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Main show · December 31, 2021

Week 17 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, Win or Go Home - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/31

RSSDec 31, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Week 17 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, Win or Go Home - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/31

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Inside the episode

145 passages
41:54 ↗

Should I? Should I believe that? Yeah, I think it's better than what he's been dealing with Walker and Cam Newton, certainly. DJ Moore is just, he's not top 10, but I think he's a strong wide receiver 2 play. He's still in there. And I would disagree a little bit on Tassum Hill. He had a terrible game against Tampa Bay. It was 9 to 0. Literally everybody in that game had a terrible game, but before that he was the QB4.

42:24 ↗

back-to-back weeks. So he is, he's in consideration, but the COVID storyline does scare me. Yeah. Yeah, I remember one of those games, he was not good until the final play of the game, too. I believe the quarterback four. Yes, on the play that he should have gone down on and instead runs like a 50-yard touch. I'm just saying, like there's some question marks. Obviously, Carolina's defense is all right. Alvin Camara, how in the world do you think about him? Oh, I.

42:53 ↗

Sad. I've seen... Fond memories? I mean, that's how I think about Alvin Camara. Like the Wolverine meme. I'm looking at the picture. Will you bench him? No. No matter what? Not just about no matter what. I do think with Taysom Hill back, they're going to be much better. The Panthers have been given up a lot of them. I was going to say, you've got to run the waiver wire. I mean, these are the questions that are actually out there. The Ronald Jones one is out there in mass. I would play Ronald Jones over Camaro. I would.

43:22 ↗

I will have the courage for us to say it. Man, I love Ronald Jones. You know it to be true. I don't know it to be true. I really don't. Oh, man, that is as tough a question. I think I would stay with Camara over Ronald Jones. But he's up there. I don't think Camara has a terrible game. Damien Harris or Alvin Camer. Oh, no. Alvin Camara. Is it a PPR league? I know.

43:56 ↗

Yeah, in a PPR league, it would be... Can the scoring format bail me out? Sure. If it's PPR, I would go with Camara. If it's half Damien Harris. I don't want to... Oh, gosh. I don't want to get... Boo! Boo this week! I don't want to get too distracted by last week where they were missing many pieces on their offensive line and their first and second string quarterback. There was nothing Camara could have done in that game.

44:28 ↗

And it seemed like now Camara is worthless, but I don't believe that to be true. I think Camara is still one of the best running backs in the league. Agreed. I think the offense is going to be much better with Taysam Hill. And he's a guy that I'm going to start in most situations. Unless I've got smash matchup after smash matchup personally, I would have him in my lineup. Yeah, we're just talking about Ronald Jones. I love Ronald Jones. Okay. Good deflection. I want you to know I've been in full like.

44:58 ↗

Draft King's lineup panic. Oh, yeah. I had it so locked and loaded, and now I'm just, I'm wavering here. You're tinkering. Don't tinker. Yeah, I've been tinkering. I'm not sure I like my lineup. You tell, all right. Let's talk about the Detroit Lions. That's fun. Two and 12 and one. Just got news this morning that Jericho's doubtful to play. Drafking Sportsbook line, they're taking on the Seahawks who are five and ten. Seahawks are seven-point favorites. The all-runners 42.

45:29 ↗

I might go up. And I think this game's going to be fun for fantasy football. Like on paper, you're like, oh, lion's Seahawks. Yeah, no, we got two bad defenses. You got a lot of high-level fantasy players. Rashad Penny, back from the dead. He's a great play against the Lions. DeAndre Swift, back from the injury report.

45:55 ↗

In a great situation against the Seattle Seahawks who are on the season, the 31st best matchup for fantasy running backs. Matt Calf and Lockett, another week to heal for Russell Wilson. You hear the Russ comments all about, you know, hope it's not his last game. Oh, I didn't. And he's like volunteering that answer.

46:20 ↗

Like nobody's like really asking it. And he's like, sir, this is a Wendy's. And so, you know, I don't know if that means he wants to go out there and kind of reset the market for himself or what? I'm sure he wants to. I bet he's probably wanted to do that the last six weeks. Do you buy Dan Campbell coming out and saying he wants to cut him loose when speaking about D'Andre Swift? I do buy it. Our injury guy, Matthew Betts, has been.

