10 Tips & Tricks to Win Your League - LIVE in Minneapolis

Some people think he did great. He was the number four wide receiver. That's pretty good. How could that possibly be a bust? He's the number four. He was drafted as the number three. So, I mean, he finished right about where he was supposed to... That's the Brooks of the Wide Receiver Corps. Yeah, it was pretty good. I don't know what that means. Wow. Can we get a ruling on that, Judge? No gavel. No gavel. I can't even see him.

They charge a lot extra on bag flights these days. We had to leave the gavel at home. But the thing is, is Julio had a great season as the wide receiver four, except that it wasn't at all a great season. Only five of his 16 games did he finish in the top 24 at the position.

Yes, he had a couple of huge blow-up games, but he had 25% of his games where he wasn't even in the top 36 in the position, and that consistency is what you need. He couldn't pony up? Yes, he could not pony up enough weeks. There were six, and I went back the last... Thank you. Well deserved. The last two years, there have been six.

running back six of them who finish with more than half of their games as a running back one that wins you weeks there has been one wide receiver that's done that over the last two years Antonio Brown

If you go, okay, well, that's great to be a running back one, but how about a running back one or a wide receiver two or a wide receiver two? Just in the top 24. Just he's not killing your week. He's having a good time. There have been 11 running backs that have done that. That's a great time. There have been 11 running backs who have finished, I'm sorry, not with more than 50%, but more than 70% of their games in the top 24. There's only one wide receiver.

that has done that, Antonio Brown. So it's like, I love the value of Julio and O'Dell Beckham as they continue to drop in these drafts. But when I look at the data, I see that my probabilities of having a consistent weekend and week out winner at the top of the draft have to be these running backs just because we're playing probabilities. You know, could O'Dell Beckham have, I mean, and all this data, by the way, it's two years and it only factors in the game's play. So, like, O'Dell Beckham.

You would expect would also qualify. He doesn't qualify in there. Eleven running backs do. He didn't make that cut in the wide receiver group. So I am saying you need a stud, you want a stud, saddle a stud, and the studs are running backs and Antonio Brown. All right. Number four. So get off your high horse and get a running back stud. Yeah, there you go. Oh, what? That was great. It was all right. Okay. You need to move on. I'll take all right.

We're going to talk quarterbacks because this is what I do. We're going to talk quarterbacks. Wow. We're going to talk very lively. But I wanted to spin it in a little bit of a different direction because, you know, we talk about weight on your quarterback. Get that late round value. It's there.

And I wanted to address some concerns for the early quarterback people. And I call this. And they're out there. They're out there. And I call this tip. They're called Aaron Roger fans. Call it. Oh. I call this tip. Hold on to your, yes. Shout out to JJ. The JJ pretty much made this popular. And we're talking about it because it's great. I call this tip, hold on to your butts. When we play that number drop, you got to hold on.

Hold on to your Jake butts. But, but Mike. Yes. Yes, voice of public opinion. But they suck. Sure. Sure. Maybe they do for real life NFL. But how about this? Perfect storm of home games and juicy matchups. This guy was the number two overall fantasy quarterback from weeks 12 through 16, averaging nearly 22 points a game. Blake the snake portal. I got a snake, man.

That one's not gross enough? From weeks 13 through 17, this quarterback averaged five points better a game than Matt Ryan and Tom Brady. Joe Flacco. What? Oh. Yes, yes. But Mike, that quarterback is playing poorly like Blake Bortles did early. It doesn't matter. They can turn it around. You can project.

matchups. You put the hay blockers on. And play them. An atrocious fantasy quarterback at the beginning of the season. Through week nine, Big Ben was the quarterback 24, averaging under 13 points a game. From week 10 on, over 22 points a game the most for any quarterback in the second half of the league. But the early quarterbacks, they're safe.

Oh, are they safe? They're safest. They're the safest. This is what we know in fantasy football. Everyone busts. And this guy is talking about early QBs are safe. Only, only four quarterbacks of the top 12 drafted met or exceeded their draft position at the end of the year. The average return on draft value for final position of the top four quarterbacks.

was negative 11 and a half, meaning they finished 11 spots behind where you drafted them. The average return of draft value on quarterbacks this past year, quarterback 9 through 17, positive 5. Did you hear me? A negative 11? Yes. But only the elite quarterbacks put up the huge games. Oh, is that true? Yeah, I declare it.

I don't recommend looking at him. It's not going to help. Well, how about this? Last year, 43 players posted a top 12 quarterback week. You want to hear some names? Some names that you may not even remember? C.J. Bethard. Oh, yeah, he's so good. Kevin Hogan. Brock Osweiler, T.J. Yates. David fails. Anyone in this room? Tell us who it is.

But what team did he play for last year? Hell yelled colleges. They just yelled colleges out. They're yelling his college team. They don't know his NFL team. Dolphins, week 17, which don't play championships in week 17. We'll get to that. We'll get to that. He put up a top 12 week because... Was that a De Bears? Just move on. Because... That was John Fox. He doesn't have a lot of things to do these days. No.

