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Main show · March 2, 2017

Fantasy Football Podcast 2017 - Free Agency Predictions, Fantasy Implications

RSSMar 2, 2017 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2017 - Free Agency Predictions, Fantasy Implications

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Inside the episode

133 passages
13:34 ↗

And I don't remember why this came up, but we were talking with the writers. And I was like, wow, I'm very curious. You know, when does it kind of fall apart for a running quarterback? One of those, the Russian numbers come way down. And, you know, it was a pretty brief research situation. But, you know, Donovan McNabb, Steve McNair, these high-profile guys, you know they run. And it was year six or seven.

14:03 ↗

when the rushing totals saw a significant drop. So this doesn't shock me at all that if Cam was going to start taking care of his body. We saw what happened to him last year. Yeah, he finally showed the Warrantara last year. Would that up any of the wide receivers there if he's forced to throw the ball more, more action there? Maybe. I mean, you have Ted Ginn's a free agent. Corey Brown is a free agent. And David Funches is, I mean, he's basically a free agent, right?

14:32 ↗

Yeah, on the field. I get what you're saying. Because he's not doing anything. There's a lot here to be determined. A lot of research we're going to be putting in. All of that research, just to let everybody know before we get to our free agent predictions, will be available in the ultimate draft kit. We spend, you know, 40 hours a week just working on this stuff. And we are building up the draft kit. We're going to have over 100 video.

14:55 ↗

profiles of us discussing every single guy so you can really get a feel for who you should like in the draft, who you shouldn't, where the values are going to be there. And also, really important piece of the ultimate draft kit is our tier-based drafting strategy. That is, if you're in a normal redraft or keeper or even dynasty, you know, we'll have auction values in there too, but the normal...

15:18 ↗

way that you draft if you use tiers to make your selections that's what we always recommend at the end of your draft your team is going to be set up for the long haul and so that will be in the ultimate draft kit it's available now at ultimate draft kit.com as a pre-order which means it's cheaper than it will ever

15:36 ↗

be the rest of the year. So you can go check that out and help sports. And we have our new DFS pass where we're bringing you some sweet, sweet DFS information throughout the entire season. Hotness in there. Good news, guys. This just broke. This is going to be shocking to you. Maybe you'll be on board with him. Do we need a button? No, no. Well, you know what? You said that last time. Breaking news. This is big, guys. This is real big.

16:03 ↗

Rams general manager Les Sneed has attributed Todd Gurley's down 2016 campaign to quote a sophomore slump. It sure was. It's only a sophomore slump. I was really hoping you were going to say he attributed his terrible season to a Jeff Fisher. You know, I didn't read the rest of the write-up, but I did happen to catch the word Trent Richardsonian.

16:26 ↗

Oh. Was that the commentary or was that? Yeah, we'll move on. Okay. We'll move on. All right. Let's talk free agent predictions. We're going to start at the wide receiver position. We'll start with the big boy. Alshan Jeffrey. Let's give our projections. What we're going to do is kind of pick a team that we believe could sign the player and then what they would be as a fantasy commodity at that location. This is a fun episode. It's a fun one to make predictions. We all like.

16:55 ↗

hypothesizing and picturing players in different jerseys. So I'm going to kick it off. I think Alshan Jeffrey lands in San Francisco. I think it's the best destination for him. I think you have Kyle Shanahan coming in. You want to make a splash. They have the money to spend. And I think if he goes to San Francisco, Kyle Shanahan can give him a, you know, the volume will be there.

17:16 ↗

to be in the wide receiver one consideration. It's the back end of that wide receiver one, 12 to 15 range, so maybe a high two. But San Francisco is the destination I have for him. They have the second most cap space in the league. I think that would be a very good location for him fantasy-wise. Depends on the quarterback. Certainly it will. But I mean long-term, it will be good. I believe a great destination for him, a team that can afford him.

