Fantasy Football - Week 16 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, THE PUKA SHOW - Podcast for 12/19

He'd look out and go, okay, I got Evans on this play. And so he'd throw it to him every time he's in the game because he's not sure how often he's going to be in the game. So it's like whenever Evans was out there running around, he got the ball. He just connects better with Evans, which makes sense. A second ballot Hall of Famer in Mike Evans. He is now because he can't get a thousand yards this year. Emeka, Buka, or Jaden Reed, Ladd McConkey, and DJ Moore. Oh my gosh. Wow. I think I'd play DJ Moore just trying to hit a ceiling. Chris Godwin did not practice on Thursday. Oh. Neither did Mike Evans. Wow. But they marked it down his rest. What is Godwin's DMP marked as? Kyle, do you have that?

It says fibula slash rest. Okay, so they're resting. He's resting his fibula? Dude, you got to rest those bones. Evans is resting his collarbone. That's what it's listed as, collarbone slash rest. All right. So it's double rest. It's their fibrillus been worked. You never been put on bone rest? Yeah. You got to have a little bit of bone rest today. Drink some milk and. Oh, they're probably doing milk ibis. And lay down, oh, a milk. Straight to the blood for you. I do chocolate milk IV, but whatever. Yeah, no, it's good. It's veteran. It's veteran rest while they are banged up. And it makes sense. That means they're going to play. I think I would go. The other fibula though. Active. I don't know. I'm working that thing. Out. Yeah. I agree with Mike. DJ Moore to me is like he's in. I just see the pathway with now that burden and O'Donzee are out. There's got to be enough work for.

Mr. Loveland. Oh, Mr. Lovelin. And DJ Moore. And then I want the Dallas defense for Lad McConkey. I would play both those guys over Ig Big Booh. Tedderow McMillan, practicing in full. He's in. I would play him over Ig Big Boo. Yes. Yeah, Tederoa had the kind of the down game last week against New Orleans when they lost a very important game that they needed. Just two catches. That's the kind of wild thing about the last. He has five catches in his last three full games. Five total. Crazy. Not each game. Two, one, two. Yeah. It's been a little slow here. Yeah, there's a world where Jalen Coker is an okay start in this one. I agree. The defense for Tampa Bay, we thought like about halfway through the year. This would be a great playoff situation. It's not really. They're just giving up too many points. 32nd. Dead last against opposing quarterbacks. This is why Mike brought up Bryce Young as a streaming candidate. It's why I thought about making them a start of the week.

Didn't do it. Now, but if, if I would have and he does good. Yeah, speaking of that of like what we did with Stafford, could I replace Rico Dowdle who I started over Ken Walker? Could I move Ken Walker in? Are we, are we doing that for all the players? No. Oh, man. Dowell. Only Stafford. Yeah. Dowdle, I think, will be okay in this game. I really do. I played him over Ken Walker, so I thought he was. You can't be mad yet. Yeah, Ken. Oh, okay. I could be mad because I did this. I did this to myself. I betrayed. You just never believed in Ken Walker. Your whole career is a fantasy analyst. My boy! I've betrayed my boy! I think Ken Walker is on... What's the line? Most... Doubtle is your boy, too, okay? Not over Ken Walker. If you had to just pick one son... I've abandoned my son. That's what the line is. Yeah. Yeah, well... I'm sorry, Ken.

You know. You went Rico. We'll see what happens. Yeah, I deserved it. Jacksonville's 10 and 4. They take on the 12 and 2 Denver Broncos. The Vegas line, Denver minus 3 at home. The overrunners 46 and a half. How many games have the Broncos won in a row right now? Is it 12? Is it really? Goodness gracious. I don't think they went 0-2 to start the season. Maybe not 12. I think they've won a bunch in a row, right? I'm waiting for Kyle to jump in. They definitely have won a lot of games in a row. He's got a milk IV going over there.

