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Main show · October 17, 2019

Starts of the Week, Week 7 Breakdown & Tight End Sniffing

RSSOct 17, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week, Week 7 Breakdown & Tight End Sniffing

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Inside the episode

149 passages
41:52 ↗

He was very disappointing this last week, but Gerald Everett. No, no, I said this two weeks ago right after the breakout that I did not trust that breakout. I don't think this is a level up for Gerald Everett. That was a matchup play against the Seattle Seahawks, plus they lost Brandon Cooks in that. I'm not riding the Gerald Everett train. I never was. I think you can start him.

42:18 ↗

I would go back to it. Vikings, the Lions, the Vikings are four and two. The lions are two and one. Asterix. For the lions on that loss. Right. Because they clearly, it should be a loss. When you tie the Arizona Cardinals? No, I mean, I'm talking about Green Bay. I'm sorry, I'm just trying to stir the pot. Yeah. I'm going to poke the hornets nest. That's so stupid. All right. Over under is 45 points. The Vikings are favored by a point.

42:48 ↗

Kirk Cousins, he has, you have to say that he is heating up after these last two weeks, especially last week when Stefan Diggs went nuclear against the Philadelphia Eagles secondary. NBA Jam rules. Jason, is Kirk Couss going to be on fire? Nope. This is, he's been top 10 in the last two weeks. He's looked much better. That's all great. However, the Lions defense is bad against the run.

43:17 ↗

And what the Vikings want to do is run. The last couple of matchups for Kirk Cousins have been very predictably good against the run, bad against the pass. They were matchups where we streamed Kirk Cousins and plugged him in our lineup because you knew he was going to have success. I don't think he's going to have a great game for fantasy purposes against the Lions. They rank 30th right now against the running back position. So.

43:46 ↗

This is a Dalvin Cook game. This is the type of game that I think you could see. Kirk Cousins go out there and throw the ball 20 times. And then you're like, oh, scratching your eyes out. Matthew Stafford leads the league in average depth of target and highest percent of 20 plus yard attempts. He is slinging the ball down the field.

44:06 ↗

like a man who actually has a healthy back this year. And he's slinging it to these routes downfield that are so, they're just so smooth. Oh, we're talking about those routes? You know, oh, look, they are, oh, there it is. Kenny G. Kenny G has leveled up. He is the, oh, it's so smooth. He is leveled up in a way that I did not see coming.

44:33 ↗

Kenny Galladay. He had the opportunity last year when Marvin Jones went down and he did not do it. But Kenny Galladay said, I'm not one of these year two guys. Yeah. I'm a year three type of fella. He's got a 26.9% target share, the third most air yards, and he is the only wide receiver to have eight or more targets in every single game in the NFL. So obviously, if you've had them, you've been starting them, you're going to continue starting them.

45:02 ↗

The matchup is worrisome from yesteryear. You know what I mean? Like the Vikings defense has been this scary matchup for everyone always. Obviously, it was fine last week for Carson Wentz. He had a great game and Alshan Jeffrey had a great game. You're not going away from Kenny Goliday the rest of the season. I agree. What about Marvin Jones? A wide receiver three play.

45:31 ↗

Yeah, I mean, you can do worse than him. You look at his results and you go, man, should I even roster Marvin Jones? But if you look at the... He was almost on fire coming off of games 101 in a touchdown, 77 yards, but then just two for 17 against the Green Bay Packers. And the two for 17 had so many giant air yard plays, miss cues, you know, the one where it was like, oh, it should have been pass interference, maybe, maybe not.

46:01 ↗

He was a couple breaks away from having another great game. So, yeah, I think you could start Marvin Jones in this matchup as well as a three. Kyle Rudolph is still a nope. T.J. Hawkinson dropped another touchdown this past week. Are you rolling with T.J. Hawkinson? No, T.J. Robinson needs to. Well, Jason, here's the deal. People need help at the tight end position. They are struggling. There's the...

