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Main show · May 3, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - David Johnson Interview, Draft Thoughts & Review

RSSMay 3, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - David Johnson Interview, Draft Thoughts & Review

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Inside the episode

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40:30 ↗

player who makes plays after he gets the balls in his hands, and he always catches those short passes. So if there's a team that could utilize him, the New York Giants, they threw over 550 wide receiver sets. That's a lot of time, and that's him on the field, even if Victor Cruz is playing. So he is a bona fide starter day one. I don't even know if I understood the 550.

40:56 ↗

thing you said, but it sounded like a lot. It's a big number. 550 is 50 more than 500. Oh, how many 50s is that? In passing attempts with three wide receivers on the field, they did that 550 times. As far as ranking for Dynasty, Doxon's going to be my one out of that group because I believe that Josh Doxon can be a number one. And I think he will be the number one wide receiver for Washington. Does Pierre Garsohn gone? Garsohn?

41:25 ↗

And D Jax, the questions are they gone this year? I don't think Dijax has gone this year. No. But both of them are, well, yeah, now, they won't both be gone this year, but they are both on the last year of their contract. Garson, there was already rumors that I thought were kind of weird that Garson was going to get cut, but now you throw in an elite level wide receiver like Josh Doxon, Garson with his bigger contract becomes expendable, and you replace him with the rookie. And you got Jameson Crowder there.

41:52 ↗

You have Deshawn Jackson, Josh Doxon. Is Cousins a winner? Let's talk Redskins for a second. Redskins, time out. Matt Jones, Kurt Cousins, Josh Doxon. Winner, winner? Yeah, you have to think so. I mean, I'm trying to remember the running back that Washington drafted, but they didn't spend a high equity pick on a running back. So you have to believe that Matt Jones is their guy. Matt Jones and Chris Thompson are their one and two.

42:19 ↗

uh punch as for now keith marshall yes that's it thank you keith marshall if you put your uh you know your ear out there right now i'm i'm hearing a lot at least from fantasy players a lot of optimism about matt jones oh yeah in the community there's just a lot of optimism i just i don't know what to make of it i don't know how high he'll come up and that will ultimately determine whether he's on my teams but there's a lot of positive and that's not how it felt towards the end of the year

42:47 ↗

Like all the Matt Jones feeling towards the end of the year, all the production towards the end of year was fumble related, was low yards per carry, was bad performance for three games, and then you catch a swing pass and run at 70 yards, and that's it. Remember when I was telling people to write your list down at the end of the year while all your football feelings are fresh? That's true. Because the offseason comes and starts messing with your brain. So go back to that. That's the way people thought about Matt Jones because he was bad.

43:16 ↗

But they didn't do anything to, I mean, they were saying, hey, we believe in him, we think he's going to get the fumbling under control. And you didn't know if that was a smokescreen going into the draft, but it wasn't because they didn't draft anyone of relevance. And that's totally fair, but that doesn't mean Matt Jones will perform on the field. Sure. Even with the opportunity, it doesn't mean he's good. And I think my own, my jury is out. I'm going to guess that Matt Jones will be.

43:44 ↗

one of those like late third fourth round. Matt Jones or Frank Gore this year. Frank Gore. Frank Gore was probably the running back number 12 last year.

43:54 ↗

I know it doesn't seem like it, and I know he's 33 years old. But if we're talking a redraft league, you've got a guy who's going to be drafted way behind Matt Jones, first of all. And even if I had to pick... He probably outproduces him. He will definitely outproduce him. Does the Aryan Foster Watch begin? Yes. And that, I think the Colts, the Colts have to have another running back. Miami, Indianapolis, Washington. Washington.

44:16 ↗

Washington and Indianapolis. Those are the two places that seem like they... Well, and he's visited Miami. I mean, that's got to be a consideration. I think after Kenyon Drake, I don't know that they would go and get Aaron Foster. Where was Drake drafted? He was the third running back taken in the draft. And when we get to him... We need to make more of that then. Yeah, no. So I'll talk about that right now with Kenyon Drake and the Miami Dolph. His name is Drake. It's like a dragon. Yeah.

