Starts of the Week + Week 9 Breakdown, Boom Boom! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/3

That's an easy toa for me. I have two in my lineup right now. Yeah, I mean, most people probably don't have two high-level guys, and it would be difficult to take a good streaming matchup. Like Kirk Cousins has a really good matchup this week. Would you start Kirk Cousins over Herbert? No. I don't think I could either. Probably wouldn't. Probably wouldn't. I'm trying to trust the 50-plus pass attempts. and that that will end up in a better touchdown percentage than we've seen, just hard without good weapons. Yeah, AJ Terrell, one of the only good defensive weapons for the Falcons, the last report we had, he didn't practice on Wednesday, today's has not come out yet that I have seen trending towards not playing this week with a hamstring issue. So you're missing some weapons, but it is a pretty nice matchup. The Falcons are second worst adjusted for schedule against quarterback for fantasy points given up.

What are some other potential values in this game? You're still keeping Drake London on your bench, I assume, and then not willing to go the DeAndre Carter route? I don't know. I think DeAndre Carter is in flex consideration. I mean, Josh Palmer and DeAndre Carter project to be the wide receiver one and the wide receiver two and a plus matchup with Justin Herbert. Both Josh Palmer and DeAndre Carter have. had big games for fantasy before. So if you're looking for someone from the waiver wire to go out there and hopefully get you 10 points or the opportunity for a surprisingly big game, I think DeAndre Carter's in play for that. I am disappointed in his draft king's price because he didn't, he's not making my lineup because he's too expensive. He's 4,300 on draft kings. And I'm like, oh, man. He's had so much opportunity this year. I know it's a little different because Mike Williams is out, out. But.

multiple games of 70 plus percent of the snaps. Last week, 94% of the snaps, even saw seven targets and just he's not. He's a wee lad. He's not, he's not exciting for me. So Palmer or Ronnell Moore, Mike? Oh, man. Jason, I think you'd say Palmer. I would. I think both are good plays. Yeah, both are good plays. Ron Dale Moore is just much safer. Josh Palmer or Romeo Dobbs? Josh Palmer. I'll go. It's probably Palmer unless Lazard is out, which he practiced. Can we talk about a game I'm very, very excited about it? Yes, let's go. Is that all right? The Miami Dolphins, five and three, taking on the three and five resurgent Chicago Bears. Palindrome game. I got it first. That's a point for Jason. Draft King Sportsbook Line Dolphins minus five. The overrunners 45 and a half. Okay. Miami's offense looks awesome with Tua under center. You have.

Jalen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, you can take deep shots all the time and get away with it. Gisickey is getting involved. Most are now Jeff Wilson joins the Dolphins offense. You know, the Bears, schedule adjusted against wide receivers. They've actually been pretty stout. They haven't faced Jailen Waddle. They haven't faced Tyreek Hill. That's a tough matchup for anybody. And they no longer have Roquan Smith, so that will affect. Pass rush. Exactly. Their entire defense will be affected by that. I would expect that the Bears defense takes a step backwards in a tough matchup and gives up a ton of points. I'm all in on the Miami side of the ball. Not.

quite as in on Mike Gassicki as I have been, you know, I think the last two weeks looked good for him. And I started him last week. I haven't checked our waivers. Let's see. Yeah, you let him go. I did let him go. And you went, you pivoted to Robert Tunyon. Yes. So in that heads up matchup, you'd go the Tunyon route this week with what's going on at tight end. Uh, You know, he's a valuable piece of this offense, and what you're hoping for is this game to hit the over. The Justin Fields continues to exploit defenses with his legs, moving the ball down the field. Herbert and Montgomery are a tandem that gets the ball moving, and then you've seen it. Like the Dolphins defense schedule adjusted, they're awful against quarterbacks, running backs, and tight end. They're not good.

