Fantasy Football - Starts of the Week + Week 6 Breakdown, Dart Throws - Podcast for 10/9

week. And the arrow is pointed up as Mike Tomlin would say. I am so bad. And this is the bears team that just gave like Ashton Jenty who could do nothing plays the bears. Look who's great. First of all, very split on the pointed pointing debate on Twitter. A lot of people were totally fine with it. Some people were in your camp. Um, this game is, is equally exciting and scary for me for Bill. So yeah, I think this is the game that solidifies Bill. If, if he's, if he's the start of the week and he's deserving of it and the snap counts

are where they were last week. And he has the, and he's leading the league in, in yards per carry and he has the breakaway runs and he has a big play. I think he's the highest graded PFF running back. So his, his tape is coming back. His numbers right now, I believe are similar to Saquon's with half the opportunities. Did you know that? Yeah. Like he's running at 6.6 a carry. To me, this is the game. This is the solidification. This is prime time, right? Oh, is it? Monday night football, right? So this is your, like Bill on Monday night football, you go out and you show the world

that you're a top running back. Then I will have, then I will have jokes on Tuesday. He will. Jason will have a brand new list. Jason will be prepared. You're still researching, aren't you? Uh, no comment. No, yeah. DVD. Uh, but to me, it's a, it's a season defining moment for Bill. So I think so. If you believe it will happen, I promise you he's cheaper now than he will be after. Yeah. Jason. All right. My running back start of the week is currently. This is outstanding. You guys have my two running backs for a league of record. Brees Hall.

Um, current running back for the Jets before he is possibly traded. Denver has a good defense. So you might be scared about that matchup, but you can run on Denver. Uh, Amarian Hampton's breakout game was against Denver. Jonathan Taylor was literally the number one running back on the week when he played Denver last week. Saquon, he only got six carries, still had a good fantasy game because of his work in the receiving game. And, and, and Brees did not lose receiving work with Justin Fields two games without, uh, Braylon Allen. Brees has had 19 opportunities and 20 opportunities with five and six targets in each of those.

So I'm, I'm being miserable. Oh, yeah. I'll being absolutely depressed. Yeah. He doesn't, I don't think he wants to be there. No, I don't think he wants to be there only because I don't, I think he thinks that the Jets don't want him to be there. Like he knows he's not their future. The way that the Jets have treated him is I think kind of crappy. I mean, he's, he's, but for fantasy purposes, like you said, it's, it's lined up. I, I'm going to go with, yeah, this is a, how dare you? How dare me? Cause you shouldn't have taken it.

How did you, you got in the dock and you just threw me. You didn't even show up on Monday. You had your moment to victory lap. Dare you Rico Suave himself, our guy, Rico Dowdle. Oh, he's our guy. No, what's wild is these were, these are the three running backs I had on legal record to start the week. How did I lose to you last week, Jay? I'm too good. Rico Dowdle, revenge game, Dallas. Oh, guess what? Dallas sucks. The Dallas defense is 28th against the running back position. Chuba's not practicing. He's running with a vengeance. And the thing that's been so strange, like to broaden the discussion around Rico, we've

spent a year and a half or maybe two years now just repeating the fact that Chuba Hubbard is underrated, which means like the Carolina ability to run the football under Dave Canales has just, it's just worked really well. Even though the team has struggled at times, like Chuba just always got his, even in these games where they were struggling. Rico's got all of the opportunity this week. I had to trade him. Rico was a dog. And it's killing me because I wanted to play him this week. I traded him because it's not going to be a long-term thing for Rico, but he is, he may

ruin some Chuba. Yeah. I think, yeah. So, all right. We, uh, we're going to turn the page here, Mike. We got a wide receiver. At the wide receiver position. I want to shout out Christian Olave, who is just quietly. Oh, please be right. Please be correct, Mike. And, uh, I mean, the, the, he is, uh, being classified on the internet as the PPR scam of the year. Which is not, look, sometimes, sometimes you got to scam the system. And the system rewards you with just getting receptions. And Olave is doing that. Currently four wide receivers in the NFL have seen 30 plus percent of the team's targets.

Puka, JSN, Garrett, Chris Olave, who is just soaking up so many targets. They're not as valuable as obviously as the, the JSN. That's what I've been saying about targets, man. Targets don't matter. They just don't matter. No, but they are, they are nuanced. The Patriots have done a bit better, uh, against wide receivers over the past two weeks, but it's just, they're at, they're at home. The, the way that they're, they're playing. I think that Chris Olave is a very solid start. Like he has one touchdown with 244 yards. That is not a normal thing. Like that is a, he should have regression and, and have some touchdowns in his future.

