Week 1 Studs & Duds + Monday Punday - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/13

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to the fantasy footballers podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Oh, welcome in. Monday, September 13th. Welcome into the glass cage of emotion. That is, week one, fantasy football reactions. Jason Moore, Mike Wright. I'm Andy Holloway, the fantasy footballers. We're holding your hand.

We're here to give you a moment of silence if it went poorly. I'm still tilted. I know. Arms are wide open, guys. Ooh, like Scott Step. And the embrace and this is this is one of those three second hugs. Okay, but no matter what, no matter what, it went well. Bring it in. Yeah. You had a hard time. Bring it in. Bring it in. And this is a three second hug. This is one of those where we're going to hold. That's for real. One Mississippi.

Two, we're going to breathe. Three Mississippi. And let's get back to work. I was watching the game last night. And it was an enjoyable game. It was interesting. And but I'm a little bit off. And my wife's like, what is wrong? Are you? I'm like,

My fantasy team. Yeah. And we're back. Freaking Tyreek Hill, man. Look, I've got some reassuring news for everybody out there. At this point last year, we were 6.25% of the way through the season. And this year we're only 5.88%. Ooh. I like those numbers. Because we got an extra game. Honestly, it is so hard to manage expectations of a weekly game. Yes. Over the course of a season.

in week one. And that's what we're going to do today. There are things we learned that are, I think, prescriptive, things that we are afraid of that I don't think we need to be. And, you know, we're going to get into all of that. But the emotions and the reactions of week one are insane. If what happened this week identically happened in week seven, it's totally different. It's totally, it just, because this confirms all the talk.

This confirms or denies all of the thoughts and expectations. The problem with that is it's just one week. Yeah, it doesn't actually. No, I have some numbers. There's a really, if you want the numbers for week one, if you want the come down off of that reaction, all of the emotions, go read the article on our website by Matt DeSorbo.

He talks, he plots out the week one performances over the last few years, the breakout performances and the inverse. We're going to get into some of those names today. We're going to go through studs and duds. We're going to go through the pooped in their big boy pants. We got Monday punday momentarily. Of course. I mean, that would be, that's always an appropriate reaction to the weekend. But when you look at the real numbers, you'll understand what Jason is saying. Because if somebody has a down game or gets injured in week six,

It's just week six, but week one, the authority on whether something is official, which is Twitter, has confirmed that week one is the most important week. And you need us to walk you through this. We need you to walk us through this. And we'll survive. By the way, one of the numbers I'll throw out at the very top because we'll get into some of the studs and duds. But with the breakout week one performances,

Just 13% of those historically end up being a top 12 running back wide receiver or tight end. Just 39% end up being a top 24 wide receiver running back or tight end for the rest of the year. So the odds are not in your favor that it's prescriptive. And these are for players that are drafted at low ADP. So the break, you know, the Christian Kirk's like week one are those type of players. Right. Very rarely is that prescriptive. And we're going to help you through it. But.

Let's get sophisticated. Let's get sophisticated. Yes. Let's go to San Francisco, shall we? How about Brandon? I yuck. Or Brandon, I puke. More appropriate. Or maybe we go to Debo Manuel. Oh, now you're a man. Or?

Debo Super Sanual! You said it incorrectly. Fix me. You are uncultured. We are very sophisticated. Debo Super Sanual. Ah, Rahim, Most Hurt. Went from Must Heart, Must Start to Most Hurt. Let's go to Green Bay, shall we? The Green Bay Slackers. Or the Aaron Fragers.

Discount double choke? That's one of my favorite I've ever seen. The discount double choke. Oh, how about Detroit Hock City? I like that. Or Super Cup. Mike Goose. Icky. Kyler McFlurry. Grongkowski. Ryan Hips, tragic. Oh, no, not the hip. I don't like that one. And then we do have some repeat classics that we'll get into, like.

Pulio Jones. Classic Ezekiel Smelliot. And Clyde Medwards Iler. Or Devante Saddam's. And of course, James Winston. What a performance. By us? In that sense. Oh, yes, yes, yes, exactly. Except for Jason, Jason, it was a super awesome Dragon Ball Z. You got to hop in. You think I've watched that show? Yeah.

