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Main show · September 27, 2019

Week 4 Matchups + In-or-Out, Turf Toe Woes

RSSSep 27, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 4 Matchups + In-or-Out, Turf Toe Woes

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Inside the episode

145 passages
41:24 ↗

His running ability, it's been off the charts. But this is a really difficult matchup. Bears are fourth in the league. They're only giving up 15 fantasy points per game to the running back. What do you think? This projects to be a really bad game for fantasy. When you have two teams, they want to win with defense.

41:43 ↗

and you have two quarterbacks that aren't the best, and the good quarterback out of the two of them is on the road. They both, the quarterbacks would also like to win with defense. Yes, exactly. So, you know, it's one of those things where I think the running game is where both teams are going to try to rely on, but it's not going to be easy against either of these two defenses. You're obviously going to be playing Dalvin Cook. I still think you play Adam Thielen, even though, you know, you're scared about the volume. You're scared about the matchup, but I don't know how you sit.

42:11 ↗

Adam Thiel and he just still gets it done pretty much every week. You know, you're not, you're not starting digs, right? No. No, this matchup is just too difficult for Diggs to have that breakout game. It should get better for Diggs, but this is, this is really frustrating for a lot of fantasy owners, fantasy owners that spend a third round pick in Dynasty leagues or traded for them in Dynasty leagues and wonder what the future is going to hold.

42:40 ↗

Like you said, I mean, it's a 38 point over under. Vegas does not have this as a high-scoring affair. So fantasy points are going to be few and far between. That's what makes this David Montgomery situation very difficult. He's averaged 15 and a half carries over two weeks. You can be as angry with Matt Nagy as you want to be because of maybe when those carries are coming, being on the goal line and not running the football. But David Montgomery being a youngster, a player that you believe in, a tackle breaker, 15 and a half carries.

43:11 ↗

Is his time coming? Yeah, I mean, this is the type of game that I think they're going to try to make his time. The problem is the matchup. I think he gets... Sure, he's not going to make it Mike Davis's time or Cordero Patterson's time or three Cohen's time. We certainly can't be sure, but I think that the probability says that Montgomery is going to get the lion's share of the carries is going to be a tough matchup. I think you could start him. He's our RB 24 consensus, but you just can't expect a huge...

43:41 ↗

game against such a tough defense. Alan Robinson against this Vikings defense. What do you think? You can play him. I mean, he's getting nine targets per game, 26% of Mitch Trubisky's targets. I, he's, he's, he's in that two three area. I mean, I would, I would rather play Alan Robinson over Stefan Dix. Oh, yeah. I feel like the name should be brought up anytime you score three touchdowns in a quarter. Taylor Gabriel, he had a monster game.

44:10 ↗

He does this all the time. He lures you. He's like a Venus flytrap. He's, he's, oh, look, look all these fantasy points that I can score. Ha, ha, got you zero. No interest. Like, interest, like, if you want to add, a speculative ad. But I am not. Chasing the points. I'm not falling forward again, Taylor. No, you've got me like five times. You know, the truth is he's really good.

44:36 ↗

Yes, he's super fast. The consistency of targets there. It's tough. He was the wide receiver three this week. But if you want to chase these points, know what he was week one and week two. He was the wide receiver 80 and 84. He reminds me a little bit of Brandon Cooks in the way that not only is he really fast, but he makes contested catches with a small stature on the reg.

45:00 ↗

but he doesn't get the targets regularly, and that's the trouble. And they're also Trubisky targets, which are totally different. That's the problem. That's when the ball's spinning horizontally, right? Yes. You told me that you get David Montgomery, Tori Cohen, Alan Robinson, Taylor Gabriel, Trey Burton, and you've replaced them with a quarterback? I mean, this should be a really fun offense. You're not interested in a quarterback? They can throw three touchdowns in a single quarter, Jason.

45:29 ↗

I am not interested in a quarterback that could throw three touchdowns at a single quarter if his name is Mitchell Trebisky. Otherwise, I'm in. Is this the sixth touchdown week? I want to know when the six touchdown week's coming this year. I thought it was happening last week. All right. The Jags, one and two, take on the Broncos. Oh, hooray. Oh, and three, 38.5 point over under. I don't know. This is like the previous game. This is like the Vikings bears only with even less exciting prospects to me.

