Week 15 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, A Bit Cheaper - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/15

He had one big giant run. Hey, man. That's one more than he had all year. I get it. Drake London had a huge week last week. The matchup is not good because, well, the Panthers, they give it up on the ground. It could be a Bijon game. One of the challenges with the Falcons is how do you react to the occasional good game by their pass catchers? Because they slow the game down. They run it down your throat. They're going to play good defense against Bryce Young. I find it risky. Yeah, me too. But I also find it hard not to just play him.

Yeah, I mean, there are certainly options. You know, your opponent had Jacobi Myers in his lineup last week. I'd play Drake London over Jacobi Myers. Results might not go, you know. You would have? I would have. What about, let's go Rishi Rice. I would play Rishi Rice. Jaden Reed. Jaden Reed. Okay. And then we'll go with the, I guess, a harder one. We'll go Calvin Ridley against the Baltimore Ravens. I think that's where I would go Drake London. Okay. Do you feel like? Drake London has a back-to-back performance in Stormy? I guessing when Drake London's going to have his big games is nearly impossible. He's great. He's a great player. I wanted to see what his price was in Draft Kings. He's directly priced next to Gabe Davis and couldn't be a more perfect tandem inside of the. Drake London doesn't do zeros. No, no. That's true. He had 1.3 points two weeks ago. Yeah.

That ain't no goose. He did have a zero in week one. I forgot. Oh, yeah, he started the season. Triglin does do zero. Zero. Last week wasn't as bad for Adam Thielen as it has been. In fact, last week he was five for 74. Is he the one you'd play? Between him and Mingo. Between him and Mingo, if you had to start a wide receiver. Mingo is getting the targets. I would start Adam Thielen over Mingo. Obviously, the targets in the future are Mingo not feeling. But Mingo has yet to prove he can do anything with the targets. He's not been good on a full season basis. He was wide open for a touchdown last week. And part of him not being good is his quarterback is not good. Yeah. Adam Thielen is usually a little bit closer to the line of scrimmage where Bryce Young can hit him. But I don't want to play either. Is Thielen a, like I'm just going to play him no matter what? Or?

No. No. The feeling is not locked in. What about Robo? What about Romeo? I would play Dobbs or read over Adam Thiel. Yeah, I would too. Kyle Pitts had the most snaps of the year last year or sorry of the year last week. He scored? I don't want to play. I don't blame you. The passing game here is not one that you want. I know that they had a good, Pitts had a good game. London had a good game. But against the Carolina Panthers, this is a team where you run the ball on them. Every team that faces them just ends up by the end of the game running and not throwing much. So that includes Kyle Pitts. That includes Drake Lennon. Bejohn is a smash start. It should be great. But the past catching options, you've got to just look at your lineup and probably pivot to others. That'll be it for this matchup, 34.0 over under 33.5. Not an exciting one. Breaking news. Just an update for you. Tyree Kiel did not practice again today.

So he has mispracticed all three games this week. He's 458 yards away from 2000. Do you think he plays? He's listed as questionable, so not listed as doubtful. I imagine he'll suit up. I'm about 60-40 on him playing still because he plays through injury. He's 458 yards away from 2000. Here's the problem, though. If the backbone of your team is Tyreek Hill, it could be a tough week. him playing does not guarantee that Tiger Kill has a humongous week against the Jets. The Jets are the best team against opposing wide receivers. And he could leave injured if his ankle bothered him again. So I think he suits up, but you better have a plan is what I'm saying. You better be ready with somebody else if he doesn't go because we... What about Tua? Tua, I'm not starting. You just bail out? Tua is straight up a bench for me. He was before you even thought A-chan or...