17:42 ↗

and that could put him in the role that he has truly thrived at would be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Because when he was playing with Brandon Marshall, Brandon Marshall and Alshan Jeffrey were an incredible duo. And if he can go and sit there and across the field is Mike Evans. The bucks have to spend their giant cap money somewhere. And they've still got two years of Mike Evans on his rookie contract, which means they're not paying extravagantly for that position. You get James Winston with a Mike Evans, Alshon Jeffrey. I would like.

18:11 ↗

All of those pieces. Mike's eyes light up with James Winston. Yeah, James Winston on my weapons he'd have on my dynasty team. And actually.

18:19 ↗

I like that for Mike Evans. I'm not one of the people who say, well, I need an alpha and I need garbage around it because then all the targets are forced-fed. Like a Kenny Stills or something, yeah. All the targets are force-fed to the top guy. I like some of the covers being put on the other side of the field. Absolutely. And that bears out if you look at last year's top 12 wide receivers. You have, you know, Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree doing well. Well, the problem is never. When you've got those multiple good pieces, it just makes the offense better. You score more. All the logic makes sense. But when two alphas are on one team.

18:48 ↗

the problem becomes they want targets. Yes, they want to produce at that level. But definitely a rumored destination. They have a ton of money. Mike, where do you have, Alish on Jeffrey landing? I've got him landed in Philadelphia, him partnering up with a what seems to be an up-and-coming quarterback and Carson Wentz. I know that Philadelphia is in, they're a little tight with their cap. But as we know, teams, if they want to make something happen with the salary cap, they just, they make it happen.

19:18 ↗

And Philadelphia is, they are absolutely in the market for number one. I would love this not only for Alshan's outlook moving forward, but I also think it would be a great bump for Jordan Matthews. I kind of talk, we just talked about. He's definitely not a more than one piece. Right. From the slot. And Jordan Matthews can get back to the role that he excels at. Sure.

19:40 ↗

Okay. Let's move on to Kenny Stills. I have Kenny Stills landing in Tampa, so I have him spending some of that money, probably overspending that money for Kenny Stills. Not that he's not a good wide receiver, just that when a wide receiver enters this kind of a free agent class and the numbers get thrown around, he'll probably get paid a couple million more per year than what he's worth. But they can afford it. I think he goes there. He's a good compliment to Mike Evans and the rest of that offense. I admit there as a wide receiver three in fantasy, though. How dare you?

20:10 ↗

Oh, come on. Be smirch the name of Kenny Stills. What do you have him as this year? That was a B Smurts. Yeah. Well, I have him as a wide receiver three. Yeah, that's what I thought. But here because I have Kenny Stills going to the Los Angeles Rams. Yeah, I can see that. And my note here is, with my sadness, Kenny Stills will pack that in his suitcase as he travels across the country. And Jared Goff will do Jared Goff things and not get Kenny Stills the ball. Although, I mean, Jared Goff can throw, he can throw the ball far.

20:40 ↗

if there's one thing that he can do. So maybe Kenny Stills can be good for a couple of those touchdown. Jason appears to be dying in the middle of the podcast. Are the donuts? The donuts are affecting the bloodstream. Was my Kenny Stills take just that? It was that garbage. That garbage that it just got lodged in the throat. For me with Kenny Stills, I think he is going to resign with Miami. He's already been on two teams.

21:09 ↗

Adam Gays likes him. I think the dolphins, they have said they would like to resign him. The question is, will someone crazy overspend for him? Because if Tampa Bay throws the couple extra million dollars that he does not deserve and they give him that $12 million a year, then sure, he's gone. If not, I think that the dolphins can resign him for, you know, $10 million a year, $9 million a year. Too much money. It's not. 700 yards.

21:34 ↗

Nine touchdowns. I have said this in our studio off air before, but the Dolphins offense is to me something to watch out for. Because you saw year one when Kyle Shanahan went to Atlanta, their offense was, it was all right. It was top half, but it was nothing prolific. Matt Ryan was the 22nd ranked quarterback. Adam Gaze is the same type of.

