Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Starts of the Week, Week 4 Matchups, Debate

I gave up Hyde and then were other pieces, the draft pick swap in my favor because I was taking that risk. But now it looks like Des Bryant is very questionable. And there are so many things that make Des Bryant. We talked about yesterday and keep trade cut. They make him a risk, right? You have a Dak Prescott run offense now. Romo isn't back yet. Now you have a knee injury. Yeah. So, you know, I'm not a doctor, but doctors that have weighed in on this that I respect.

that no fantasy football think that it's going to be extremely, extremely unlikely that he plays this week and he will probably miss several weeks. This is, you know, very similar to the injury that Thomas Rawls has. And obviously there was no question there. He was out weeks. I think the reason that there is the question of like, oh, he's going to play is because the fact that he played on it on Sunday. But they didn't know that he had it on Sunday. And that's why he played on it.

Because they thought it was an MCL problem. You could play through that. You're not going to cause further damage. With this injury, playing on it can cause further damage. And so at that point, you kind of need to shut down shop. Yeah, I was going to say, Gene Bramel, Dr. Gene Bramel, which is a great follow on Twitter. You must follow. Fantastic information for medical stuff. But talking about if now that they know there's a hairline fracture, if this is aggravated to a displaced fracture,

That's a surgery. Then you could have injury to the cartilage in the area accelerates arthritis. I mean, you're talking. I'm just waiting for the sad music to start back. If this is what it is, like if the injury is to that, to the place that Gene Bramwell thinks it is, you got to shut him down for a couple weeks. You got to let him heal. Yeah. Yeah. And that's, you know, Ian Rappaport reported the more information he gathers, it seems like he's a super long shot to play.

And you've had others weigh in, like Jason said. You know, it's not good news if you're a Des Bryant owner. You were hoping that he was building something with Dak that you'd see accelerate, not decelerate because of an injury. Obviously, he played on it, scored a touchdown after that. But you need to make other plans with your wide receiver if you're a Des Bryant owner and wait and see. Rashad Jennings unlikely to play on Monday night against the Vikings. This means Orleans Darkwa.

We'll get the, I think the majority of the work, Shane Vereen is out. You also see Paul Perkins worked in, and they have Bobby Rainey as well. Eric Decker, uh-oh. Yeah. He's not going to practice on Thursday, or I'm sorry, he already didn't practice today. He did not practice. Shoulder injury, I think there's almost no chance he plays this week. The team came out yesterday and said, or there was reports of, well, the injury is worse than first thought. Now he's missing a Thursday practice.

I agree with Andy. Eric Decker is a super tough guy who will play through injuries, but I think this is going to be too much. Now, the good news on the other side is Brandon Marshall practiced in full yesterday and looks to be back out there. They're going to have to force feed him. Now he's playing Seattle, so that's tough. But I think he will get, you know, if Decker's off the field, the targets will be there for Brandon Marshall. Let's talk about the Seahawks, their opponent. They signed C.J. Spiller. Does this matter for fantasy football owners?

I don't think it does. I believe it's a depth play. CJ Pro Seiss, they're kind of their scatback. He's been dealing with injuries on and off. You know, if it could be a bigger concern for Thomas Rawls. We were just talking about that Des Bryant injury. If that's what Rawls has and they think, okay, we're going to have to shut him down for a month. I mean, you've got to have depth on your team and.

But for fantasy purposes, like if you're a woke one owner, you're worried about Kristen Michael. C.J. Spiller is not a concern for me. We've seen for years that C.J. Spiller just, he doesn't have the juice anymore. Yeah, when you're two of your backups, actually your starter and your backup, I mean, ProCise has a cast on his hand and will for a couple more weeks. So you have to bring someone like this in. I'm not, I'm not picking up C.J. Or C.J. Spiller.

But I do not think this hurts Chris and Michael at all. All right. Michael Floyd cleared for football activity. He had the concussion protocol process taking place. Michael Floyd this week or John Brown? I have the answer for my rankings. It was John Brown. Yeah, I'm going to go with John Brown as well. He was my guy at the start of the season. I think Michael Floyd gets back on the field. He's still in the protocol.

He's kind of redshirted right now. But if he's back on the field, I'm still taking John Brown. What we saw last week was the amount of targets and receptions and yards per the snaps that John Brown was playing was easily the best of the Cardinals. His snap percentage has continued to increase. So I assume it's going to increase the most drastically this week. So I think John Brown is a decent play this week.

