Fantasy Football 2018 - Rookie Steals + Big Questions

I call Jason Dan Jansen at the trainer every week because we do these. You got bands around your ankles and you do like speed skating. He's supposed to do these speed skating moves and you don't remember Dan Jansen? Nobody remembers Dan Jansen. You know. All my Dan Janssen truthers come to Twitter. How many speed skaters do you know besides Apollo Ono? Dan Jansen. Okay. He was very famous. Brooks.

Can I get a what-what? No, he's not going to know. No idea. Gosh, sorry. Google it, you bunch of uncultured slime. I went, well, how do you know this? Well, Dan Jensen has a question. All right. What do you think is Julio Jones fantasy football outlook 2018 and beyond? In Dynasty, where are you buying selling? What price are you buying or what would you want in return for him? Wait.

Are you buying your selling? What is happening? I guess he's wanting a lay the land. You know, what's the temperature check on him, both in 2018 and in Dynasty? Especially interested in what you'd get back for him as a Julio owner myself is what he says. Okay. Yeah. As far as redraft 2018 outlook, I'm still very much on Julio Jones. I finish statting him out today looking to don't have the...

best strength of schedule coming up against the pass, you know, projection-wise in 2018. He usually loses about two targets a game when they play a top 15 defense, but I still have him over 150 targets this year, even with Calvin Ridley there. So you're talking about an absolute top-end stud. He's 29 years old, already turned 29. So he's going to be 29 this season while he's playing. And I expect that he's got a solid.

I really saw it. Three years. I mean, the reason that you ask this question and have a twinge of sadness in your question is because he didn't score a lot. That's it. That's the only reason you can be disappointed. 16.4 per catch, 88 receptions, 1,44 yards receivers. Yes.

1400 yards. That's what I'm saying. So I have them in the same boat. I've got him in that 85 for 1,400. I think he'll bring those touchdown totals up. We had one of our riders, our editor actually. I was going to bring it up. Thank you. He went through and looked at every single red zone target for Julio Jones this past year. A lot of this falls on the shoulders of Matt Ryan, and a lot of it seemed to fall in the bad luck category this year. When you have as many red zone targets as he has, you don't normally end up with three touchdowns.

I've got him down for six this year, and I don't think that that's going crazy. That's exactly what I have him down there are so. So that's a bounce back candidate. Yeah. Despite the fact that it, 14, there are so few elite wide receiver ones in the NFL these days. And I'm with Jason. And I think Julio Jones can easily sustain that level of play for at least three years. So he's still in, in my, if you're just talking like a dynasty startup, I would still take him in that mid to late first round.

The only other problem I will point out with Julio before we move on is you said the only thing you could criticize him on, Andy, was essentially his, you know, his touchdowns. He had a lack of touchdowns. Well, which is his career issue. Yes, career-wise, I would agree with you. But this last year, he definitely had...

a ton of production come in two or three games that really elevated his season total. But on a week-to-week basis, he did let you down more often than Julio of old. But I expect a bounce back this year. All right, let's jump into another voicemail question. Hey, guys. This is Ken from Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania. Just got a question for you guys. Why does Brooks always cover his face in photos?

You just curious, happen to see it on your Instagram, and never could understand why. I honestly don't have any idea. Brooks, Brooks, you cover your face in photos? I have no idea what he's talking about. No? I've never seen it. I'm looking at Brooks right now, full face. As am I, Brooks. Your whole face is there. Oh, yeah. It's a good-looking face. Thank you. Thank you.

I mean, I don't know. I'll have to go check the tape on this is one of those things you just don't really remember. Oh, bro, he's kind of, I mean, I will admit he's a bit of a mysterious guy, but that's what, when you're in the limelight, when you're in a, I mean, he's in a major showtime production right now, billions. And when you're in the limelight, it's, you know, what do you expect? He's also starring with The Rock on Jungle Cruise, a Disney movie coming out soon. Yeah, congrats on that. Wait, you got that, you booked it?

Yeah. Congratulations. And so you don't always want to be recognized because of autograph requests and things like that. Aaron in Connecticut, how do you guys come up with your league schedule? Like who plays who each week? And is there anyone in particular you look forward to playing each year? We can definitely tell you how we do it. Yeah, you should answer this one, Andy, in our league of record. You have been the commission. I will just interject and say that the team that I look forward to playing the most every year is Andy Holloway because.

We've been in the same division. We're big proponents of divisions for this exact reason. You get rivalries. Just like in the NFL, you've got the team that you play more often, and you've got your arch nemesis, if you will, and that would be you. Yeah, and what we do is we formulate our schedule by, we have three divisions.

and we want to make sure we're playing our division mates twice and then a random allotment of the other players. 12 teams. 12 teams. The way I accomplish that is actually if you go to schedules. Football Guys.com they have had for a long, long time, a really, really nice schedule maker. So if you need to input your own schedule or make something customized, you can make it so that each team plays three, you know, certain teams, a certain amount of times. That's what I utilize every year to build it out for our custom league because I want to play.

We start the year division mates, middle of the year we play everybody, into the year division mates. We've always loved it. Yeah, yep. All right, this one off of Instagram from RIPAT 7301. Where is the highest you would consider drafting David Johnson, and how does the Josh Rosen selection effect to stock? The highest I would spend a draft pick on David Johnson would be the 103.

