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Main show · September 10, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 1 Fantasy Forecast, TNF Preview, News

RSSSep 10, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 1 Fantasy Forecast, TNF Preview, News

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Inside the episode

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24:53 ↗

probably going to beat a Ty way. And the thing to watch this week for me on the Colts is what formations are they primarily going with? Have they thrown out the two tight endset like we've kind of heard? Does Philip Dorset get on the field? A lot more. Yeah. It was a Moncrief. I mean, these are things that will help for the future of fantasy, but I want to watch tonight. Or Sunday. Yeah, we talked, speaking to the running game, we talked about Gore earlier in that situation. He's an okay start to me this week, not a great start.

25:21 ↗

On the other side of the ball, Leshael McCoy is supposed to be back. Now, he has publicly said he's not 100%. I think this is going to be an opportunity for fans to see Carlos Williams for the first time against that Colts defense. They were kind of a middling defense last year. I don't think they're much improved. They spent early picks on offense. Billop Dorset.

25:38 ↗

The Patriots just crushed the Colts in running multiple times last year. I think... I saw that last night on that show. Is that who Jonas Gray? Yes, 200-plus playoff yards. Yeah, that was Jonas Gray in the regular season. It was Garrett Blunt in the playoffs, and they both just feasted on the Colts defense. Yes, they did. And so Colts, Bill's, Tyrod Taylor makes his debut. If you're in a two-quarterback lead, I am fine with you playing Tyra Taylor. Yeah, I'll sound crazy, but I'm fine with that. No, I'll let it go, man.

26:07 ↗

All right, Brown's Jets, Rex Ryan's former team, Todd Bowles team now, a much improved team in my opinion, a different team on offense, and the Browns. The Browns.

26:20 ↗

What to say about the Browns? We love you, Cleveland. I'm looking down the line here, and I'm seeing named Josh McCown, Brian Hartline, Andrew Hawkins, Gary Barnage, Isaiah Crowell, Duke Johnson. I believe that the Jets defense, and we say we don't want to overemphasize any defense too much. However, regardless of week one or not, if you just look at tools and human beings there, they got Darren Revis. Did you say Aaron? Derell. Derell. Thank you.

26:50 ↗

You know, they've got Todd Bowles from the Cardinals as the defensive coordinator going over to be the head coach. I think they've got the back end on that team in order to truly light up blitzes and go cover zero and man up. And I'm afraid. I think you're afraid for Josh McCown's life. I'm afraid for McCown's life. If you are choosing between Ivory and Corwell in this matchup, you are choosing Ivory. For sure.

27:15 ↗

I've been looking at this in some of my leagues. I think you might want to go get Duke Johnson. Yep. I've made a couple offers. I think you might want to grab them right now. I think this is the time. I completely agree. I believe Duke Johnson was one of my fearless predictions of the year. I really like Duke. He has to say healthy. We've talked about that. But if he does... And it might not be early. These aren't guys who are going to splash right away, in my opinion.

27:42 ↗

What I want to know is, where's my $9 million man? Dwayne Bo. Yeah. Yeah, well, you know, he's exactly where I told you he'd be. Third wide receiver. At a B movie with James Jones and Hakeem Nix. He's counting his money? Yeah. Nine million guaranteed. Yeah. Well, you know, if there's one thing we've seen from Dwayne Bo is that...

28:03 ↗

He's motivated to get that cash and not necessarily to pay it back. So Panthers, Jaguars, this is going to be, what is the overrunner on this game, Jason? The Panthers and the Jaguars. I can't imagine it's very high. Yeah, I think it's going to be quite the defensive game. Yeah, it's 41 total points, which is another way of saying that if you're not sure what that is. It's tied for lowest in the entire.

28:27 ↗

Week 1, Vegas Hall. Vegas lines. And this is why Jonathan Stewart's getting lower projections on a lot of websites. He's still the guy to start out of, I think, anybody on any of these teams right now, it is Jonathan Stewart. So let's start with the running game here, and we can break it down.

