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Main show · September 6, 2019

Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Notpportunity

RSSSep 6, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Notpportunity

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40:50 ↗

low quality, close to the line of scrimmage type of passes. He's not the same red zone threat that Eric Ebron is. So if I've got to play one, I'm going with that upside. And when they do run the ball with Marlon Mack, that's where you can beat him. Get down into the red zone. They're not looking T.Y Hilton's way. They're looking Eric Ebron's way. So I side with Andy on this one. I wasn't even try. We got caught up in the.

41:15 ↗

stupidity of the conversation. He's Andy's tight end one. Okay. That's what I'm saying. I'm not like even saying you must start him. I just think he's undervalued in the 14th round. He was a guy that was the top five tied in last year. And he's being forgotten about because nobody wants any part of this offense. And I think that's stupid. I really do. Okay. The Chargers side of the football. Keenan Allen, you're going to play him because he's out there. Yes. Mike Williams, consensus wide receiver 25 on the week. And then you've got Hunter Henry making his return to this offense.

41:44 ↗

Colts allowed the third most fancy points of tight ends last year. You drafted Hunter Henry to be your tight end, right? So there's not really anything to talk about? There's not. The thing to talk about is, and maybe this matchup is not the best to evaluate. We'll have to see a few. But how do Hunter Henry and Mike Williams co-exist? Because Mike Williams had a much larger role and the running backs had a much larger role in the passing game because Hunter Henry was not there. He missed the entire season.

42:14 ↗

So now that they have a premier young tight end back, how does that all shake out? You know, I get that narrative a little bit. I do. I've thought it myself, but you have to remember they also, it's not just that. They lost Antonio Gates. You forget, he was there last year. They lost Tyrell Williams. So they're, you know, yes, Mike Williams. But they got Dantrell Inman back. Exactly. So I think they can coexist.

42:42 ↗

Austin Echler, Justin Jackson, probably the biggest storyline on the team. Echler, you play 100%. And Justin Jackson is fine if you are in a pinch. Yeah, I don't really see. I think Echler's the better play. I don't see them too far apart. Really? In terms of, you know, viability of starting them. The team has been very clear that they're going to work in a perfect.

43:04 ↗

50-50 committee. So you're looking at touchdowns versus receptions. It's easier to bank on reception. So I think what this is from my perspective is it's a matter of what the team is saying, which is a 50-50 split versus what the team did last year in the games where Echler, Justin Jackson were there, and Melvin Gordon was out. We saw it much more like a, you know, a 6535 split. And so.

43:30 ↗

It's really just a question of what you believe. He was a rookie last year. That's what I was going to say. Players mature. Yeah. And so the team is saying it's 50-50 split. I think that makes a lot of sense to be a 50-50 split. So you can absolutely do that. It's just you have to also weigh that with what the team did last year in this exact situation. Also what they did in the preseason. So it's hard to go with what they're saying when they have actual actions that they have taken during the preseason. And maybe that was.

43:59 ↗

Just they're getting Echler ready. Yeah, but Justin Jackson scored in the preseason. Echler didn't do that. I think what it is is that Justin Jackson carries more risk. There's no risk. I totally agree with that. There's no risk that Austin Echler is going to be the 35% of the timeshare. Sure. There is risk there with Justin Jackson. Yeah, I feel like Justin Jackson needs to be the scorer. If Justin Jackson is not scoring, you don't get what you get with Echler, which is guaranteed targets. 49ers, Buccaneers at home.

44:27 ↗

They are favorites. It's a 50 point over under. We talked a little bit about this game yesterday, just in the context of starts of the week, because Mike has James Winston. I have Chris Godwin. We all expect Bruce Ariens to come out, stretch the field, do what he does as a head coach, an offensive mind. And so we'll see, is there anybody else to catch the football outside of Evans, Godwin, and O.J. Howard on this roster. We'll find out. I hope not. I hope not. Justin Watson.

44:58 ↗

Of course, there's guys that will catch the ball. It's just about what is the target share for the big three? Is it 70%? Is it 80% of the targets? It certainly could be. I'm playing everyone. I'm not playing. I want to play everybody in this matchup, but James Evans-Goblin in automatically, of course. Howard is in. I don't know. I heard goblin.

