Week 15 Matchups + Inside Thoughts, Wheel of Shame - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/13

60 points, something like that. And I will not be. So, yeah, Jeremy, congratulations. Uh, Pittsburgh's 10 and three, Phillies 11 and two. The drafting sports book line, Philly minus 5.5. Overrunners 43. That's, uh, fairly low here. Um, Battle of Pennsylvania. Oh, just so the, the, the winner, the winner gets Pennsylvania. They do get to get the state. Um, they've played each other only 81 other times. And Philadelphia leads the series 4929 and 3. Yeah, I thought he said that too. That was the joke. That was the joke. The joke was they've only played each other 81 other times. All right. You got me. What a great joke. There's just no time for joking. Yeah. This is serious football. Wilson and Jalen Hertz. The passing yards line for Hertz is 197.5. I'll take the under. Sequin's a lock.

And frankly, AJ Brown is too, but you're just a bit nervous on what he represents to your lineup. That's all. Yeah, he's obviously been a very squeaky wheel the last week despite winning. What do you think he is on the year? Did you, do you know the answer to that? What his wide receiver number is on the year? Yeah, like what's his rank? I do not know. I would guess about 10. Mike? Yeah, he's a top 12 guy. He's 24th on the year, but I forgot he did miss some time. On a per game? I'm going to take a look at the per game real quick. But yeah, sorry, I didn't want to cut off what you were saying, but you're just, you know, put him out there and expect. Hey, is that low? AJ Brown's at 12 in points per game. Yeah, he's 13.2 points, yeah. But that's just to put it out there, just to make this horrible for you. That's where Addison is. So Addison's at the same place that Brown is. In points per game? In points per game. And.

Addison's on fire right now, right? Yeah. That is the same place that J.S.N. is at. Yeah, but Addison. That is below McLaurin. They're not playing for a state. They're not playing for the rights to own a piece of land. I feel like with that. When that's up in the air, then they're going to go to A.J. Brown. Right. But if you had Addison, you would go to Brown? I would. That's the question. I can't. You can't not? I couldn't live with myself. Die with your. With your champions? Yeah. Devante Smith, 4 for 37, did score last week. You're playing Devante Smith or Amari Cooper in that high over-under. That's 10 points off. I would lean towards Amari Cooper. Same. Okay. So there is some hesitancy then on that secondary option. Naji sitting at RB 18 on the year, you play him. Pickens almost certainly going to miss this game. There wasn't the, you know, the pivot to Calvin Austin would have.

destroyed you last week. One catch for him. I think Van Jefferson scored. Mike Williams is slowly but surely becoming a little bit more of the offense, but he's only out there for 30% of snap. I'm only playing, Najee, because he's a running back, you know, you hate the matchup. And the muth, if you are in desperation for a tight end, like a waiver wire type of a tight end, which there are some teams out there like that. But everybody else, Russ, I'm not playing. and none of the wide receivers will be out there for me. Yeah, George Pickens missing this game actually hurts, I think, a lot of the players. Because I worry about whether or not the Steelers will be able to score enough points, to push the Eagles, to be able to need A.J. Brown and Devontes, so it was really sad that he's going to miss this game. I, you know, the over-under, I was not surprised to see it come in at only 43. Yeah, and I would lean the under. Two good defenses.

And one offense is missing its primary weapon. And, you know, for what it's worth, Grant Calcutara, who will get the start at tight end, he has played, you know, last week was 3 for 16 did score, right? He's played four games this year. We used 90 plus percent of snaps. Last week was one of them. He was the tied in 9, 20, 20, and 11. So, you know, it's a dart throw. Yeah, to me that's more like DFS. I'm not going to play him in my playoffs. I think there's better options. The New England Patriots travel to Arizona to play the Cardinals. Cardinals sitting at six and seven now. The drafting sports book line, Arizona, minus six at home. The overrunner is 46 and a half that gives them 26 points. New England implied point total is 20. Arizona has lost, I think, three straight games. Is that right? Sounds right. And this is their largest, this is the heaviest they've been a favorite since 2021.