And adding Bradley Chub this week is not going to make them good overnight. Games in Chicago, I hope this game we can get a bit of the Miami Dolphin style shootout we've been getting lately. Like last week, dolphins went down 14 to nothing against Detroit right out of the gate. It set you up for so much success. I hope that happens here. Yeah, and I think that this is a team you can run on. And so. That's the bear's specialty between fields, Montgomery, and Herbert all running the ball very well. They should be able to come down and score on the Dolphins. So I would bet the over on this. And I think I would be willing to put Darnal Mooney out there. You know, if you're talking about like, we're saying, oh, you can play D'Andre Carter in a pinch. Darno Mooney is definitely a much better option. He's been good lately. I am not worried at all week one about Chase Claypool. And I am not.

in any way, shape, or form starting Chase Claypool, the first week on a low passing volume offense where you don't even know his involvement. Over the last five weeks, Darno Mooney averaging four for 67. So not breaking the doors down, but that's usable. It's a good baseline. Let me get to the meat of this matchup in terms of decision making for fantasy players. There are people out there that have David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. Oh, man. Herbert was the score last week. The week before. It was Monty. It was Monty, right? And just for what it's worth, we had been tracking the Monty snap percentage. Monty snap percentage when he finishes the running back 22 last week was 56%. He had a touchdown. He followed it up with 70% again. He was back into his normal range. He was 70% of the snaps, 18 opportunities. Those went up. He just didn't get into the end zone. Colo Herbert did. If you're facing that heads up decision,

How does a fantasy manager make the right call? It's really easy. It's David Montgomery. To me, it is not close. I realize that Herbert can outscore David Montgomery. But if you're looking about last week and they have packages where they bring Khalil Herbert in and they know they're running the ball, but I want the guy that's on the field. Khalil Herbert. last week. I mean, you're talking 28% of snaps to 70% of snaps. A higher running, but a higher running back attempt share. Well, sure. When they were, when he's in, because he's not a good pass blocker, you know like he's getting the ball and that's fine. But that split 70% of snaps versus 28% of snaps.

Okay. Even if he's the more talented player, I'm going. He doesn't catch passes. He had none last week three for David Montgomery. Montgomery had the fumble. Otherwise, he probably sneaks into the top 36 even in that week. Yeah, I think you could start both, but it's definitely Montgomery first. I wish there was better clarity as to what's going to happen the rest of the way. Does anybody have a crystal ball? Crystal ball handy. And having said all that, if between the two of them this particular week, I would go. with David Montgomery. I don't think it's an easy decision, but if they are still going hot hand and David Montgomery is getting the start, I think there's a good chance that David Montgomery gets a hot hand early due to the Miami rushing defense, which again, improved, but TBD. Claypool, wait and see until to see how he's utilized. If you want to stash him, that's fine, but it's not like a priority. A fresh.

Claypool Start or DeAndre Carter? Anyone else? Yeah, we'll go DeAndre Carter. You're worried about just how often he's even on the field? Yeah, he might be on the field for 10 total snaps and they... It's pretty, beyond Mooney, it's pretty wild what their rotation is right now. Because if you think about the names that we've set out loud for the, for the Chicago Bears, you have a rotation, a five wide receiver rotation of like, Harry... Pettus, Valus Jones. Equanimia St. Brown. And I think there's one other one. I mean, they just move them in and out. And then there's Cole Comet who's on the field for every freaking snap. And never getting targets. The Carolina Panthers are two and six, Mike. They're two and six and they're taking on the, it's a battle of the. Oh, it's a cat battle. It's a cat battle. It's a cat battle. The Cincinnati Bengals are four and four.

The Draft King Sportsbook line, Cincinnati at home, minus seven and a half. The overrunners, just 42 and a half points. That gives PJ Walker and the Carolina Panthers just 17 points in this road matchup. Now, I think the actual cats in this equation, probably if they were to fight, it's about the same as this football game. Bengal Tigers up in the 440 to 570 pound range. Okay. Black Panthers about 150 pounds. Well, I think you're talking about the Black Panther. Or are we talking about just a regular Panthers? Were you really giving me the weight of a superhero? No, I was giving you the actual. Okay. Wait, a Panthers only 150 pounds? Yeah. Oh, that's embarrassing. Yeah, that is pretty embarrassing for the Black Panther community. Get in the gym. I mean, what is this? The Pink Panther? Seriously. Oh, my gosh. Stealing gyms?

