Week 3 Matchups + Wheel of Shame! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/20

Check it down to him. It looks like Rahim Moster's probably not going to play. So A-chan's in. Tyree kills in. I don't expect monstrous game. And Jalen Waddles benched. Okay. That seems like we covered that one. Baltimore is 0.2. You talked about this, Jason, yesterday. Dallas is one-on-one. They're playing in Dallas and the DK Sportsbook line is actually Baltimore minus one on the road. Is that the most updated line, Kyle? Correct. Baltimore minus one in Dallas. So Vegas does not like what they've seen from the Dallas defense so far this year at all. And Dallas just got beat at home by New Orleans. So maybe the, you know. This is like the first playoff game of this season. Because if you go one and two or oh and three, which one of these teams will leave this game as a loser, you are looking at. Well, the Ravens are really hoping to be one and two. Fair, fair. I guess both teams could leave as one and two.

Which is wild in and of itself. The losing team of this game will have harder odds, obviously, to make the playoffs, and they'll be looking at a gauntlet. Baltimore has allowed the most passing yards in football. So Dak, Seedy, that bodes well for them at home. Dallas has been destroyed on the ground. So Derek Henry. Yes, sir. These are two teams I think we expected to come in and have imposing defenses. because that's the way that they've been for years, and neither one has been able to, I mean, Baltimore got carved by Minchu at home. It was weird. Let that sit. It was weird. So, you know, maybe this over under a 48, this passing yard's line for DAC is set at 253. Okay. Maybe we get.

A fun game, even if one team ends up O'N3 at the end of it. I think it'll be a fun NFL game. Hopefully for fantasy, what we need for fantasy to be fun is we need CD and DAC to get it going, which right now it seems like with what Baltimore has showed us early on through the first two weeks, they should get it going. If CED is healthy, they'll score points. If they score points, then I do think Mark Andrews is going to be very involved. The Dallas defense is kind of middle of the pack against tight ends. The utilization of Mark Andrews was very good last week. He should, I think this is going to be his get right game. Do you go right back to Tert Ferguson if he's active? I think so. I'd be comfortable with that. Because he's been limited. He's trending to play. Tert Ferguson? Or is they like you? Oh. Same game. I'd go Fergie. So Mike split the time. I would go Ferguson. Okay. Let me ask him again in a couple minutes.

Hold on. Ask me tomorrow. Okay. Yeah, tomorrow it'll in my change. So start, sit decisions outside of the big boys. Zayflowers had a big game. Mark Andrews started the week for Jason. Jalen Tolbert, you're keeping a little bit of an eye on him because the targets were there last week and he played a bunch of snaps. Yeah, we're keeping our eye on some stuff of like the split of Brandon Cooks or Jalen Tolbert. Like Tolbert was, Cooks was good week one. Tolbert was the guy in week two. So I don't really have confidence to start. any of them. And then the running back room is just, it's on watch. Yeah, what are you doing, Dallas, man? Right now I'm not forcing anyone into my lineup. If I'm playing anyone, it's Rico Dowdle. But I would prefer to just have Dowdle on my bench another week and see how it shakes up. That is the right. That's the right choice. I mean, Baltimore last year, 14 points given up to the entire running back group for a team. This year, they're right on par with that 14.6. All of those names we mentioned earlier, I would start.

over, you know, any of the... Any Dallas option? Yes, correct. Yeah, that's fine. But it's just the quick reminder of Elliot was at, was six for 16 last week. Deuce Vaughn was four for 11. Dowdo was the only running back who did, he started, and he was the only one who had any efficiency. And yet he only had seven carries. Yeah, yeah. So it's like... The volume's not there yet. So Dallas has to figure out what they're doing. I think Dallas might try something new at running back every week. They might. The San Francisco 49ers at one and one, taking on the Los Angeles Rams in L.A. The Rams are 0 and 2 and 6 and a half point home underdogs against the 49ers. The overrunners, 43 and a half. I mean, this gives the Rams 18 and a half points. The 49ers implied point totals 25. Both teams going through major injury issues. No Debo. Kittle is, we'll see right now. Like, I assume we're.