So at home against Drake May. People hate the Patriots that much, huh? I don't think they love the Cardinals that much, so yeah. Yeah, I think you're right. I mean, but when you look at this matchup, you look at the Cardinals defense, just to lay it out there, number one against quarterbacks the last six weeks, number six against wide outs, number three against tight ends. So if you're looking at the Hunter Henry matchup, you know, the fact, Mari, I almost said a Mari Hooper. That'd be a new player. But the fact Hooper's involved a little bit of hesitancy just because the Cardinals have played that position well. Kyler, your start of the week, Mike? Yeah. Tray McBride, touchdown guarantee. Start of my life. Touchdown guarantee this week. He's into the end zone. He might as well just count on that. James Connor, of course. And then Marvin Harrison, how do you, where does he stack up this week in terms of your rankings? Because, you know, it's been so hot and cold. He hasn't had a top 10 finish since week eight.

his receiving yards is at 55.5. So like this is Marvin Harrison Jr. supposed to be superstar was the same line as Khalil Shakir right now. I, where do you think he is in our consensus rankings? In our, oh. Because you might know your own, but where do you think he's landing right now? I think he's landing as a three, so probably a wide receiver 35-ish. 30. Yeah. Yeah, I think that's fair. So that, that's not a must start. I will say that, In Marv's games, he's pretty hot and cold. We've talked about the difference between those games where he gets the touchdown and the games where he doesn't, but it's not just because of the touchdowns. Usually the games where he gets touchdown, he just has a much better game all the way around. More yards, more receptions. And so if you're thinking, is this the type of game that will be good for Marv, it does line up pretty well to be a successful one. Is there somebody that maybe you would have been starting?

maybe you had the Cooper Cup thing happen to you and now you would pivot to Marv. Is there somebody in that category? Is it a Keenan Allen? Is it a Devante Smith? Is it an Elijah Moore where now you would, I mean, I guess you never would be playing Elijah Moore over Harrison, but is there a baseline guy that now you would try to shoot for the moon with Marvin? Yeah, I think that that is one of those that makes sense. Keenan makes complete sense. I think DeAndre Hopkins can make sense there as well where I would probably move Marvin in ahead.

Romandre Stevenson does play football for the Patriots. He has seemed somewhat invisible during the year, yet is still sitting with a game missed as the RB25 on the year, so very relevant. Not a lot of confidence with Remandre this week? No. To be fair, I haven't had confidence in him the entire season, and he still has games with multi-touchdowns. I think he's a flex option. I mean, you saw. Last week, Zach Charbonnet completely go bonkers on the Arizona Cardinals in Arizona. I think that's more of the Seattle scheme. Yeah, I mean, that seems more like a one-off because the Cardinals defense prior to that game had been very good against the run. So I don't expect big things from Ramandre, but he gets enough volume where, you know, he's a flex-Ramondre or Pacheco? Pacheco. Okay. Any interest in any wideouts on the New England side?

Or can we move forward? For not. I mean, if anybody, it's Douglas and Douglas has not done anything all year. Do you expect this to go according to plan here? Do you think Arizona will take care of business at home in this game? I think they will win. I don't know if they're going to handle that six points, though. Tampa Bay is 7 and 6, taking on the 8 and 5 Los Angeles Chargers, the Draft King Sportsbook line here, Chargers minus 2.5. The overrunters, 45 and a half. I do like Justin Herbert in this game. Yep. Because I like quarterbacks against Tampa Bay. And I'm with you. Also really want to see Ladd McConkey back out there. His receiving yards line is not indicative of an injury that's going to impact him if he takes the field. It's a 71 and a half. Yeah, Ladd is in. I know he's a little dicey because you worry, oh, will he re-aggravate the injury? And it's a fair worry. And if that could be a tiebreaker.

if there's someone else that you have that's a really good wide receiver in a high tier. But without that, I would definitely be starting Ladd McConkey. He was so good. He's so important to this team. You have Baker and the Bucks can often put up points against good defenses. So if this turns into a shootout, you had three top 24 performances in a row right up before the injury. Two of those were, you know, the wide receiver 12, the wide receiver 10. Lad should be in your lineup. Despite, I think, getting banged up in week seven against Arizona and being hobbling off the field at different times, he hasn't really had a game where that has translated into like, I'm out there, you know, I'm leaving for half the game. When he's played, he's played through it. So if they have the confidence to start, I'd have the confidence in him. The fact that the prop is even out is. Yeah. Like they don't, when a player is.

a level of questionable they don't usually have a prop and a prop that is that juicy what level of terror possesses your soul at the moment around bucky or rings availability and if he's available what you would do we're at pretty uh like it's friday the 13th yeah yeah how terrifying uh probably exorcist level exercise level for bucky yeah i would say the head can spin the the projectile can uh vomit yeah The projectile can vomit. Yeah. So the projectile... It would come as more of a rain pour down upon you. Yeah, Andy gets it. Yeah. Rashad White's my start of the week. I do have confidence there. Mike Evans. Yeah, you play him. Kate Otten, it's... It's been scary. Yes, ma'am. That's what I heard, too. Five weeks did you look at me? I mean, how many weeks? How many weeks has it been? It's been four weeks since... It's been four weeks.