He tried to get on the list. I didn't let him. Get your quarterback, Lake. If he doesn't work out, stream the position. You can project a big performance from a quarterback because you know he's going to touch the ball 30 plus times every week. That's how football works. And over the course of the season, you see the defenses that are susceptible to those type of environment. Are you satisfied now? Yeah, I think it's pretty solid. Pretty solid analysis. Number three. All right, I'm going to finish my theme out. Love hurts. Fear hurts.

Names hurt. Stupid. Who hurt you? I've got some repressed issues, most of them caused by Jason. We've known each other a long time. I still don't understand. They paid to see you. I try to get away from you, and I would pay to get away from you. Look, big names, historically productive names, they have two things. They've got history behind them, and they have hope. Okay? You have history and hope. You have players that last year, I want to...

highlight this point, because names and buying into the name value of a player, it can be very, very damaging. Here are first round brus. Give me some feedback here. First round draft picks over the last several years. How you feel about them now? 2015, Jeremy Hill. You remember Eddie Lacey? Oh, Eddie Lacey Burned. You remember, Eddie? They didn't like him even more. How do you feel about C.J. Anderson now? First round pick.

It's all right. 2016, Adrian Peterson. Hey, you watch your tone. That man's a legend. Alan Robinson, after his 1,400-yard season, went in the first round the next season. How'd that season go? Not first round, right? Lamar Miller. He's the regular round. He's the, like, fast food hamburger. If the...

If the Juicy Lucy's Alex Smith, nobody wants to touch Lamar Miller. And then last year, here were first round picks last year. How'd they do? Jay Jai. Great? What were you watching? Jayhai is now 52 years old. We have some sad news. Jordy Nelson? DeMarco Murray. Des Bryant. They're all big names. Here's the problem with all those busts. Last year, Adrian Peterson and Brandon Marshall.

We're fifth round picks ahead of Jarvis Landry. Why? Because they've got a name. People remember you've got the history, you have the hope. You cannot always buy in the name. This year overdrafted players that I'm warning people about Jordy Nelson. Yeah, he changed teams and the name is there. Eric Decker was another one. You followed the name around and it didn't pay off last year. Is it going to be Martavis in Oakland? Is it going to be Crabtree in Baltimore? Because he had great seasons. Even guys like Tom Brady and Drew Brees.

They kind of just carry along their bags filled with fantasy points, and that moves them up. Those points are no good anymore. They have a lot. Someone carries them. Jeremy Macklin, this happened to him last year, too. The name of Jeremy Macklin carried on to Baltimore. He's not even on a team. So what I'm saying is be careful of those names. There are a lot of names you don't know. I wouldn't go with David Fales. But Royce Freeman, Christian Kirk, Alex Collins, Will Fuller.

These are names that are not as prominent. These are names that you brought up on your coupon clip. Yeah. Section. So just remember that the name can hurt. Make sure you look into what's happening this year. Names hurt. Thank you. You're welcome. Number two. All right. Listen, if you want to have a good draft where when you leave, you go, man, I really like my team, regardless of whether it's good or not. I don't want to say it like that. Well, you do you.

You're going to want to know the end from the beginning. What I mean is Mike's face says he is confused. It's super deep. Know the end from the beginning. I think the smashing pumpkins sank that. If we've played in a lot of drafts before, we've all had this happen to us, right?

there's these certain running backs or certain wide receivers I really love at the end of the draft I want to make sure I get one you know and then I draft a certain way early and I get towards the end of the draft and oh man that wide receiver I really loved is sitting there but I've got I've got too many wide receivers right now and I desperately need a running back so I end up having to take a running back

that I hate, or vice versa, whatever position is. And so my tip to you guys to avoid this and to end up with a better team is to know the end from the beginning by doing this. You can, this is a practical tip. Please say magic eight ball. The magic eight ball knows all. And, uh,

What I would do is I would, you know, you print out an ADP list, an average draft position list. We've got a printable version in the Ultimate Draft Kit. You can find them online. Our website is what? Our ultimate draft kit.com. You can get it. Or the fantasy footballers.com. And then forget the first eight, you know, first seven rounds or so. Look at the end of the draft. Just skip them. Just skip. Just look at the end of the draft.

and circle the guys that you actually like within each round. Go to the seventh round. Go to the eighth, 10th, 11th, and just circle the two or three guys you like the best in those rounds. What's going to happen at the end is basically one of three things. Maybe you find out that this season, you're kind of into the reliable veteran wide receivers. You like the value of Emmanuel Sanders in the eighth, Jameson Crowder in the eighth.

Alan Hearns. Is that a band's dance? Me, me after the show. You like Alan Hearns in the 9th. It's going to get ready on. Richard Matthews in the 12th. Paul Richardson in the 14th. Those are all players that I personally think are really good values. So if that's, you know, and no, okay, I like those players. Or maybe that's not you. Maybe you're more of a swing for the fences. I want a home run late pick. You want... The baseball reference. You want... Sweet for the fences is kind of...