starting kill if he's active. Yes. And then Brandon Ayuk, he hasn't got any going yet. This will be a chance to do that. And the Rams are just reeling. They have offensive line issues. They have cornerback issues. They have two starting wide receivers that we all drafted to be great that are going to be on the bench. No Cooper Cup and no Pooka Nakua this week, which means like Kairn so far has been very inefficient. Kyrin has, he's one of the few runners that have so many opportunities, but hasn't even had a 10-yard run this year. We talked about, you know, Brees Hall and Braylon Allen's impact on Brees Hall's ceiling. Are these injuries too hard to overcome for Kyrin in terms of top five potential? Yeah, I think that they are too hard to overcome for top five potential. He's going to be utilized. They'll pass the ball to him. If they get to the goal line, they'll use him. He's certainly a player I'm still starting, but this isn't an exciting matchup. Obviously, the 49ers have.

a very good defense. So you're just not expecting big things. It's not just the line. Again, on the road, currently six and a half point favorites is pretty ridiculous. But like Jordan Mason started running back for the 49ers, his line is 92 and a half rushing yards. Holy moly. Rushing yards. His line is 92 and a half yards rushing on the road. I might take the over, man. Yeah. That's what I'm saying of like the, the. The sharps, what they are expecting from this game is a lot of, is a beatdown of the Rams. For context, there. That is the highest of any running back this week. So, wow. I mean, and what's going to happen is if you get out of control, if the Rams can't protect Matthew Stafford and, you know, you get a touchdown lead here, you're just going to have them running down the throats of the Rams over and over and over. Are you playing any of the Rams wide receivers who got picked up?

Yeah, yeah, I think so. I think DeMarcus Robinson's a good flex option. Okay. That's the one that I would want. You could take random flying shots on anyone else. The shots are flying. I mean, you want to put in Tutu, you want to put in Tyler Johnson. That's the problem with all the other guys. Tyler Whittington, Tutu, it feels like DeMarcus is the one that you know is going to be out there the most. Yeah, I mean, put it this way. I would go to Marcus. And then after that, I would go Joanne Jennings on the other side of the ball. Over two, two, over Tyler Johnson. I think Joanne Jennings is like this week's spot start from the waiver wire if you need one of those. The only problem with Joanne Jennings is, I mean, that rushing line for Jordan Mason insinuates they might not need to throw the ball a lot. They're just going to run the second half of the game out. The Rams. So it's 49ers this week on the road against the Bears, at home against the Packers.

Buy week. Las Vegas Raiders at home. Minnesota Vikings at home. Those are almost all good defenses. Oh, gosh. That's brutal. That's brutal for fantasy. All right. Anything else in this game? Colby Jack, we're avoiding. For now. I'm worried he's going to have to block. Yeah. Yeah. Detroit is one-on-one, and they take on the Arizona Cardinals also one-on-one. The drafting sports book line here, Detroit minus three on the road against Arizona. How dare you? The old runner, the old runners are beautiful. Have you heard this song? Detroit by three. Over under 51 and a half. It's very nice. Will the pants be coming off this week? I believe it says, I'm never going back to the pants store, Andy. So Marvin Harrison, we are. Yes. We are calm, collected, and happy.

Yeah, I mean, the Rams, or I'm sorry, the lions over the last couple years have been very easy to figure out. And so far to start this season, it is similar. You cannot run on them, and you can and must throw on them. It is a wonderfully predictable thing for fantasy football. So this is a game you want the wide receivers in. I think Greg Dorch is actually another very good spot start. He's sitting out on your waivers right now. If you're in a full PPR, I think you can put them in. and you're going to get five, six, seven receptions because the most slot points given up slot receptions is to, I mean, you saw all this with Chris Godwin last week, just have a monster game because that's where Detroit is most susceptible. But Marvin obviously should be good. Tyler should be good. James Connor, you hold your breath. You're not going to bench him, but you, I mean, I don't know if you've got great options, but I would, I would still play.

