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Main show · January 31, 2017

Fantasy Football Podcast 2017 - Shocking Stats from 2016!

RSSJan 31, 2017 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2017 - Shocking Stats from 2016!

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Inside the episode

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26:51 ↗

And he felt like he should bring us something from Nashville. So he brought us. And he was correct. And he was obviously correct. And he gave us each this, you know, a little gift bag full of goos. Goo Goo Clusters. And there are some, like my brother-in-law, grew up in Louisiana in the Midwest. They knew what goos were. And he quickly ate them. But we did not. And they are these delicious, like, almost like.

27:16 ↗

They're candy bars, but they have like a Cadbury cream nougat inside with peanuts and peanut butter and chocolate. Yeah, Google if you're out there and you want to sponsor a show. Just Google the goo, right? Google the goo goo. You can get them on Amazon. We are not sponsored by them, but we would love to be. Also, that would be bad for the Year of Health. But anyway, I was talking about lists and how much we love lists. There are four articles on the website with shocking statistics.

27:45 ↗

25 per position. We're breaking down some of the more interesting ones on the show today. But if you want to check out the full articles, they're great. Go to the fantasy footballers.com and you can see even more, you know, some of us can't get enough lists. So you've got enough over there. We even have a top 25 shocking stats for kickers. Boom, boom, boom. Do we really? We really do. I had no idea. Oh, yeah.

28:09 ↗

I have a kicker filter on my browser. Oh, yeah. It filters out all those. Yeah. It returns every kicker into Chandler-Kantzaro. That's a weird thing. All right. Dak Prescott. I'm going to start with some shocking stats at the quarterback position. And why not start with Dak? He was one of the biggest stories of the year. Dak Prescott finished with an unprecedented 10 QB1 weeks over the course of the season in standard scoring leagues.

28:37 ↗

That is the highest total by a rookie QB since, do you have a guess? Oh, well, the monstrosity year of Cam Newton was, didn't he have like 14 rushing touchdowns? I remember everybody doubted Cam Newton. I went to Cam Newton's first game in the NFL, played the Cardinals. I was there too. Through for like 300,000 yards. I mean, it was insane. So, yeah, biggest year, most top 10 finishes since Cam Newton's 2011 campaign.

29:05 ↗

Which, man, thinking, that's like six, seven years ago. In that campaign, Newton had ran for 700 yards. Or, yeah, or five. What do you mean? 2011 to 2016. Yeah, okay. What did I say? Six or seven. Six or seven. Math is hard. Prescott was a QB3, was the QB3 from weeks three through 12. That is shocking to me. I knew.

29:35 ↗

the top 10 finishes. But if you told me, you could ride him to a QB3 finish from weeks 3 through 12, which is the meat of the whole season, he never finished lower than QB 13 in that span. No, it was great. I mean, is he a top? This is the question for you. Is Dak Press got a top six quarterback next year? I believe I have him in my early rankings right around that 6-7 range. I love Dak. We talked about this on the quarterback show that.

30:05 ↗

as of right now very early end of january but i will be targeting both kirk cousins and dack prescott in my drafts because i think that they are excellent fantasy options and i think that the public will be a little bit there'll be off of them maybe more on deck for just because people love you know the big sexy finish and the guys showing up in the playoffs but

30:32 ↗

our writers. Our writers are doing a mock draft right now, and I believe that Dak went in about the 11th round for a guy that, I mean, that consistency is extremely important for your quarterback. When you think about it, Rogers, Ryan, Brady, Breeze. Those guys are all going ahead of Dak, no matter what. Luck is going to go ahead. For sure. I love Michael Keaton. Well done. We did it America. Oh, that was a good one.

31:00 ↗

By the way, because we hear this too much, people don't understand the Michael Keaton thing. That was even asked the other day. They're like, because that happened on the show up to the show. There was a show up to the show we did where we were talking about movies. And it just so happened that Mike and I simultaneously said, I love Michael Keaton. Whoa. And it was in perfect unison. And so now every time, it's like our jinx. Brooks will tweeted out. If you're confused and you're like, what in the world?