They started one and two. All right. Then the math says 11, right? Yes. Okay. 11 straight wins for the favored Denver Broncos. And here we go. This should be a fun one. We said we've complimented Trevor Lawrence way too much. Agreed. Potentially. Yeah. I mean, I brought up his recent schedule. And while he has played outstanding, especially this last week where he was. I mean, 63% completions for 330 yards, five passing touchdowns, add a rushing touchdown was absolutely incredible. His matchups against the Jets, the Titans, the Cardinals, like his recent month has not been very difficult. To go on the road to Denver, they're undefeated at home this year, 7 and 0, is a real, real test. And I think a lot of, this is one of those.

questionable starts where people are like how do I how do I not start him he's been so good he scored over 40 fantasy points last week but it's it's a dangerous start I think I think I'm okay with it here's a crazy way of basically explaining how we have watched Denver and been confused by them despite winning all their games they're the only team that has led in every single game that they've been in this season They've also trailed in 13 of the 14 games. So like their games are up and down and all around and they find a way to finish and Bo Nix gets it done when you don't expect it sometimes. But Jacksonville, they're on a hot streak, 5 and 0 plus 99 point differential over the last five games. Both of these defenses, they are run stoppers, which is why there's a differing of opinion on Travis E. Teen in this game between Mike and Jason. There's also a very obvious desire.

for Mike to have ETN struggle and Jason to have him dominate. Sure. Because you're facing each other. And I have ETN. Yeah. I mean, the truth is he's going to get a lot of work. And so I think you're going to start him no matter what in every league. He should touch the ball 20 times. Right. You play players that touch the ball 20 times. Yes. Whether or not he gets a touchdown, whether or not he is efficient, that's TBD. But the volume will be there now with the injury to Bayshalt-Tooten. Yes. I'm concerned like the of ETN on the ground, it comes and it goes. I mean, it's on the ground the last, I mean, really since the by week, it's been rough. The volume is there. He's getting so, so, so many carries. No, he's like 3.8 to carry since the by week. One good game. The Jets should have been a great ground game and he only had 32 yards rushing. And then up until this past week where ETIN had the three.

Just insane receiving touchdowns. You realize before last week, for the entirety of the season, Travis E.TN through the air averaging two receptions for 14 yards. Like the work through the air has not been what we're used to. The toton injury is significant for me in that regard. Could be. Especially with their, you know, they're going to have to run through the air a little bit in this game. I think E.T.N catches some passes. I think he's productive enough. I think he. I guess I'm playing him. So I'm not trying to warn people that, no, you got to find another option. But I feel like if ETN doesn't score a touchdown, you will be upset with the performance. Well, I didn't do it, but one of my prize picks was going to be 0.5 touchdowns more for Travis ETN this week. That's a little risky. Do you feel more confident with ETN or Harvey on the other side if you had both on your roster? Definitely ETN. Harvey has been so good on a per touch basis.

But he has not touched the ball enough, especially we thought that- 23 opportunities, 20 opportunities, the last two games? That's not enough? I mean, I don't know for Jason. It wasn't enough immediately. Like when the injury happened to J.K. Dobbins, I felt like it was really slow getting this player involved. But the matchup against Jacksonville, I think it's more difficult to run on Jacksonville than it is on the Broncos. I know recently the last six weeks, the Broncos have really been good against the run. Some of that to me is a little bit of matchup. because I don't believe that's scheduled just the data. The Jacksonville Jaguars have been, you throw on them, you don't run on them a lot. Now, RJ Harvey's great in the receiving game, so, you know. They're very difficult to choose between the two of them. They're two spots different in my rankings. I have ETN slightly ahead. I think, though, that RJ Harvey, just like my analysis of the game, Harvey's probability of a touchdown is slightly higher than ETN's.

if you're chasing that. But the volume, I'm more secure in ETN getting the, you know, 15 plus opportunities. And Harvey had the, he got a little bit banged up. He had the rib injury, but he's practicing in full. Just don't know if that will affect anything. You know who else is practicing in full? Pat Bryant. Yeah, baby. Oh, we're back. Kind of. I mean, it really stinks for fantasy. Oh, it's terrible. You can't start Pat Bryant. And now it means you can't start. Nobody can't. Troy Franklin. And this is a matchup where there should be a lot of passing yards and, you know, fantasy production in the air. I think it's terrible. I think you were probably feeling pretty confident to come out there and say play Sutton, play Franklin. And now you do have the inconsistency of all those players. I mean, every single receiver in Denver, despite the record has been.