45:57 ↗

Right. Yeah. I mean you... Right now, Jason. Real question. Let's put you to it. Okay. Joe Flacco. Oh, God. Do you want him running your offense or Mitchell Trubisky? Oh, my goodness. Gross. I would go with Trubisky because he's mobile and he can get out of the pocket and when things break it down. I just had to figure out where you were, man. How deep in this Trubisky hole you were. The Denver fans were waiting with bated breath saying, oh, this is it.

46:28 ↗

This is our time we get a little... No. Yeah, sorry. Still Flacco. All right. Gardner Minchu, Joe Flacco. You don't play either one in this game. No. Minchew's on the road in Denver. It's a low over, under. No, thank you. Leonard Fournett, Philip Lindsay. Jason, you're the highest on Lindsay this week. Last week it was a good week. Royce Freeman's looked pretty good this year. Seems to be back. Are you playing these...

46:58 ↗

these guys against Jacksonville. I am, so I'll use my team as an example. In my money league, I have to choose between Philip Lindsay, who I don't want to play against Jacksonville. But then the other options are like Daryl Williams, who what's his role in Kansas City? Because now Shady's been upgraded to full or like Frank Gore, who should still see the majority of the work for Buffalo with Singletary coming back.

47:28 ↗

And right now I'm going with Philip Lindsay. I would too. The options behind, when Lindsay's your two, the options you have behind them are probably not much better and you don't want a part of the matchup. However, saying that, like, if you're playing Philip Lindsay with any type of confidence, I think that's the exact same confidence I have in Royce Freeman. They're both going to see very identical work. Both are involved in the passing game.

47:56 ↗

So I think that Royce Freeman is also a playable guy on the same level of Philip Lindsay. Last week's fantasy finish for Philip Lindsay looked really good compared to Royce Freeman's. If you watch the game, they were involved about the same. Royce Freeman had one of those two touchdowns. So if that touchdown goes to Royce Freeman that was called back on that phantom hold by Emmanuel Sanders, then all of a sudden the week looks even between these two guys. But Philip Lindsay is still the...

48:25 ↗

Still the more explosive guy. If you're going to tell me one of these guys is going to run off a 40-yard touchdown is going to be Philip Lindsay. On Sunday, if you're walking around the house and you feel kind of some malaise or nausea, you feel a little not yourself. Check your TV. Make sure this game's not on. That could be actually the reason why. Slowest pace of play in football for Jacksonville. Ugliest pace of play in Denver so far. The Broncos defense. That's a trackable stat now. Yes, it is.

48:54 ↗

The Broncos defense has exactly zero sacks on the season. This was the formidable, incredible. Because this looks like a good defensive playwright. On paper, Denver at home against Gardner Minshu looks like a great play. Zero sacks. You've got Vaughn Miller. Zero sacks through three games. It's, it's outland with Vic Fangio coming, like the defensive genius running the show. It's really unbelievable. Here's,

49:21 ↗

I think the only question of this game, like, I'm not playing DJ Chark. I know he's been on fire, but he gets Chris Harris, Jr. He saw what he did to Devante Adams. But what about Emmanuel Sanders and Cortland Sutton? Jacksonville's a great deed, but they're not going to have Jalen Ramsey. That changes things. Is that where it is trained to do is Ramsey looking like he's going to be out? I believe they are going to be without Jailen Ramsey. Because he had the wink, wink, wink, and then he had like a wink wink.

49:48 ↗

No, he had a real child. A real child. That wasn't a wink, wink, wink child. He flew to, I believe, Nashville. He's there with James White. He's just like. Yeah, I just wanted to see James White's baby. No, but he says his trade request still stands. Right. So. I don't believe he's playing this week. I think he found the loophole. Good for you. If his wife can have a baby next week, he's out there looking for, if he can find Sam Darnold, you know he's after that.

50:17 ↗

Oh, he's a little smoo-y-smoot. Because he doesn't want to take the field for Jacksonville anymore. Just give me a kiss, Sam. That'll buy him what, four or five weeks at least. Oh, man. Genius. All right, Sunday night football. Cowboys, Saints. Cowboys are two and a half point road favorites in this one. 47 point over under the Saints. They won last week. The impressive performance against Seattle. You know, the Carson turnover didn't help the momentum of that game. But I think I was impressed with what I saw.

