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Main show · September 6, 2019

Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Notpportunity

RSSSep 6, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Notpportunity

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Inside the episode

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0:00 ↗

This episode is brought to you by State Farm. Every football fan is different. Some won't wash their lucky mustard-stained jersey until the season's over. Some insist they can't sit down on third downs and some pick their favorite team because, I don't know, just like football fandom, nobody's life is exactly the same. And that's why State Farm gets to know you, not as a policy number, but as an actual person.

0:26 ↗

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0:35 ↗

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1:05 ↗

Hey, Foot Clan. Before we start today's show, I want to remind you about the DFS pass. You can go to DFSPass.com. You're going to get expert advice, expert DFS articles each and every week from Jake Sealy, Robert Waziak, Chris Meaney, our whole team, and this year we added a lineup optimizer. This is not like other.

1:24 ↗

DFS websites. You're not paying some monthly fee. You pay one time, you get access the entire season, and you get the insight you need to win at DFS. So check it out at DFSPass.com. To the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Coming to you from pristineauction.com studios with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Oh, welcome in. I feel like I want to redo of last night.

2:06 ↗

I thought about going awful. Can I bet on the under still? It was fantastic to have football back. See, I got into it. Let's just start this thing up. Okay, dokey. Welcome into the fantasy footballers Friday, September 6th. We have tons of matchups to cover on the show today, some news, obviously the game last night. Everyone's on Twitter talking about this game. What was it? 10 to 3.

2:35 ↗

10 to 3, a barn burner. Hey, we were talking about yesterday. The NFL needs to figure out the best offenses or the highest over under of the week. Put them on Thursday. Well, yes, that would be great. But the truth is, we still might not get the – I mean, just slam the unders this week because this was a preseason game, to me, at least on the Chicago offense side of the ball. And I was arguing with somebody on Twitter about this.

3:00 ↗

If you didn't play Mitch Trubisky in the preseason, you gave him no reps, and you know what you ended up with was multiple home delay of game penalties on the same drive. You had an offense that clearly was never in sync throughout the game in any way, shape, or form at home, and people are saying, well, you just can't risk it. You cannot risk. Aaron Rogers didn't play in the preseason, and they came out and they won the game. Listen.

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They only scored 10 points. They scored 10 points. Now, that's the Bears defense too, but that's Aaron Rogers. Mr. Trubisky is a young quarterback in year two with Matt and Aggie. And they say, well, you just can't risk it. You cannot risk it in the preseason. You might have thrown away a game in the regular season by doing that. In division. Yeah, and you can get injured as much in week one of the NFL season as you can in the first quarter of a preseason game.

3:55 ↗

I don't understand because I feel like if this team, if he had more reps in the preseason, it's not guarantee that they win, but it didn't look like a team that was ready to play offense at all. It's certainly a great point. When the Jaguars were going with their shenanigans where they just weren't playing Nick Foles, a brand new quarterback to the team, eventually he got in and got a little bit of action. But I was like, guys, the quarterback needs to get a few reps in.

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At least if it's a young quarterback. Drew Brees, Aaron Rogers, I don't care. They know what they're doing. But even on the Packer's side of the ball, a new head coach, new offense, you had some things that happened last night. You know who needed reps? Matt Nagy. Oh, my God. What were you doing? What are you doing? You're not that smart, Matt. You're not that smart. Cordarral Patterson on third and one. You're not smart. If you want to use.

4:51 ↗

We'll get into the Mike Davis, David Montgomery stuff, of course. But third at one, you want to go with Mike Davis, fine. But going with Patterson up the gut, I mean, there was just, there was a lot of baffling things that were happening where he did. It seemed like Nagu's like, watch me do this, like that first play where Cohen dropped the ball. He spent his offseason believing.

5:19 ↗

A kicker was his biggest problem. That's the problem that I see. And it's frustrating because you wanted to see this offense take a step forward. And there's plenty of time for that. Nobody needs to overreact. But let's talk about the backfield. Let's talk about David, not Portunity. Or as we saw on Twitter, flopperunity. And I take responsibility as a fantasy analyst to say, I'm not just going to get mad at Matt Nagy and say it's his fault. It's our fault to not know what he's going to do.

5:49 ↗

That's our job. That's all we do in projecting a player. This looked exactly like I expected Philadelphia to look like in week one. 100%. I thought we were going to avoid it in Chicago because David Montgomery is so far and away the best talent in the backfield. And Tariq Cohn was lined up as a slot receiver the entire game. So I thought we'd avoid it here. This is the template I thought I'd see in Philadelphia with Miles Sanders, and then it would take some weeks for him to establish himself. Now it looks like...

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it's going to take some time for David Montgomery. This is what terrifies me about the carry-on Johnson love is that clear, like everybody could see, David Montgomery was the best back on the field. He was breaking tackles. He was getting around the defensive line. That reception. Yeah. That was a big time play where if Mitch had thrown a better ball and we didn't get a clear shot of the field, but.

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judging from where the safety was, it looked like if that was a better ball, Montgomery might have been able to cross out over the field and scored. But, you know, Andy's brought up pass protection, right? The two-minute drill. It was Mike Davis in there because they want to be able to protect Mitchell Trubisky. So it's just like the fallacy of rational coaching. We've talked about it before. But I'm, you know, at the end of every season, I always have this notebook where I write down certain things that I want to remember.