Completely unpredictable. Yes. There have been times that we've come on this show and it looked like Troy Franklin was taken over. I mean, there were times at the end of last year. Marvin Mims was taken up to 70. Then it goes to 40 and he's out. Well, it went to 40 because he got knocked out of the game. He was knocked out in the middle of that game. Yeah. Pat Brian had like up until that point, Pat Bryant had taken the wide receiver two spot because he's better than Franklin. How dare you? You know it to be true. Yeah, I don't have any confidence. I'm not playing Pat Bryant. I'm not playing him. I probably am not playing. I'm not playing Franklin either. Cortland Sutton would be the one that I play. Pat Bryant being there is better for Bo Nix, though. To have all those guys. The other side of the field, that wide receiver. This game has a lot of players of importance. I think on the other side, you can play Jacoby Myers and you can play Brian Thomas, both of them. Brian Thomas, the big play.

hopeful for a massive playoff performance. You know he's got that skill. And then Jacoby for that floor. You know, when you're when you're averaging, he's just very reliable. He's always where he needs to be. And he catches the ball when you throw it to him. That's not always the case with Brian Thomas Jr. But the big playability. You know, in this game, what is the over under here? The over under is 46.5. They're two good defenses, but the way these teams have been playing, I think this game hits the over. Really? Yeah. Mike's start of the week. Britain's Strange. Yeah, I mean, this game is, it's a big one. We just watched a, what, a 43 and a half point over under, turning into 80 pretty quick. 77, whatever it is, 75. Arizona, Atlanta, not exactly the game, a game with the same magnitude. Arizona's at home. Vegas line.

48 and a half. Yeah, Atlanta minus three over under is 48.5. The defenses are actually not traveling this week with the teams. So they're going to be playing 11 on none and see if they can break the all-time record. So we're excited? I think we are excited. For fantasy purposes, the way that these two defenses have been playing lately. And it's funny because both of these teams early in the year looked like, man, they've... They're figuring out the defense. Like their defense is hard to run on, hard to pass on. And then I think it was a combination of injuries along with losses that have really just kind of folded the defenses, folded the teams, folded the morale. These two teams, what are they playing for? They're both playing for a higher pick. I mean, not the Falcons, I don't believe they have their pick. Well, they're first. They're first. And you still want your other picks to be as high as possible. But, you know, the Cardinals.

really need to lose this game, which is why Gannon doesn't. Ironclad. There's one man. I mean, Jonathan Gannon is playing for a chance to coach again next year. There's no way the Cardinals lose this game. Just because it would be the worst thing for them. I know the Falcons are favored and the Falcons should win. The Falcons are the better team. But that's how I see. You realize on a podcast out there somewhere, there is people saying the exact opposite that are saying that there's no way the Falcons don't win this game because it's the worst thing that could possibly happen to them.

Yeah, these are two franchises that love misery. They really- Do we get a tie? Let's tie this game. But for fantasy purposes, a ton of value. Obviously, Bejohn is going to be in. Brissette should definitely be in. Has not been a top 12 quarterback the entire season. And I don't know how you can sit Michael Wilson, Andy, your start of the week. He's been way dang too good, even if Marv is there. If Marv is there, I think you can play him. Yeah, you can definitely play Michael Wilson. High over-under, play Tray McBride, play Kyle Pitts if he's active. Yes, even if Drake London's back. I think you're fine doing that. Play Drake London if he's back. I mean, I think the Drake London, if he's back from the injury versus Michael Wilson question, is interesting.

That one is very interesting. So if Marv is out, Michael Wilson is started, period, even over Drake London. If Marvin Harrison is there, I would start Drake London over Wilson. We also have had a, we had the debate very early in the week about whether DeMarcato or Michael Carter is the better start. The press conference comments from Jonathan Gannon about Michael Carter leading the way have probably swayed me over to Mike's side of. Michael Carter's probably the better start. I think he's in this one. I just wouldn't be shocked if DiMarcotta ruins that for you somehow. With a big long touchdown run. But I'm with Mike. I'd go Michael Carter if you need an emergency start and then Bijan, of course, play him. We'll take a break and talk more matchups. ORA frames is the hidden gym that becomes the favorite gift long after the wrapping paper is gone. And you can enjoy unlimited free photo and video upload. Simply download the ORA app.

