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Main show · November 19, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 11 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

RSSNov 19, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 11 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

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Inside the episode

134 passages
26:48 ↗

No Justin Hunter. You've got Delaney Walker and you've got Doreal Green Beckham. And I'm going to put my faith in the fact that Mario is going to move the ball enough to make him relevant. He had 10 targets two weeks ago. He had a very bad game last week. He's a rookie. But we expected that with the matchup last week. When we were talking waivers, Doreal Green Beckham was a guy. It's Josh Norman. Yeah, exactly. We were looking forward to this week with Doreal Green Beckham. Kindle Wright is out.

27:16 ↗

DGB has been stepping up. His talent is fantastic. But then he got Josh Norman. So we even said, look forward to this week. So I'm happy you're starting him. I mean, it's always dangerous to go out on a limb. Oh, this is a limb. On a Thursday night game because I have to come back and show my face tomorrow morning. But I think Doreal Green Beckham is streamable. He's in my...

27:37 ↗

essentially my flex spot. But you're clearly going to take him. But I'm playing him in my wide receiver spot. Thank you. Because I don't want to, I want to have flexibility in my flex spot. But he's playing as my wide receiver three this week with Marshall and Julio. And I'm going to play him. All right. I guess you don't really have a lot of opportunity to change it. Games, games coming quick. Yeah. Games coming quick. So on the other side of the ball, Hearns is expected to play. It's the Hearns and Robinson show.

28:04 ↗

Do you start both? Yes, you do. I don't think you can start either of these guys. That was a joke. You have to come back from the joke then. I'm just going to leave you out there on your island of stupidity. Both of these guys have got so many touchdowns. They've been doing a tandem job that we haven't seen a lot of teams do. I mean, they're doing like, you know, a...

28:27 ↗

a decade worthy tandem of wide receivers. I mean, what would be a better performing wide receiver pair right now in the NFL? I would say Marshall Decker is up there. That's the only... Marshall Decker's up there. That one comes to mind. Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree is up there. Yeah, they're pretty good. And Fitzgerald and somebody. Yeah, but that's always split between who the case anymore. So...

28:53 ↗

Uh, yeah, no, you're right. You throw them, you throw them out there. You, you, you're fine starting either one of those guys. Yes, absolutely. Uh, just for the record, too, I want to mention these. Uh, we both have Alan Robinson number five on our wide receiver rankings this week. Alan Hearns, we have in the two category. You have them at 16. I have them at 19. So, Mike, Mike couldn't be bothered to put rankings up because he was in, uh, gallivanting around Disneyland. Yeah, he was in Star Tours. Cool.

29:22 ↗

Yeah. All right. Let's talk tight in. I've already said it. Delaney's my start of the week this week. I'm going to talk about it in detail later. But Delaney, he was my start of the week two weeks ago. I just think the target's going to be there tonight. So we'll talk about that in a little bit. Any confidence at all in Julius Thomas? No way you're starting him. No way I'm starting him, no confidence. And that's not to say that he can't have a decent game. We've seen Julius Thomas have decent games before. With as hurt as Alan Hearns is, you know, if he comes up limp,

29:51 ↗

and they really need to get someone else involved. It could be JT, but no way should you play him. There are other options that I think are deeper, that are on the waivers, and JT probably isn't, that I would gladly have over Julius Thomas. All right, all right. I didn't realize how much time had gone by. We got six matchups in starts the weeks to get to. Yeah, let's do it. All right, Rams at the Ravens. Rams at the Ravens. You've got Case Keenel making his debut.

30:20 ↗

So the first question I'm going to ask when that type of thing happens is can you stream the Baltimore defense this week at home against essentially Todd Gurley? No. No, you're saying no. I am saying no because what the Rams did here.

30:38 ↗

is they upgraded their quarterback. I realize that it is, you know, it's, you know, the first week that he's going to be starting, but I don't look at this as anything different than what the Rams already were other than now they can throw the deep ball. So maybe Kenny Britt.

