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Main show · April 25, 2024

NFL Draft Predictions + Draft Day Hype! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 4/25

RSSApr 25, 2024 · details onlyYOUTUBEApr 25, 2024 · transcript indexed
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NFL Draft Predictions + Draft Day Hype! | Fantasy Football 2024 - Ep. 1571

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Episode notes

Draft-night predictions episode with the annual Draft Day movie ritual, a listener-league giveaway, a three-year Carson Wentz/Matt Ryan bet, and an escalating Adonai Mitchell/Troy Franklin rivalry.

Inside the episode

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0:00 ↗

It is NFL Draft Day. I am so excited. We are so excited. We're going to talk about where we think all these prospects are going to land. We have a lot of fun on today's episode. Make sure you subscribe. We've got so much more coming soon. Enjoy. To the Fantasy Footballers podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Welcome in. Something going on today, Jay.

0:50 ↗

His body is ready. I feel like I'm just vibrating. And you look like you're vibrating. I mean, you are, your anticipation for the NFL draft is unmatched. I am beyond stoked, excited every single adjective you could ever use. Well, we got draft predictions on the show today. We're going to walk through the fantasy relevant players that we've been talking about for months, that everybody is excited to see land on that perfect. roster and have that perfect rookie season for your perfect dynasty team. Perfect. And so we'll make our predictions on the show today and we'll talk through it all and it'll be a ton of fun. Welcome in. One and all. Mike Wright, Jason Moore, Andy Holloway, the fantasy footballers Thursday, April 25th. It is draft day. I know many of you. Jason, did you fulfill your yearly commitment to Kevin Costner?

1:48 ↗

Yes, it's got to be a once a year. I want all my draft picks. I want them back, all of them. You want them back? Yes. That's my favorite quote from the movie is when he goes, I want my picks back, all of them, because I am going to use that someday when I actually need my dynasty picks. And to be clear, this great cinematic masterpiece. Oh, stop. is no stop extremely accurate to the NFL and what happens and the value of picks like it's pretty much a documentary so it is uh isn't it's not just your tradition i know many people that watch that best picture nominee the day before the draft and so only a nom huh it's shocking golden globe winner though makes sense a razzy winner mike is not a big fan

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No one's a big fan. Stop. I don't. You're a fan because, listen, listen. You're a fan because it's about football. It's about the NFL draft. I do genuinely enjoy it. I do genuinely enjoy watching it. I really, really enjoy watching. It is objectively terrible. I get that. But sometimes you like just bad stuff. Yeah, but we can't encourage this. Draft Day 2? We can. We all deserve better. Kevin. Mr. Costner, get on the line. The five-minute clip of Monty from Arizona, the GM, doing his trades from last year. I'll watch that. Whatever the run length of draft day, I'll watch that clip that many times in a row before I'm watching draft day. There's better content out there. They can give it to us. What the real Monty Awesome Fort draft day video didn't have was what Kevin Costner did, which was to leverage the fact that he had checked

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all of the blogs out on the internet and that the general manager for the Seattle Seahawks was getting, you know, lambasted in the media. Right. And so, you know, it's just, we'll move on. Thank you. All right, ultimate draft kit.com. We've got ultimate draft week happening right now, which means an exclusive giveaway. The headline there, if you pick up the ultimate draft kit before Sunday, you'll get a chance to win a listener league spot. We're going to give away a sign Justin Jefferson jersey, sign Travis ETN jersey, and all you have to do to enter is be one of the people that have pre-ordered the UDK at Ultimate Drafkit.com by Sunday. It's great. I have one note. It is by Sunday. Not before. Buy Sunday. Okay. Is that B-U-Y Sunday? Sunday. Just buy Sunday. No, we're saying Sunday is eligible. People that, yeah, pre-order on Sunday will be part of it. Yes. Got it.

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And in addition to that, if you have the UDK Plus, that's going to have the Dynasty Pass built in, which will have all of our rookie rankings, all of our rookie profiles, production profiles. People we're talking about today. And we're going to update that as soon as we can after the draft to make sure that the draft order is ready. All that stuff is live now, even though you're at pre-order pricing. So you can get either version at ultimate draft kit.com. Come and get a chance to play with us in the listener league and win a Justin Jefferson jersey and win a Travis AetN signed jersey. All right. News time.