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Well, it's an effort to be out there. Yeah. So if you're planning on a Texans running back, you've got to take that thing up to Sunday. It's an ankle injury. So if he's out there participating in practice with an ankle injury, you would expect they'll know how it responds tomorrow. And if it goes well, if practice is limited, it doesn't swell up. And it's... better he has a legit been knocked out of the last two games like actually had to leave the last two games he's played last week he did he did in the one before but he came back right he does that's quite a lot yes is the answer he's a waddler oh it a in that game two weeks ago was 87% snaps so he still play he had to come back but he i'm just saying he's been knocked out hurt so it's a risk i'm just yeah oh yes yeah it is definitely a risk and it's a risk i would personally take

Pittsburgh's 8 and 6, Detroit's 8 and 6. Vegas line, Detroit minus 7 over under 51.5. If Pittsburgh, who is the fourth seat in the AFC, wins the game, they have a 77% chance to win the division. If Detroit, currently the 8th seed in the NFC wins, they have a 46% chance to make the playoffs. A loss pretty much eliminates Detroit from the playoffs. They'll be down at like 14%. They'll need so much help to get in. It's a huge game. It's in Detroit. They're heavily favored. 51 and a half point over under. It started at 49 and a half. So the people think this game is going to be an offensive onslaught. And you look at your start sit decisions right now. You know, Jared Goff, we know how he plays in a dome. You have no T.J. Watt on the past rushing side. Amon Ra and Jameson Williams have been too good to sit. Jemir Gibbs, of course you're playing him. This is the three touchdown week, right?

If you want to go, like when does Gibbs do that? Well, the back and forth. He's been scoring three touchdowns, no touchdowns, three touchdowns, no touchdowns. And here we are. You're right. This happened three times. It's insane. Yeah. And you play Gibbs. You hopefully didn't need a huge game from him last week and you made it through. David Montgomery is a real break glass type of player, not a must start at all. I saw Dan Campbell talking about David Montgomery and his new role. And then David Montgomery is a pro, and he is, you know, basically he was talking up David Montgomery as a true professional in the sense that he's... He spent weeks... ...week saying, I got to get Montgomery more touches. I don't care what he says about Montgomery. So, but the thing is, is your favorite, you're at home, you're favored by a touchdown. Montgomery is also in his own right, a touchdown machine. So can you start David Montgomery? Do you want to start David Montgomery? No.

Can I give you a couple starts, sit decisions to see if you would start David Montgomery. Hold on. www. jason's roster.com slash my lineup. David Montgomery or Tony Pollard, who's been hot playing against the chiefs. Paulard. Okay. Easily. Not for me. All right. David Monk. Why would you sit Pollard after he's been on fire and they're giving him the much work? I'm just curious. Like Montgomery is just, if you score, you're happy. You are, but I think that the Kansas City defense is going to. stop the Titans offense dead in their tracks. What about the other side? Kareem Hunt for the Kansas City Chiefs against the Titans or David Montgomery. I'll play Montgomery in that situation. Yeah, I'm going to go Montgomery. And then final name, Audric Estime or David Montgomery. Yeah, okay. Now we're at the website. Yeah, it's Estimate. Okay. It's Estimate unless you're a heavy, heavy favorite. And you just need six points because Monty can get you six. But the lines have the highest implied point total of the week. I think they're going to

just demolished Pittsburgh. Demolished them. Yeah. That's the argument for Montgomery. Did you see with T.J. Watt off the field for Pittsburgh, their 31st and completion percentage given up and 32nd and yards per pass attempt allowed? Sheesh. And you get to go up against basically two top 10 wide receivers right now. Jameson Williams is on fire. He's got four top 10 finishes since the bye week. And then Amman Ra. This is... This is also why I really like D.K. Metcalfe this week. Everything you just said, you expect the Lions to score. You expect them to be in the lead. Have you seen how many points the Lions are giving up to wide receivers right now? Yeah. 38 a game. They have not done well against the past. So you're going to need DK Metcalf. If you can target him enough, you'll succeed against this Lions defense. Kenneth Gainwell, Jalen Warren. Kenneth Gainwell is literally the singular.

