Fantasy Time Machine + Target Breakdowns, Blind Spots - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/2

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Keyword footballers save over 50% when you order the deluxe grill-out assortment. Plus get 12 free Omaha Steaks burgers and enjoy that last cookout of the summer. That's Omaha Steaks.com keyword footballers. The Fantasy Footballers Podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Welcome in. Thursday, September 2nd.

The Fantasy Footballers Podcast, Mike Wright, Jason Moore, Andy Holloway, back with you. This time next week, we'll be talking about, well, it'll be football time, Mike. Yes, it will. I mean, this time next week, we'll be doing starts of the week, right? Yeah. Wow. Tom Brady every week at quarterback. The week once starts the week, it's just our Mike guys. I tried to acquire Tom Brady yesterday.

In the League of Record? Yes. Yes. Who is? My week one opponent is Al Borland, who our fearless producer back there. I tried to pull off the largest trade our league has ever seen. I heard tale of this from you. Oh, from me. Basically that sentence. Oh, okay. Just now or? No, no. You had mentioned that it was like a Mamma Jamma. It was a 10.

player trade. I was trying to set the... Just swapping teams. Trying to set the league on fire with my league one opponent. A ten player trade? There were all sorts of stars. Five on each side, to be clear. Yeah. Yeah. Swapping teams would be the... Nine to one. Yeah, it was a nine for one deal, which I always say, get the best player in the deal. No, it was close, I think, maybe. It just, yeah, it wasn't a bad deal. It just wasn't...

My team couldn't have survived without the running back you wanted. Yeah, I mean, at the end of the day, I got somebody to say it wasn't a bad deal on one of my trade offers. Impressive. Not just somebody, but me who's usually very critical of your offers. And I didn't include Sony Michelle in the deal because I respect you as a person. Yeah, instant reject. It doesn't matter what else is there. I know. I know. Even if it was six to five on the trade, but Sony was in there, it would have been worse than leaving him out. Correct.

We have never not working on the show today, excited to talk about some deeper insights, some things that Mike has been digging into. We brought them up briefly on our live Spotify Green Room yesterday afternoon. Thank you for everyone. Oh, man. That was lit. That joined us. So that was a lot of fun. We got NFL news to talk about. And today's main event. Am I? The fantasy time machine.

So we'll be jumping into the fantasy time machine. We'll be on the hunt for this year's David Montgomery. This year's Stefan Diggs. This year's Logan Thomas. This year's Kirk Cousins, all players with kind of a specific breakout campaign last year, right? And so we'll talk about those. You can find us on Twitter at the FF Ballers. Jason's at Jason FFL. Mike at FF Hitman. I'm at Andy Holloway. The community.

20,000 strong over at jointhefoot.com where you get a bonus weekly episode of the show. You get premium perks. You get the megalable entry. That's all at jointhefoot.com. And there are many articles going up every day on our website, the fantasy footballers.com. Let's get it going. Never not working. Presented by Head and Shoulders, Scamp Shield Technology, available at Walmart.

Every little bit helps the fantasy football player win their league. And if you stack a little bit of extra work each and every week, it adds up to a lot. It does. I was trying to think of what's a good analogy for it. And it's like, you know when you're out there, like you're panning for gold. Oh, yeah, I know. I do that all the time. Back when you were a 49er. Right. Out in the old gold rush. But I'm saying like the, you're adjusting your sifter.

And you're able to get more of the, the more of the goop, the silt, the dirt. And you're just trying to leave behind the gems. And the more data points, the more things that you can look at that helps you do that sifting. And I have never heard of silt. And I am thoroughly impressed. With that vocab word? Oh, it's incredible. I mean.

silt is fine sand clay or other you were googling oh i didn't know what silts was but now i now i do thank you my silty smooth that's what they say uh and so we've talked about on this show targets are skill based a player's not going to be a wide receiver is not going to be running out there getting targets if they're not a good player if they're not getting open if a quarterback doesn't trust them to make a contested catch and we thought or

And you look at targets here. That's a good indicator of, you know, this player is pulling in 20% of this team's targets. There are going to be a go-to for fantasy football. But is there another way that we can look even deeper into targets? So we're starting to look at routes run, the percent of your routes that you are actually targeted. So, you know, trying to eliminate some of that noise, just sift a little bit deeper.