44:43 ↗

All I can think about is calling people on a cell phone. Yeah, I know. Hit me on a cell phone. Here's the deal. I have heard, and I will give you the opinion of most fantasy analysts, which is different than my own. Here's what most people are saying. I'm really excited for Jay Ajai because what they did is they went out and they drafted a third down back, a guy who is pretty much exclusively a pass catching back.

45:08 ↗

And that shows that they are willing to make Jay Ajai the guy. And sure, he might be in a little bit of a time share, but Jay Ajai is the starter. Kenyon Drake is merely a pass catching back. I personally disagree with this because I think Kenyon Drake is a phenomenal running back. Obviously the Dolphins do too. They took him as the third running back off the board. There were plenty of other guys. And that's the thing. Fantasy analysts are saying, well...

45:32 ↗

there were better running backs on the board. Well, clearly then Miami didn't, they disagree with you. They didn't draft him just to be a backup. They drafted him to be great. And he was, you go and you look at the film, and he was great. He just didn't have a lot of work because he broke his leg and missed 2014. But he is a talented guy from Alabama. And his past catching ability, for me, when I pick a running back in a timeshare, if it's like a 50-50 timeshare.

45:59 ↗

I want the pass catcher because he's more game flow. Every game flow, you need a pass catching back. Not every game flow, you need the guy who's not that third down guy. Now, it's a fair point. You know, we talked about where we had Ajai. I haven't had 18 right now before we kind of adjust for the draft. They still have Damian Williams in Miami. Am I wrong? Well, I think you're...

46:22 ↗

Correct. It's 24 years old. They've, I mean, they... They got Daniel Thomas. Every team needs, obviously, a stable... Daniel Thomas. A stable of running backs. This, the pick of Drake does not talk me out of Ajai. I think they believe in him, and Najai was... I mean, you're talking about a guy who scored 30 touchdowns in his senior year. I love Ajai. Last year, I was saying that's the guy to watchful. I think I'm going to keep him... I think he's going to end up staying right around 18 to 24 in my rankings as a two with upside potential if he somehow...

46:52 ↗

if they're willing to give them the workload. The last wide receiver I want to mention very quickly, I think he just, Michael Thomas. Yeah, I was going to bring him up. New Orleans. There's a lot of different weapons there, and Breeze is known for spreading the wealth. You've got Fleener, you have cooks, you got Sneed, Ingram out of the backfield, Spiller is still in the NFL. So...

47:20 ↗

How much can we really expect from Michael Thomas, or is this more of a dynist? Is Brandon Coleman the bigger loser than Michael Thomas is the winner? I mean, how do you look at that draft page? Jason and I actually had a, we were disagreeing on Twitter over this because I think this takes a hit to Willie Sneed. Now, I don't think this kills Sneed at all because you're talking about a rookie compared to a guy who all basically had a thousand yard season. Who was on the side of Sneed takes a hit?

47:50 ↗

I was. I agree with you. And the reason I said that was because Brandon Coleman, obviously Brandon Coleman takes the biggest hit, as he will be replaced by Michael Thomas. But why I think that Sneed will take a hit is because now you actually have Michael Thomas, a guy who can legitimately take targets away. Coleman couldn't. Right. Where Brandon Coleman is just kind of...

48:13 ↗

there flopping around on the field. Brandon Coleman is still going to have a role. Just get ready for that. Get ready. Get ready for it. He was the training camp champ last year and they liked the guy. And he didn't perform. But I would be ready for it. He didn't perform because he stinks and he won't have a role. There's a big difference between stinking and not having a role. Just for you. Devante Adams. Sure. And my point is he won't matter at all for fantasy. Brandon Coleman. He'll start. No, he won't.

48:42 ↗

Brandon Coleman will not start because if you want, if you're putting your finger over a water bet, yeah, you go ahead and make that water bet.

