Fantasy Football 2017 - Top 5 Odds, Pump the Brakes, TNF, Mailbag

This episode is sponsored by prize picks. Football is back and prize picks is giving users a new promo every day during stacked September. Sign up now for guaranteed picks every Sunday, along with profit boosts and daily discounts. You just pick two to six players and then you pick more or less on their projected stats.

I love playing on prize picks. It's great. And the max discount promos are back this season with a new name, Guarantee Picks. For week one's opener, Sam Darnold needs just one yard against New England to cash his pick. So check that out on the Price Picks app now. Download the app today. Use the code footballers to get $150 instantly in lineups if you win your first $5 lineup. Price Picks.

Run your game. Ready to make a play for your future? Southern New Hampshire University has over 200 online degree programs. And no set class times means you never have to miss a game plus low online tuition rates.

means you can still dominate a few leagues on the side. No wonder more than 200,000 people have made Southern New Hampshire University their first pick. Visit snhu.edu slash footballers to get started. That's snhu.edu.edu slash footballers. Hey, folkland, before we jump into today's show, we're going to be talking some news and, of course, talking through that Thursday night matchup.

We want to thank Sonos for sponsoring the show. Improve your television watching experience with the Sonos play bass. Stream your music right to this thing. It sounds incredible. And now Sonos is offering listeners of the fantasy footballers 10% off one order of $2,500 or less for any product on Sonos.com. Offer is limited.

Time only cannot be combined with other discounts or promotions. Just use the promo code Footballers 10. That's Footballers 10 at Sonos.com to receive this exclusive offer. This is Hall of Fame of Marshall Falk and you're listening to the Fantasy Footballers. To the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Coming to you from the Playdraft Studios with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Ah, welcome in.

Welcome to the show. Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Welcome to Wednesday. It is September. Who'd you get? The 13th. Who'd you get off of the waivers? What kind of... You're talking to a child? I got Josh Bellamy on my dynasty team. All right. Hey, who'd you get off of the waivers? We have kids that listen. That's true. That's true, but I... Not that young.

Not that yet. I hit the Marshall Falk drop before the show started, and I'm browsing, I'm looking over here, we've got, we've had a number of players on the show, and I'm looking at my screen, and I see that I could introduce the show with Marshall Falk, and then I see a bunch of numbers, our names, a bunch of names that week one was not kind to. Let me tell you who I could. The Fantasy Reaper curse is real, my friends. Let me tell you the buttons I could have hit. Could hit Kristen Michael.

Okay, didn't play. Hey, to be fair, week one was not kind because he's been out for a while. Could have hit David Johnson. Uh-oh. Yeah. Could have hit Alan Robinson. Ooh. Could have hit Willie Sneed. Ouch. Could have hit Martavis Bryant. Uh-oh. Could have hit Amir Abdullah. Uh, attention NFL players. We got to stop having people on this show. I hope things are going well for Eric Dickerson in his life, but I doubt it. I doubt it based on this information.

So, Eric, I apologize. Don't come on the show, people. Welcome in. Going to be a great episode. We got pumped the brace, got some news. Got the Thursday night matchup. I can answer a number of fantasy questions for week two. Very excited about that. Head over to footclaim giveaway.com right now. Right now we're giving away an autographed Mike Evans jersey. What's the other jersey we're giving away? I thought it was Reed. Is that correct? Jordan Reed and Mike Evans. That's right. So wait.

Is Todd Gurley just so great? So great. And right now he's playing poorly because he was on the show, but he's like fighting through the coming on the fantasy footballer show. Technically his audio quality was so bad that we don't have a drop from Todd Gurley. That's true. That's true. He avoided the full curse. The better your audio quality, the worse it was. He was actually on Max's shoe phone from Get Smart.