That's right. I mean, Tua didn't score 10 fantasy points against the Jets a little while ago. The Jets don't give up a lot to quarterbacks. If you look at Tua's game log, yeah, he's got a lot of really big, awesome performances. But he has just as many really bad, awful performances, even in games where they win, but the touchdowns come on the ground. I think Tyreek will play, and I don't think A-chan will. That's my current opinion. That is where I stand as well. We'll see if A-chan practices today. And like I said, if you haven't. done it before. If you go to join the foot.com and you're a supporter of the show, you get access to the injury blitz. So Matthew Bess is going to have all that analysis, our injury expert. So go check that out. Washington, 4 and 9, RAMs, 6 and 7. Draft King Sports McLean, Los Angeles, minus 6 and 1⁄2. The over-under is 50. Here's a game we like. Ram's offense, 31, 36, 37 points the last three weeks.

Even against good defenses like Baltimore last week, the commander's defense is collapsing. They've fallen apart. I mean, purposely. Collapsed. Yeah, yeah. Yes, thank you. Like the building is down. Yeah, you can just walk right where it used to be. The Rams, there's no piece that you don't want. Correct. Kyron is obviously in. Andy, you said you think he's going to be the running back one on the week. You forgot Christian McCaffer plays Arizona, but I understand what you're saying. Cooper Cup is in. Puka is absolutely in. Stafford, I'd start over anyone that isn't just clear and obvious that got you to the playoffs because they are one of the best quarterbacks in the league. Lamar. Wow. I think I would rather play Stafford. Lamar. I'm not living the one week. Lamar.

I'm not doing the Gabe Davis thing you were talking about where I only look at the film from last week. I'm going three-year window or three-week window for Lamar. And when I was bringing up Tua and how he's had amazing performances, but really bad performances, even in victories, that's, Lamar came to mind. Lamar has the ability to score 45, but Lamar has the ability to score 12.5 because they just rushed touchdowns in. Got one more for you. Brock Purdy. I'll play Purdy. Yeah, pretty against the Cardinals. He's been on fire. Right now he's my quarterback three, so I'm going to have him ahead. Yeah, Kyron, Stafford, Cooper, Puka, and then, well, let's not mess around with tight ends there. Higby could be back. He could be sharing time. And just if you are desperate, Tutu Atwell did not practice, or he was limited, so you have to pay attention to it. But DeMarcus Robinson is the prime benefactor if Tutu misses. He had 10 targets last week. It's not a absolute must play.

But you could be in a situation where you're looking for somebody and there's going to be points in this game. Yeah, I also think on the other side of the ball, it is dicey. You are not going to have a clear and easy time playing Tara McLaurin or Jahan Dotson. But in the game makeup like this, where you know Sam Hal's probably going to throw the ball 45 times. And yes, they could all go to Curtis Samuel and Logan Thomas and just not what you want. But we're taking dart throws around the league. This is the game environment. I would still be willing to take a dart throw on Terry McClorn. He's not someone that like, I'm not going like, oh, you have to start him. But you're looking at who could have a big game. Terry could absolutely in this game have a big game. I'd play Samuel over him, though. I think Samuel has a much higher floor, more reliable targets than Terry. I don't think McLaren's got a ceiling either. I mean, he hasn't had one all year long. Yeah, I still think he does just based on talent and career and game environment.

Yeah, it's been bad. It's been bad. I'm not playing Terry McClorian. The Rams are playing for everything. They're at home. They're heavily favored. I'm personally not. I understand. McLaren has a pedigree and a resume that puts him on the table so he could have a big game, no question. It's possible. Certain players is not possible for. So, Mike, you mentioned Logan Thomas, is your start of the week because of opportunity. I'm nervous about 100% of the commanders. Yeah, for sure. Even if the game's got a high over or under, I think at any moment, any of those players could ruin your week. I'm not nervous about Sam Howell. Sam Howell, to me, is pretty much a locked in starter. He is, even in games where he's been bad, he's not always great, but for fantasy purposes? I don't know, man. I don't know. He's not, I mean, you make the same argument with Patrick Mahomes with him. He hasn't been over 20 points one time in the last five weeks. So he's not going to completely destroy you, but.

