NFC East Breakdown + Michael Thomas Injury, Happy Days - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/24

I definitely agree with that, that Ryan Fitzpatrick will, with the evidence that we've seen with him utilizing two wide receivers and force-feeding those guys' targets, I think Curtis Samuel right now presents a great value for a wide receiver three type of a player. Yeah, that was ADP, not our ranking. So it's just how far the gap is right now. McLaurin in the third round, you're happy with him there? Yes. 12.9 per catch last year.

Samuels in the 11 range. Both players should really give Fitzpatrick the opportunity to do what he does and have trust in the receiving game. Logan Thomas could be the one player that sees a diminished total quantity. I mean 110 targets, that's a lot. 72 receptions. I don't think any of us haven't projected to do that again. Mike, he was your early bust pick in June. Yeah, I am, Logan Thomas is one of those players. It was a great story.

Last year, he was incredibly necessary for this team. The team was, aside from the running backs, it was Terry McLaurin and Logan Thomas. He was there when they needed him, but the team went out and they made some additions and you have some players coming back from injury. I am out. I am O-U-T on Logan Thomas. I'm willing to be wrong on him because it's not that I don't think he's a bad player or anything by that.

you know, growing into the tight end role as a professional. But I don't see the targets really being there like they were last year. And then on top of that, looking at the, you know, the tendencies of Ryan Fitzpatrick. And we just, we have not seen an actual prolific fantasy football tight end paired with Ryan Fitzpatrick.

All right, let's move on to somehow, let's move on to the second place team in the division, the New York Giants 6 and 10, started 1 in 7. Okay, so you saw, you know, you saw an improving team over the back half of the year. When you start 1 in 7, it's, that's as bad as it gets, but judge and company, you know, I liked what I started to see. With no Saquan all year long, again, the offense struggled tremendously. Yeah.

This division struggled tremendously. And, you know, they add Kenny Gallaudet, Devante Booker, they add Kyle Rudolph. They get Sequin back. This is a Daniel Jones question. Yeah, they were the only team to have a quarterback failed to surpass 300 passing yards in a game.

Yeah, I mean, Daniel Jones wasn't good. Yeah, he was, he was bad. This was the time last year where we were saying, well, we're going to find out what Daniel Jones is made of. He's coming into his second year, yada, yada. Now a year later, we're saying, well, this is the time. We're going to find out what Daniel Jones is made of. They got Kenny Galladay. They did this stuff. Early on in the offseason, I really, I really was hopeful.

for Daniel Jones, not expecting, but my optimism has really gone away. And I feel the need to go watch his film again just to see if I see some, but I'm very pessimistic. And your eyes might bleed. Yeah, being able to do what the Giants want him to be able to do, which obviously has an effect on Kenny Galladay's fantasy value and the whole touchdown output of the offense. There's plenty to be concerned about because the foundation of a great offense is often that offensive line being able to protect.

a young quarterback. Like Daniel Jones has physical gifts and talents. No question about it. You know, but so did Jay Cutler. So did a lot of the, anybody that comes into the league with that draft capital has great physical talent. But this was the 31st ranked offensive line last year. They go into the upcoming season, ranked 32, according to pro football focus projecting forward. How many teams are there? They're 32. Okay.

And so you're asking Daniel Jones to overcome quite a bit, I think, with the offensive line situation. It's just a hard thing to bank on as a fantasy player. It doesn't mean that there's a 0% chance he has a breakout third year campaign. But I would say that the odds are higher that they're looking for a new quarterback than it is that he breaks out in year three. Wild numbers here for Daniel Jones, who I think he will be better.

This year, but I don't know if people realize how close statistically his two years were. His rookie year, he completed 284 passes at a 62% clip. Last year, he completed 280 passes at a 63% clip. Rookie year threw for just over 3,000 yards. Last year, threw for just under 3,000 yards. Interceptions, 12, 10.

Like everything is exactly the same except Did he fumble at the same rate? I don't know. That's how I know him for. That's what he's known for. He fumbled way more his rookie year. 18 fumbles to 11 last year. Oh, he got it all the way down to 11. That's so many. That's good job, Daniel. But here's what this is where it's like Daniel Jones is going to be better. Because all of those numbers are, I mean, for statistically speaking, those are almost identical. But 24 passing touchdowns as a rookie.

11 touchdowns last year. Two and a half percent. Two and a half percent of his attempts turned into a touchdown, which is two full points under the league average. Like it was, that's a statistical anomaly, even if Daniel Jones isn't the guy or the future for the team. That's, that's an outlier stat to me.

Well, Sequin back in the passing game will help. Kenny Galladay being added as a big-bodied target that is a touchdown. It's a big upgrade. He's a double-digit touchdown threat. That will help tremendously. He still has other weapons. Evan Ingram is valuable, Shepard, Slayton. He showed some long ball propensity last year. Like, if you look at the numbers, that's the one area where Daniel Jones has stood out success-wise is he's been one of the better deep ball throwers in the league. So there are some opportunities there.

Starts against Denver and Washington. And from weeks nine on, he cut his turnovers down. He only had three turnovers from that point on. That's a very short period, though, isn't it? Because he missed several of those games. I believe so. So you can't turn the ball over when you're not active. And that's one of the benefits of not having him active. Yeah, I mean, he can run the football, which helps for fantasy purposes if you're streaming him on a certain week. But he only had two weeks inside.

the QB1 range at all last year. So projecting anything for fantasy. I mean, I think we can leave it there on Daniel Jones. What do you think the win total is? Oh, for the Giants. Seven? I would take the under. I'll go six and a half. It's seven, of course. Wow. I can't wait to get to the Eagles because I think me and.