31:30 ↗

And just so you know, Michael Keaton, when he says something at the same time as somebody else, when he has a jinx, he says, I love the fantasy footballers. Oh, we appreciate that, Michael. It kind of goes both ways. All right, but Dak Prescott, I just named five guys that are definitely going to go ahead of him. I also can think of several that people would be tempted to take ahead of him, right? I mean, Matthew Stafford is one of them. Russell Wilson will go ahead of him. And these are, if you look at, you know, what does.

31:57 ↗

Did. I mean, Des had a weird year. It was not awful, but it wasn't what you expect from Des, dealing with some injury, dealing with chemistry connections with Dak. So, here's what, 50 for 796 is Des Bryant. And I expect him to be over 1,000 yards again near double in 10 touchdowns. And here's what it really boils down to. I'm taking every name I just said ahead of Dak Prescott. Because I take Russell Wilson over Dak Prescott every day of the week. Because they've done it for more than one year.

32:27 ↗

But when you have a guy who had this kind of a season, and so the potential is up there, it's already built in, right? You already have the upside built in. He represents the value that are Kirk Cousins does. It represents the value of a high, high, high upside. And what you're saying, Russell Wilson will be drafted ahead of him because he should be, because he's done it before. But the difference between Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott might not be that big.

32:51 ↗

However, the difference in rounds where they're drafted, that's where, you know, you're taking Russell Wilson in the fifth or sixth round. You're taking Dak in the 10th or 11th round, and the difference might not be that big. Give me those other players ahead. And I'm not worried about Dak Prescott getting demolished on every third dropback because of his offensive line. Very good point. Yeah. Marcus Mariotta.

33:13 ↗

Here's stat number two. Marcus Mariotta was a QB1, eight consecutive weeks from weeks five through 12. He averaged a league leading 24.6 fantasy points per contest in that span. Aaron Rogers is the only other quarterback to have a streak of eight on the season. Man. And so from a consistency standpoint, Marioita, another late round QB with high upside if he can return healthy. And this team did a lot of good this year.

33:42 ↗

Man, and even reading these, this statback of Mario, I still feel like I can't trust him. I, I, I have trust in Marcus Mariotta. He did enough as, as a rookie, came back this year and did enough where I think his efficiency, they've got a good running game, they've got a good offensive line, and he's developing relationships now with.

34:06 ↗

with Richard Matthews, and I expect they'll get another wide receiver this year. I do trust Marcus Mariotta coming into this next season. I think he's done enough for two straight seasons. I couldn't ask for him to have done more than he did with what his options are. So if he's healthy and, you know, he's back in the offseason program from the injury, I think Marcus Mariotta might be one of those quarterbacks that I am personally targeting.

34:31 ↗

Stringing together eight consecutive games at that level says a lot to me because the knock on Marioota before that point in time has been, okay, here's a game where he throws a bunch of touchdowns. Here's a game where he does nothing behind center. So stringing eight together, that says a lot to me. Very interesting. Let's talk about one more quarterback. After week five, this is not so good. After week five, Philip Rivers of the Los Angeles Chargers.

34:58 ↗

Weird. Failed to register another top 12 performance in standard leagues. It's crazy. Although he led the NFL with 21 interceptions. That is crazy. Top 12, there were over 40 quarterbacks, basically every single year, that have a top 12 performance. And for him to not get one top 12 after week five says something was off. And when you watch the games, you see something was off. His interceptions that he led the league with, they weren't all.

35:26 ↗

Oh, it's a tip-up from, some of those were just downright Bortles. It was downright Bordles. You didn't let him finish. You didn't let him finish the stat, though. No Woodhead. He made a lot of hay out of the backfield with Woodhead and underneath the island. And although he led with 21 interceptions, he still finished eighth in six point pass or six point per touchdown league. So which way do you bend for next year, Mike?