That's the absolute highest. I'm not saying I will for sure or not, but Levi-on-Bell and Todd Gurley are still in front of David Johnson. If you want to make the argument that he is locked and loaded the third guy on that list, that's an argument that I'll engage in. That's the one that I currently would make. I have him ahead of his Zicchio. I do. Yeah, I've done stats on both those teams, and I do have them ahead of Zeeke.

I would say the highest I would consider it would be the two spot. Lev Bell is locked in as the one, but I would at least consider it to. But I probably wouldn't draft him until four. I think I would take Zeke even ahead of him. As far as Josh Rosen...

I think it affects him positively in dynasty, in longer-term outlooks. And, you know, I guess it's a positive because who thinks Sam Bradford's going to play 16 games. Right. So it helps a little, but in redraft for the most part, it didn't change any ranking. All right, Javan.davis on Instagram says, where's the best place to find leagues with other listeners? Oh, fucklandleagues.com. Absolutely. That's the easiest question we have ever had to answer.

Yeah, we have a community of listeners that join thefoot.com. And if you join that community, you get access to a ton of things, including an extra episode. And one of those is access to footclanleagues.com where you can make online leagues, local leagues, people connecting over there all the time. Because if you don't have good league mates, no.

Your league is no fun. It doesn't matter if you dominate. And eventually, if you are dominating a bunch of people that don't pay attention, that wears off in 10 to 12 years. You can find other people. Let's say you're in a good league and you lost somebody and you need to find an extra player. And it's a local league. You can go on there and find your local area and be like, hey, I need one more. And you might just make a new best friend. You never know. Or meet your significant other. Yeah. You can meet your. It's happening all the time.

I'm still waiting for the first foot clan marriage, and we will go to that wedding. Do we need to start a ballers dating thing? No, thank you. Instagram question from Warren Ayers. How underrated is Duke Johnson? It's his final year on his rookie contract, and he capitalized the word final, so I know it's legit. Final year of his rookie contract, and I don't think Chubb is a real threat to steal any passing work. So do you agree with the...

inference here that Duke Johnson is underrated. Yes and no. I mean, I think he will be underrated because he's going to pretty much go undrafted and he will do more than... No. No way. No. I will... Six, seventh round? Sixth round. I was going to go seven, eight area. Yeah, that's fair. If he goes in the six, seven, eight area, then he's not underrated. Yeah, I think he'll go where he should. You're talking the fewest amount of targets he's ever had is 74.

Went 74, 74, 93. He has a role in fantasy football. His ceiling is. They call it the Jarvis Landry role. Yeah, they call it the theoretic role. Yeah, Jarvis Landry is, he's going to eat into some of Duke Johnson's workload. So that's what I was going to say is his ceiling is cap. Right now, it appears.

He's perfectly fine. Right now it appears in, at least this is standard, which obviously would be lower. He's going around the 12th round. Yeah, standard. I have little to no interest in Duke Johnson, but half and full PPR, you pick them up. All right, Instagram question from Braun Inslee. Do you guys ever get a rational gut feelings that end up messing up how you draft? For instance, I'll often not draft a guy just because I have some weird feeling in my gut.

He will get hurt or something or is due for a random bad season. What do you think about the irrational gut feelings that can disrupt a draft? My irrational gut feelings are positive, not negative. I don't ever miss out on a player, which I think is like the better way to strike out because you're going to strike out on guys. You're going to get a guy and he's not going to be good no matter whether it was gut feeling or just consensus ranking. Either way, you know, nobody's going to get this thing perfect. So like for instance,

Based on my film study and what I like and what draft capital, I really, we've talked about this, I like Caryon Johnson. I've got a gut feeling that he's going to be a good NFL player. So I might take him a round higher and that might backfire on me because he ends up sucking and he's terrible. But I can deal with that a lot easier. Well, that's not really an irrational gut feeling though, because that's a rational mind choice. I mean, you literally said based on all of these evidences.

I like him. You didn't have an irrational feeling about him. I guess I'm just trying to make this listener feel better. Well, yeah, it's harder for us to say that because we're always, we're knee-deep in it at all time. So our gut feelings are coming out of things like that. But we do have players that we tend to not want on our rosters or stay away from, and that's cost me. I mean, I've never been a big Carlos Hyde fan. But had I owned him at various points in his...

the past three years, I would have been very, very happy. So, yeah, I think that, that, you know, we all are susceptible to the burns of years past. So if a guy you draft him and he plays for you and he doesn't perform for you, maybe you are irrationally keeping him off your roster. I think that happens. And I'll say for injury, having a gut feeling about someone getting injured is probably because he just got hurt. And there's a, the misnomer.

especially in fantasy football that, oh, this guy is now injury prone. You're injury prone until you're not. See Greg Olson. I just don't, in the inverse. I just don't buy into that argument at all. But to make you feel better, the reason you have a gut feeling about a player doing well is because you're playing the game. You are, you are absorbing a lot of information, whether it's this podcast, reading up on stats, watching them play, breaking down analytics.

Those all translate into what you call a gut feeling. But like Jason said, it's based off of a whole bunch of information. Now, sometimes I will say this. So when it comes to the draft season, not so much, right? There's just too much information like what you're talking about. But on a week-to-week basis. But that even then. No? I have in the past made a shot at a player on a week based on a dream. So that has happened once.