46:49 ↗

Talking for a couple weeks that he thinks that DeAndre Swift is healthy enough that this injury is not one that should limit him. It was a shoulder injury. The fact that he shouldn't be limited, Dan Campbell's saying we're just going to use him. We'll shut him down after week 18. I think they're going to try to score as many points and have the most fun and play the best football that they can. They're playing inspired football for Dan Campbell. And I think Swift is a great play here against the team that has.

47:16 ↗

not been good against the run. I hate to say that to you, Andy, because I know that your opponent went from not having DeAndre Swift to having DeAndre Swift, but I think Swift is a pretty good player. Last week, Jamal Williams had 19 opportunities and Craig Reynolds had 15. Yeah. So is that, do you think Swift will have? I think so, but half the work? I think he'll have a little bit more than half, but it comes down to the passing game where Jared Goff was.

47:44 ↗

was throwing to Swift at a very high rate. We'll see if Tim Boyle continues that. I think if you're playing against DeAndre Swift, Craig Reynolds is the wild card and your hope that the team is so encouraged by his play that they feel like they have to get him touches. And it's not just Swift and Jamal Williams. If you introduce a third option into it, then you have just a...

48:12 ↗

You have an opportunity that Williams or Reynolds takes a carry at the 12 and they score? That's your saving grace this week. That's your hope. That's your hope. I don't believe that to be true. I would be terrified to play against Swift this week. Yeah, I think Craig Reynolds will be an afterthought with both Jamal Williams and DeAndre Swift active. Implied point total of 17 and a half for the Lions. Amon Ross St. Brown has been a top seven receiver three out of four weeks, including with Tim Boyle.

48:38 ↗

So are you willing to go back to that well without hesitation just because of how on fire he's been? I'm willing to go back with a slight hesitation. I would say that he's going to be a fine option. I would play him over the brand and I eukes, that barometer that we set earlier. But what he's done the last four weeks, 12 targets, 12 targets, 11 targets, 11 targets. I don't think he hits double digit targets with DeAndre Swift back. This stretch has been without DeAndre Swift, without T.J. Hawkinson, two of the best.

49:08 ↗

the two best pass catchers on the team outside of Amman Ra. All right. You like Lockett or Metcalf more in this game? I like Lockett more. Yeah, Locket. And we should talk about Russell Wilson because I actually think Russell Wilson is not a terrible play. This is the first time I've said that since week four, the majority of the season. But he showed some flashes in the snow.

49:37 ↗

Last week, I think the matchup is great. You've got the weapons. You've got him getting healthier. You know, I would play him over Tyler Huntley, for example. Russell Wilson or Tua against Tennessee? Russell. Russ. Russell Wilson or Joe Burrow against Kansas City. Russ. I'm not here. Russell Wilson or Justin Herbert against Denver. Herbert. Okay.

50:07 ↗

The Vikings at 7 and 8 take on the 12 and 3 Green Bay Packers. We just got the news. I have an update. I may not be playing. Yeah. Sean Mannion is expected to come off the COVID-19 reserve list and start the game. But that guy sucks. But Kellan Mond would be more fun for the show. Yeah, way more fun. Also way more fun for Minnesota. Come on. Sean Mannion, really? See that much better than a rookie who's never played football?

50:35 ↗

Probably. Sean Mannion. Yeah, it doesn't have the same ring to it. Aaron Rogers on the other side has a nice ring to it. Yeah. He's going to be what he's been. And yes, he certainly should be. But, I mean, you have some variables here of like the cold. The game script. The game script of that could hold Aaron Rogers back, but.

51:04 ↗

It's also Aaron Rogers playing. At this point, I've not heard Aaron Rogers talk about MVP things, and I don't care what he says about it. Trying to analyze the personality of Aaron Rogers, he cares. He cares about winning the MVP, and he has the lead with it. Right now, I would project. So he needs to come out and put up a big game and kind of lock it down. And what better way to do it Sunday night?