35:53 ↗

You know I love Philip Rivers. You know I love Keenan Allen. I assume that Alan is back. He went down week two with his ACL. Rivers will be free. Yeah. He'll be very well. He'll be borderline free in draft. He very well could be. Back to that. Back to free Philip Rivers. Well, Jason, would you rather draft Mariotta? Would you rather draft Philip Rivers? If they're in the exact same spot, I would rather draft Marioata. Okay.

36:19 ↗

That's why he'll be borderline free. That's what I'm saying. I'll take rivers. Let's move on to some running back stats. Get your thoughts on these. In PPR formats, Kenneth Dixon was the RB 14 over the final six weeks. Despite splitting the workload with West, who is RB 18 in that span, Dixon average 12.9 fantasy points per game. What do you make of Dixon? How much of this backfield will belong to Kenneth Dixon?

36:47 ↗

Next year, we've heard Harbaugh come out and talk about the need to run the ball. He's not going to have as much of the backfield as he should have. We liked him coming out of college. When I watch the film, I like what I see him do. I think he was extremely productive with all of his opportunity. And yet, it's clear to me that the Ravens do not.

37:10 ↗

trust him to give him the keys to the kingdom based on what john harbaugh has said this offseason basically they they need a better back they said we're going to go get a better back i mean even that could be a motivational tool for dixon to stay i mean having competition in that backfield too sure but it what it says to me is even even if you're trying to motivate him with with disparaging remarks if that's your tactic that's

37:35 ↗

It's not what I'm saying. It's saying we're not getting enough is a motivating tactic. I mean, they, look, Bruce Ariens has said that by David Johnson, so whatever. Yeah, but go on, gone. I guess what I'm saying is he doesn't see Kenneth Dixon as the future if you're saying those types of things. He doesn't see him as a bell cow. I think he, I think he sees him as part of the future. Bruce Ariens comes out and says David Johnson had a bad game. He could do better.

38:02 ↗

you know, when he has a great game. He says he can do better. It's always, I want more out of David Johnson. It's not we need to look for someone else because we're missing something. And so I feel like Kenneth Dixon should be given the role and the opportunity and they would succeed with him, but he is completely at the mercy of free agency in the draft right now. I don't know if Terrence West will be back. He's, is he unrestricted?

38:29 ↗

Uh, I don't, that part I don't remember. But he's, he's contract is, uh, yeah. So he's a free agent. They'll look in the draft. If it comes to the next season and Kenneth Dixon is the clear cut starter, they don't sign Terrence West and they bring in a fourth or fifth round running back. I'll really like Kenneth Dixon. I should add, we will have an episode focused on free agency and the free agency preview period. That'll come soon. We, you know, when the season gets wrapped up.

38:54 ↗

Here's a stat for you. Legerra Blunt led the league with 25 carries inside the five-yard line, converting those carries into 12 touchdowns. So half of those carries inside the five-yard line, basically, were touchdowns. His 18 rushing TDs are the most since 2009 when AP had 18 of them. I know he's a regression candidate for all of us because that's hard. Look, it was the most since 2009. It's been a long time. That's like, what, 30, 40 years ago.

39:25 ↗

That's, you're staying consistent with your math. Yes. But, I mean, there's a lot of things. There's a lot of red flags for Legerick Blunt right now. Dion. What's that? Dion. Well, number one, he's not scheduled to be on the Patriots next year. That's hurdle number one for they. They may bring him back. I mean, they like him a lot. He is, he's on the wrong side of 30 for a running back. I know it was a spectacular year, but.

39:53 ↗

We know that Mr. Father's Time is always undefeated. And so there's just, he's probably going to go too high in a draft. I'm making the assumption that he's back with the Patriots. People are going to want Lagart Bluntz. Buy selling Dynasty. A dynasty? I would sell him. Yeah, I don't, I don't know that you could get.

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