You know, he's got a floor too. I don't want to play him. The last six weeks, he has not finished lower than the quarterback 10. He's been a top 10 quarterback for a month and a half. That's not good enough. Okay, dokey. I mean, that's fine. I am fine starting Sam Howell. I think that he's just going to throw too much to completely fail, to be someone that goes out there and has 12 fantasy points and ruins you. Joe Flacco, Sam Hal, Mike. I'd go Howell. All right. And then we, it's a slight update, not definitive, but Robinson not spotted at the media portion of practice that does, as we've learned, that does not mean they will not practice. But Gibson is, Gibson's dart throw running back. Gibson's been a top 24 running back three of the last four games. The.

A complicated part with injuries, you know, dealing with Tyreek and A. Chan and those guys is you got three Saturday games. So you don't get the luxury of, I mean, they're the morning game on Sunday, but you don't get the luxury of like knowing more information. As far as we know, both guys are going to be questionable, A. Chan and Tyreek. And then you have three decisions to make on Saturday. So, I mean, you're probably holding out for the upside of those two guys, but it's a tough matchup, too. So that's a hard part of this week. The latest update we have here is from Barry Jackson on Twitter. McDaniel said to Sean Elliott is in protocol and is out. Rob Hunt is out. Everyone else will practice except Tyreek. So it's not spelled out exactly that H.N.'s practicing, but it is implied. That would be great. Yep. We'll find out more.

49ers are 10 and 3.10 Cardinals in Arizona, the drafting sportsbook line, San Francisco. Minus 12, the overrunner is 48. San Francisco, you just play everybody. Yeah, that is correct. And I do mean that. I mean everybody. Arizona's defense is dead last and completion percentage allowed. It should be a carve-up fest for Brock Party. You just can't stop the weapons with this Cardinal personnel group. And even like George Kittle, the matchup looks... kind of poor against the Cardinals, but he's able to do things that others aren't. George Kettle, Brandon Ayuk, Debo, Samuel, and Christian McCaffrey, and Brock Purdy. They're all in every single lineup that has him on the roster. Now let's talk Cardinals. Yeah, I have a tough time with the Cardinals this week because, you know, it's a brutal matchup. They do play better at home. You have a tough call, I think, with James Connor. Because what we have seen, you know, we had a good revenge game against Pittsburgh.

They were up the whole game. He ran the ball. He scored touchdowns. The opportunities are what I'm worried about. If this game gets out of hand really quickly, do we get the, you know, six total opportunities that we got from James Connor a couple weeks ago? Right. The platforms are projecting Connor for a bunch of points, and I'm just nervous about where we're headed. Like, it's hard to sit down a running back that put two touchdowns and 25 fantasy points up a week ago to finish as the RB5 or before the buy. You know, 100 yards on the ground. But I'm having a hard time. Like, right now I have Amari Cooper in my lineup over James Connor. I have. That's a really good question. Andy. Chandler could still be there. I find myself wanting to say Thai Chandler. I'd go Chandler. I have, in the Megalobole where my lineup this week, currently I have Najee Harris in over James Connor. James Connor is on my bench.

He will only go in if Devana A. Chan does not play. So I echo what you see in a game that you look like you're going to be losing and losing big and probably losing quickly. That does not project to be where you want to start James Connor. You can start James Carter. Yeah. It's just a hard one because, like, I don't know, last week, Seattle kind of made a game of it for the first half of the game. And, you know, Kyler, we don't have you all of Hollywood. He does have Tray McBride. Probably has Michael Wilson back. James Connor, you know, can get the ball. Like, they could definitely put up 14 points, you know, 17 points in this game. And those guys could be the ones that contribute. It's just. I mean, they're projected. Their team implied total from Drafking Sportsbook is 18 points. So there should be some value to be had here on the Cardinals side. A real east and stick situation. Yeah, as they play catch up. Kyler is one of those guys that. I just don't want to go too extreme is what I'm saying. I'm worried about like.