I don't know. All right. Well, so we expecting any surprises in this game? We got one last time the Bengals played football. Let's put it that way. Well, and here's the deal with the Bengals. And one thing that's worth bringing up is that the Bengals season has gone as their offensive line has gone. And their offensive lines, you had hoped, oh, they're figuring things out. They're getting it better. But I think a lot of that is some of the schedule that they were playing where they didn't. face a good pass rush. You know, two weeks ago against Atlanta, Atlanta doesn't really have a pass rush to speak of. And so they're, they're looking good. And everything is being blamed on Jamar Chase. Everything is like, oh, well, Jamar Chase wasn't gone. And so now they can't run the ball and they can't throw the ball and they can't protect Joe Burrow. It's just a matter of are they facing a good pass rush with this for some reason terrible offensive line. And they are facing a decent pass rush. Carolina.

you know, they don't have a lot of strengths, but I do think that they can, they can pressure, uh, the quarterback. So I don't, I don't love smashing the bangles, even though they're at home off a loss and like you, in a, in a matchup where they're big, uh, seven and a half point favorites. I'm not like excited about the offense. I'm not trying to jam these guys in my draft Kings lineups and that type. What about Tyler Boy? Yeah. Tyler Boy is just a solid start. I think for, but even saying all that for redraft, like mixing, you're playing. T. Higgins, absolutely you're playing. Tyler Boyd. You're playing? Yes, I'm playing. Hayden Hurst, you should probably play. And Hayden Hurst, if there is definitely situations where he's in for you. So, yeah, I'd rather be playing. Maybe you're not loving the matchup, but everybody's in. And then on the other side, Deont de Foreman?

Got a Veterans Day on Wednesday. Chuba Hubbard returned to practice. He did return to practice, but Chuba said he believes he's still in kind of the rehab portion of his injury. So that is very TBD if he's going to make the field on Sunday. Yeah, I think on the Panther side of the ball, you're, I don't know how anybody would bench you on to Foreman after last week. So he's in. And DJ Moore, since the trades of Christian McCaffir and Robbie Anderson has been really, really good, he's got to be in the line. Do you think that it's possible for DJ Moore? Like would.

Would the game allow him to hit the, he's on fire from NBA Jam? I mean, one more week of DJ Moore, and I feel like that might be the first time in his career he could hit on fire. I think it is very possible. Yeah. Three straight weeks of DJ Moore, we've never seen it. Very exciting. It's tough. I think you have to play him. What if you have Palmer? I would play DJ Moore. Yeah, I would play DJ Moore. DJ Moore also was on fire weeks two through four last year. Just checked. Yeah? What was his fantasy finishes in there? 12, 11, and 3. Oh, that's back to back to back. And then what happened after that, though? Let's not worry about that. The next week was wide receiver 58. Okay. Did not reach 50 yards. So he did the you get on fire. You're so pumped and then you miss your gold ending swipe and immediately your fire is gone. Exactly.

Yes, that's exactly what happened. That is the worst. Green Bay Packers, three and five taking on the one and six Detroit Lions. The draft game sports book line Packers minus three and a half. How were those coach of the year bets doing everybody for Dave Campbell? Well, look, here's the interesting thing about this game. The Packers are only three and a half point favorites. Detroit. This game is 49.5. That's the over and under that gives Detroit 23 points. The Packers is 26 and a half. Not the kind of line you would expect for the Packers going into Detroit. It's not. I'm so tempted. I'm so tempted. Oh, go for it, man. And I see Al Borland, the Packer fan over there, and he is just, he knows that this is a, this could really happen. It could happen, but the situation is. The Packers have lost four in a row.

The Packers defense, though, is pretty good. And the Detroit Lions defense is not. Yeah, I'm not betting on the line. Yes. So I understand the three and a half. And I totally get being like, man, the Packers have been struggling. Lions in that shootout last week. But no, I would take the Packers to win this game. And Aaron Rogers. I think he's interesting for fantasy purposes this week, especially if Alan Lazard plays. If Lizard is out, which you practice on Wednesday, if Lizard is out, maybe you don't want to go in with Aaron Rogers, but other than that, I mean, this is an exciting matchup where I'm getting, you know, most of my Packers in. Yeah, this is a perfect matchup. You've got Detroit at home in a dome with Ammon Rae, St. Brown.

active and healthy. No Hawkinson. And so in that situation where you're not facing, you know, a top defense, you're not on the road and you have your main target. The Detroit Lions offense has been able to put up points. I expect them to be able to put up points on the Packers. And they cannot stop anybody from doing anything. So the, if you want to. Speaking of the Detroit Lions defense. Correct. If you want a salve for the struggling Packers offense, it is here. And if it's not. Oh, boy, Packers. Sure. That's a fair thing to say. Yeah, absolutely. If they can't score on the Lions, shame bell. This is the type of game where in a pinch, you can even start AJ Dillon, who has been unstartable. I mean, if he gets double-digit carries against this Lions team in a game with almost a 50 point over and under.