28:42 ↗

break down the other positions as well in terms of who you'd start this week. Jonathan Stewart and T.J. Yeldon, all the reports on Yeldon have been very positive since the preseason game that he actually got to get out there. I think a report came out yesterday that he's excelling in the passing, pass blocking, which is great for a rookie. You want to see that. That's how you get on the field because he has the talent to catch the ball, but can he be there on third down and protect Blake Bortle? So T.J. Yelden's prospects, do you start him this week at a flex in any league? Would you be willing to?

29:11 ↗

Yeah, if I have him, I'll put him in as a flex. I'll even put him in it as an RB2. That's what I was going to ask. Reluctantly, I would put him in a two. I love Jonathan Stewart this week. I think they're going to feed him the ball because my, a breaking news, spoiler alert, my start of the week is not Cory Brown from the Panthers. Yeah, which actually says, and I know that this seems just foolish to say, but Tedkin Jr. is not.

29:38 ↗

the worst play out there because Jacksonville does not have what you would call a great defense and somebody still has to catch the ball. Jacksonville had a very bad defense last year. I will put Tedgin Jr. seconds on the worst list just above Cory Brown. Yeah, it's rough. I think Greg Olson is a fine play this week for Newton. He'll have to feed him with targets. On the other side of the ball, Alan Robinson is a startable wide receiver this week. I think

30:07 ↗

that's where the list ends. Yeah, Alan Hurds, if you want to pray and spray, that he gets one of those deep ones. This isn't the week you want to do that. All right, Packers and Bears, all right? This is a great matchup to start the year, division rivals. And we have Randall Cobb. Now, you guys both think he's playing this week, right? Yeah, I heard he's playing. I heard his range of motion is still limited. So the Randall Cobb, Elshon, Jeffrey combo here is just an injury.

30:32 ↗

conundrum. Are they going to, they could both do the worst thing, which is to play and be limited to play and not, you know, do what you expect. Yeah, you got to play him because Aaron Rogers, last year against the Bears in two games, over 600 yards and 10 touchdowns. 10 touchdowns in two games. That's pretty nice. Randall Cobb or Devante Adams this week? Randall Cop. Yeah, it's still got to be Cobb. Okay, I figured that was the answer. I just thought I'd test that. All right, if...

31:01 ↗

Jeffrey plays. How far down does that take Royal to you? Would you start Royal in any leagues, or is he a wait and see in this new offense? I'll throw Royal out as a flex. I really don't want to put him as a two this week, but I like Royal. I think Jeffrey can play, but he's going to be limited. A guy who just had his first practice in over a month, not just as a player, but I mean, conditioning. You're not in NFL game shape.

31:30 ↗

after one practice. So I like Eddie Royal a lot. And I like Martellus Bennett more than the average bear this week. Speaking of the average bear, Cutler has not been average in season openers. No, he is not. A very strange stat. You tweeted it out or found it yesterday? Yeah, I found it on the Twitter. The Twitter. Cutler, what? He's got the highest yards per game.

31:53 ↗

on opening day in the Super Bowl era. He averages over 300 yards on opening day. Well, and you know they're going to be throwing a lot in this game. It's 49 points is the Vegas odds. So a high scoring game. So I think Royal is definitely worth throwing out there. What is the highest over under? Highest over under is 55 and a half, which is Atlanta, Philly? Atlanta Philly. Oh, I can't wait for that game. That's Monday night. It is Monday night. That is so nice.

32:22 ↗

All right, Chiefs and Texans. I was going to say, are you playing Brady or Bradford? But I remember you traded Brady. Well, but I had to make the decision beforehand. I didn't always trade in Brady, and I was playing Bradford. Okay. Because I want that unknown that fantasy football players enjoy so much. All right, the Chiefs are at Houston. They're playing the Texans. I have to imagine this is a very low...

32:48 ↗

over under as well, Mike, or Jason? Yeah, I think this is tied. Probably about 43 or something. Take a look. Houston. Chiefs at Houston. I think the Chiefs are a great defense to play this week. Houston has, obviously, Aaron Foster's not there. Brian Hoyer makes his debut on that team. You have Hopkins and shorts, but this is the Alfred Blue Show at the running back position. Yeah, the Chiefs are one of my top defensive plays this week. I tried to.