And we took a look at wide receivers who are seeing 60 plus targets because it's helping us to find some gems. Like the big thing that stands out here, which I didn't have this data when I was making my bold proclamation on Antonio Brown. But last year, on 26% of his routes, Antonio Brown saw a target. So you can see Antonio Brown ends the season, 62 targets.

That's not an impressive number. Well, okay, how many games do he play? There's some other things. But look, when he was on the field, how much was he actually targeted? It's a very impressive number. I want to run that back again real quick before you jump into those. Just the percent of routes targeted. So when they're on the field, when they're actually running a route where they're eligible to be targeted, how often are they targeted? And I would think this would also come down to...

players that their quarterbacks, like you said, they trust them, maybe they're favorites of the quarterback as well. Yeah, yeah, exactly. Are they out there just being a distraction? You know, there's running routes, trying to get other people open. And so the names you would expect are there. Devante Adams is at the top. Keenan Allen is at the top. 31% for Devante Adams, which is super impressive because of the...

Just the volume, right? Like even how often he's out there. Yeah, I was going to say it's really impressive that the number one in percentage of routes targeted also runs a ton of routes. Yes. Traft Defonte Adams. And then you can look at other tiered names like Jacoby Myers. 24% of his routes, he was seeing a target. Like he was a go-to for this team. Chase Claypool, he saw a target on.

over 23% of his routes, which was the highest among rookies. When he was out there, Ben Rothesberger was finding a way to target him. And so you have to filter this information through some other lenses, but it's helping us locate some of these gems, but it's also helping you locate guys that, you know, maybe we should have faded them a little bit more. Like last year, guys who...

who did not see a target on more than 20% of their routes. It was like DJ Chark, Goladay. These guys were, Chris Godwin, maybe their fantasy finish was just a little bit too efficient. It doesn't mean they're bad players, but, you know, how Godwin was the wide receiver too. Maybe it was like, okay, he overproduced just a little bit too much. Let's put him down into that 10 to 15 range instead of just looking at last year's, uh,

production and saying, well, yeah, he can absolutely duplicate that. So this is a new thing that we are looking at here at the fantasy footballers, and so far the correlation is, it's very interesting. A percent of routes run, you get a target, and your fantasy finish. And so the actionable advice for this year is interesting names that maybe you should bump up are Antonio Brown, Chase Claypool, Jacobi Myers, like I said, but then Sterling Shepard.

Corey Davis, these are guys that were commanding targets on over 20% of the routes. Meanwhile, players that maybe they overproduced on the percentage that they were getting, Mike Evans saw a target on fewer than 20% of his routes. That's an interesting data point when you factor in how often that Antonio Brown was seen a look at the end. Juju.

Mike Williams. Mike Williams has been one of our favorite late round sleepers because of the talent, the ability. Justin Herbert's a good quarterback. And yet he was only seeing a target on just under 17% of his routes. That is not going to translate or correlate to fantasy success unless that somehow sees a massive uptick. And so again, this isn't everything. We're just trying to highlight.

these other analytics and deep dives that we are doing behind the scenes to try and give you the best information. Yeah, a good example is 2019 Diggs was dominating this. And then, you know, that could have been a precursor to his talent and switching teams, getting what turned out to be a quarterback upgrade. And then the huge breakout. I can't help. I can't help but notice number 10 on this list. Oh, give it to me. Oh, top 10.

Robbie Anderson, baby. Robbie Anderson. She was seeing a target on over 24% of his routes. I think what would be interesting, too, to extend this, and maybe the Borgogan can do it, would be to look at players that fit this mold that end up with a high percentage of routes targeted.

but maybe had lower snap counts or maybe dealt with some injuries or their end of year numbers were reduced. You know, Claypool is a great example where he was clearly not on the field all the time. Right. So that number jumps out to me. When they put him on the field, the team, you know, it's almost like this is a go-to receiver chart in a lot of ways. When you look at these names and you think of the most hyper-targeted players, everyone knows Deonté Johnson is the favorite.

emergency target. Safon Diggs is the same thing. AJ Brown, even though the volume wasn't there, it was like, man, when I need a play. He was the dude, yeah. And then one that jumps out in the higher end here is Emmanuel Sanders. You would not have imagined Emmanuel Sanders to finish this high. He just wasn't out on the field as much. But what if he is in Buffalo? Like he was getting targets in the preseason. That's an interesting name.