You're talking about starting Caleb Huntley. Sure. There are situations where, you know, it hasn't been a usable asset. In a pinch, you can use A.J. Dillon. Obviously, Aaron Jones, who's had a great showing recently. He's a smash start. Dylan was up on double-digit carries last week, caught a pass, was 5.4 a carry against Buffalo's defense. I like that sneaky start at running back when you have a six-team by-week situation. That is... Very astute. It sounded like there were 16 teams on by there. That would be brutal. If that were the case, I would play AJ Dill. Yes. Sorting through the wide receivers. Can you take a dart throw in a game like this, a matchup like this, on somebody like Sammy Watkins? No. But you can take a dart throw on Romeo Dobbs. I know that the...

It's been hard to predict which games he's going to get a touchdown, which games he's going to straight up goose and drop everything in my lineup, which was two weeks ago. But the targets have been there. You look back from week three, eight targets, eight targets, five, nine, four. That was the goose. And then seven last week where he was four for 62 in a touchdown. In this matchup, I know I have personally been frustrated with Dobbs. I know Aaron Rogers has been frustrated with Dobbs, but he seems like a fine flex option this week. Oh, boy. Yeah, I mean, Sammy Watkins played 79% of snaps. My biggest concern is if Lazard comes back, where do the snaps go a little bit? It's fair.

It'd be better for the Packers to keep Dobbs out there over Watkins. I'm just not positive they're going to do that. I mean, he was 80% of snaps got one target last week, Sammy Watkins. Oh, I know. I know. I'm not. So I can't imagine that they're going to play Watkins just straight up ahead of Dobbs, as my point. He's not the one earning targets for this offense. All right. You go with your Dobbs. It's a little bit frightening for me. Amun Ra, play him. Always. Jamal Williams. Seems like you can play him as well. It won't be pretty, but it will be frequent. Yeah, especially if DeAndre Swift misses, which he missed practice yesterday, if you did not hear that, which that's, I mean, trending in a very poor direction when you have the excitement of last week, full practice throughout the entire week. The game rolls out and you're like, where's DeAndre Swift? And.

He caught a touchdown. He had, I think, five receptions or so, got five attempts, but then wasn't good with him. And then after the game, Dan Campbell was saying, I think I gave Swift one too many carries. And he said he's not back. Yeah. So all of that, then to go into Wednesday, and he's not practicing, it is highly concerning. Yeah, and four of the seven games that the Lions have played. Jamal Williams has been a top 15 running back. I think he's someone that should be started until proven otherwise. The Colts are three, four, and one. They're traveling to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots who are four and four. The drafting sportsbook line Patriots minus five and a half. The overrunner is gross. It's 40 points. Yeah, yeah. But that gives New England about 23 of those. That's fine. Ramandre has been a dominant force.

The last three weeks he has 19 receptions. He's the RB6 since week three. And it really feels like, you know, the team is relying on him. You know, last week when you watch this offense, it was like Ramandre and Jacoby Myers was the entire moving of the football. So both of those players at home, even though the Colts defense. is pretty formidable against both running back and wide receiver. I don't see how that convinces you to sit either of those players. No, you can't sit Ramandre, who's been basically a top five running back since week three, and you can't sit Jacoby Myers, who's just a clear number one target in any kind of PPR setting. Those two guys are in the lineup.

I don't know that I go anywhere else. I don't have the confidence to start Damien Harris. He would rather start. Harris missed practice on Wednesday because of a illness. Right. And I don't think we have the Thursday update on that. I would start an A.J. Dillon over a.mian Harris. Basically, they're both the backups, but one's got a much better matchup. And I, I can't trust whether. You know, Tyquan Thornton, who's had, you know, his touchdown games or Hunter Henry. Like, you just don't know who the secondary target's going to be there. So the Patriots side of the ball is really, really easy. It's Ramandre and Jacoby, and that's it. And the Colts defense, I mean, I know it's on the road here, but they have been vastly improving. They just got Shaq Leonard back. You know, they gave up. That'll help. They gave up nine points to Denver. They gave up 19.