30:52 ↗

can show up. You got Wes Welker, who got a couple targets last game, looked younger than I expected him to on the field. And, of course, Tavon Austin there, the Ravens, you know, their secondary is beatable. So this is actually a good game for Case Keenum to come into. And, you know, I'm not saying to stream Case Keenum, but, you know, if you're...

31:14 ↗

If you're playing one of those larger crazy leagues where, you know, you're playing DFS and you want to win something big that is surprising, you know, pairing Aquanim and Britt, no one else is going to be doing it. But it could happen. Literally no one else is going to be doing it. All right. Joe Flacco had a good week last week, but listen to this. His five best fantasy performances of the season came when he was able to throw for more than 300 passing yards. And the Rams have yet to give up 300 yards to a quarterback.

31:44 ↗

all year. So I'm not expecting big things from Joe Flacco this week. No, I do not either. I think Joe Flacco is, you know, there's some question because of what Jay Cutler did to the Rams last week. So I think that that, you know, last week he put up three touchdowns in the first half and you're thinking, oh, maybe Joe Flacco can do it. But.

32:08 ↗

This Rams D is legit. They are for real. They are missing one of their key elements in their pass rush, but I just don't see Joe Flacko having a big game this week, which is why I didn't like Kamar Aiken. All right. Todd Gurley, he is my number one this week. I was shocked where I had him. He's your five. Exactly. But that's what it says. I had him at five. I had him as the fifth best running back, and I was shocked. I was like, when I finished my stats and I looked at my rankings, I was like, oh, that's

32:39 ↗

That's disgustingly low. Yeah. So we know he's starting. Yeah. And Justin Forsett, we pretty much know he's starting to. But the matchup isn't great. No, the matchup's not great. He didn't have a, you know, I think he benefits, he's one of those guys that benefits a little bit more from the matchup than he's not the type that's going to bully a very tough D. So I don't love Forsett this week. All right. Kenny Britt, Tavon Austin, West Welker, Brian Quick.

33:07 ↗

Oh, hum. You just can't, you can't play the I can guess who it's going to be game. And really, I think it's every bit as likely that it's not going to be anyone. You know, it's just. I mean, if I had to play one, it's Austin. Clearly Austin, because he'll get the most touches. They'll give him some opportunities to run the ball and make a big play. Yeah.

33:28 ↗

Kamar Aiken this week on the other side of the ball, I'm tempering expectations with him. He's going to be matched up against Jenkins, no doubt. And Aiken, I have it as kind of like a back-in wide receiver three this week. Are you in agreement? Yeah, yeah. He's my sit. The Rams are the sixth best past defense. Right. Exactly. Yeah, he was your sit, right? Yeah, Kamar Aiken, he definitely is going to, I think I've got him at 46 this week. He's going to get the targets.

33:55 ↗

So he could get some receptions, but I don't see him having a high ceiling at all. All right, the Redskins head into Carolina to take on the Panthers. The Panthers are heavily favored in this game, but the Redskins have been playing well. So Cam Newton, what did you make of that dance? Did you get to watch the dance? I saw a part of the dance. I only had a little while. So, yeah, I have no problem with it. And I love what Cam said about it at the end of the game. Keep me out.

34:22 ↗

Yeah, he said, I'm a big believer of if you don't want me to do that dance, stop me from getting in. Yeah, yeah. It's the NFL. I mean, look, I'm not personally one that likes those things. I don't actually look at that and go, yeah, Cam, you're cool. And if I was capable of playing in the NFL, which I'm very far away from, I wouldn't do that. I would be the guy that scores the touchdown, go up, give a handshake to my quarterback, give the ball to the ref.

34:50 ↗

That's my preference, but I don't have any problem with the guy scoring a touchdown and doing a dance. Did you do that dance after I threw you that extra point this past weekend? Or I mean this past week? Yeah. Well, I did a backflip. No, you did not. No, no. That was called you sat down on the field. Yeah. All right. So, Cam Newton, how do you feel about him this week? Because he's a guy people will make decisions on. Would you start Cam Newton over? Yes.