since I had confidence. Yeah. He's not been inside the top 10 in four weeks. Last week he had one big play at the end of the game, a 44-yard reception that made him viable. On the course of the season, the Chargers are the number one. most difficult matchup for tight ends. This hurts... Is that a full pivot? Do you want to pivot away from him? I would prefer to pivot away from... Like Ertz? Yeah, I would rather play Ertz than Otten right now. Ertz has a touchdown in three straight games and a much better matchup. This is a difficult matchup for him. And also, you know, I talked about how Baker... This often sometimes can really surprise and come out and look great, especially with Mike Evans back. However...

The Chargers have, you know, this is a team that likes to hit the under. There's a team that plays good defense. And so I have Baker on my roster and right now he's not in my lineup. I would try so hard not to play him. Yeah, I'm scared of Baker and Kate Otten in this. His last five games, Baker's pace would be 3,800 yards and 23 touchdowns. He has cooled off considerably. He really has. It's been a bummer. And it's not been, I mean, New York, Carolina, Las Vegas. The last three weeks are all weeks that said start, start, start.

Right? Yeah. And this week you're saying the matchup is not good. So yeah, I would try to get somebody else out. I put Herbert out there for sure. Do you have for a running back needy team? Let's say Bucky is actually out. What's your interest in Sean Tucker for the Bucks? Or do you think it'll just go? be a really heavy Rashad White. I think it'll be extremely heavy Rashad White. Sean Tucker might be used around the goal line. I mean, he's the type of player that can come in and vulture a touchdown. And so you could get lucky in that way. But again, not a good matchup for projecting that. So it would be Rashad White as like a super confident start. And I would not want to play with Sean Tucker. Yeah, if they were playing a horrible rush defense, I would be willing to do it. And then one last.

It's probably a DFS play, of course. But hey, shout out to Stone Smart. Oh, yeah. Who will be projected as the starting tight end for the Los Angeles Chargers. Shout to anybody starting Stone and Sincere this week. Hey. Yeah. Those are some great A names. But after Big Montana left last week with the injury, three for 54 from Stone Smart. All right. Sunday night football. Is he the Stone men? Do you know? Oh, dad, I don't know. Because that would be really nice. I know he's the stone man. Fair. But I don't know if he's stoned man. Hope he doesn't have stone hands. Wait, three for 54, man. One of those kids was great. Kuge, would you flex him? Yeah, I would. Green Bay, Owl's team, Sunday night football, nine and four, the Seahawks, eight and five. Draft King Sportsbook line here, Green Bay minus two and a half. The over under is 45 and a half.

I believe if the Packers win this ballgame, that would put the Rams at the tippy top of the West with Seattle. So my preseason bold prediction of the Rams winning the division that looked as dumb as dumb can be weeks ago. Somehow that division is just so dysfunctional that they might end up on top of it, even when they can't score touchdowns. Green Bay, they're in sixth. They're an NFC wildcard team. Seattle's the top of the division. What we've seen recently from these teams, production-wise, has been the running backs. Josh Jacobs, Zach Charbonnet last week, the opportunities, the touchdowns, the work has been outrageous for Jacobs. The team has never been intimidated to use him extensively. It's not necessarily been huge, profound, efficient yardage games, but when you score eight times in four weeks, that's pretty good. That's pretty nice.

Jason, you know, Al has got Josh Jacobs. You've got to imagine he's due for a regression. I'm hoping that he is. With your voodoo dark magic, I would not be surprised. Yeah, I mean, the truth is when we were talking about earlier in the season that he had so many rushing opportunities and yardage with no rushing touchdowns that that was going to regress to the mean and the touchdowns would come. And now it is flipped so far back. I think it is sound advice to just say it. probably is not going to stay where he's scoring a touchdown to three touchdowns every single week. And that has been hurting the passing game and the fantasy value of some of these wide receivers. So this could be the game. You know, it makes sense to me that Jordan Love would be able to have a better game. And maybe one of these wide receivers like Jaden Reed, Wildcard, goes from Goose to Golden Goose. The last eight weeks, number one, running back.