Yep. Speaking of touchdowns in their future, Ted Aroa McMillan. Still waiting for his first one. He's waiting for his first one. And Dallas is like, come on down, baby. Because the Dallas defense sucks. Period. Full stop. They are the worst of the worst. They are giving up 14.4 points per game above their opponent's average at the wide receiver position. Just at the wide receiver position for context of how outlandish that is. The Rams are the third worst and they're giving up 4.8 more than their opponent's average. From four to 14.4. Are the Ravens number two or they have? Yes, they are.

They're around eight or nine above replacement. Ted Aroa is awesome. I mean, period. Full stop. He has looked like exactly what they. A lot of grammar punctuation going on in this. You always got to say your punctuation. He's looked exactly like what they hoped when they drafted him. He has been. Parenthetical. Mossing people. His yardage is there. His targets are there. I mean, he's five games into a career. He's already on pace for 145 and 1200 yards. Just no touchdowns. And so you put a great player against a terrible defense. And I'm going to take that every day of the week.

He has been so good. Exclamation. Stop. I look. I return space indent. Now I starting a second paragraph. No, I I'm in on this week and the matchup. I don't know what I I don't know where I would put like, let's just say it out loud real quick. Rest up season. I guess we have those rankings. We do. Um, where do you see tech? Cause I don't see him as a wide receiver one. I don't have him in my top 12, but he's in my top 20 with, uh, I'm waiting on this week. I think that this could be a, a momentum shifting or a big, a moment that could shift his, his season.

And I have them right now at 13, one spot behind Cortland Sutton. And I have a 13 as well. So if I had, if I had Cortland Sutton, you trade him for, I would trade him for. Okay. So I, I need to, I need to flip, flip, flop, flop, flop, period. Full stop. All right. AJ and flop. AJ Brown. You're going to love to hear this. Jason. My goodness. I'm taking AJ Brown and I'm doing it on an Island game tonight. Started the week. AJ Brown. It's going to go well. Cause I trade down guarantee. Oh, come on, man. Seriously.

Me and Matt already took that one. Guarantee. Did you really? Yeah. Touchdown guarantee for AJ Brown tonight against the Giants 30th against the past. Like the first one or AJ Brown is on pace for 150 targets over his last four games. So it's not been an isolated target onslaught. They're passing more in neutral game scripts. Saquon's not been as efficient or effective. It is coming and it's coming tonight. All right. My tight end started that we hold on. I got to. Oh, you're putting on some. We got it. It's low level, low level. I think. Steel underpants. Underpants. You haven't worn underpants very often.

Well, I got to get more, more data. Well, first off the pants have been flying off. Right. Oh yeah. You had been no pants store. Yes. Underpants though. But you'll. Because I needed more information here because this is when you start finding matchups. You start finding some nasty boys. Jake Tonjes McBasketball. Back to back 13 point games with Mac Jones. A 19% target share over that time. The wide receivers. We went over it. They're banged up. Like if Juwan plays. I think he's very interesting. I would like to play him. Kendrick Bourne. A nasty boy you can maybe play. But Tonjes McBee.

He's getting it done. And the Bucs have been a plus matchup for tight ends, especially the past two weeks. All right, Jason. You are. I feel like one of the themes this year is you've been able to isolate situations that people would hyper react to as negative and then maybe say, hey, let's just calm down. Right? Like the stock's going down and you're like, it's not going to go down forever. Let's just chill out. That's when you buy. Don't sell. Right. You did it with Ladnokonky last week. And you're coming back here with Dud Dud. Yep. Two Dud games in a row for Juwan Johnson.

And so people are dropping him and moving on thinking, oh, well, you know, he sucks. The thing is, is he doesn't suck. He's been on the field. He's on the field for 85 to 90 percent of the snaps. Was banged up. On a fast pace offense. Rattler is on pace for over 600 passing attempts. This is part of the Olave thing, right? Like Rattler is dropping back and throwing it a bunch. They're not the best targets in the world, but he's throwing it a bunch. And sometimes it goes one way and sometimes it goes another. So the last two weeks, Dud games for Juwan Johnson.

But this is a player who, well, I mean, we've already seen. He was the tight end three and the tight end four in two different weeks this year. And now he's playing the Patriots fourth worst against the position. Kamara is a little bit banged up. So those short yardage type of targets. I think Juwan Johnson, you know, is like easily five receptions in this game. If you want to guarantee very few points of the tight end position, what you can do is just play who played well last week. Yes, exactly. Because if you just chase it like that, you will always set yourself up for a couple points.

Just play the touchdown. Tell that to Jake Conjors McBasketball. Well, yeah. He's unstoppable. Yeah, there are some elites, Mike, Hall of Famers. Tucker Crafts, my start of the week at tight end against Cincinnati. Had the big breakout game. Got hurt. Disappointing-ish. He feels like he's been gone forever. Yeah, he's our consensus tight end one this week. Oh, my goodness. Which I just learned. Probably because he's a dog. I just learned by looking at the screen. He's number one on my board. Cincinnati is the worst. It's because Cincinnati is the worst team in the entire NFL against the tight end position.