toughest type of player for me to ever start in a game. Understandable. He feels a little bit like the old school Darren Sproles where, you know, he was never the starter for New Orleans, but he just kind of always had points. And you're like, well, how's he going to do it? I don't know. He just does. He's been double digits 26, 15, 5, 13, 16. It doesn't make sense to me. The targets. I mean, you look, who has more targets in the last five weeks for this same team? I genuinely don't know the answer. D.K. McCaff or Kenny Gainwell? In how many weeks? In the last five weeks. I would say Kenny Gainwell. Because D.K. just had that monster target week. Gamewell has the most receptions. 31 targets in the last five weeks for Gainwell. Yes. And he has more receptions than any player on the team. I mean, when you're that involved. He just had 20 opportunities with Warren active. Now that's an office. Well, Warren did have the illness.

Some of these games, Warren has been coming back from injury and played fewer snaps. Is illness and played fewer snaps? Warren or Gainwell? Who do you play? And that's a great question. I think it's Gainwell. I think it's Gainwell. I have, look, I've got Warren on my roster, so I am incentivized. I want Warren to do well. But even with all those things, he's coming back, sick. Kenny Gainwell has been the better player watching the Steelers games. He's looked really good. I have them back to back in my rankings. Kenny Gainwell one. Wild. Wild one. I think that's it by Starts-it decisions in that game. The Raiders, 2 and 12. Guys, you're not going to believe this. You're not going to believe this. They play Houston. That part you can believe because teams play other teams sometimes. Houston's 9 and 5.

Yeah. The implied point total for the Las Vegas Raiders. It's unbelievable. I've never seen this. It's the second lowest of any team since 2013. It is the lowest of the year of any team. It is 11.5 points. And how do they, how in the world do they get an 11 and a half points? This was when we had the Ashton Genty question yesterday. This is why? Ashton Genty is not a must play this week. Not to me. Well, I don't think he's. I don't think he's a must play. by any stretch. I think it's just those decisions and how how much do you attach to his name and don't over-emphasize. Yeah, it's funny. So all these players we just talked about, so let me tell you where my rankings come in. I have Michael Carter ahead of Ashen Genti, Ash and Genti, ahead of Audrake Estime, who is just ahead of Kenny Gainwell. But that's the tier that you're talking about. Yeah, it's like Tyrone Tracy, Aaron Jones.

Rico. I've got both of those. I'm playing all those guys ahead of Ash and Gentie. Yeah, I mean, he is obviously the talented player that could break off a long run. Hopefully you get him involved in the passing game. We've seen games where he is really involved in the receiving game and then he disappears. What are you laughing at? He caught four passes last week, guys. How many? No, he got seven yards. Oh, okay. He caught two passes last week for eight yards. Yeah. I mean, there's, okay, all right. The team is so catastrophically bad that you, I mean, you can name whoever you think is the best running back in the league and you put them in this environment and they are pretty much unstartable for fantasy right now. Yeah, yeah, this is not good. No. They've lost eight straight games. Texans have won six straight. It's a big game for, it's a big game for Houston.

Yeah, I do think even in this battle. Is he playable in this game? Stroud is scary, a little bit scary to me because this could be a game. Stroud or Stafford? Stafford, for sure. Really? Yeah. It's the same thing as last week where you knew Houston was going to beat the crap out of Arizona. CJ Stroud was still good for fantasy. That's because the touchdowns came early. The Nico bomb touchdown. And, you know, obviously if he starts, CJ Stroud can do what he wants against the Raiders. If they want to run the ball. They'll succeed. It's just a matter of once you're up by two scores, you're not forced to continue throwing the ball. I think Brock Bowers, we brought it up yesterday. He's still a very good play. All the bad things about the Raiders, you're still going to have to throw the ball. And when you look at the Texans defense, they're not bad against anything. They're good across the board, but they are weakest against tight ends, which is the strength of the Raiders. So Bowers, you'll start. And that's really a Gentie you can.

On the other side, Nico, yes. Mike has the Houston running back spot. Yeah, I hope it's Woody. And then we talked about Stroud. Otherwise, Dalton Schultz, not a bad play. Correct. He is the doctor. But if they get it down on the ground, they may not need to utilize. And we saw Nico Collins last week as an example. He was great against Arizona. But it was not via volume. It was one catch to start the game. No catches for a long, long, long, long time. And then at the very, very end of the game, he got back into the end zone. So just.