Fantasy Football 2017 - Starts of the Week, Week 7 Matchups, Bad Luck

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Andy's Almost Upset of the Week. We were in the middle of the previous matchup, and my eyes looked down and saw that this was Andy's almost upset of the week. And my eyebrows, they went north. They're off. Your face. They explode. My face is exploding here. They packed a bag and said I'm out of here. I'll tell you what. Your track record lately of your almost upsets of the week have been.

Unbelievable. I mean, you're just, you're, you're on fire. So explain to me what you're seeing here because when I see this, I don't know right now how, I just don't see the Packers. I fear in this game. I fear for the safety. I fear for the emotional well-being, emotional health of Brett Hundley. After this matchup, you both will understand soon. This is a five and a half point underdog at home.

in the Packers. This is Drew Breeze on the road, not just the road. This is the distant road called Lambo Field. This is a week of preparation for a very smart offensive mind in Mike McCarthy. This is a very capable backup who has three years behind Aaron Rogers, who has flashed in the preseason, has flashed and had opportunities to extend and create plays, who I believe is actually a pretty talented player. I told you yesterday that for whatever reason, my gut told me,

to avoid the Saints defense to the degree of making them a one, number two, number three option this week. I'm sticking with that with the almost upset. This is a five and a half point dog at home against the Saints team that, yes, they're winning games right now, but this is not an elite defense to me. You have an elite player in Cameron, Jordan.

They're middle of the road defense to me. And look, I think the five and a half points is crazy at home. I think I take the under in this game. It's a 48 point over under. And my heart says that this is going to be a close one. I do agree with taking the under for sure because this is a game. You know, Drew Bree is, he's good everywhere, but he's obviously not as good on the road as he is at home. Do you realize?

that his passerating on the road is far superior than his home pass rating this year. You're saying for this season? Yes. But you also saw no turnovers from Drew Breeze in the first five weeks. He finally had two interceptions last week. First four weeks. Anomalous. Yeah. I'm just saying he's over. So you're throwing out his home road splits from just from how he's performing this year? He's not getting sacked. He's only been sacked four times. He's only thrown two interceptions.

On the road, his pass rating has never been below 104. Yeah, he's good, but I'm just for... This is an upset call. Obviously, the arguments are going to favor the line, and the line is five and a half points in the same favor on the road. So you're not telling me something I don't know. No, no, I'm just saying that their ability to win this game. He has a long, long history of the road splits being...

Poor. Yeah, that's for fantasy football. Not necessarily, it's not like he's bad on the road. It's just when the Saints travel and he, he's on the road. He's been great on the road. Yeah, he's a great quarterback on the road, but not necessarily as good for fantasy purposes when it comes to throwing touchdowns and a ton of yards the way he does at home in the dome. But I'm saying he's been better on the road this year. That's my only point is he has been, we're five games in for the Saints.

He has been better. How many road games has he had this year? Three. So he's had three road games. Correct. And so what do you believe that he's going to have, like, what do you believe going forward? He's going to be better on the road? I'm just saying it's, to say, Drew Brees, you're like, it's automatically he's going to be bad on the road. Maybe this is a different year for Drew Brees. We see these years pop up where guys, everything just clicks for them and they buck their trends. Yeah, I mean, it's just so.

It's hard for me on a small sample size where you've had two games at home total. That's the sample size. Whereas we've had a decade of data. I'm going to go with that one. This game is, there's a 50% chance of precipitation, the colder weather. I'm just saying when you travel to, you know, Green Bay outside, if it ends up a rainy game, the under, you know, a couple weeks ago, you look at the Green Bay.

New Orleans game and you think, oh, there's going to be a billion points scored and it's going to be, you know, a fantasy feast. But it could, it could disappoint. Which game? The Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans scene. Well, I don't, I don't know what year. You're talking about this year? They're going to play this week. Okay. I'm sorry. I thought you were talking about a past game that happened that was disappointing. I apologize. I got, I got lost there. All right.

I lose people all the time. I think Mike is just trying to blow up this entire breakdown of this game. I am. Succeeding. You are succeeding. Ingram, Camara, love them as starts. Michael Thomas, disappointing week last week. Rest of season, Michael Thomas is a wide receiver. One. One. Okay. I tried to trade for him in our league of record last night. Keep trade cut, Willie Sneed. Cut.

I'll pick him up off the wire. I'll pick him up off the wire once he proves that he's back and involved. He played 20% of snaps last week? Yeah, I think one reception, right? I mean, you just, you don't need to have Willie Sneed until after he is fully integrated back in. Kobe Fleener is a flyer as he always is. He's just, you know, he is playing with a stick of dynamite. And you just have no idea if the wick is going to work. You're just juggling? Yeah. Time Montgomery, Aaron Jones, rest of season.

Oh, man. And this game. Do you start either in this game and then rest of the season? That's, I have these guys ranked both outside the top 24 running back. Yeah, I don't want to start either. But still at a place where you could flex them in. I have Thai Montgomery one spot ahead of Aaron Jones. Man, it's really tough not having seen a game plan yet without Aaron Rogers. If you can avoid having these guys in there.