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News and notes from Around the League. The Lions have signed Ammon Ross St. Brown to a monstrous deal. Four years, more than $120 million, $77 million guaranteed. Get paid. The highest paid wide receiver in the league. Mike's number two fantasy wide receiver so far as of this moment. He deserves it. He was awesome. He's consistent. He's unstoppable. He is essentially the new Michael Thomas, I feel like. Oh, there he is. Caught me off guard. I hope it doesn't go the direction that Michael Thomas went. No, no, no. Stay healthy, Ammon Ra. Stay healthy. Yeah. Meanwhile, Jamar Chase, Justin Jefferson, just looking at that number going, yeah, okay, okay. That's a little tasty. Justin, how much guaranteed money is Jefferson going to get? Oh, man. 90 plus? Percent of NFL revenue? Yes. That'll be interesting.

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CD Lamb, Justin Jefferson, just sitting out there, waiting for the checks, which will come. Zach Wilson, Mike, what were your thoughts on? Hey, there's just some news now. There's just, there's sometimes we've gotten lucky on the show and news doesn't break right after we record and many times. It's worked out that way. Tuesday was not one of those times. And it doesn't matter. Zach Wilson to the Broncos. Yeah, he got traded. Another offseason of Wilson quarterback play heading to Denver. The NFL's The ultimate smoke screen. This is NFL. We already made our move. We've got our quarterback. We are not trading up for another quarterback. I had not thought about it like that, but that is. Don't worry about that's five D chess. Broncos are set. We're good. Kirk Cousins and.

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Sequin Barclay, those offseason signings being investigated for tampering. Discipline, they said that they weren't going to figure out the discipline before this upcoming draft, which means that the implications for lost draft picks could go into next year and future years. My hope is that what they meant was they will not have the discipline before the start of the NFL draft. They will have the discipline mid-draft. That'd be awesome. The Falcons are on the clock. Sike! That pick no longer exists. That would be some super flexing Goodell. I mean, look, you want to, you want to increase ratings on the NFL on the draft? Oh, yeah. Do you have this? There's a wild card. The mayhem drop hits. Fantasy footballer style. If the pick literally dissolved like back to the future and in its place, it was like, you know, Kirk Cousins picture.

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Like literally as the, uh, the Goodell's walking up. They're like, the pick is in. Nope. No, it's not. The pick has been traded to the NFL. But they're like, just so you know, the Atlanta Falcons were going to draft. Oh. That's. Well, here's a falcon that needs to be talked about. No. No. Yes. Yes. I win. I win. I win. It is a three-year running long bet. Oh, yeah. That's the party music for me because. Don't tell them the news. Matt Ryan has officially retired and August 12th of 2021. Mike and I made a bet about who would play longer.

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Carson Wince or Matt Ryan. And I'm telling you, what a wild ride. There were seven or eight lead changes in that that seemed like it was a done deal in the other direction. But Carson Wins is under contract. Oh, okay. He is under contract? He is both under contract and he played more recently. I was going to ask you if he were tired like tomorrow if that would count as a tie. Nope. Because he already plays the Rams backup. And only on this show would this news be part of the news. But former wide receiver Devin Funchis has signed a one-year deal with the Caribbean Storm of the Basketball League of Columbia. Congratulations. Devin S. Scrumptious. First NFL player to land a pro hoop contract after he was part of the league. I don't, I genuinely don't think he gets this deal done, if not for the fantasy footballer's nickname. We really built him up with Devin S. scrumptious in that drop.

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So congratulations, get paid, play that ball. It's our fault. It's our credit. Okay. Any other news, Mike, that you've got for us? You got anything that you're browsing? Any trades happening? I have not seen anything recently. It's worth noting that we're recording this show later Wednesday. So if news breaks, which it probably won't. I think most of the leverage situations at this point, there's just no news. Okay, you're setting it up. Yeah, good. The only trade that I think that could happen before the draft starts that would affect our picks and we would know enough to actually change destinations on today's show would be if the Patriots traded back beforehand at the three spot. Montiantson at the four spot has already kind of established that he won't trade the pick until they're on the clock and they know who's ahead of them. There's a lot of leverage there when you know.