Sequin Barclay, number two, Josh Jacobs in points per game. And those two are kind of separated from the field. That's how good he has been. So if you've been riding that, get him in there and see if it continues. How would you order the wide receivers? And I guess who is your number one? Is it still Jane Reed off the goose? Is it Christian Watson? I think it's Watson. It's not just a goose. The Jaden Reed's, which there are some touchdowns in here. So like for fantasy, he has come through a little bit over the last month. But yardage is two weeks ago or last week was zero. Two weeks ago is 24, 26, 23, 1135, 55, 10, 28. Like this has been the, it's more more common for him this year.

to be a low yardage. Would you rather start Jaden Reed or Keenan Allen? Gosh. I think that it's, you know, when you look at- Okay, Jaden Reed or Jemar Chase. Chase. Okay. Way to get us going. Way to get it started. Thank you. Keenan Allen gets Minnesota. Look, I'll be the one to say it. I think Jaden Reed bounces back this one. All right. This is not uncommon in the Packers' offense. This is the head coach that I hate defining anybody as the one in my offense. He hates the media doing that. Christian Watson, you can't chase what Christian Watson just did because he never does it twice in a row. He hasn't done that throughout his career other than a, what, three games stretch with Aaron Rogers a couple of years ago. Last week, seven targets. Here's what you know about Watson. He's going to be out there almost every play. That's cool. You know, is it him or Jane Reed? I don't think the other guys are even in the conversation in terms of who you'd operate or order. I mean, Dobbs and Wicks are just not who you'd put an order ahead of it. I'd go read.

Watson in the same very close ranking. Is where you get a touchdown? I don't know. Okay. I was one that I don't watch the game yet. Well, but that's what I was asking because I was hoping it tingled the little feathers on the back of your neck or whatever you have. The feathers on my back. I don't know what you do with your touchdown. Yeah. My feathers are tingling. Let's get that graphic back up. Let's get that bad boy back up there. Yeah. It's Friday. No, I mean, I'm just saying that I think you can go back to Reed. That's all I'm saying. It's the wide receiver 13 on the year. It's a game that they're going to need to score some points. And I think that Jaden Reed's pretty, he'll be vocal about what happened. It's not the zero for me where I'm like, if I'm out on Jade Reed, it's not because of the zero. It's because it's been consistently rough. All right. And then D.K. Metcalfe, JSN are both of them ahead of the Packers wide receivers? Yeah. And in the opposite order of how I just read it.

Yeah, Jason, I mean, wild. And Charbonnet is sitting pretty this week. I mean, he's a top 15 guy by consensus for us. For sure. The last six weeks, the Packers are 25th against running back. So over the course of the season, they might look a little better. But recently they've been giving up points. So Charbonnet's must start. That should be an interesting game. Yeah. I mean, it's very important for NFL purposes, standings, playoff seating, all that. Yeah. All right, we'll take a break and we'll come back with our double header on Monday night. The Chicago Bears 4 and 9 taken on the 11 and 2 Minnesota 6.5 point home favorites. The over under is 43 and a half. Minnesota barely beat the Bears in week 12 overtime, 30 to 27. Was that the game where they were crushing the Bears? I believe they were killing the Bears. And then the Bears had some crazy like the last.

two or three minutes of the game somehow got it back to overtime and then lost. Touchdown, two point conversion, onside kick, field goal, overtime. Yeah. They never should have done any of that. They lost anyways. Right. Minnesota is 6 and 1 at home. They average 28 points a game at home. You know, Sam Darnold coming off a five touchdown performance. That was delightful. Thank you, Sam. You won me a bye week. Jefferson, yep. Addison on fire. Jason started the week. Hawkinson, my start of the week. The signs and signals right here are play your Vikings and play all the ones he've been playing. And maybe even play Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold's a fine play. He has been a good quarterback for this whole stretch run. So it's going to be, you know, hopefully if you had Brock Purdy or Sam Darnold, you chose.

You know, yesterday that you went with Brock, or with, not with Brock, but was Sam Darnold. I think Sam Darnold is like, Andy, you've got Justin Herbert as your start of the week. It's a good matchup against Tampa Bay. I would rather start. Yeah, me too. Sam Darnold. Yeah, me too. And Darnold's two out of the last three games in the top five. His touchdown pace over the last four is 46. And when you have Addison playing at this level where you have two explosive players, like Addison, no matter what, cannot get the coverage that. is going to Jefferson. Like, Addison's, he's in the best position possible. He's in the Juju Smith-Schuster when Antonio Brown was on the other side benefit. So it's awesome because he's an explosive player. He can score from distance. So yeah, start all your Vikings. On the other side, pray.

