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Main show · December 18, 2019

Week 16 Buy or Sell + Championship Week Mailbag, Idiot Savant Accuracy

RSSDec 18, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 16 Buy or Sell + Championship Week Mailbag, Idiot Savant Accuracy

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Inside the episode

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0:00 ↗

This episode is brought to you by State Farm. Every football fan is different. Some won't wash their lucky mustard-stained jersey until the season's over. Some insist they can't sit down on third downs and some pick their favorite team because, I don't know, just like football fandom, nobody's life is exactly the same. And that's why State Farm gets to know you, not as a policy number, but as an actual person.

0:26 ↗

so they can help personalize a coverage plan that's just for you. Whether it's game day or just another Tuesday, State Farm has you covered.

0:35 ↗

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1:05 ↗

Fookland, it is championship week. You are going to be a champion, and you're going to need to know very soon where to go to get your trophy, to get your championship ring, to get your championship belt, to get all of the stuff to gloat over your friends. Where are they going to go, Andy? Fantasychamps.com. Because they're a fantasy champ? Makes sense. Oh, go to Fantasychamps.com. Use the promo code, ballers, and be a fantasy champ.

1:41 ↗

to the fantasy footballers podcast. Coming to you from pristineauction.com studios with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Oh, welcome in. Excited to be with you once again. Good times, good times. It's fantasy championship time. It's fantasy championship for the people time. Because today's show.

2:19 ↗

It's for the people. It's for the people. I did notice when I was checking out the old internet's social media, and it seems as though the NFL network folk, you know, the other five teams that we played in the expert division, they seem a bit emotional. I understand. And maybe that was their downfall when they lost to the only non-NFL network.

2:48 ↗

contestant in their league one, which would be, of course, Jay Gris. Well, I mean, you know, they've got, they have a team of experts, those five experts. Yeah. I mean, look, they played great. They did their best. I was, I was proud of them. Yeah. And if it was like an Olympic situation, there would be metal winners. Oh, they would get a bronze or silver maybe. But I just noticed that the reaction, it was kind of a.

3:15 ↗

Remember how Mike fake apologized to Amari Cooper? I do. It was very poorly done. It was more of a like fake congratulations that we got. Yeah, from Adam. From Adam, right? Yeah. I think he stayed home a day. Well, yeah, I mean, you got to take the day off when you're upset by the fans of footballers coming in and trounce it all over you. Wednesday, December 18th, excited to be with you. Congratulations to Beth. Oh. Beth. Oh.

3:42 ↗

who won the Nick Chubbs signed jersey at Footclan giveaway.com. There's a brand new giveaway up there, a signed black Sammy Watkins helmet. No lizards included. It is a helmet made for the warm-blooded. But, yeah, you can go get in on that. It's free to enter. That's an awesome piece. It is pretty cool. Because, one, it actually looks amazing. It's not the normal-looking...

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Kansas City helmets, kind of like a Matt Black with the cool KC logo. And also, then you have to explain it. Like, why do you have a Sammy Watkins helmet? Are you a giant Sammy Watkins? Why did it sound like you're like Hawking the Lugie at the end of his name now? That's kind of how it feels when you think about Sammy Watkins. I saw him hit the waiver wire today. So I'm in the championship.

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of the CBS league, and I'm looking, I'm doing the drop it like it's hot like we prescribe here on the show. Check your waiver wire after they went through. And hopefully, by the way, yesterday you had a successful waiver wire day. I picked up Bershad Perryman. So I have him and I'm playing him in place of Chris Godwin in that league. And I saw Watkins hit. And it's still, and I, how do I feel about Watkins? You hate Sammy Watkins. Like on a personal level.

5:02 ↗

I don't know what he's done to you. I just start my rankings every week, taking him down a few pegs. Yeah. Catherty. That being said, seeing him hit the waiver wire and seeing his name sit down, you're like, ooh. Well, I have people. Maybe he has, maybe this is a week. I've seen a lot of people in their championship games saying, my opponent lost Godwin, and they're throwing Watkins in there, and I'm terrified. You're terrified? The people that are playing against them. I would be a little terrified as well, because this is where the dark magic comes out.

5:31 ↗

Right, which is what you associate with lizard people. Yeah. Dark magic. Twitter at theFF ballers, the fantasy footballers.com start sit tool. Check out our community at join the foot.com. We've got a footcast this afternoon answering questions from the foot clan. So you've got a double dose of advice today. Let's go ahead and let's kick this thing off. Buy or sell presented by pristine auction. All right. We've got another championship edition.

6:07 ↗

I guess last week was the semi-final edition. So we've got the championship edition of Bicel today. It's Andy versus Jason. This is mono-imano in Bicel. Lev Bell, okay? Lev Bell over 10 fantasy points against Pittsburgh this week. Are you buying? Are you selling? I am going to buy over 10 fantasy points. I think the matchup is difficult, but the...

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volume is very, very similar to last week's Joe Mixen against the Patriots. The slight difference being Joe Mixen is more talented in today's day and age than Lev Bell, but I also think that the New England defense is better than Pittsburgh's by a slight margin. I can't disagree. I'm buying Lev Bell over 10 fantasy points. Sometimes a revenge game narrative is less about how hard you try and more about how many chances you get. I think Lev Bell is going to get a lot of them against Pittsburgh.