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the player that a team wants to come up and get is there. And right now there's there's question marks. We're going to go into our draft predictions, but there's, you know, we know who number one is. But beyond that, like there's question marks on which quarterback's going and who has, you know, fallen in love with Drake May or Jaden Daniels or J.J. McCarthy. So if we don't have any other news, we're going to jump right in. You guys ready for this? Let's go. All right. By the way, I encourage everybody to join us. Immediately following round one on NFL plus tonight, we will have the fantasy footballer's draft special featuring instant reactions to all the first round picks, our thoughts, the way that, you know, is it a good fit? Are these teams and these players the right matched? What surprises happen through the draft? Inevitably, what wide receiver went significantly later than we expected them to go or significantly higher?

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And it will be exclusive on NFL Plus. So it won't be aired anywhere else. It won't be on our YouTube channel. So if you want to check it out, join us then. We'll be there live. I would say it will be it's going to be fun, entertaining, informative, and cathartic. Like something is going to happen in the first round that makes you sad for your dynasty team or something's going to happen that makes you ecstatic. for your dynasty team. And we're going to have all those feelings with you. I know. It wasn't manufactured, but it was built upon as the time rolled through this Adonai Mitchell v. Troy Franklin situation that A&D and I have where he's much lower on Troy Franklin. I'm very high on Troy Franklin. He is much higher on Adonai Mitchell. I'm very low on Adonai Mitchell. We are genuinely

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completely and utterly rooting as hard as we can for the demise of not the players but of each other just in those two so when I'm watching the first round just a little collateral damage you know just this this kid who's trying to live his dream Jay look it's about don't want him to fail it's about dunking on Andy that's all this is and I want to do it and he wants to dunk on me so what the nice thing is more than likely someone's getting a boom shock a locker Yeah, is that, that's a dunk. That's a dunk. That's a big dunk. NBA jam. The mock drafts are flowing. Boom, Shakalaka. Thank you. And we'll get into our predictions. There's a lot of players we're going to talk through where we think they're going. Some we agree. Some we don't agree. And then, of course, last year, you guys tied with the most correct predictions. Yeah, we'll leave it at that. Yeah, yeah, yeah. We won, Mike. Yeah. A win is a win. And you know what's crazy is you guys tied with the same amount. And I was just one behind.

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That's true. I was one behind. Oh, a loss is a loss. Yeah, we doubled you up. We doubled you up, sucker. And to be clear, we all had Bryce Young. Yeah, that is true. Yeah, that's the NFL draft B. Cray. All right. Let's start at the quarterback position. This is our layup. Caleb Williams currently minus 20,000 to go number one. I have them going to, of course, the 49ers. Yeah, via trade-up. Bears. Bears, bears, bears, right? We're going to agree with. We'll move on. We'll talk about him for his career. Jaden Daniels. Let's talk about Jaden Daniels. And he is the favorite, betting-wise, to be the number two pick. That is certainly not everything. And it's worth remembering at this time last year, within the week leading up to the draft, not only was it put out there that somehow the Texans didn't like C.J. Stroud. But.

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Will Levis was suddenly everybody's favorite. When we recorded this show last year, Will Levis was plus 150 on the sports books, the money lines plus 150 to be the number two overall pick. Thank you. And he, just as a reminder, went in the number two round of the NFL draft. So Jaden Daniels, let's go. Who do you have him going to? Mike and I, I think. are in agreement here he is the number two pick goes to the manners that's kind of been if you if you watch what the coaches have said what they value what they're seeking after it really does seem to line up with jaden daniels i don't think anyone really knows the answer there there doesn't seem to be any insider coming out saying that we're sure that this is going to happen you've got the infamous crazy top golf meeting of the last week where they brought like

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a dozen prospects altogether. All the quarterbacks were there. And you had Drake May talk about how it was one of his favorite meetings. And then apparently the agent of Jane Daniels said they didn't like it. So I don't know. I don't know. But I think he goes to the manders. Jane Daniels and Drake Daniels at two. So we've got we've got Jane Daniels and Drake May flipped. I have Jane Daniels going three to the Patriots. You guys have Drake May going three to the Patriots. I do. And then I have Drake May going two to the commanders. I think they go the Drake May route.