7:06 ↗

We're one game in, and I'm like, okay, the fallacy of rational coaching. Yeah. I always talk about lenses. That's the way I've looked at it all offseason. The coaches do not look through the same lens fantasy owners do no matter how many letters that I write them. And here's what I'll say maybe this is still leaning into what I perceive as rational coaching as well. So I'll take this for what it is. This might have been the best case scenario for a week one for David Montgomery.

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Matt Nagy will go back and watch the film as all coaches do. And hopefully he will see, wow, I made a lot of mistakes here putting Mike Davis on the field when David Montgomery was out there making things happen. Montgomery's balance on that run to hit the edge and pick up a first down. Mike Davis could not have done that. And what he did, what Matt Nagy did with that game plan, it did not work. They scored three points. Here's one thing that.

8:05 ↗

Go, we got to go back to the drawing. When he was the offensive coordinator for the Kansas City Chiefs, the Chiefs did this for a while where they started to go away from the pass or go away from the run to such a drastic measure. That's what happened last night. Yeah, 45 pass attempts, 15 carries. And only 12 real carries. Three of them were Trubisky scrambles. So that's, that's darn near impossible to have only 12 carries in a game. Managie did it.

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But this happened in Kansas City, and then they talked about, and to speak to your point, they went back, they watched the film, they saw the problem, and then that's when they started getting Cream Hunt the ball, like crazy. So are you, the questions out of there, are you worried about Montgomery in the long term, and are you looking at Mike Davis as a pickup, which I am not? I am not either. I think a lot of people will be spending their capital on Mike Davis, and really what happened last night was like the best situation for Mike Davis. He did nothing with it.

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So, like, what are you hoping that he gets the same amount of work? Great. Go get your... Six receptions for 17 yards for Mike Davis. Very inefficient. Mitch Trebisky was indefensively bad last night. 26 for 45. One interception. Errant throws. Single read panic. It was not a pretty picture at all. However, Alan Robinson... Yes. Alan Robinson could have put...

9:27 ↗

I'm going to put up 250 yards last night with a competent midstribis. Robinson looked fantastic. Seven for 102. Anthony Miller, Invisible. So here's something on the 57 pass plays. This is courtesy of Jeff Ratcliffe. Alan Robinson was out there for 55. Taylor Gabriel was out there for 55. Thank you. Taylor Gabriel was out there for 54. And then the rest of the wide receiving court, because Cohen was out as a wide receiver a lot, was basically.

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Javon Wims, 19, Cordero Patterson, 18, and then Anthony Miller, 11. I'm less worried about that because of the injury. Yes. But I am worried about, you're not going to find multiple competent receiving options in this current Tribisky universe if Tariq Cohen's going to line up in the slot as often as he did last night, which was incredible. Now, all of this said, we're reacting because we've been waiting for months for it and it was the only game in town. We can't.

10:26 ↗

overreact. I mean, look at last year, right? Last year, opening weekend, terrible football from the Eagles and the Falcons, low-scoring game. The Falcons offense looks like it's a mess. And then they went on and they were fantastic. Yep. It's preseason, week four, week three. Preseason week five. Now, there was, talk about overreactions here because you hear that. That is, I think that's Geronimo Allison. That was Geronimo Allison. Zero.

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Receptions on zero targets, zero yards after all of that is set and done. Usually you get zero yards with zero targets. I know, but they almost always correlate. No drops. No drop. That's a positive in his favor. So are you panicking about Geronimo because I cannot find myself wanting to hold him through a waiver period?

11:18 ↗

after a complete goose of target share. Well, and so we talked about these two players, Geronimo and MVS, might be players you want to drop after week one that maybe you shouldn't. That being said, the way that they were utilizing them, it certainly looked like they were trying, you know, there were screen game work. They were trying to get MVS the ball, trying to hand it to him on run plays, and on two wide receiver sets. It was certainly not Geronimo out there. So there are some telling signs that say,

11:48 ↗

that Andy and I could take a victory lap. Well, I will say this. If you hear Jason's voice this morning, you'll notice that he didn't take well to the low-scoring affair last night. It wrecked me, and now I'm sick. Yeah, now Jason is under the way he's fighting through it the way Aaron Rogers did last night.

12:06 ↗

The way Aaron Jones was forced to, Aaron Jones with 13 carries for just 39 yards, we knew it would be tough. It was really tough. And what you didn't see, unfortunately, was the receiving work that could have saved the night. He only had one reception for zero yards. And so here we are in the timeshare experience again. But it's week one against the bears on the road. So relax. Yeah, it's unfortunate that...

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This is the timeshare type of numbers. Jamal Williams in on 41% of the snaps. That was the timeshare I was concerned about for Aaron Jones. However, when he's not playing the Bears, Aaron Jones will still be able to put up numbers. But his ceiling will be limited. Yeah, there are better days ahead for, I think, both offenses. So let's endure the Thursday when there are the focal point of all eyeballs in football.

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And we'll have a full waiver wire show on Monday. Yeah, but people are going to want to know. Jimmy Graham, what do you make of that? Three for 30. He had the only touchdown in the game. He's 100% a touchdown dependent tight-in, which is what every tight-in that isn't in the upper echelon is. So if he scores, you'll be happy. Yeah, and I don't think he's going to score too much. Yeah, I mean, there's no reason to believe that it's going to be significantly different than last year. One more player. I know we have so much to cover. I don't really care.

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