James Connor, but you just can't expect a ton. I'd still play him. His rushing yard line is still sitting at 61.5. That's healthy enough when you combine in the receptions he should get. And Tray McBride has the highest target share of tight ends right now. Where are you sitting with this Jared golf experience in 2024? This is a... Very disappointed? I mean, the dominator narrative has not proved true. Get this man outside. He needs some fresh air. He's a domster fire. So what do we think? It should still work. Yeah, I mean, all of the process, it is very difficult. He threw the ball 55 times. How many? It is very difficult to have a bad performance, followed by a bad performance, and then start that player. But the process, this is not, golf has played for years. Yeah.

This is not like he forgot how to play. It's not like he's not throwing a lot of yardage through the first two weeks. Golf is a good play this week. He really is. It's difficult to say that you sound stupid after back-to-back losses. This is a 51.5 point spread where, you know, you're going to throw. And the Cardinals don't have cornerbacks that can really stop these wide receivers. James and Williams, your start of the week should be awesome. His line is 54 and a half. Yeah. Ammon Rae St. Brown is awesome. Those two guys should feast, and it's really just a matter of who gets the touchdowns. So if David Montgomery leaves this game with two touchdowns, okay, you're going to be sad. Maybe Jared Goff didn't have a monstrous performance. But I think Jared Goff is someone, like I would start him over all the guys that I'm debating on my team right now, Anthony Richardson and Brock Purdy and Gino Smith. Goff would be in over them. What are other question marks from this game that you want to talk about? Anything else? I mean, is this a...

Is Tray McBride going to have his breakout performance this week? I mean, he had it last week. Yeah, last week. No, he did not. That touchdown. Six for 607. He did not have a breakout performance. Six for 67 with a touchdown is. Keep the bar higher from McBride, please. Well, recovering fumbles is not the standard that I have for him. The where the bar is for tight ends right now. Yeah, he's crushing that. That's a breakout game. Okay. But low bar. Yeah, the bar is very low. You start pretty much everyone everywhere. I think the real thing to keep your eyes on is Leporta. Just be, you know, is he very involved or not? Yeah, where did that quote came from? That wasn't that English. That wasn't right grammar. Yeah, whatever. I was trying to read and talk at the same time. Okay, it was from Ben Johnson saying, quote, last week it was Amun Ross St. Brown. This week is Leporta. Next week it's going to be somebody else. That's just the nature of the beast.

Got a lot of weapons. It's hard to guarantee someone five to eight targets every single game. That's just not how it works. Yeah. Yeah, it's accurate. He's right. And that will be upsetting. Welcome to San Francisco when everyone's healthy. That's literally what happens. If Leporta has a great game, then you worry that maybe that means that JMO doesn't. Right. And for my trade, I hope maybe not. All right. We'll take a break. Come back with the Chiefs Falcons. By the way, we get double Monday Night Football this week. Mike, it's the... What? It's the special double header. Are they starting it? Yeah, that's what time? Oh, they're like one hour apart. They're 45 minutes staggered. Yeah, that's so stupid. What? I want to watch it all, man. You're struggling your shoulders. You like it. I don't know. I got more screens than one. I got a phone. I don't mind being a little bit, you know, into two games. That's all right. We'll be okay.