That's correct. That's correct. Nice reference. All right, quick question of the day. I came up with this one yesterday. I want to get percentages from you. I'm going to name the top five at every position through week one. And I want a percentage chance that these guys could actually be in that top five at the end of the year. I think it'll be fun to just show the world what fantasy football looks like after week one. All right, percentage chances. All right. Top five at quarterback position, Alex Smith, Matt Stafford.

Sam Bradford, Trevor Simeon, Philip Rivers. Those are your top five quarterbacks for week one. So how do you want to do this? I guess I'll just give you name by name. Alex Smith, zero. Yeah, I would say zero. Matthew Staffer. I'm going to give it a good 10%. I was going to say 5. Okay. Sam Bradford. Give it a 1er. 3%. Give it a 1er. Uno. Calling from Milwaukee. Trevor Simeon. Zero. Yeah, that's a 0. Philip Rivers. Top 5. I'm going to go 5%.

Seven. Seven. All right. Seven percent. All right. Let's look at the running backs. Number one was Kareem Hunt. Well, I'll tell you that that week one performance. The counted is about two weeks. Yeah, that's going to help get him up there. Top five for Kareem Hunt. I'm going to go 45%. Whoa. Hot five. He was already a top eight quarterback for me. He was a quarterback. Top eight running back. Jason. Yeah, I'm going to go 25%. He was my number 11 coming in and that week is.

is certainly going to help him. Mike Gillisley. Let's go 12%. Oh, man. Top five. I'm going 0%. Yeah, I'd go about 1%. For Mike Gillisley? Wow. No, you know who I thought this was for a second? Not Mike Gillisley, clearly. No, Mike Gillisley, I would go, yeah, 12%. He's got a good shot. To be a top five running back. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think the touchdown opportunities will be there. Tareke Cohen was number three. Zero percent.

Yeah. I love to read, but zero percent. Leonard Fournet was number four. Yeah. I'm going to go 20 percent. I can agree with that. I'd go about 20, 25 percent. I mean, the game script was amazing for Leonard Fernette. So let's see what happens when they play a team that can actually put up points. All right. LaShawn McCoy was number five last week. I'll go 50. Yeah, I'd go about 60, 60 percent. Just like.

50% chance that he plays 16. Yeah, there you go. Whatever the chance is that he plays all games. Right. Top 5. And actually, I think there's a higher percentage than that. So I'm going to go 65. All right. Top 5 wide receivers. Number one was Stefan Diggs. Finish top 5. I'm going to give him 8%. I'm going to go higher. Wow. I'm going to go 15. I would go 1%. Great.

1%. He was almost my pump the brakes candidate this week. You and your anti digs. You saw what happened. You saw him. I saw two touchdowns. He's not going to get 32 touchdowns. No, but what do you have, like almost 100 yards? Yeah. You saw that too. He was also the number one. We've seen that before. The first game played last year, he did the same thing. Let's not overreact. Antonio Brown, 100%. Yeah, I'll give him a 99 in case he sits weeks. Tyree Hill. Tyree Kill was the number three.

I will give him a 7%. I'll go 10. All right. Number four was Kenny Gallaudet. I will give him 100% of just kidding. Yeah, I'm going to go zero. Adam Thielen was number five. I'll give him five. I'll give him a three. Okay. Last one here, tight in top five. Austin Hooper was number one. Zero.

I'll give him 5% chance. Yeah, I'll give him a 5% chance too. Honestly, that week probably just pushed him up into the top 12. That's fair. He could end the season as a top 12 guy right now. The outlaw, Jesse James was number two. Zero. Man, I feel like zero. Give him the oneer. Jason Witton was number three. Top five. If you want to go tight end one, I'll give him a 90. Right, I know. But outside the top five, I'll go eight. Whatever Jason says lower. Yeah. Then I'll go 1%.

Kobe Fleener was number four. 100%? No, you know, I would give him a 10%. I'll go, I'm going to go 11% Jason. Charles Clay was number five for week one. I am going to give him an 18% chance. Yeah, I'll go probably 10% as well. All the top five tight ends, they all sucked this week and they're coming back to form. All right. Just thought that would be a fun exercise. Let's talk some news.