We know how the outcome is going to be, so we just bench everybody on Arizona? No, I don't think you have to bench everybody. I don't have the gumption to start Hollywood Brown because of his injury and his stretch run of being bad. I'm going to keep my eyes on him. I don't think there's a pass catcher I can reliably start outside of Tray McBride. James Connor is just on that bubble of, well, who do you have? You can start him and you can bench him. And Kyler is probably in. James Connor and Devon Singletary. I would go Connor there. Okay.

asking for a friend. No way you play Hollywood even if he's active. I don't think so. Tray McBride, you do play because he's going to get everything. Dallas is 10 and 3. They take on the 7 and 6 Buffalo Bills, the Draft King Sportsbook line Buffalo, minus 2 at home. I asked you both that line early in the week. Both of you expected the Cowboys to be favored. Yeah, that is surprised. The Cowboys have been obviously on a roll. The bills have looked at times very, very. dysfunctional. Their defense is not what it was to start the year due to injuries. Their offense has been struggling. I know they just beat the Kansas City Chiefs. That's great. They are at home. So, you know, I'm not like blown away. But my expectation was that these cowboys who are the hottest team in the, I mean, the Cowboys and the Niners, those two teams just seem like destined to play each other in some really important playoff game.

they're on fire. And so I would have expected the Cowboys to be favored. Is this forecast news? Is this a bad weather game? Well, right now we're seeing. I've heard there's a big storm. Yeah, they're saying this weekend. There could be 31 mile an hour wind gusts with a chance of rain at 80% and a high near 50. When I saw the schedule for Dak Prescott the rest of the year and Buffalo was on and I'm happy with that for a chance of a big game. The overrunner is 50 and a half. So let's leave it there. That's a good sign. What I'm seeing from roto grinders right now is 10 to 15 mile an hour winds, but dry with mild temps, no major impacts. Yeah, well, I read a, this is the forecast from the National Weather Service two hours ago. So we'll have to pay attention to any evolving weather. It's not going to really, I mean, I guess your core players are your core players. Dak, CD, they're in. Alan Diggs, they're in. Pollard, James Cook, they're in.

Gabe Davis, I'd rather be dead. Like literally, I'd rather you put me down than put him in my lineup. You know what that means. That's perfect, right? Dallas plus the wind. That's a Gabe Davis game. No, I'm not doing it. Are you guys doing that in any circumstance whatsoever? No. Okay. No. I mean, Jake Ferguson, last week, little disappointing Dalton Kincaid dealing with an injury, Dawson Knox is back. Are you trying to actively find an option other than Dalton Kincai? Because it's a high over, under they're going to need to throw the football. I'm not. actively trying to. The Cowboys defense is very good, but on the course of the season, when you adjust for schedule, the tight end, they've given up a lot of points to. They're 26th against tight end. It's not a scary matchup. The fact that Dawson Knox came back and Dalton Cacade was still as involved as he was, he's a talented player, you know, are there other guys that would start over him that you could have on your roster? Sure.

I think right now you'd probably want to stay in the flames with Nojoku, but I'm not actively looking like, oh, should I, I'm so worried about Kincaid, should I look at Pat Fryermouth. You're not going on. Right, Kate Auden. Like, I still think Kincaid is a fine play. He's not the best play, but he's okay. The Ravens at 10 and 3 take on the 8 and 5 Jacksonville Jaguars. Drafkeen Sportsbook line Baltimore minus 3. The overrunner is 42 and a half. Baltimore in control of the number one seed in the AFC. Big blow-up game for Lamar last week. You know, Gus Edwards, Keaton Mitchell, running back. That feels like a tough decision for fantasy players right now. So let's start there. Gus only played 28% of snaps. Baltimore's favored here. They are traveling on the road. We know Gus has benefited from these games where he ends up directly adjacent to the goal line. That hasn't happened in a little while. He had...