Because I don't want, look, DeAndre Swift might miss this game. If he doesn't, he should miss this game for your fantasy lineup. He does have a line though. It's at 53.5. Yeah. I think he's going to play. But that's not a player I want to play. Oh, I agree. Because the Vikings are number one against the run and the likelihood of this game going. Would you pivot to someone like Ramandre Stevenson? Oh, yeah. Okay. All right. If that's an easy pivot, that shows. Please try to bench DeAndres. Those Packers wideouts you just mentioned or any of these whiteouts for the Bears. Oh, man. Like DJ Moore had a 100 yard game against Minnesota. His lines at five and a half receptions. It makes sense. Like the matchup is there. But the fact that the bears just continually go into halftime with with absolute like a dozen yards. Like that I know they.

They've been doing that and then pulling it out in the second half. But that is some real sketchy stuff. I have to count on this team for one half to give me everything that I need because they can't seem to figure anything out in the first half. I do think DJ Moore is an okay start. Since the transition was made at coordinator, they've utilized him better. The matchup is really nice. His explosive ability means that you could end up with a very big game. So, you know, you talk about adding volatility in. DJ Moore, I mean, it's not. Yeah, that's fair. He is someone that can be boom bust. He could go out there and score five points, but there's not a handful. There's not a ton of people that can go out there and score 25 points. You could see that from DJ more in a game like this. Yeah, and the running game's going to be potentially just not a part of the equation. And Caleb Williams has been surprisingly.

way better in the second half of ball games. So if they got behind, 12 touchdowns in the second half, only four in the first. The other Monday night game is Atlanta at six and seven who have been struggling. And congrats, you get to play the Raiders. Don't. Can't they flex Monday games out? You got to flex them ahead of time. Yeah, but I think we could see this one coming from a couple months ago. Yeah, this is not good. Atlanta's a four point favorite. The overrunner's 44. Mike, you mean, this is why you want two games. Yeah, I guess. So you have the Falcons where Kyle pulled out a wild stack. Kirk Cousins has stayed within the pocket. 99.4% of the time on his dropbacks. That is the highest in the league. That is the second highest since 2018. He cannot move. You watch the games. He can't move. You think about the plays that define Sam Darnold this year when you watch him. It's even Caleb Williams great.

plays, right? It's escapability. You have to be able to move. Move up, move through the rush. The big play to Jefferson last week was an example by Darnold. Cousins used to be able to do that. Right now, we can't. And he's thrown no touchdowns in four games. Now, that streak should end. Yeah, he'll throw a touchdown in this game, which is great. Probably. Yeah, that was, that was on purpose. I think he'll throw a touchdown in this game. But that's good news for Drake London. His receiving line is at 66 and a half. And we've talked about he's been pretty decent for fantasies, not been disappointing through this Kirk Cousins' terrible stretch, but it hasn't been great because there have been no touchdowns. I think Drake gets a touchdown this week. And I like Darnell Mooney again. Just the separation that he's getting has been very friendly when it comes to Kirk Cousins.

Both of those players right now, very close in fantasy points per game. Mooney's at 11.2 on the year. London's at 12.3. So London's always the better bet for a touchdown with that size. So both of them are in play in this matchup. Kyle Pitts, if you hate yourself, I don't think you can do it. No, don't. I mean, I will say this. Love yourself this weekend, people. Don't play Kyle Pitts. I will say this. Like, if you did something wrong and you're afraid of coal in the stocking, and you need to pay pennants. Maybe you start Kyle Pitts so that you can. Let's say you had Cooper Cup. Okay. And you're starting. You don't want to. Yeah. Okay. Okay. And so right now you've got Kate Otten in there. I mean, there's no situation you're going to paint. There's no brush or paint set. You cannot create me a world where I will play Kyle Pitts. Would you rather play Stone Smart? Yes.

I want to remind you, the Raiders are very, very bad against tight ends. 32nd in the last six weeks. Kyle Pitts is very, very bad as a tight end. Okay. All right. I just, I had to try. He's had one or zero catches in three or four games in three weeks. Yeah, in the last three weeks combined. But he's 24 years old, Andy. One point four fantasy point zero and one point nine. You might as well start 23 yards in three weeks. Total. If I could sub. Cooper Cup out right now is my flex and put and get hit instead get Kyle Pitts as score. I still wouldn't do it. Yeah. Just out of self respect. It's a man. Self respect. Yeah. Brock Bowers are Kyle Pitts. I'm going to go Bowers. Okay. Thank you for that. Start. Our start set tools should be exclusive to only big disparities. Right? We should only let. Please choose someone else if it's too close. London, Mooney, Bijon, yes. Log out there. Sincere McCormick on the other side.