You know, if your roster allows that, I would lean that way if it was my team so that I can gather more data before gambling. The Jags and Colts play this weekend in Indianapolis. There it is. Three-point underdogs are the Colts and Jacoby Brissette, 43.5 point over under. This is the Jaguars past defense that's third ranked in the league. This is a very...

High volatility wide receiver court in Indianapolis. Do you have any confidence starting any of the options? Pass catching options in Indy. Zero. I'm not starting Jacoby. I'm not playing Moncrief or Aiken. Hilton's one of those guys that you probably still have to play. But Jalen Ramsey, A.J. Bouye, are just absolutely shutting people down. So it would, it's going to take a broken play for T. Y. Hilton. So when you start him, going, yep.

One of these plays is going to break, and he'll get 60 yards, maybe a touchdown. Jack Doyle, I like him this week. We're going to talk about him shortly. The Colts defense, they've allowed 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game this season. That is worst in the league. All systems go for Leonard Fournett. Yes. Would you flex? Chris Ivory? That's an interesting question. With Leonard Fernette dealing with that ankle injury, I mean, nothing is popped up.

recently so you would expect that he is good to go. But he went when he went down, it looked awful. His reaction was one of tremendous pain. So, you know, it wouldn't surprise me if Jacksonville does try to give him a wretts because I think that this is, they should be able to really grind this game out. And I would expect to see a little bit more Chris Ivory. Ivory really is someone that I think you could take a.

a shot in the dark there. If you've got bi-week problems this week or running back problems, you could start him. He's getting just a few fewer carries than Isaiah Crowell. I mean, you know, a lot of, you know, games where he's getting nine attempts, eight attempts, nine attempts. That's not last week with four net out. That's with four net in the game. And if they want to rest him at all due to that ankle or the chance of the ankle being re-injured,

regardless of that, he's getting enough volume where when you've got a matchup like this against the Indianapolis Colts, he could take 10 carries and turn him into 50 yards and a touchdown. We did see Tennessee put up 31 for 171 and 2 between Henry and Murray last week. And strangely, Chris Ivory is also the past catching back there. I was going to say, he only had the two carries last week with the foreign injury. Yet.

We had 10 targets for Chris Ivery. What do we make of that? Nine receptions, 74 yards receiving and a touchdown. The game script played into that, Fournett being off the field. But I think he's a flyer this week, no doubt. Bad, bad, you know, Colts Rundee. Right. That's what it comes down to. Bortles, Hearns, Lee. What are we thinking on the past catchers in Baltimore? Jacksonville.

I still lean Marquis Lee because of volume. He would be the guy I would take my shot at. But in, in Bortles, I agree with Andy that I think he's in this particular week, Bortals is a fine stream this week. It's, and I apologize. I did not give the, the warning that if you're operating heavy machinery, we're going to say something positive about Blake Bortles and maybe playing him in fantasy football. It's a little too late. You're already smushed. The accidents were caused yesterday. I'm sorry.

I'm sorry. It's great that you have a coach that always wants to avoid any fantasy football success for Blake Bordels. Like that's the goal every week is I want to come out here and make him as useless for fantasy as possible because then he's not throwing the ball. But yes, this matchup, it's going to come down to whether Indianapolis can get on the board, I think, against Jacksonville's defense because then you have to throw the ball a little bit. It could be a back and forth game. If they shut down Brissette, they shut down the passing game. Yeah, that's my worry is because I do think they are going to shut down.

Indianapolis. And so if they are able to run the ball 100% of the time, then obviously the value's cap there. On the flip side, Gore, Marlon Mack. Would you rather play Mac or Ivory? Because I think I'd rather play Mac. I would rather play Mac. I just don't trust Chuck Pagano to do what seems like the right football move. And so my heart wants to say Marlon Mack.

They can't overload Frank Gore, though, can they? If I'm looking at that decision, I think I'm going to play Marlon Mac, but I'm just saying that Pagano makes the wrong move so much. You joke that it could be Matt Jones, and it really could be, which is just disgusting. That's where we are. You're like, it could be Matt Jones, which is ridiculous. If Matt Jones ends up as the second running back, then Chuck Pagano needs to be just straight fired on the spot. And I will not be surprised.

And that's why you have the hesitation in your voice. Yes. I'm starting Marlon Mack. I believe that he's going to fight his way in. The Cardinals. With fisticups? Yeah, if needed. Let's go to London. Oh. Bonjour. The Cardinals take on the Los Angeles Rams in London this week. Three and a half point. Now, this game isn't a 6 a.m. game, though, right? Or is it?

Brooks, can you confirm the time on it? I confirmed. It's 1 p.m. Eastern. So it's a 10 a.m. game in London. I'll do another confirmation. Take another glance. I thought that was really strange. I don't have to set my alarm for it. Nice. The Rams are three and a half point favorites. Both teams are on the road. Adrian Peterson fresh off of an offensive player of the week performance. The Rams Rundee, 29th in the league. You start in Adrian Peterson? Is he a running back one?