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And so this will be a point of differentiation between the three of us. It will. And I have Drake May at three to the Patriots, but I'm, I don't know. I think that this might be where everyone's mock draft explodes. As in the trade or May dropping? Yes, as in the Patriots trade out of the pick, let someone else spend way up for the project that is Drake May. Or they just even go a different direction. Take like, take Marvin here. Interesting. Yeah, I think the odds of four quarterbacks are still pretty good to top the draft. We'll see. So we've got Jaden Daniels and Drake May flipped you two and myself. Moving on to another quarterback prospect. This is where trade is very likely. But J.J. McCarthy, I have them going to the Vikings either via trade or just at 11. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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McCarthy is very, very interesting. He seems to profile as a little, a little bit. There are some similarities with Will Levis, not in play style or player, but in the situation that kind of using this as fodder to heat up the quarterback market. Every single year, there is someone that is kind of super hyped because we went into this draft. cycle when it first started and the season of the NFL was over and it was like, let's look towards rookies as JJ McCarthy might be a first rounder. Like he was a presumed second rounder and it's like, I think he's going to sneak in to the first round all the way to like he's got a chance to be taken at number two. And so those guys usually fall, but I will say, so I've got him go to the Vikings like you, Andy. The Vikings have to leave this draft with a quarterback. Like I can't imagine a world where they're not paying.

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to get some quarterback. So I, because they could trade, there's rumors of them trading to the three for Drake May to the four for McCarthy to five to eight. There's so many spots they could trade to and grab McCarthy. I think the most likely destination is McCarthy to the Viking. Let me, let me throw one thing in real quick. I think the comp isn't well-love us. I think the comp is Mac Jones. I think that's the one where Mac Jones was rumored to be a potential target at, what was it, three for where Tray Lance ends up going. They trade up. They take Trey Lance. They don't take Mac Jones. Jones goes 15 to the Patriots. That's why I think he could go at 11 and just sit there. But there's going to be so many opportunities. And teams have come out and been pretty overt in their desire for a quarterback like the Raiders, the Giants, and the Broncos, and the Vikings. And because of that competitive environment, I won't be shocked if, you know, if it's not Arizona at four, charges at five, Giants.

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You know, obviously could take them at six or move up one spot to guarantee another team doesn't move up. So you and I, Jason, we have McCarthy by whatever measure, ending up with the Vikings. Mike? I got him going to the Giants of either living the Jason's dream of the Arizona Cardinals trade back a few spots, then trade back up to the Chargers to get Marvin Harrison. Or... Or he just falls to number six. And I mean, if I'm one of these teams, especially if I need, like on the surface, I need a quarterback. I am overloading everybody with, yeah, oh, of course, of course we're going to get one of these quarterbacks. That is like the best possible outcome if you aren't really planning on drafting one of these quarterbacks is someone else doing it. Just like in fantasy football. When people draft quarterbacks in front of you that you weren't targeting, you're just.

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You're rubbing your hands. Like, this is, this is fantastic. This is the best thing that could have happened. All right. So McCarthy to the Giants for Mike. We both have the Vikings, Jason. Two more quarterbacks we will make draft predictions for. I think these are players that, you know, you're going to learn pretty quickly how the league views them or whether one team has fallen in love with them. Michael Pennix, Jr. out of Washington, Bo Nix, out of Oregon. It looks like we all have a prediction for Michael Pennix, Jr. of the Raiders. I threw him in at the Raider's 77th pick. Jason thought maybe the 44th. I don't know which one you thought, Mike. I have just not in the first. So I believe he is now, last I saw it was like minus 200 to be selected in the first round. Yeah, yeah, people are falling in love. People are rising on him. I really, really wanted to put him to Seattle. I think it makes so much sense. His former coach is now the OC, you know, his national title.

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reaching coach is the OC for Seattle. He is playing right next to where he was. Is that what you describe a non-winner? Yeah, I was like, what is the nice verbiage? A national title reaching? I mean, they lost, but they got there. Contending? Contending? Contending? Contending? The national title contending team. They got to the national title. There you go. That's great. And, you know, he was. They were reaching. And they just, they couldn't grasp. Yeah, they weren't tall enough to grab the trophy off the top shelf. But his coach is now the OC for Seattle. He's been playing right there where this team will have watched him a lot. So Dark Horse, Seattle. Dark Horse Seattle, but I, the Raiders are the team that's connected with him the most. Bo Nix, I have going to the Giants. So Mike, you already.