46:31 ↗

Like, O.J. Howard, if you were still counting on him, he's on by. I mean, you've got, people need a solution here. If you were still counting on O.J. Howard, congratulations that he's on by. However, I will say this, the craziest stat that I saw. Greg Olson's on by. The craziest stat that I saw this last week was that O.J. Howard, last week in the NFL ran the most routes of any tight end. They're just punishing him. In the national football league.

46:59 ↗

How could he run the most? There's no tight end last week that ran more passing routes than O.J. Howard. And he still was terrible. T.J. Hawkinson or Gerald Everett? Jason Whitten. I mean, that's my answer. When you're around this gross area, I think he is your pivot play this week over, because you're right. People do need help. I just don't want to help them with, you know, I'm not helping them by saying go play someone that can't catch the ball.

47:31 ↗

Sure. T.J. Hawkinson should have a great line on his season right now, but he's got something going on in his head where he can't catch. Well, maybe he breaks through this week. Texans Colts, the Texans are 4 and 2. The Colts are 3 and 2. They are coming off of their buy a 48 point over under the Colts are favored by just a point. Deshawn Watson. You look, you're playing Deshaun Watson. Jacoby Brissette, Jason.

48:00 ↗

Where's the beef? Beef Brissette. Is he streamable? Yeah, I think he's streamable. He's been a pretty solid. He's not an upside guy. So when you say you're streaming, it depends on your roster. You've got a loaded roster and you just need someone to not go out there and put one and a half points up last week like Jared Gough did. Then yeah, Brissette is fine. He's been a top 12 quarterback, three of his five games. It's also been on the strength of an outrageous.

48:30 ↗

touchdown percentage that you saw kind of drift into the netheres. You didn't see that drift into the netheres. What you saw against Kansas City was them dominate the ground game against Kansas City in a game plan to come out on top, and they did. They won that game. The three previous games, Tennessee, Atlanta, Oakland, those were three games where he, I mean, you're right. It's an outrageously high touchdown rate, but I don't think that came screaming to a halt.

48:59 ↗

because of regressing to the mean. And I give a lot of credit to head coach Frank Reich. And this is a team coming off of a buy. So Frank Reich with extra time to prepare, I think Deshaun Watson is just nuclear. He's going to be able to beat the Colts defense. And so, yeah, I think you could start Jacobi Berset.

49:24 ↗

Carlos Hyde, three games in a row with 15 plus touches. Are you trusting Carlos Hyde in this matchup? Yeah, I mean, this is one of those running backs where he's an RB3 for me, which means you can start him. I've got leagues where I'm starting less, and I wish I had Carlos Hyde, but I don't, you know, you're never excited about Carlos Hyde. This isn't a...

49:51 ↗

Great matchup. The Colts are top 10 right now, only giving up 19.6 fantasy points per game to the running back position. And Carlos Hyde is splitting that with Duke Johnson. So, you know, a flex, if he's necessary to your roster, sure, I hope I can go elsewhere. Marlon Mack, if you've got him, you've got to be excited that he is, he's back off of the biweek. He's averaging over 20 carries a game. The matchup against the Texans, it's beatable.

50:21 ↗

They're right in the middle of the road. At the wide receiver position, DeAndre Hopkins, yes, you're playing him. Will Fuller. He had his breakout game, one of the best of all time. Follow that up with a bit of a disappointment, but if you watched what happened, he dropped two touchdowns. They were more difficult receptions, so this isn't a T.J. Hawkinson situation, but he did not come down. The regression hit. He didn't hit on his big plays.

50:49 ↗

How are you treating him this week? The Colts are 18th against fantasy-wide receivers. Yeah, I mean, he's a big play guy that you can throw in your lineup and hope for a monstrous week. We said this before the season about Will Fuller. He's boom-bust, and that's what you're going to get. Unfortunately, if you look at the rate of boom-bust, he's got six games and five busts. That's not good, Bob. 35% of his targets are going for.