I'm sorry, they gave up, yeah, 19 to Tennessee. They gave up 17 to Washington last week, and it was 10 until the last play of the game pretty much. They've just been playing a lot better, so I would not be surprised that this game was a pretty boring affair for fantasy, especially if John then Taylor's not out there. You know, Sam Ellinger trying to throw the ball to Michael Pittman. It's just going to be sad. It is going to be sad. I do believe that you can, you could start. Pittman. Last week, it was nice to see that he was the number one target in the offense, nine targets. He was seven for 53. You would have a very different viewpoint of Pittman if one of two things were different. He got the designed play near the goal line for him to get a touchdown. It was called a touchdown on the field on review. It was like on the one inch line. Didn't break the plane. If he gets that touchdown, you're looking at he had nine targets.

You know, seven receptions, a touchdown had a great week. And then at the end of the game on the drive back, he dropped a 30 or 40-yard ball that was put right in his hands. And so he gets that, and you're like, oh, eight for 90, we're okay. Now, this matchup isn't great, but I do not think that Pittman is someone that I'm terrified of right now. Yeah, I mean, they were in desperation mode. I want to see him get the ball down the field regularly, not with. whatever, under a minute to go. That would be nice because Pittman is, he has that ability and they just, they're using them so close to the line of scrimmage. They're throwing them all deep to Alec Pierce. This offense is going to be a problem. What's the record for the Titans right now? I believe they're five and two. Wow, he's a good coach. Yeah, Vrable, Varybel gets it done. He gets his guys to play hard and violent.

Buffalo, six and one, taking on the five and three New York Jets divisional matchup in New York, the Drafking Sportsbook line, Bills minus 12, the overrunners 47. I would, I'd pay a lot of cold hard cash to have the Buffalo defense in this game against Zach Wilson, the circus clown that is, I mean, the music. Look, is he the worst quarterback in the league? Oh, no. No, he's not the worst quarterback in the league because he. He can ping pong between a, you know, making a play and not making a play. The worst quarterbacks can't make plays and then they have a bad play. You know, like Zach Wilson, he's got some weapons. He got it into the end zone last week and he was okay for fantasy, but he's the riskiest quarterback in the league. He holds the ball longer than anybody in the league. Buffalo will take advantage of all of his mistakes. Zach Wilson's goal in life is to roll.

backwards 17 yards to the right side of the field. It's his favorite. And chuck it back across his body or to the opponent. Yeah, and the circus music plays every time that he starts rolling to the right. Oh, there it is. Oh, that's the huddle music. That's when he's in the huddle. All right, guys, listen. Zach Wilson is like, oh, that's my jam. I think they would be a better team with Davis Mills, with PJ Walker. Oh, man. Certainly with Joe Flacko. Well, Flacco got demoted to the third string last week and was very upset and confused by that, but he is not coming in anytime soon. This is going to be a brutal matchup. Now, what I'd like to look at for the Jets moving forward is if they're ineffective in the run game, which they were last week without Brees Hall, and they probably will be some degrees of ineffective remainder of season. Remainter of season. Like James Robinson is not going to fix it because he's not Brees Hall.

My curiosity is, will they do what they tried to do last week, which was, look, Zach Wilson threw for 355 yards. He had 41 pass attempts. They're going to get boat race by the Buffalo offense, and you saw Garrett Wilson proportionally, I mean, not proportionally. With correlation, he had the best game of his year's first over 100-yard game. Are they going to do more running through the air type of style to... kind of make up for having no Breece Hall and, you know, with Garrett Wilson and company. Well, they're going to have to because I would imagine halfway through the second quarter, you're going to be down multiple scores. This is, the Buffalo Bills are the best offense in the league, and I think they might be the best defense in the league. You're not going to be able to have a game plan that they instituted with Zach Wilson when they were winning games with Breece Hall, which is run and play great defense. Like we brought up on the never not working, the Jets defense is legit.

But a legit, the best defense in the league is not going to just close down the Buffalo Bills, not with Josh Allen and company there. So you're going to get scored on. Zach Wilson will drop back to pass. And I think Garrett Wilson's a fine play. Elijah Moore should be dropped. Elijah Moore is they've been replaced. He's been replaced in the offense by Denzel Mims. We had a report. from Jeremy Fowler on ESPN saying the Jets are moving forward with Denzel Mims. He's now a part of the weekly game plan. Elijah Moore was the 34th pick in the draft. Denzel Mims, also a second rounder, the 59th pick in the draft. So Elijah Moore, just be patient. Your time will come in about two to three years. Yeah, yeah. Well said. If he's on the Mims track. Denzel Mims not good enough to start.