45:23 ↗

Chris Goblin? I heard Chris Goblin. Just eating up them targets. Red Goblin? Oh, man. This is frightening. I don't know if I like it or not, but that's what I heard. Well, if you heard it, that's what we're moving forward with. The Goblin. Chris Goblin. Goblin up them targets. That's so stupid. Oh, I love it. I love it. All right, but the running backs. Andy, you are the proud owner.

45:52 ↗

in our league of record of essentially the entire backfield for Tampa Bay. Are you playing any of them? Let me say something, Mike. You said I was the proud owner. That is the furthest thing from reality. I am the, what is the, I'm the embarrassed owner. Shamed owner. A mopey sad, depressed owner of these guys. I will say during the course of this week, I did have Peyton Barber in my lineup at one point.

46:22 ↗

Oh, he's not anymore? I don't think so. Oh. Because some health concerns cleared up in my mind. Let me see. Nope, he's in. No, he's still in. I have to decide between Peyton Barber in one of my two flex spots or go with the broken fingered Deshawn Jackson, the off the Achilles Emmanuel Sanders, the possibly inactive Adrian Peterson, or Ronald Jones.

46:49 ↗

Oh, man, I would tell you the right start, but you're playing against me. I think I might lean back towards D-Jax now that I know he'll be on the field. So that's who I've moved in. It's very cathartic for me. I feel great about moving him to my bench. And then on the 49ers side of the ball, I'm going to play both Coleman and Berita. I think that they will see enough work in this game to be usable. I'm playing Pettis, and I'm playing Dante Pettis with confidence this week. I know you, like.

47:18 ↗

That's a guy you may have drafted later on because he had quite the ADP tumble with his tumultuous offseason. But I'm going to play him with full confidence. Jay, are you with me with Petters? Are you benching him? I have him in multiple leagues. In both of those leagues, they're deeper multi-flex leagues and he is in all of them. He's in the lineup. But I am not playing him with confidence. I'm playing him with a very hopeful. I thought you were going to say frightened spirit. No, I'm playing.

47:48 ↗

hopeful that he does, you know, have a great game. But I think it's very realistic that Marquis Goodwin can come out here and dominate two. This is a 50 point over under. This should be one of the higher scoring games of the week. You have basically the combination of offenses and defenses that, you know, set up for a lot of points to get scored. So that's not to say Goodwin and Pettus can't both have great games. But, you know, we need to bring up Marquis Goodwin's name. Yes. Because.

48:17 ↗

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense is the type of defense that could very easily just get torched by Marquis Goodwin over the top. Yeah, Dante Petits should have a good game. If he doesn't have a good game in this matchup against the box with a 50 point over under, I'll be concerned about his involvement in the offense. I can agree with that. And by good game, I mean target share. I don't even care if he comes down with incredible fantasy performance. He should have a nice target share. He should be able to get open against his secondary. Look, he was your my guy that you pivoted off of. Yeah.

48:45 ↗

Just took a dump on because you hate him so much. And now he's playing against you in my lineup, Week 1 League of Record, and he's going to give you ultimate payback. It would be a very satisfying thing for you to be able to prove that narrative. George Kittle plays football. Oh, he's going to... We don't need to talk about George. Here's how we need to talk about him. He could so easily wind up as the best play of the week at all positions. I mean, George Kittle could just...

49:15 ↗

dominate this Buccaneers. Yes. Lions, Cardinals at home. They're two and a half point dogs at home. 47.5 point over under. And the message from this game, if you haven't got it already, start your Lions offensive pieces. Carry on Johnson, Kenny Gallaudet and Marvin Jones. I've got Marvin Jones in a flex spot in my dynasty league. I'm feeling comfortable with that. Right now the Cardinals secondary, it's beat up. They're under the tertiary.