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said that you thought McCarthy was going to the Giants. Jason and I both have Boe next to the Giants. Yeah, and we kind of see it almost in reverse of Michael Pennix where you've got him going to the Giants in the second round. I've got him going to the Giants of the third round as a faller. And I have him going to the Denver Broncos at some point in the Giants. The Giants. The Giants. The Giants. That T. It's a slippery fella. It's a really important. part of the Giants name. Deucer's Allie, you enjoying yourselves back there? Always. I told you, I'm so excited. I'm vibrating. I can't even pronounce all the letters. It's so much quicker if you don't say the whole day. I've got to go into the Denver Broncos. All right. We'll take a break. Compose ourselves. Come back with some running back draft predictions. All right.

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All right, we're going to turn the page, make our predictions at the running back spot, and we'll start, I guess, with Trey Benson. Yeah, you're darn right, we will. So we have three different destinations for Trey Benson. And this is when it gets simultaneously, extremely fun. You get to root for the destination you want to see happen, and yet very difficult, especially at running back, where you don't know. who's going to break the seal, what team is going to finally say, we're going to take a running back in this draft? I could see a lot of teams with all of the needs and where the running back draft class is. Simultaneously, everybody could kind of like wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, and then you might have them go. But Trey Benson, I think it's the Raiders. I think all the Zemir White ambitions will begin to, you know, the balloon will get popped. That would be RIP.

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Yeah, the balloon will get popped, and I think it's the Raiders at 44. That would be awesome. If he's a top 50 pick, this is my favorite running back in the class. If he gets the draft capital of a team committing to him like that would be, I would be all in. And because he is my number one pack personally, even though this is not the odds on favorite, I have him going to the best spot, the spot that I think will be the first running back drafted in. the NFL draft, which is spot 56, second round pick to the Dallas Cowboys. I got him going five overall, baby. No, but to that, the team that has the fifth overall. I'm sending him to the Chargers. I'm calling for the absolute chaos of opinions where I talked about this on the Dynasty podcast this week, but just.

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Like, what happens in the league if the Chargers don't take Blake Corum? And, like, they take a different running back. Blake Corum's there for them to draft him. And they pick someone else. What does that say about, look, it could be nothing, but it could be something. I still, it's all about the draft capital that the Chargers actually have. And the fact that they're at 37, which is so high in the second round, I don't think that they go. That's why I'm not going. you know, one of the top guys. Right, which that, which is fine. Because if, like, if they want Benson, they either have to take him there or. I don't think he makes it to the next. Just trade back a couple picks because he's, that's true. I think he's going in the same. I will say that, you know, the trade back at from five where they are now seems like one of the more likely contenders. To get him another second round pick or another third. Benson, I got Raiders. Jason has Dallas and Mike with the Chargers. Jonathan Brooks. That's who I have going to Dallas. Same.

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Mike and I are in agreement there. I think most people are in agreement. That's the most common connection. I believe I saw his line was like 56 and a half as his draft spot. So it's like, do you think he goes to 56 or do you not think he goes to 56? It seems very likely. I have a really weird destination here. I was going through. I don't think it's weird. Not many teams really have running back needs. A lot of the ones that did signed players this offseason. I'm going to have a team that signed one of these players this offseason. Draft him. I've got him going to Green Bay in the second round. They have a later second round pick. I think he fits the type of players they've utilized. They have always had a committee. A.J. Dillon is not good. And they don't know about Josh Jacobs, who's essentially on a one-year prove-it deal. His contract lasts longer.

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that's if it doesn't work out. So if he slips to them, I don't think it would be a bad pick for the Packers. Yeah, I think Jonathan Brooks may be the surprise and go higher than people expected a running back to go. I think Dallas could trade down from their first round pick and position themselves into first, early second for Brooks. That's my, I guess, scenario. Blake Corum, I've got him going to the Chargers at 69. Yeah. It's pretty nice. Does that chock taste, you losers? Taste chalky, but I do think, look, the Harbaugh, Greg Roman chargers, they're just rebuilt. Gero, please. Gero, thank you. I think they are just rebuilding what has worked for them in the past. So that's why they're bringing over guys from Baltimore. I think they're going to bring in guys from Michigan. That's why I have them drafting the better running back. The Trey Benson. Yeah. Yeah. I got Blake Corm going to the Ravens.

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