I very much like him at home. I have him and Fitzgerald rated fairly high. I think they get things right. I don't think it's going to be a super high scoring game, but I think they'll do enough in that offense against the Rams. Kenneth Dixon, return to practice from what we're hearing from Ian Rappaport. Week 5 looks like a realistic target for his return. We've been talking about picking up and stashing Dixon for weeks. But if he's still on your waiver wire, go get him. Yep.

Right? All right. Deshaun Jackson didn't practice on Wednesday. Sat out last Wednesday is two. He has an ankle and knee issue that he's dealing with. Wednesday is Veterans Day pretty much. If they miss Wednesday, you're not concerned. Delaney Walker. Mike Malarkey thinks he's going to play on Sunday, as do I. Do you guys believe that he'll play? Yes. Yeah. And then Lev Bell returns this week. They said they're going to use them in the slot. I think all we know is that Lev Bell will be on the field all the time. You know, there was talk last year. Oh, we're going to use.

Lev Bell and DeAngelo Williams together. Yeah. And then it was like 114 to 12. In terms of care. I mean, he's their whole office. I had a, I've had several questions of what do I do with DeWill this week? Because people have had him. They've been starting him. You sit DeAngelo Williams. He's not going to be usable. All right. Let's jump into the forecast. Fantasy forecast. If you are looking for a preview to the Thursday night game, you need to.

Click yesterday's show and listen to that one. We talked about the Thursday night show a day early this week. We're going to do that in the future just so that more people catch it because sometimes you listen to this on Friday morning. So let's start here with the London game, aka me setting my alarm way too early on Sunday morning. Colts, Jaguars. London. London. Yeah. So look, they're traveling over there. Traditionally, I believe.

I believe five of the last seven games in London, they, the over, they covered the over. Yeah. Overproduction, you know, in London has been the case. Now, the only thing I know is this game is not taking place in the same stadium as all the previous games have taken place. It's not in Wembley. Really? I thought that was the later one. Yeah, I thought that was the one. I believe this one is, I will, the later London game you're saying? Yes. Okay, maybe verified that. Maybe I heard that wrong.

uh so we have we have andrew luck we have lake portals we have frank gore and the anemic jaguars running game and then we have a plethora of wide receiver options to discuss here these are two teams that are i believe both one and two correct uh yes no no the jacksville jaguars have not won a game how could they win how could they win uh uh

The Colts are favored by two and a half. You want to love the Jags so much that you just slip in victories for them. I try. I'm really trying. They're like two and one, right guys? Right? No, I've abandoned Gus. Forget it. So, Jason, did you verify that? In looking it up, it looks like there's going to be some showers.

there, but it's not specifically saying like for the players after the game to wash off. Yeah, it is, it is at Wembley Stadium and the weather. That's a terrible field. It is no good. That is where all of the previous London games have been played. Like you said, normally they cover the over. The other thing that we've seen is that the team that is favored usually, and this is no, obviously this is no guarantee, but the team that is favored has.

very often blown out the underdog team. In this case, the Colts are favored over the Jaguars, and so I think you can confidently start all of your Indianapolis Colts, and...

expect what should be a decently high scoring game. Why don't you talk for just a split second, Jason, about why we bring up the over-under totals and the lines? Yeah, so over-under, when we talk about that, it's Vegas saying how many total points do they think are going to be scored in the game? And when you look back at the correlation between that and fantasy production, obviously the more points scored, the more fantasy relevance. But when you look backwards and say, okay, how is this used as a predictor of what's going to happen?

fairly successful by comparison to other metrics. And in the case of the London games, there's just a lot of data there that is very specific that says that the favored team, and we don't have a giant sample size, but I think it's big enough to know that the favored team usually comes in and starts putting on a show. I just saw a tweet.

Jason Garrett came out and was talking about the Des Bryant situation and said essentially Des Bryant suspected the injury was much worse than it was. And that's why he avoided the MRI. And that's not a joke. Basically didn't handle it the right way. Jason Garrett's quote was he's a very, very passionate person, an emotional person didn't handle it the right way. So he was the monster in the closet. I'm going covers over the head. That's going to protect me? That's where you show up at the MRI and you go, no, it's this knee.

It's this one over here. I feel fine. That's good. Yeah, I mean, you hear that and you hear two things. Not playing. Well, no, I don't hear that. I hear the opposite. When a very, very passionate player who wants to be on the field avoids an MRI so he can play through the pain, what that tells me is if he can play through the pain, he will.

But if it's physically okay for him to do so, he will do that. It's funny because what I hear in that is that what was happening to him not knowing, not knowing from an MRI, he assumed it was really, really, really bad. And that says the pain is high and he is not confident in his knee. That's how I take it. There you go. Well, there you go. Two different narratives. Before we move on to the rest of this matchup, talk through what?

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