49:42 ↗

Right. It goes deep right now. No Patrick Peterson suspended for the first six games. Their big free agent acquisition of Robert Alfred at Corner to be the counterbalance to Patrick Peterson. Well, he is balancing Peterson because they're both out. That is correct. He is stepping away from the game in honor of Patrick Peterson. So look, Kenny Gallaudet. The routes are so smooth for Kenny G. Kenny G. Kenny G is going to have a good game. Marvin Jones.

50:12 ↗

Oh, that Kenny is back. He is so smooth. Yeah, both of these guys. Marvin Jones, Kenny Galladay, put him out there. Yes. And it's just going to be, it could be a good game for Matthew Stafford, two quarterback leagues. You need an opportunity to flex a player. Mike, you brought up 300 yards, multi-touchdowns as a possibility. It is well within the realm of possibilities for Stafford. On the other side, my start of the week, Kyler Murray. What are you looking for from him in his first start?

50:42 ↗

I'm looking for poise. How does he react to the Blitz? Because in preseason week two against the Raiders, it was very bad. He was very poor against the blitz. And just it's the tempo. All the media during the offseason was this Arizona Cardinals offense you're seeing, this has nothing to do with the actual real offense. They are pulling the rope of dope.

51:09 ↗

Now let's see it. Let's see it. Does that pace come out? Does that throw percentage come out? Yeah. Cliff Kingsbury was asked by the local media here about why he believes, and this was very recently why he believes that the offense will work in the NFL. And his response was because it's never been done before. And that is kind of indicative that you have not seen it in preseason. He has not, what they were doing was a vanilla not.

51:39 ↗

what they're running come game one. So I am super excited to see the pace of play, the speed at which they play. And yeah, for Kyler Murray specifically, it's all about that blitz. Can he, can he?

51:50 ↗

react quick enough, get out of the way quick enough. There's a bad offensive line for the Cardinals. It's nice he's got the freedom to run now. It's not preseason. He's got the freedom to run down field. David Johnson's our consensus RB8 on the week. The Lions allowed the ninth most rushing yards. He should be heavily involved in this game. David Johnson, you should feel safe to play. And handicap the Cardinal wide receivers. Like if you're starting them, how are you ranking their production for the week?

52:19 ↗

I'm going to go Kirk fits and then don't really care. Okay. So Kirk overfits this week. It'll be very, very exciting to watch this game, not just for Jason and his, you know, but for our hometown team and seeing what Carla Murray is going to bring to the NFL. For someone that has spent the last couple of years just banging the drum for C.J. Anderson, we got a lot of people championships last year.

52:49 ↗

off of C.J. Anderson's work for the Los Angeles Rams. I hate you, C.J. Anderson. I mean, I just, you are, you are, like, the game hasn't played. He was my twin. You were two peas in a pot. I know. And I'm just telling you, you've turned. I have turned because I am so afraid of what C.J. Anderson is going to do in this game, especially after watching Mike Davis.

53:16 ↗

Yeah. Giants. Cowboys. Cowboys at home. Seven point favorites. 45 and a half point over under. What are we expecting out of this game? Would you start Sterling Shepard on the giant side of the football? If I can avoid it, I would prefer to do that. Okay. Shepard was a later pick. I think he's going to be fine over the course of the season, but this is not where I'm taking my shot. In Dallas? Yes. Evan Ingram? Oh, yeah. That's what I'm watching for on this team with that report that came out late.

53:45 ↗

The big plans for Evan Engram. Let's see if they are actually true. On the Dallas side of the football, Dak and Amari, the two players still without monstrous contracts on this roster. Are you expecting big things at home from Dak and company? Jason, I know you love Dak this week. Yes, I am. Look, once he got Amari Cooper last year, he was the quarterback six the rest of the way. On our serious XM show, I made him my start of the week. I'm going to give you both. You get both this week. I get both Kirk Cousins and Jack Press. Yes, you're feeling under the weather.

54:14 ↗

You get two starts of the week at quarterback, Kirk Cousins and Dak, so you love him. The Cowboys are the third highest implied team total according to Vegas this week. The matchup is great. They're at home, and you might have Zeke on some kind of a snap count. The best receiving core for the Cowboys that they've had since Dak has been there. You know, if Dak fails here.

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