They are dead last. And he plays every down. I think he's got a great shot at a touchdown this week. So that was Starts of the Week presented by U.S. Bank Smartly Signature Visa Card. Visit usbank.com slash smartlycard to learn how you can earn cash back on every purchase. The creditor and issuer of this card is U.S. Bank National Association pursuant to a license from Visa USA, Inc. Some restrictions may apply. We'll take a break. We'll get into the matchups. Foot Clan, the season. Look, it's underway, Al. The season is underway. You've got those rankings, those sleepers. You've got the can't miss picks.

We've got it all laid out on the line. I don't know if you're ready for that. But the best fantasy team out there, we still need a backup. Because sometimes the starters, they don't show up. We know this. Wouldn't it be great if you could have the same peace of mind everywhere else? With Progressive, you get more than just a policy. You get a playbook full of coverage options that you can count on for your home and for your auto. Want to customize that protection? Not a problem. You can build your coverage just like you build your fantasy team, making sure that you have the right players in every position, and backup when you need it the most.

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It's time. Fantasy Forecast. Presented by PrizePix. We get the Bears, Falcons, Packers, and Steelers back from the by. Texans and Vikings taking a break this week. Set your alarms. We're playing in London again. All right. Why don't they ever do it the other way? What do you mean? Like play it in Hawaii? No, no. I mean, in London, like, why not? Couldn't you do it later? I feel like they've done that once where we had the morning slate and one of them was a London game. Like, I don't know what the time difference is. No, I probably sound stupid not knowing the times over there.

What time is it when they start in London? Can we get that information? Because we're starting at 630 Pacific, right? Yeah, 630 a.m. I want to know what time it is in London. There's no way to find that out. I'm going to make the proper adjustments to their schedule for them. But it's the Denver Broncos at 3-2 playing the 0-5. I'm seeing 2.30 p.m. Yeah, there's no problem. We can start a primetime game. Yeah. You can just start that game at 4.30. Yeah. That seems really okay. Start it later. There's no rules anymore. We just start two Monday night games.

No, there's no rules. Just start it an hour later. Yeah, now we're talking. Goodness gracious. Denver's 3-2. The Jets are 0-5. Denver's 7.5 point favorites here in London. Over-under is 43.5. That's not a lot. Gives the Jets just 18 points. The Broncos at 25.5. You know, Bo Nix has been a popular start-sick question this week. Just looking at the players outperforming, like Stafford. Like, Stafford plays Baltimore. Bo Nix plays the Jets in London. Bo Nix has been... What's like the one word to describe? Good-ish. I mean, he's had a couple of nice weeks. Really one super week. Yeah. The pass attempts are, you know, they're pretty high up there.

On pace for almost 600. So you like that. But the, you know, the touchdowns, three games with one touchdown. That's why it... Hasn't turned it over as much. Good-ish. Stafford or Bo Nix, I'm probably going to go Stafford. But, like, for my personal League of Record team, I have Bo Nix. I have both of these quarterbacks. I have Bo Nix and I have Justin Fields. Justin Fields has, in our scoring format, he has literally been 30-plus points except for the one awful, awful week against Buffalo. And I will not be playing Justin Fields against the Denver Broncos. I was really curious which one you were going to say.

I'm going to... You're going to play Bo Nix. ...of the Jets who are 25th against quarterbacks at this moment. Yeah. The defense of the Jets has not been good despite the fact that they were supposed to be a good defense. Got a defensive-minded head coach. They have given up a lot of fantasy points. And when you look at Bo Nix, like, his big bada-boom week that he had, that was against the Cincinnati Bengals. It was like, okay, if you've got a little bit easier of a defense, we just saw him play well but not fantasy great against a tough Philly defense.

So, yeah, traveling over to London, playing against an easy defense. I think Bo Nix is a fine start. The question to me is, like, do the passes go to Troy Franklin or Marvin Mims a little bit more? We have seen with certain teams, ironically, with these two teams, with Sertan and with Sauce Gardner, where the wide receiver twos usually are the guys that kind of have to step up in this game. So, does that give you a little bit of concern with the Cortland Sutton side? I think Sutton's too good. Like, and he just, he gets enough targets. He's at, he's at 22% target share on the season.

So, that's not an elite number. But, I mean, the week two was a disaster. But 118, 81, 99, like 99 yards against Philly. They just, they found a way to get him the ball. So, I would play Stafford over Fields if I had Stafford. I think the Fields' risk is there. He is. It is. He's eighth in points per game. So, he had the injured game. But he's eighth in points per game. Obviously missed that fourth quarter where apparently he does all of his work. That is correct. He has some ridiculous stats about the percentage of his fancy points in the fourth.