A four-week stretch where he scored eight touchdowns. The last two weeks, nothing. No touchdowns, low snap counts, four fantasy points, one fantasy point. It's like an all-or-nothing situation. Yeah, it is, if I have to pick between the two of them, I will take Keaton Mitchell. It's not to say Gus Edwards is a full bench, desperate times, but it is really, you're hoping someone gets dragged down at the five, or there's a PI in the end zone. Yeah, that's your path through. And then you're hoping that the read option goes to Gus Edwards. So there's a lot of hope, but the upside is a multi-touchdown game on five touches. Zay Flowers, three games without Mark Andrews, done exactly what he did without Mark Andrews at the beginning of the year. Nine.

nine receptions, five receptions, six receptions, wide receiver 20, wide receiver three, wide receiver six. He likes to save it for the end of the game. Yeah, I was going to say this last week. Yeah, he was goosing. He was not good for the majority of the game. At that point, he had, you know, five receptions for nothing. But then there was a big third and long at the end of the game where he got a good size touchdown pass. And all of a sudden, his fantasy output was great. The targets were there. But it, it, I don't just. see the three game sample size without Mark Andrews as a guarantee. Like I would rather start Odell Beckham over Zayflowers personally. Wow, I am definitely on the on the Zayflower side. I think I'm on the flower side, but Beckham is a very good play. Beckham, the only thing that's that's a little bit worth noting to me, because I, you know, he sat on our waiver wire. Nobody, nobody signed him until the, I mean, it was like the last guy for no fab.

The problem with Beckham is that you are extraordinarily dependent on a big play. He doesn't play a lot of snaps. Even last week when he had a good game, 53% of snaps a week before, 32%. You know, you talked about his performances off the injury report. That didn't translate to more snaps. And his reception high on the year is five. And he hasn't done that since week nine. So to me, I feel more nervous about Beckham than I do flowers. And that's why I go flowers. Flowers floor is definitely higher. The targets are near the line of scrimmage, a lot of screen, a lot of manufacturer touches that aren't coming for Odo Beckham. But O'Dell Beckham actually looked good for the first time in a while last week coming off the buy, physically looked good, and his targets are more valuable. You're right. That means that there's a lower floor. If he doesn't connect on some of those big plays, then you're kind of out of luck. But the Jacksonville Jaguar secondary, I feel like that, you know, they've been really, really susceptible.

they're 29th against wide receivers. They do give up big plays. And that's where I see, like, if there's a big play here, it's going Beckham's way in your mind? I think it's going Beckham's way. All right. But both are good plays. Like I like both players. Isaiah likely? Yep. Put them in there? I think so. Yep. I agree. ETN is in. Evan Ingram's been on fire. You play him tight in for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Get them in your lineup. But I'm not messing with, like the Trevor Lawrence decision for people is brutal this week. I don't want to start Trevor Lawrence. You'd start howl? I would start how. I would start Kyle. I would start Kyler. We still don't know. Easton Stick? In hindsight, in hindsight, yes. Wait, can I get those three toddies? I can guarantee that garbage time performance from East and Stick. I would do that. Look, last week, it turned out better than you thought for Trevor Lawrence by the end of the game. He didn't look completely himself. He.

His passes were off target a lot, and I don't know if that's just, you know, you don't have the base with the high ankle sprain that you're currently actively playing with. They threw the ball so much. He threw 50 times that he ended up okay. You know, he wasn't great for fantasy, but he was okay. And against the Baltimore Ravens defense, despite what Matthew Stafford did with Trevor Lawrence's ankle, I'm scared of him and I'm scared of the deeper targets. Like, Zay Jones, Calvin Ridley, I don't. You can't start them. They could have a good game, but I'm not confident in those down the field players against the Ravens. Whereas Evan Ingram near the line of scrimmage, I'm much more confident. Monday night football is the 10 and 3 Eagles against the 6th and 7 Seattle Seahawks. Drafking Sportsbook Line, Philly minus 3 on the road. The overrunners 48 and a half. I don't see the stat here in our dock, but I believe the Eagles have lost like seven straight games to Seattle. Can you double check that? Kyle, do you know that offhand? I don't. I'll check.