35:20 ↗

Yeah, the answer is yes. The answer is yes. When I got done statting my players... You're crazy. No, you're not crazy. You haven't at one. I have them at one. Now, I don't... When we stat these things out, right, I'm looking at the average of what I expect people to be. So this is kind of like their mid-level. And Cam, to me, is not as gapped, right? Tom Brady could easily... Someone else is going to finish above Cam. I'm not saying he's going to be one, but I do think he's going to be consistent. You can bank on him, you know...

35:47 ↗

at least having two touchdowns, one possibly on the ground, you know, 225 yards through the air, and then also running for, you know, 30, 40 yards. That baseline just moves him so high. Yeah, so you'd start him over just about everybody. I would start him over most guys. I'd start Palmer ahead of him this week because I'm staying in the flames with Palmer. I'd start Rogers and Brady ahead of him. Rogers and Brady are the only two that if I had, I would.

36:13 ↗

actually start ahead of him. Palmer's been great, but the weapons being injured is obviously a concern. Kirk Cousins, sitting him down. Yes. After last week. You didn't want to reward him? The fantasy owners out there, they probably want to say, you know what, Kirk? You got it done. I'm going to give you another start. We're just going to give you one against Carolina in Carolina. Yeah, it's not going to happen. He was our stream of the week last week, the number one quarterback last week, and you can drop him. I don't think you need to keep him for the...

36:42 ↗

The reason we played him last week was a matchup thing. All right, so let's talk about the running backs in this game. Jonathan Stewart has, I believe, five consecutive games of 20 carries? Five consecutive games with 20 carries. It's either four or five. I'm going to verify that. Yeah, he has been getting the ball. He's been running well. And even though he's not getting in the end zone as much as Jonathan Stewart owners would like, he's been getting in the end zone more than I...

37:10 ↗

Four times, four times in the end zone in the last five games. That's what I mean. Five straight games with 20 plus carries, not just touches. So the workload is there. And the Redskins are a beatable run, especially with the power run game that the Panthers have. This is a matchup that I expect Jonathan Stewart to have plenty of yards in, plenty of touches. And then you hope he gets that touchdown, which Cam will probably steal. Number one in attempts this year going away is Adrian Peterson. Number two.

37:40 ↗

Jonathan Stewart. Jonathan Stewart. And then Chris Johnson, Devante Freeman. All right. So we're starting, Stuart, without any hesitation. Are you chasing points with Matt Jones? No, no way. I'm not chasing points with any Redskin running back against Carolina. If you're low on the totem pole, your bench is depleted and you have to start a guy.

38:04 ↗

In this game, I think it would be Matt Jones. He's probably got the highest upside, and the floors of Jones and Alf are pretty similar. And the Panthers aren't a team that usually blows people out. So it's not going to be one of those where you've got to have the pass catching back in the game for Washington. So Matt Jones would be the guy would start, but I would really prefer other options from around the league. All right. I'm not going to spend any time lingering on pass catching.

38:33 ↗

Carolina Panthers outside of Olson. You're not really starting or streaming any of those guys this week, unless I'm wrong? No, if you have to, I would go Ginn. And then Garson and Deshawn Jackson. Do you expect Deshawn Jackson to continue to...

38:47 ↗

increase his usage here, or is this just a matchup that just doesn't fit with him becoming fantasy relevant this week? Over the course of the year, I expected to happen. This game, it really depends on who Norman is going to be on. Norman is normally on the number one outside guy, which I think it'll be Jackson. Yeah, which would be Jackson, in which case, no, no. And the reason we don't like Kirk Cousin says we, you know, obviously wouldn't like the wide receivers. But that also says, I'm not super high on Rule 86 this week. Okay.

39:17 ↗

Jordan Reed is a little lower in my rankings. He was, yeah, he's lower on mine too. Let me give you some guys that we would start over Reed according to our rankings. We would start Jacob Tammy, consensus rankings above Reed. Maybe that's too far. Well, he is my start of the week, so I would. Yeah, and in that case, Delaney Walker is the other guy that was going to mention, and he's my start of the week. And Eric Ebron. Yeah, Jason Witton, Tyler Eiffert.

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