. Once you have the weed whacker, you just say, I don't, I don't get nose hair. You just, you just straight lie. You don't, you.

I don't have any nose hair at all. Well, look, I was a little afraid to stick it up there the first time because, I mean, it's a piece of machinery up in your nose. Sure. It was no big deal. It was perfect. Yeah, all right. All right. Mike, you're up with that note. Ultimate draft tip. All right. No nose hair for your draft. That's the tip. I am off kiltered over here. Thinking about my nose hairs, which now I have to trim because I've been thinking about it. The part of the UDK that I want to highlight.

The video profiles. Jason mentioned it at the beginning of the show. He's so tired because we have been recording these things nonstop. There are over 100 players that we have a video profile because here's the thing. You're looking at our rankings. You're looking at numbers. These numbers can't craft an argument. You need some context. They can't give you our opinion on this player. And yes, you're listening to this podcast. You're hearing our opinion on players all the time. Thank you for subscribing. Thank you for enjoying the show.

But there might be a very specific player that you want to hear. All three of us give a quick take about this player. And boom, it's right there in the video profile. All three of us, as we're going through the process, we all learn things about these players from my two colleagues here. They'll give a stat maybe I haven't thought of, a narrative or something, a way to look at this player, what they've done, what they could possibly do.

It will change how I think about a player. I think that the most learning experience through making the ultimate draft kit is the creation of those videos. I mean, that's what Mike's talking about. When we're in here diving deep and adding context and all three of us looking at every single player, I walk away from each one, really having a much more firm understanding of the range of outcomes, what I personally believe, what the...

you know, the most likely, least likely end results are going to be. And you look, you can grab the mobile app, what you get as part of the UDK subscription. You're going to be on the potty eventually. And you, what are you going to do? Learn some more. Learn another TikTok dance. You're going to look at go put some likes on IG. Or you're going to get ready for your draft. And when you, especially look, if you're in a public restaurant, turn that volume way up.