I believe that's what I saw. If you find it, let me know. So, you know, they're favored. They're coming off a difficult loss. The Seahawks defense over the last six weeks has been atrocious. Matchups for them have been tough. They're definitely in a gauntlet stage. They played San Francisco two of those last three games, right? I mean, that's been a tough ask of a young defense. Yeah, they played San Francisco. in week 12th, San Francisco in week 14 with, oh, Dallas in between and the Rams before. So now you get Philly to make it a nice five pack of brutal matchups, and you're going to probably lose this football game. Yeah, this will help. Yeah, Seattle's won seven straight and nine of ten against the Eagles beginning in 2005. So that's wild. The last Eagles win is 2008 against the Seahawks. That's wild. They have not beat the Seahawks in 15 years. I think they're about to.

Yeah, I would imagine they are. The problem is that every time I think Seattle is fully outmatched, I'm generally impressed with Pete Carroll and their performance at home, like even the Dallas game that got out of hand. It's like the Dallas game got out of hand and the San Francisco game did, but then they start strong and like, you know, people wanted to bench D.K. MacC., he's my start of the week. Like I think Metcalf is a lock. Yeah, the wide receivers are, I think, are easy. All three of them. Yes. Where it's difficult is Kenneth Walker. What do you do? As they're back, Pete Carroll had said after the game, both running backs made it out unscathed, as in they didn't re-injure themselves. Walker, 56% in the snaps, 13 opportunities. He was dreadful on the ground. Play and pray. He got it done through the air. I will give you, you know, just the personal anecdote for me. Against Brooks, I am playing Ty Chandler.

over Kenneth Walker. In your playoff match. In my playoff matchup. I don't blame you for that. Let's go through some names. How about James Connor? Would you rather play James Connor? I'd probably play Connor because he's more isolated in that role. That's exactly how I feel. We'd play Zeke. Yeah. What about Gibson though? Antonio Gibson should Brian Robinson be out? Like Antonio Gibson is a lot tougher for me in the, like he's not going to do anything on the ground. So then it's like, You're betting on the passing game opportunities. Which he should. I know Walker got. Oh my gosh, she fumbled again last time. Gibson? Yeah. Well, that's his favorite. I know, but it's just like, you know how it is with Antonio Gibson. Every time you think he's lined up for success. Yeah, I think I would go. I would go Kenneth Walker there. The one guy that I think I would play over. And I believe I'm much higher on this player than you two just based on, not that you're low. Let's hear it. But I think I'm a little bit more bullish.

is Jerich McKinnon. Would, is that any consideration for you guys? No, not at all. I'd go Walker. Okay. I think Derek McKinnon has a big game. Well, he did last year at this time. That's for sure. It's, it's tough. I mean, Gino Smith is a spot start if he's back, which he could be. It's really scary to play a player off the groin injury, you know, playing through injuries, but the matchup is perfect. I mean, if you're struggling for. You know, like if Mahomes or Gino, this matchup is perfect at home against the 32nd ranked Eagles who are going to score and don't have a secondary that can stop you. It's Monday night, though. I know. That's the problem. Like, we might get news tomorrow that we're going to let Gino warm up on Monday and then we'll make the call. I think Gino's going to play, but you have that risk. Jalen hurts. And then you're playing Drew Locke. Yeah, you would have to have Drew Locke as your pivot.

The question marks on the Philly side are Swift and Goddard. The last three weeks for DeAndre Swift have been bad. Yes. Running back 27, 40, and 40. Kenneth Gainwell's snaps have gone up. He has not producing, but they have gone up. You don't get the opportunity to run the football if you're on the one ever for DeAndre Swift. And it's been a rough stretch. If you go back to week seven, you had a couple nice games and then mostly... a little bit underwhelming to bad. So where's your confidence level with Swift at this stage of the season? And, you know, DeAndre Swift or James Connor for an example right there? I think I'm going to go DeAndre Swift. It's so, I mean, the three weeks ago against Buffalo was 14 for 80. You didn't get the fantasy points you were hoping for, but he wasn't, like he wasn't bad on the ground. Then he had to play San Francisco and Dallas, which the whole.