50:47 ↗

from Teddy Bridgewater able to kind of manage the offense. And obviously Alvin Camara is so good that you can kind of hand him the whole offense, literally. Here's the thing that's the most surprising, probably the most surprising stat I've heard in a long time, but certainly within this matchup. Yesterday we were talking about the Miami Dolphins as the 31st best team against quarterbacks. And Mike was blown away. They're like, wait, there's someone worse.

51:16 ↗

than the dolphins, and it turns out it's the Saints against the quarterback, and it's on the back of giving up four rushing touchdowns already to the quarterback through the first three weeks, and now they're playing Dak Prescott, who's known for supplementing his touchdowns with rushing touchdowns. Mark of the Beast, each of the first three years, he's had six rushing touchdowns. This matchup seems like one that you want to say might be scary for Dak, but it might be, I mean,

51:45 ↗

Oh, no. It looks great. Scary? Heck no, no. I'm just saying like, team. You look at last year. You know, the Saints were a great defense. They're still good against the run. You just wonder. But I think I think Dak's going to have a good game. Well, yeah. And I mean, if you look at that stat, maybe that one's, it's a little contorted by rushing touchdowns. But then you look at what they've given up to the wide receiver position. They're 30th in the league, 42 and a half points per game. So they haven't been able to step up there.

52:14 ↗

You've got Amari Cooper has been extremely consistent. He's the wide receiver four on the season. He's a go-to guy in this new downfield offense where Dak is, you know, taking shots, picking his spots. I just like Dallas in this game. You know, you've got a 24 and a half point implied point total, the Saints at 22. I like obviously, Dak, Z, Cooper, they're in. Is there somebody else you're taking a shot with on Dallas?

52:41 ↗

If you have to pick another wide receiver, for example, because you look at the situation, Michael Gallup's not back yet. They have given up a lot of points to the wide receiver position, and Amari Cooper had a precautionary MRI. So if you're taking a shot, is it on Randall Cobb? Is it on Devin Smith? If I'm taking the shot, I'm going to go Devin Smith. We would hope that Randall Cobb last week would step up in the absence of Michael Galp against Miami.

53:08 ↗

Four targets. And it's Randall Cobb targets, so he ends up with two for 23. Devin Smith has not. Devin Smith had five targets last week. I'm not calling him a great play or anything, but it's unfortunate that he's Sunday night. So if you're playing, like, if you're playing the main slate of DFS, we're going to do our ballers on a budget segment here coming up where we're talking about bargain plays for fan duel. And I wanted it to be Devin Smith. And I'm like, ah, but he's Sunday night, so you can't put him in the main slate.

53:39 ↗

So to answer your questions, if I'm taking the shot, I'm going big play for David Smith. You're in the dome and you got some. Probably the smart play. You got some rough cornerbacks for the Saints. They have one really good one and then a couple really bad ones, which is why they're giving up over 40 points to the wide receiver position. So I'll go with Smith. Yeah, most of the starts in this game are just obvious ones. Michael Thomas, Calvin Camara. All right, the Bengals. Take on the Steelers.

54:09 ↗

Monday night football game. And this is my Andy's almost upset of the week. The winless Bengals go to Pittsburgh. Steelers are four-point favorites. This is the Monday night game. I'm going back to the well with the Bengals. Last week they delivered the almost upset against the bills. I think they do it against Mason Rudolph in the divisional matchup.

54:37 ↗

Mason Rudolph, 14 completions last week, 174 yards. It was gross. Somewhere there is a high-ranking executive who has lost all of his hair as he gives a gaze to the Monday night football upcoming schedule. Someone's going to win this thing from what, well, maybe. Not necessarily. Oh, that would be so great. What do you think the Ravens would think if they're sitting here and their two divisional opponents here end up with a tie?

55:07 ↗

A six to six tie. No, I think that the Bengals will be able to do enough against this Steelers defense. I know the Steelers are trying to shore it up with Minka Fitzpatrick, and it looked a lot better last week. It really did. They were a studly defense last week. They were, which is what makes it so incredible that they are currently 24th against quarterbacks, 29th against running backs, 28th against wide receivers, and 19th against tight ends because they did look pretty good last week. Thanks, Patriots week one.

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