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And that's all it takes, right? I mean, just give him the rock. Now, could this be a revenge game for the Steelers? Because remember, when he left and left the players high and dry as he just abandoned them that season, the Steeler former teammates were not happy with Lev Bell. I mean, maybe this is a revenge game of 11 on 1. That's fair. That's fair. Watch out, Lev. Yeah, I imagine they'd like to keep them under 10 fantasy points. I'll bet you're right.

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All right, Dak Prescott, a top eight quarterback finish in Philadelphia this week. To give you context, the last four weeks for Dak, the quarterback 24, 9, 17, and 16. So calling it top eight, he hasn't done it in four weeks. That is a hard line. I have the decision in a championship game to go either.

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Dak Prescott or Matt Ryan at home against Jacksonville. Oh, okay. All right. I've got them back to back in my ranking. I'm going Matt Ryan as of today at home. I like Dak. I would adore Dak at home against Philadelphia. I still think the top eight upside is 100% there. But if things go according to plan for this...

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Dallas offense, I think Dax at that 8, 9, 10 range. So I am selling a top 8 finish. Yeah, I've got him number 7 in my rankings right now. And I do think it will be difficult for him. I mean, when you're right on the cusp, there's always players you just, you don't project that this week Baker Mayfield is going to go off and have three touchdowns and end up top five or something like that that will push a player down a few spots. But because of the matchup.

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in Philly with a terrible secondary. Dax been, you know, throwing the ball well this season. I'm going to buy here. I think he will be top eight. All right. Do you have him higher than Matt Ryan? Right now I have him one spot ahead of Matt Ryan, seven and eight, respectively. All right. A.J. Brown, buy or sell 80 plus yards.

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versus New Orleans this week. He has 80 yards in four of his last six games. He's gone from being an occasionally exciting player to a rather consistent one. New Orleans has given up the fourth most wide receiver fantasy points allowed over the last month. But 80 yards, that's a pretty high bar. That's a very high bar. And I think that without question, he's going to have Marshawn Lattimore this week.

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This is going to be a real test for A.J. Brown. This is a very good defender that I believe will shadow him. And this might be the first time in his NFL career where he's going to experience that. But he's a tank. When you say four of the last six games, he's had 80 yards. Three of those have been 135, 153 and 114.

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And during that stretch where he has been dominating, it's not just coincidence or broken plays. It's snap counts. It's routes run. It's targets. He had 13 targets last week. So I do worry about how he's going to fare against Marshawn Lattimore, but I think he's going to win. So I'm going to buy here. He will have Lattimore this week. So.

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I guess I'll go the other direction. I think he has an okay game. I don't think you're benching AJ Brown, but, you know, if he puts up 65 and a touchdown, then I'm still wrong. I mean, I would be right in that situation. So I'll go ahead and sell. I'll do something different than you. Stefan Diggs, does he score a touchdown against Green Bay? He basically averages one against Green Bay. He usually does. I'm going to sell. Green Bay's.

10:59 ↗

The stat is in eight career games against Green Bay, he's basically averaging almost a touchdown a game. But in eight career games against Green Bay, Green Bay Secondary has been bad. Now Green Bay Secondary is actually very good. I think that Minnesota is going to be trying to run the ball with whoever the running back is. And now you've got Thielen getting back in. He only played, I think, 33% of the snaps last week.

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So, yeah, I'm going to sell here. I don't think Diggs gets in the paint. Yeah, I have to just, I have to go with the sell as well. I'm not going to bank on a touchdown. I mean, he's not a player that's not a 50-50 shot with him. I mean, touchdown totals over the past handful of years. I mean, he's had one season with more than eight. That was last year. He had nine.

11:51 ↗

But no, I mean, he's got five on the season. It's tough to bank on a touchdown. It's hard for any player out there to actually, if you're going to say, does you get a touchdown or not, your odds on favorite bet would be not. Unless it's like Rob Goncaldy or Derek Henry or March on Lane. Exactly, a guy that you know is getting 15 touchdowns on a season. So no, you got to sell that. And the last one, Tyler Higby, does he have more than five receptions at San Francisco? I think that line might be low.

12:20 ↗

for what he's been doing. He's at 7-7-12 over the last three weeks, so it's an easy buy for me. I guess you're saying the line's really six, right? Because you said over five? Mm-hmm. All right, I guess that's all right. I'm going to buy it, though. I'm going to take Tyler Higby. He's just too involved in the offense right now. Gerald Everett's been out. I'm going to buy it. I guess with Mike on, we're just, we love each other today, Andy. Is there a line that you, uh, that would change things here? Like if you went seven receptions?

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Are you still buying? Uh, no, yeah, I, I will, I will, you'll sell seven. I'll, I'll, I'll, I'll take the under seven line. Will you take the over seven? I will take seven. Six, under six and a half then. Where, where, we go. We found it. Okay. Yeah, there we go. I'll buy that he has seven and you're underneath it. All right. That was buy or sell from pristine auction. Remember to check them out. Great holiday gifts. Autograph sports memorabilia. We just did a big, huge.

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Uh, giveaway? YouTube.com slash fantasy footballers. You can check that out. Use the code ballers at pristineauction.com. When you register, you'll save $5 towards a sports memorabilia. Purchase. News and notes from around the league. Presented by sleeper. Shocker, AJ Green is, uh, unlikely to suit up in week 16 and 17. I can't imagine we were thinking he would or would have played him if he did, but.

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