It's double football time, Mike. All right, the Chiefs, Sunday night football take on the Falcons. Falcons and prime time again, Chiefs, the DK Sportsbook Line, Chiefs minus three, over under 46 and a half. And there it is. Oh, yeah. Andy's almost upset of the week. I'm in on this one. I thought, I'm in on this one. I thought, I don't, I don't try to force them. So I thought we were out this week. I thought we did not. Like I was tempted by the Rams. Then I started looking at that matchup in McVeigh and what he's done against Shanahan. And like they're getting their butts kicked. Like the 49ers, they don't need to put their helmets on frontways. They could put them on backwards and win that game. But the Chiefs, Falcons, the Chiefs have looked like last week's performance against Cincinnati showed some of the, I think the cracks in the offense, Pacheco. The truth of the matter is, is we cannot always assume that the chiefs just.

magically overcome everything with great efficiency on the offensive side. Losing Pacheco should necessarily be a massive, massive loss to the offensive success of this team, moving the ball down the field, first downs, sustained drives. Pacheco is such a different player than Somage Pryne and Carson Steele. And he's been the engine for about a year now. Yeah, I mean, you looked back at what? I don't know the exact numbers off the top of my head, but I think Patrick Mahomes was the quarterback 12 over the last 11 weeks. And then so far this year is quarterback 14 over the first two. The way this team functions is running the football. And we haven't seen evidence that Kelsey is going to be heavily involved yet. And we haven't had proven like Xavier Worthy is doing everything he can do as a two games into his career rookie with Andy Reed and Patrick Mahomes.

I don't know that Kansas City, like they normally figure it out, but we haven't seen special Mahomes yet. Yeah, this will be really, really interesting to see how the Falcons defense can hold up as well. This is in Atlanta. So the home crowd there, is that part of your almost upset call? Yeah, and the great finish to last week. And the fact that they, like the Falcons were in the game, right? Like the Falcons defense on the road were in the game against Philadelphia. And that's something through a couple of weeks we've seen. Like that game against Pittsburgh, they couldn't move the football in offense. And the first game that Kirk Cousins was back, he looked better last week. And it's, you know, as weird as it is, seeing Aaron Rogers play better and play differently in his third week. You know, you saw Kirk Cousins, week one, not moved, literally not moved. I don't think he took like a snap where he, where he, you know, moved a step.

Then last week he was taking a couple play actions. He was moving. It looked like he was using his legs a little bit more. So now going into week three, I think that's great. Cousins is a couple months off compared to Rogers. So always keep that in mind of. And a more difficult leg. Yeah, yeah, his plant leg. Yes. I mean, that was right, but it just sounded funny. Yeah. This, I agree that this should be an almost upset. It's hard, though, for fantasy. Bejohn's in every single week. Drake London got the, it's not garbage time production, but the catch up, the desperation catching up at the end. You remember earlier, Mike, when you were saying how the Kansas City Chiefs, that's where we were going. Totally took out Jamar Chase. Yeah. Do they choose to, is there? Of course they do.

That is Drake London, that guy for the team. What does that make Darnell Mooney a spot start this week? Because he was three for 88. He seems to be on the same page with Kirk Cousins, who has looked to him down the field. And in a game where they are projected as underdogs, they should have to throw the ball a little bit. The hard part is it should be Kyle Pitts. His lines at 38 and a half yards. But it was not Kyle Pitts. It should be Kyle Pitts. But I. You see his receiving yards line? Yeah, yeah, 38 and a half. It should be him, but if it's not Kyle Pitts, it might just be Ray Ray. Ray MacLeod looked good. We'll see if that's enough. I think I'm fine taking a flex option approach with Darnell Mooney. Drake London is someone that, I feel like because of where you drafted him, because of, you know, the capital spent and everything, you pretty much have to start him.

And I don't want to. No, you don't have to. But let me clarify that statement then because if you're like, well, Mooney is okay as a flex, but I'm benching Drake London. That does not compute. London played well last week to finish the game. He had a good line. I just want to highlight this because we have a consistency snapshot tool on the website and consistency scores for players where we mark what percentage of the time they finish over a usable benchmark. I just want to bring this up because in the last 17 games played for Kyle Pitts, 29% of the time he's over 8 points. That's not good. What great is that? That is a D. You know, who else has a D disgusting? D and consistency, Drake London. But obviously most of these games are Arthur Smith when we're looking at their last rolling 17. I mean, Kyle Pitts would kill for Arthur Smith's level of first read targets. Okay, so let's go. He's not, he's being targeted.