51:34 ↗

in front of everybody against your division rival. So I'm, even with everything we're talking about, the concerns, Rogers is still locked in as a must play. I would agree. I'm not going to bench Rogers. He's been on too much fire. He's at home. He's played great in the cold before. And, you know, this game is a different level of cold, but if there's anyone that can play through it, it's going to be a Green Bay Packers Hall of Fame quarterback. I say it that way because Brett Favre good, too. Alan Lazard.

52:04 ↗

you know, NVS is back. And so without NBS back, I think Luzard was looking pretty strong. He dropped another touchdown last week. You could add two. But I think it's more muddied now. If you mix in the game script and you mix in, you know, NVS was getting targets. Randall Cobb is back at practice. Like I think I'm probably staying away from Lazzard in this game. I look at them both like a light version of the secondary guys for the Rams where the matchup is sensational.

52:34 ↗

I can't say for sure which one of the guys is going to have himself a game, but there's an opportunity for MVS or Lazard to have a big game. So they're worth going into a flex if you really need some ups. I wouldn't just because I don't think this game will be competitive with Sean Mannion and at quarterback in this weather. I think the Green Bay Packers will get up early and maybe Alan Lazard or MVS gets that first touchdown.

53:04 ↗

But if they don't get that first touchdown, it's probably Devons Adams, if it's, you know, passing. It's going to be very difficult, I think, the second half of that game to have fantasy points. Whereas I think Baltimore can keep up a little bit more with the Los Angeles Rams. Justin Jefferson has been nothing short of spectacular this year again. And yet you're going to go into your championship week pretty much knowing he's not going to be great. I mean, he might be good.

53:34 ↗

But the odds of great here with Sean Manion are not high. Right. You have a lower probability, but Justin Jefferson is so good to me that he can't overcome the situation and break free and maybe, man, you can hit him deep. You like A.J. Dillon with the game script, Mike. Yes, I do. Aaron Jones, Dalvin Cook, both in your lineups. Yes. Yes. And then is Tyler Conklin completely out?

53:58 ↗

Yeah, Conklin was a bubble player with Kirk Cousins. He's an option. He's a double bubble. Yeah, and double bubble. That's trouble. Yeah, it loses flavor way too quick. Yeah. So KJ. Osborne, who is like... I'd rather be dead. I'm saying he's been interesting with Adam Thielen out. No, I said I'd rather be... I'd rather be... Okay, well, then I'm going to go over to Jason who said he won't play a Packer wide receiver, KJ Osborne, or one of the Packers.

54:25 ↗

I would play one of the Packers over the KJ Osborne. I'd rather Andy be dead than play KJ Osborne. Thank you. Oh, man. You're welcome. It means a lot. Yeah. Well, I'm here with you, man. Cleveland, 7 and 8. Pittsburgh, 7 and 1. They're at home. This is the Monday night game. The Browns minus 3.5. That's the D.K. Sportsbook line. In some ways, it seems mesmerizing to me that the sealers have the better record than the Browns. The overhunder is 41.

54:53 ↗

This may be one of the hardest games to watch of your life. This may be one of the hardest things to physically put your eyes upon. Are favored in Pittsburgh. Wow. What does that say about Pittsburgh? Since their defense has not been strong enough to carry the team. Yeah, because they're quarterback. Oh, man. This is going to be a gross game. Just disgusting.

55:25 ↗

Yeah, that's what I just said. This may be like one of the hardest ones to watch. This is going to be a game that has full, there's the last game. It will have the full championship decisions. If you've got a Chuck, Najee, Deontay, those players are locked into your lineups. Yeah. And then beyond that, you probably aren't playing anybody. Maybe the Muth. Yeah, you're probably not playing. That is one area that Cleveland is vulnerable to is tight ends.

55:55 ↗

Yeah, and the Muth is coming back off of the concussion. So I would expect him to go back to where he was. So he's a fine kind of low-end tight-in one. Gerald Everett against Detroit or the Muth. I would go with Gerald Everett. I would too. I don't want to talk about this game anymore. Yeah, I mean, Nick Chubb should be great. I think the biggest question here is what do you do if you've got...

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