No. Dragon Ball Z, not for nerds. I don't blame Jason because the pun made more sense the way he said it with his last name. You know what I mean? Sure. But did you guys see Debo Samuel this weekend? Did you see him? Yeah. Yeah, we saw him. Very prescript. He's the only prescriptive one. The lions saw his backside along. Oh, goodness.

Yes, they did. Twitter at the FF ballers, listen, I want to invite you right now. Go to jointhefoot.com. You will get an extra episode of the show. You will be a part of the largest, most spectacular fantasy football community on planet Earth. The Foot clan is mighty and strong and incredibly awesome. And you can join that community at join thefoot.com and get a bunch of premium tools for in season, our consistency charts, our streamfinder.

and a whole lot more. That is our community for the end season. The ultimate draft kit was February through September. Now you had to join Thefoot.com and get on board for the next 17 weeks. Ooh. The Fantasy Footballers.com for all the articles. And let's talk news. News and notes from around the league. Presented by Sleeper.

Man, stuff to talk about. Let's start in San Francisco here because he had a couple bits of news. One was the surprise inactive of Trey Sermon on Game Day, which was, it was surprising. It was crazy. And I know we have a lot to talk about with San Francisco in general. And maybe, maybe Mike, you deserve, or Kyle Shanahan deserves the magic card tricks. Because it's getting to the point now where either the beat riders in San Francisco are,

Checking Twitter the same way we are and not glued into what's happening at camp. Or you have a magician in Kyle Shanahan taking lessons from Matt Nagy. You might have both. So you had two things happen here. One was Trace Sermon Surprise inactive, which look, if people want to, and they were on Twitter, all over me over Rahim Most are getting hurt predictably, right? Two for 20, then he's injured. Oh, 10 yards per carry. Here's the thing.

Kyle Shanahan didn't see that coming because you would have had Trace Serman active on game day. Instead, you have a couple of running backs, Elijah Mitchell and Jamichael Hastie, who are big time special teams contributors, not something that Trace Sermon does. And so Rahe Moster goes down, knee injury, apparently, according to the beat riders that I checked in on. So wink, wink. He'd been dealing with a knee injury on and off during camp, and this was a reaggravation. They're not concerned about ACL, but.

You should be concerned because Rahim Mossert is a walking injury factory lately. I mean, we're moments removed from him saying, check out my muscles. And then he goes down in two plays. But Trey Sermon's inactivity, what that means for fantasy. And then the other one is Brandon Ayuk. Brandon Ayuk played behind Trent Sherefield, didn't play much. Right. And everything we knew about camp, which was Trey Sermon.

locked in the second running back role and Brandon Ayuka's poised to return to glory after last year. What do we do? Yeah, I mean, the beat reporters that I follow, I need to unfollow. But I agree with you. I wonder if it's them being bad at their jobs, which you were. Or if just Kyle Shanahan makes it really hard to do your job. But the.

We're going to talk about Elijah Mitchell tomorrow on the waivers when it comes to what do you do? How much do you go in? How much is this prescriptive? Trace sermon now, all of the questions regarding that. With regards to Iyuk, at least that was combined. Kyle Shanahan came out and said it was combined with the fact that he missed 10 days with the hamstring injury. But he was active in the game. They didn't just.

you know, take him out and rest him completely. So it was very, very disappointing. And, you know, I think where do you go from here with Brandon Ayuk? Do you have to, I mean, at this point, you have to bench him until he is more involved than past the hamstring? Yes. And that can be even piggybacked on the data that we got this week and about people coming back off of.

hamstring injuries in general, whether that was Austin Eccler returning, who did fall into the end zone, but the workload was diminished where you saw more of Roundtree and Justin Jackson. The hamstring injury, if you had just played Debo last year when he dealt with one, you would have regretted it because there was re-injury and some issues. You need to let him prove it at this point. And I think the lesson from Shanahan has been, I'm not going to give a young player carte blanche.