AFC South Breakdown + Broken Promises - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/11

more than him. Yeah, and I do want to say, yes, they're spending a ton of money on their offensive line. No, it wasn't good last year. That's true. So if that can improve, if he can get into the end zone more, I think you only had, what, four touchdowns or something. Those would be areas where efficiency would transform that a little bit. You know, you have reason to be confident in the running game in general because of the things you talked about coming over from San Francisco. So. I think this team is going to be fun to watch. And I think that there are underrated options elsewhere. I think Nico Collins, which so far in practices is by far the number one target, I think he has some sneaky value. I mean, he's not being considered in any draft, which is wild. It's wild because you have some of these offenses where, like, you know, they get to play the same amount of opportunities that the other team does. You know, Carolina, Houston, this division's awful.

or was last year, you know, there's going to be spot start opportunities for players like Jonathan Mingo or Nico Collins or Adam Thielen. And I just don't want them to be forgotten about. I think Dalton Schultz is underrated. Yeah, I think it's worth knowing the names because then you have John Metchie who was a second round pick out of Alabama this past year. Unfortunately, had to deal with his health issues, but he's back. He's good to go. And in Robert Woods, is there to at least give some a veteran presence. So yeah, I don't mind bringing them up just so everyone's cool and aware of what's going on with the Texans. But we've, you know, harped on rookie quarterbacks. Don't carry a good fantasy starter, let alone like a top 36 option most of the time. And I love C.J. Stroud. Look, believe me, he was my guy.

But 70% of rookie quarterbacks don't support a top 36 wide receiver. And so that makes it like these are long shots, but I don't expect any of these guys to have regular value each and every week. Yeah. I mean, you just said it. 70% of rookie quarterbacks to start week one, they don't have a top 36 wide receiver. So you're already talking about a 30% outlier, you know, sliver that do have them. And those players aren't the Nico Collins and Robert Woods of the world. massive, massive Keenan Allen volume. Exactly. It would have, Nico Collins would have to see a like a 25 plus percent target share to even get close to being inside that top 30. All right. Give me your division. Top to bottom. I'm going with the Jaguars at top. I think that the go cart is just too dangerous here in Tennessee. But I'll take Tennessee second, the Colts third. And I'm, I'm going to put the Texans at the bottom.

I will go Titans, take the division. I think it just, it all fell apart. To start seven and three and then fall apart. I think they, I think they can get it going again. Jags easily in second. And then I'll take, I'll go C.J. Stroud and company at third and the Colts at the bottom. That is my order. Tennessee, winning the division, Jacksonville, Houston. Colts. I think Derek Henry's got one more. Yeah, I do too. I love it. I don't know what the odds are, but I would imagine that it... Jacksonville's the favorite. No, but I would imagine there... Plus 425 for Tennessee. It's a good bet. It's a good bet. Plus 425. Yeah, that's... Mike, you want to get together after this and take care of that? Yeah, well... Yeah, what is it was? In the parking lot. Oh, okay. Yeah, not on NFL. Not on NFL grounds. Yeah. All right. Brooks, out of curiosity. Who do you have one in the division? Let's hear from you.

I got the Jags. Okay. Boring. Yeah, I regret asking. No, I'm just kidding. Yeah, look, Jacksonville to me is a lot like Detroit. I'm rooting for him. But Doug Peterson teams do that, does it wear off? You know, first season is always great. Does it wear off with Doug Peterson? Is Trevor Lawrence got it? I hope so. But Tennessee is the, Tennessee is still the giant to kill. I think if they're at full strength, that's going to be an intimidating. A couple of games for Jacksonville. If they beat them, they're going to win the division, right? If they, well, they're insane. I don't know if we mentioned this, but an insane stat, Ryan Tannahill, despite everything that's gone on in the career of Ryan Tannahill, since 2019, when he became the starter for the Titans, he has won over 65% of his games. There are certain teams and certain coaches, coaches that they, they.

get their players to play tougher. Baltimore is going to play tougher. The 49ers, they just hit so hard. That's probably why they're all injured all the time. Perhaps. And Tennessee, they just are, they're brutalizers under Vrable. And so I don't, I certainly don't blame you thinking that they could win the division. Check out the ultimate draft kit to get an edge on your upcoming fantasy football drafts. Everything you need to dominate, including a cheat sheet creator, sleepers breakouts, a whole lot more at ultimate draft kit.com. Until next time. Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on join thefoot.com. And follow us on Twitter at theFF ballers.