6% of the time on first reading. These mid guys, like JSN with the breakout last week or Drake London. Probably JASN. Amari Cooper. Amari Cooper. Get the Giants? There I think I would go London. Tank Dell. Come on. Tank. Okay. I'd go tank over Drake London. Yeah. So, but Kyle Pitts is borderline benchable. Yeah. I mean, you can't. You can't bench them, though. I mean, I'm just saying with the landscape of tight ends. This week. looking at like I had the nojoku lost and I'm looking through waiver wires and trying to find a matchup that makes sense and it's just like I don't know that who I don't know who is out there on the waivers I would start over the Falcons have the exact same pass run rate as last year just throwing it out there they're just using their better players a little bit more often but Alger looked good and Bijon his line is very high so Bijon's always in your lineup on the other side Rashi Rice is your lock to start Kelsey right now

I think he's a lock in your lineup and you just, you want to see it bounce back. But at running back, Carson Steele is an emergency play. You spent the money on him. I think he'll be okay. Gus Edwards or Carson Steele. I think I'll take the chance on Steele myself. I think I would take it on Steel. I would as well. The Steelers' offense, our defense is very, very good against Gus. Patrick Mahomes, what do you do? You're just playing. I mean, he's probably, yeah, he's probably in a, he's my quarterback 10 right now. Like, you can't be streaming someone over Mahomes, not yet. No, no, but I mean, if, if you happened to draft the Jaden Daniels, uh, golf, like the, you know, I'd play those guys over, over my homes. Oh, man. I, that's a lot of fantasy courage to play golf over Mahomes. Yes. I mean, it's not like Mahomes has been very good. I know, I know.

I just, Mahomes. Emotionally, that would be very difficult. Yeah. Mahomes has not scored 15 fantasy points so far on the season. Paint the picture. A note here that Mahomes has scored more than 17 points once since Halloween last year. That is insane. I mean, the picture is that it's not Carson Steele and it's not Somaget P. Ryan. It's Patrick Mahomes. To who? I mean, Rishi Rice. You get Gadgety with Xavier Worthy. And hopefully. Kelsey is the main beneficiary here of the Pachico injury. Two Monday night games. Jacksonville 0 and 2 taken on the 2-0 Buffalo Bills who have looked pretty good. And the Draft King Sportsbook line, Buffalo minus 5, the overrunners 45 and a half. Jacksonville's looked pretty bad. If there was a button I could push for almost double the line of the week, this would be it. I don't think Jacksonville has the makeup or players to go into Buffalo and do Jack squat.

Okay, I do think they've got a pretty talented defense. This will be a lot of Josh Allen on Josh Allen attempt. They've got a good pass rush, but offensively, I'm so impressed by the Bill's defense. The bills have lost so many assets on defense, both through free agency and injury. And McDermott is just, he's a very, very good. He's doing it. Nice. I mean, he's obviously a defensive coach, but I'm just thoroughly impressed based on personnel versus results. Hey guys. Hey guys. I got a fun one for you. Who's completing a higher percentage of their passes? Anthony Richardson or Trevor Lawrence. Andy? You wouldn't be asking that question if the answer was Trevor Lawrence. I am. But, oh, you caught him. It's pretty low, though. It's 51.

Yeah, I mean, 51. I mean, Richardson's at 49. And we're, I mean, we are rightly like being critical of Anthony Richardson's quarterback play. And we have not said great things about Trevor Lawrence this year, but holy crap. That's, I mean, he has made, that's terrible. He's made terrible decisions. They, they, they super miss Calvin Riddle. They super miss him. Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas, like Brian Thomas is there yet. Like he's a super talented athlete two games. But he cannot take over the game yet for you, and at least that we haven't seen. So it's depressing. By the way, a little update for you. No sign of mixing and Pierce at practice. Okay. So it looks like a Cam Acres week might be on the horizon. Right. Travis ETN, so far, Buffalo, that's the, they've been funneling it to the run. That would be your player. Yep. But I don't think I'm touching another player. And emergency might be Brent and Strange because.