21:57 ↗

legitimate offensive mind, new generation type of coach. And he's coming into a team where this last year, they were working some kinks out. This next year two in that system, Ryan Tannahill, Landry, Stills. I think they've got the weapons with the Jai, and I'm excited to see what that offense can do. That being said, if he resigns, I see him as a wide receiver three, creeping on the wide receiver two numbers. Creeping. Like TLC? Let's talk.

22:26 ↗

Yeah. Deshawn Jackson. Let's talk to Sean Jackson. I think he returns home. I think he's the guy that goes back to Philadelphia, wide receiver 2 in Philly. Same D. Jacks, right? The big games and the disappearing games and the occasionally injured games. So that's my home for D. Jacks. Where do you got them? Mike? The nice thing for Deshaun Jackson is we were talking about this. He's still got it. Oh, yeah. He still is.

22:54 ↗

Deshawn Jackson. Once he doesn't have it, we will know, because teams won't want the rest of the package. Yeah. Right? You don't just take along the attitude and the things that you get with D. Jacks unless he still has it. So if he gets paid, you know he still has it. There's one thing that we agree on here is apparently that Tampa Bay is going to sign one of these free agent wide receivers. Because I'm buying into the narrative of the rumors that Deshaun Jackson is going to go down to Tampa Bay.

23:22 ↗

I would love Alshan down there. I just am not sure that they want to run into the money problem that you're going to have to pay Alshan and you will have to pay Evans in a couple years. I think they can get a slightly cheaper deal for Deshaun Jackson. Short and shorter. It's just that would be a monster boost.

23:43 ↗

monster boost for that offense. Yeah, that would be good. I, like Andy, have him going home, except I have him going back to Washington. I think they're going to sign one of Pierre Garzaun or Deshaun Jackson. I don't think both are going to leave. They certainly could. I looked around, and I just could not find a good landing spot for Deshaun. The one that I want him to go to is Carolina. I think it would be great there to stretch the field with the strong arm of Cam Newton, but historically, Carolina does not pay for wide receivers. They've been...

24:12 ↗

bottom five the last several years in, you know, as far as percentage of their cap going to wide receivers. All right. 28-year-old Kenny Britt. Yeah. Still just 28 years old. Mike and I share the same destination for Kenny Britt. It's a good one. So go ahead and lay that on the people. I've got him going to Washington. Kenny Britt is going to be the diamond in the rough.

24:36 ↗

of this free agent class. I think that he's going to be overlooked. He's going to be overlooked by the general public. Kenny Britt had over 1,000 yards last year. On the Rams. On the Rams. With Jeff Fisher. With Case Keenham. Jared Goff. An abomination of an offense. Terrible Todd Gurley.

24:57 ↗

Oh, I'm in full Trump right there. Terrible Todd Gurley was stinking up the joint. And somehow Kenny Britt still managed to put up a solid season. He's a Jeff Fisher guy. So I just, there's all the talk is that the Rams will not bring him back. They admitted this morning that they're not. They're not going to. Pretty much. That he's going to hit free agency. Well, they're trying to aim for this.

25:24 ↗

life partner for Jared Gough right now. And Kenny Britt doesn't represent that. And so that's why they're going to let him go. He was the best receiver on that roster. He was forced fed the ball. They like the name Kenny. That's why they're going to replace him with Kenny Stilts. Oh, okay. That's strong. Strong analysis from Mike. Another reason why he's unverified. All right. I have, if Britt goes to Washington, I see him as a wide receiver three. Mike, you see him as a two. Jason has him returning home.

25:53 ↗

I do. I have him going back to home in Tennessee where they know he was a good wide receiver. They need another wide receiver. Back to home. Back to home. I think he'll be, if he goes back, I believe he's a wide receiver too. Kenny Britt is talented. Kenny Britt is far more talented than, like, put it this way. Kenny Stills, who I really, really like.

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