48:48 ↗

What is the parameters of this bet? I mean, that's too complicated. So here's why I think it doesn't hurt. Not betting on Brandon Coleman. Here's why I think it does not hurt Willie Sneed that much. It's because what I believe is that, and I love this landing spot for Michael Thomas. I believe Michael Thomas, a 6-3 guy who is a great route runner, not the super athlete that, you know, you want metrics-wise, which is why he was able to get to New Orleans.

49:14 ↗

But he's a big guy with pristine routes and good hands. That sounds to me like Marcus Colston. A guy who ran good routes wasn't a supreme athlete but was big and was a favorite of Drew Breeze. So to me, he's taking over for the combination of Colston who retired, right? Those targets are gone. Now you have Coleman who stinks, not having to be on the field. And so you've got, that's who I think Michael Thomas is. He is the Colston.

49:44 ↗

and Coleman, Colston and Coleman are replaced by him, and now you've got three guitars. That's such a presumption for a rookie to step in and do that. I mean, it's just a very hard task, in my opinion. I mean, it's possible. Well, if he doesn't... His name is... Sneed did it. But if he doesn't do that, if you're saying he's not good enough to replace both of those guys, then all the more he is not going to hurt Sneed. Only if he does better than those two guys...

50:10 ↗

Will he actually hurt Willie Sneed? Here's why he could hurt Willie Sneed, because Willie Sneed was a rookie last year. And he had an impact and he had a role, but those things aren't solidified, especially when you talk about wide receiver twos and threes. Guys can come in as rookies and have a role, and then you bring in another crop, and training camp settles those things. You don't have, Sneed doesn't come in locked and loaded. None of those guys do. They like Brandon Coleman. Publicly, they come out and say they like him. I'm not saying they should, but when you don't have a first-round pedigree,

50:39 ↗

Which Sneed does not. Mm-hmm. And you have an up and down to some degree season. He still was very good. I get it. I know all the numbers. I just think you can't guarantee something from that position. That being said, I think the biggest problem with Michael Thomas is his name is too generic. Right. He's not Tyler Boyd. There's two of them. Or Doxin. Those are cool names. Yeah, he's as Twitter has dubbed him the bad Michael Thomas. Because there's two that were drafted. There's two, one. There's the one from SMU who went to the Rams, and he was.

51:09 ↗

jokingly called the good Michael Thomas but who I I like him on the Rams before talking about the other Mike Thomas I hate to do this we have to cut

51:19 ↗

Our review short. I mean, we're going to be back here on Thursday, but we've got to cut it short now. That's all the time we got for today's show. Hopefully you enjoyed our special guest as well as the rookie review. There's so much to talk about. We didn't even get to running back impacts to the DeMarco discussion. We're going to get to all that. Make sure you follow the Twitter. We'll be talking about it all week. And on Thursday, we'll talk more.

51:40 ↗

draft, rookie review, and impact. Also on Jointhefoot.com, we'll have our mailbag show. I'm sure there'll be a lot of rookie questions. So if you want to get involved with this show, the fantasy footballers, check out Jointhefoot.com. Get involved. Check out the extra free show. We got so much going on, guys. Yeah, and as a public service announcement to all of our Foot clan.

52:00 ↗

Guys, now is the time to do mock drafts. Right after the NFL draft draft. Start, seeing what happens now. Go to fancydraftwizard.com. That's the tool we use. It's just super quick and easy and free. And you don't need a bunch of other people to do it, which is what makes that nice. And do some mock drafts. It will make you so much better prepared than anything that we could do for you. Do mock drafts, people.

52:23 ↗

And, yeah, we said it before, but it gives you a great sense of where the trends for draft position are for players. So I'm excited we're trending towards a lot of drafts. Like, you know, the Dynasty League drafts are happening now. It's May. I mean, I'm excited. I'm holding it in. You're holding what in? It's going to be May. All right. Well, on that note, I will say goodbye.

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