News and notes from around the league. All right, I've reached the stage of grief, the acceptance stage for David Johnson. He was placed on the injured reserve yesterday, which was an 8 to 12 week estimation. Unfortunately, by the way, 8 to 12 weeks, that's 2 to 3 months. Bruce Ariens said he hopes to have DJ back by Christmas, which would make it 3.5 months. There is a correction to that statement. Is there? Yeah. He said he hopes by Thanksgiving or Christmas. Yeah.

Well, that is a large gap. He just picked a couple landmarks. A couple holidays. And everyone only saw Christmas. Well, that's worse. That's worse news. So that's how you report things. Well, I'm glad to hear that. I mean, that is a big difference between whether you should roster him if you do not have an IR spot or not. If you have an IR spot, even if it's Christmas, I'm going to put him in there. Well, sure, but there are a lot of people with the opportunity. I saw this yesterday because I'm going to talk about my approach to the David Johnson situation. I lost him in our League of Record. So I'll tell you what I've been doing.

But we had people yesterday asking me, I've been offered Terrence West for David Johnson. Would you rather have West or would you rather have David Johnson from Thanksgiving on? In a redraft, this is no keeper implications. I will make that trade immediately. Yeah, I would as well. You see, it would depend on my running back depth if I had to make that decision because if it's Thanksgiving, if that's true, if it's possible, he's back. Look, Christmas is week 16. Thanksgiving's got to be what, week 10 to 11?

that's a huge difference between your fantasy playoffs having the number one running back from last year or not. And that's a very fair point. But, I mean, he's going to be not in football shape when he comes back. So it's, I mean, you have to play him immediately when he comes back, which that's not. You don't necessarily have to play him immediately when he comes back if it was Thanksgiving. Okay. I feel like you would, but I can see your point. You would trade him right now for Tans West. You have to make the playoffs.

Yeah, I know that there's no one that's ever won the championship before without making the playoffs. Unless you went, say, running back, running back, running back, and then you don't have the depth. Well, I want your guys help. I'm going to do a consultation here. Okay. Because I'm not the only one dealing with this. 50 bucks, bro. People want to weigh in the most. I have David Johnson. I lost David Johnson. And.

There's waivers every single week. There are players every single week. And my approach to this has been, do I want to try to acquire another middle of the road type of player? Or do I need, like my approach has been, can I find somebody that is a weak winning player at any position to substitute for David Johnson? Because David Johnson represented that weak winning type of potential. But Al Pal doesn't represent that. Now, I traded for him because I needed some running back depth.

But I've made moves to get Aaron Rogers in my league of record because that price was lower. And I felt like, hey, Aaron Rogers on a week-to-week basis, he's probably going to win me three or four weeks outright, whereas losing David Johnson capped my upside. What do you tell people to do? Because there's two approaches. I'm going to go out and I'm going to try to win this league. Or there's the approach of, oh, my goodness, I just need to fill this hole.

I think you take it week by week, kind of like what you're saying right now. Every week, you're going to have to make the right moves with, you know, picking up the right, the right defense and the right kicker on a weekly basis make a big difference. People don't want to admit that. But, you know, you've got to go out, make a trade for a play to make sure, you know, you take it one week at a time where this week.

You do what you need to do to get a win. You play the matchups. You make a trade for a matchup, and you get a win, and you just keep stacking them while you hold on to David Johnson. Now, for your situation, it's different because it's a keeper league. I'm not getting rid of David Johnson there. I'm going to hold on to him. Plus, we have an IR. So, you know, I wouldn't trade him for Terrence West and something like that. Okay. Yeah, it's a tough situation. I've seen every trade offer under the sun come in for David Johnson. I made a trade offer this morning trying to get Dalvin Cook.