Yes, that's a player. That's a player's name. He plays tight end and Evan Ingram's not going to play. And last week he had six targets. So if you get desperate, like if I'm going Colby Parkinson or Britain Strange, I'm probably chasing Britain Strange. Yes. If you're down that deep and low, then yes, Britain Strange. That's where it's like. Deep and low. That's where you're talking about pivots from there. That's where I would just keep with Kyle Pitts. I'm not going to go to Britain Strange there. And Brian Thomas, he has been. outstanding. That dude is awesome. He's going to be a great football player. This is not a good week for him. Both last year and this year, the bills were top six against wide receivers and fantasy points given up. The bills are at home. So I'm looking elsewhere. Only eight targets on the year for Brian Thomas total. So that's the challenge. You've got to catch that lightning in a bottle.

On the other side, what are you doing at wide receiver for Buffalo? Is it Kalil Shakir as a flex? Yeah, it's Shakir and logout. I don't think so personally, based on the absurd, absurd rate Jacksonville's playing man defense. Jacksav, Shakir is more of their zone beater. I think I'm not playing him, but I'm just calling my shot that I think Keon Coleman is probably the best play this week. More receptions than last week? Yes, I will declare it. Okay. Okay. For Dalton Kincaid, is this a kind of a red alert week for you? You'd like to see some progress here. Last week was disrupted by an injury midgame. They got him involved early and then it was a blowout. Like they didn't need to throw the football because James Cook went insane. To me, I would love to see it. But I believe his A dot, Kyle, I don't know if you have it in front of you.

I think it's negative. His first two passes of the game were like behind the line of scrimmage. But that was encouraging to me. It said, hey, we didn't use them much week one. Week two, he is our focus to get him started to start the game. That's when he got injured and left. And when he came back, it was a blow. So what Andy's saying, I think, is right. I'm not too panicked on Kincaid yet. I'm saying that this week, let's say we have, Kincaid goes out there and it's another. Four for 30. Yeah, his line is 37 and a half, so it would be four for 37. Disgusting. Saying so if we are under that, where are we? It's the touchdown I'm looking for this week. All right. Let's get in the end zone. If we're five for 42 and a touchdown, I'm happy. And obviously, you start Josh Allen. Oh, and James Cook as well. Yeah, he's been awesome. He's great. He's been so good. They're doing what they want to do on offense and they're two and no.

Yeah, Kincaid's average depth of target on the year is negative.6. I think they're still figuring out the passing game. Sure. I mean, it's all brand new. Washington's one-on-one. They take on the Bengals who are 0-and-2. The D.K. Sportsbook line, Cincinnati, minus seven and a half. The over-under is 47. And so a couple LSU, Heisman, trophy winners, taking one another on in prime time. That should be fun, at least for one of them. And I think that player is Joe Burrow. My start of the week with a passing yard's line of 264. Delightful. That's healthy. Jason has Zach Moss as the start of the week. You know, somebody wrote in and said, we really messed up because we didn't tell him to start Moss over Romandre. Hmm. That was my start of the week. And I said, hindsight, you know, is not currently programmed into the start sit tool.

Remandre was leading the NFL in touches, but now you wish you had the chance to start Zach Moss instead of him. Through two weeks, he went from 65% to 80% of the snaps. 75% of the running back attempts. Pretty confident. Five carries inside the 20. They went out and they gave him money, and he is the starting running back here. Chase Brown is the backup. That's clear through two weeks. A little bit like Pollard and Spears has worked out. Exactly like that. And if you look at, you know, last year, the Washington Commander's defense was historically bad at fantasy points given up to both quarterback and running back. So I agree with both of our starts of the week here. You just target the commanders. If you see the commanders, you hope that your team is facing them and not your opponents. The way I am handling T. Higgins, by the way, like he was limited on Thursday. Hopefully we see.