51:18 ↗

20 or more yards. That's outrageous of the big play. T.Y. Hilton, is it going to be back? Are you going to be happy that you played T.Y. Hilton? Yeah, you're going to be very happy. The Texans are 26 against wide receivers. He has been a key component to Jacoby Brissette. He's got the extra time to have rested. Yes, you're thankful as the T.Y. Hilton owner, you're like, yes, I can finally play him again. All right.

51:47 ↗

Okay, what do we do, Jason? What do we do with Darren Fells or Jordan Aiken's? Darren Fells was almost my fantasy production. Darren Fells was almost my start of the week. And if you're out there and you're saying I've got to play Gerald Everett or Darren Fells, I'm playing Darren Fells. Right now, the Colts are not good against tight end.

52:10 ↗

I mean, they're, they're very bad. They're 30th against Titan. You've got Darren Fells, who has been bawling out. I mean, he was, when on our buy and sell, it was the line set kind of at five receptions, which, I mean, that could easily happen against the Colts. So I would rather start Darren Fells than those other just trash, trash. Okay, well, what about the Colts side? Eric Ebron, Jack Doyle, or Darren Fells? Darren Fells.

52:38 ↗

All righty. And this is because of the matchup difference. I think the Texans match up better against tight end than the Colts do. Cardinals Giants. It's going to be interesting. A 49 point over under the Cardinals are two, three, and one. The Giants are two and four. Two and fro. The implied team total of the Giants 26 Cardinals 23. Close game. The Giants favored by three at home.

53:07 ↗

two of their last three games now with Danny Dimes. They have one. The other was unwinnable. Now, did you just call him Danny Dimes? I did. I thought you were, you were the one pushing the train. Yes, I don't like Danny Dimes. You're in the back. Yeah, that's my bad. But then you'll proliferate it. We need a, we need a pivot. I mean, we've got Manuel Jones, but I'm not a big fan of that. I'm not, yeah. So that was a fun pun, but yeah, but like.

53:36 ↗

Foot Clan. Daniel Jones. Let's do something with Daniel Jones here. Yeah. We need to figure that out. But Daniel Jones, you can play him. I am streaming him in our league of record after I was denied Josh Allen. The quarterbacks have allowed, or the Cardinals have allowed five QB1 performances. Do you know the only quarterback who was not a top 10 guy? Who? Russell Wilson. That's because Chris Carson.

54:04 ↗

It said, Russ, you take the game off. There was also a defensive score. Quickly, Jason, Daniel Jones or Kirk Cousins? Daniel Jones or Carson Wentz against Dallas. Carson wins. Daniel Jones or Jimmy Hansom Garoppolo against Washington. Daniel Jones. All right. And Kyler, you're starting him every week regardless of matchup. Well, you're very much starting him in this one with the matchup. We'll talk about him in a little bit.

54:32 ↗

Saquan Barkley is practicing in full. We rejoice from the hills that the beast is back. You've got to be very happy that you have Saquan. Arizona's allowing 140 yards from scrimmage to the running back position. Yeah, remember when I was like Chris Carson, say, hey, Russ, take the game off? Sure. Sequin, I'm going to, I think, Saquan is better than Chris Carson. Okay. So that's a hot take. Thank you.

55:01 ↗

I'm here to spit, spit fire. Number two overall pick, better than late seventh round draft pick. That's what I believe in my heart. Okay. David Johnson has been sensational. His backup, Chase Edmonds, how there's, the back injury is still going on for David Johnson. They're still talking about it. Chase Edmonds, five for 34 on the ground. He has been a monster. He's getting that.

55:30 ↗

The backup running back, those huge yards per carry, we've seen for guys like Alexander Madison as well. This does frequently happen. Also two for 33 through the air and a receiving touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons. This is another great matchup and it's the same situation as last week. We were saying if you need a start, you can start Chase Edmonds, but he's not a guy, you know, if you told me I have to start Chase Edmonds or Carlos Hyde, I would still go Carlos Hyde because you're talking about a backup role here.

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