33:17 ↗

target them in drafts because I knew week one. It could be tough sledding for Houston to get this offense moving with Brian Hoyer. We know that Brian Hoyer had his times last year, but with a brand new team, brand new system, the coaching staff wasn't even secure enough naming him the starter until very late into training camp. So that says to me that the decision was very hard between him and Mallet.

33:44 ↗

So I like the defense. I'm still playing Hopkins. You've got to throw him out there. But look for the Chiefs. And this is my last point real quick. Travis Kelsey is my man. I talk about him all the time. You're going to be disappointed by Travis Kelsey this week. The Houston Texans are great against tight ends. Yeah, as far as the over-under, I was actually wrong that 41 was not the lowest.

34:07 ↗

40.5. Yeah, there you go. It made sense to me. I see those two teams in that situation. You blew it, man. I think we're going to see more success than you'd expect from the Kansas City offense in this game. While the Texans are a big play defense, JJ Watt, big names, very good defense in terms of making plays happen. They weren't very good in terms of total yards giving up per game because that has a lot to do with not so much their skill players on defense, but their offense. They just...

34:35 ↗

don't run a lot of offensive plays and their offense is not improved. So the defense has to go out there over and over and over again. And so I think the Chiefs have shown me something this preseason. Jeremy Macklin changes that offense. Travis Kelsey changes that offense. Jamal Charles is healthy and back. So I would, if I'm picking this game, I'm picking the Chiefs to win it. And even in Houston. But man, Clownie, now back.

34:58 ↗

hopefully at full strength, clownian watt is going to be amazing to watch. And don't discount Vince Wilfork in the middle of that defense. Yes, that is an actual point. I mean, Jamal Charles is going to have some tough sledding today on Sunday. All right, the dolphins and the Redskins are facing off this week. Now, this is one of those, to me, trap games. It's in Washington. Everyone probably thinks the dolphins are going to run all over the Redskins. I'm telling you right now, if you want a bold prediction that is unrelated to fantasy football,

35:28 ↗

I think Washington might win this game. Wow. That's crazy. That being said, I don't think it will be, if that happens, it's not going to be on the back of Kirk Cousins having a monster game against the Miami defense. It's going to be something close. But in Washington, where people think that there's, I'm just telling you, Miami has a history of looking amazing.

35:52 ↗

and these are the type of games they lose. So if we come back next week and Miami loses this game, remember I said that. Miami's only a three and a half point favorite. What do you think about Al-Shee, Vegas agrees with him. What do you think about Alf in this game? Because I've had a lot of questions about him going up. Obviously, they've got Indomicon Sue there. We have no idea what this defense is going to be. None. To Andy's point, this is a defense that has changed. And there's expectations that are high. But until regular season starts, we have no idea. So are you confident in rolling?

36:20 ↗

Alfred Morris out there? No. If you drafted Alfred Morris, though, you're starting him here. Yeah. I mean, you're in a situation where you're having to start him or you're probably having to say, I'd rather take Danny Woodhead or I'd rather take, you know, one of the rookies, Kevin Coleman. I mean, those are the guys you're probably choosing from, right? Yeah, you probably don't have a better option, so you've got to roll him out. But I'm very concerned for Alf. And to speak quickly, cousins, man. This is this.

36:48 ↗

in particular is a matchup where Kurt Cousins could get it done with a couple bombs to Deshawn Jackson. Would you start Jordan Reed this week? Absolutely. Jordan Reed, when Jordan Reed is healthy, Jordan Reed is a tight-in one for me. I throw him out until he gets banged up. Do you know anything about his splits, Reed splits between Cousins and RG3? I do not. We should look at that. There's not even enough real data to know, though. Because Reed's been out so much? Yeah, Reed played...

37:16 ↗

just a handful of games last year. Are you, I mean, you're playing every dolphin across the board, right? Because this, regardless of my thought process on, maybe there's an upset here, the matchup looks good. Yeah, I'm not throwing out like Kenny Stills or Greg Jennings. Would you roll the dice and go Devante Parker? No. No, Devante Parker, which people, pick up Devante Parker.

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