Me and the lines are going to disagree on that one. What you need to be excited about is the fact that Arizona is legalized sports betting, and now you can go smash everyone. Of course, you're just picking the lines. Right. Yeah. So I don't want to call what happens. You go work for the. He's like all pushes. It's like taking the bets against the bookmaker. Yeah. I'll take seven and a half. Sir, you can't bet a half win. Watch me. We have talked a lot about Sequin Barclay. He's our R.B.

He's the RB5 off the board right now. He's lower than that for me. I think there is tremendous risk with Barclay. Injury, offensive line play, time period between elite play and now, and when you spend that big of a pick, right, that important of a pick for your fantasy team, and you have other options, whether it's Derek Henry, Alvin Camara, Ezekiel Elliott. Like, it's hard for me to say, hey, I'm going to put all of my hopes and dreams on.

Sequin Barclay coming off the injury, because it was a bad injury. Yeah, it was a bad injury, October 30th surgery that was very delayed from when he had it due to the severe nature of it. Again, we here, we expect him to be active and ready to go week one. We expect him to get off to possibly a slow start. I still think he's a world-class running back, one of the best, most talented individuals out there. And by the end of the season, I think he'll get it going.

I don't think he'll ever get back to the Eli Manning pass volume. No. With Daniel Jones, which will obviously take him down a peg, and this offense isn't one you love. So, you know, towards the end of the year, I expect him to be around running back five. But I agree with you, Andy. It's hard to draft him right now when you're, you know, especially if you're at the three spot, the four spot, he's very, very tempting there. And I would rather go with the Camara or someone that doesn't have these.

injury question marks. I'll take him after Zeke. Okay. Kenny Gallaudet. He's at 504. Oh. Which Kenny Gallaudy are we getting? Are we getting the smooth one? I mean, I've got to make a decision on this soundboard right here right now. I'm going to, so Mike's going smooth. Look at his ADP. Okay. Wide receiver 20. Wide receiver 20. Okay. A player that just received, you know.

bags and bags and bags of money. He's the unquestioned number one on this team. Thank you, thank you. All right. Okay, let's get smooth here, Kenny. Wide receiver 20 is fine. I have him. Oh, we're going. We're being smooth. I have him as my wide receiver 18, so I guess I'm fine with him there. I'm not excited. You know.

volume, man, it's the king of fantasy football. And he's going to see a lot of it. Yeah. And he's a dominant. He's a dominant talent. He has been exclusively outside his whole career. But I, you know, his receiving line right now on draft King's sports book is a thousand yards. Yeah, I would take the over. So, and getting him in the fifth round, if he's a wide receiver two, Kenny Galladay, wide receiver two, with probably a guaranteed target share.

He may not be prolific, but you'll probably be okay. That's exactly, that's why I like Kenny Galladay, where the draft price is nice. It's in the right spot where. Nice price. Oh, so nice. For Mike. That, if Kenny Galladay has a down season, you know, I'm not talking about health, but he has a down season on the field, he'll be about the wide receiver 20, 22, but Kenny Gallaudet has actual upside to,

To be a top 12 guy. It wouldn't surprise, or let me guess this. Andy, would it surprise you if Kenny Gallaudet finishes the year with 12 touchdowns? No, I mean, I wish he'd said 10, but yeah, I mean, it wouldn't surprise me. The problem with Gallaudet historically, right, without projecting him as, okay, he got a bag of cash now all of a sudden he's a different player, is that he's a 65 to 70 reception player, even when he had a- Has been. Has been.

Right. I mean, all I can go with is has been. And when he's been healthy, which has not been very many full seasons, he's a 65 to 70 reception player. So that would be the case against Kenny Galladay is you get 70 from Daniel Jones. How do you get to 12 touchdowns? And if you get 65 receptions and six, you're going to be probably, you know, unhappy.

I don't know. Drafting him at 20, I think is, I'm in on that. I mean, the draft price is a lot better than he used to be. Evan Ingram, worst fantasy season ever with 100 targets last year. That sounds about Evan Ingram. But I mean, is there hope there? I mean, 100 targets? I think there is hope in Dynasty that he changes teams and becomes something more important. I have a hard time trusting. So in Dynasty, would you trade for him right now? This is the, I believe he's on the fifth year.

Yes. So next year he should be on a different team. So honest to goodness, I went in our league to try. Yeah, that's what happened. Mike knows the rest of the story. I went to look for Evan Ingram because I'm not a believer of him long term, but I do think he's a talented young tight in physically where when he hits the free agent Marcus, someone might, you know, you've got, you've got history of tight end switching teams and then becoming what they were drafted to be.

He hasn't done it here. I don't believe he'll do it this season, not with more mouths to feed in the offense. He'll have streaming value, but I don't want to draft who projects to be at best the third target, but more than likely the fifth or sixth target on his team. Cowboys were six and ten last year, matching the Giants. Dak went down in week five in the next four games leading into the buy. They scored 10 points, nine points, three points, and 19 points.

failed to cover the spread in 70% of their games, including the first seven. Despite having the number one pace of play, 17th and points per game, this was the lack of deck. The lack of deck destroyed the offense. Yep. For comparison, those first four games, they scored 20, 40, 31, and 38. Yeah, and obviously that wasn't necessarily going to continue, but it was going to be great.