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Main show · July 9, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - AFC East Breakdown, News, Mailbag

RSSJul 9, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - AFC East Breakdown, News, Mailbag

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Inside the episode

137 passages
40:21 ↗

They're a disaster. So I'm not taking anybody on that team. Yeah, and I'm not saying that at all. If you're referring to shady. I'm just referring to any of these guys, whether Harvin has a chance he's matching up with the offensive coordinator that actually he succeeded with in Minnesota and with Rex Ryan who put him on the outside. So Harvin's a guy that, I don't know, depending on where he's going in a draft, which is nowhere according to almost every draft. Yeah. And he's a guy who's going to probably line up.

40:48 ↗

I would say he's going to play 80, 90% of snaps on the offensive side of the ball. A guy who I'm really interested in for very, very late, is Robert Woods. Robert Woods had an actually productive year for who he is. 104 targets, 700 yards, five touchdowns. That's not blowing the doors off, but we're talking about a guy who you can get, who no one's thinking about Robert Woods. I don't have, I mean, Robert Woods is way below Percy Harvard on my list.

41:15 ↗

He came in when Sammy Watkins was hurt and their entire wide receiver core was out, and he was only guy to throw to you last year. But he produced. Yeah. But I'd take Harvin. I would just, I would just, when it comes to fantasy football, I would always put my chips on better offenses. I think it does matter. I realize that there are guys that can put up points on a bad offense, but I'm not taking that wide receiver two. Wide receiver two on, you know, a bad offense. How many times does a bad, you know, subpar offense put up?

41:42 ↗

two fantasy relevant wide receivers, not often. I think it's very possible that Watkins can be a wide receiver one. Watkins, yeah. A one. I mean, you see that Josh Gordon in Cleveland. You see those type of guys, superior talents that get all the targets. It's very easy to do. Marshall did it for years with crappy teams. Speaking of Brandon Marshall, let's talk about it. Nope, we got to move on. E.J. Manuel. Nope, got to move on. New York Jets, the number three rushing offense last year, the number 22.

42:09 ↗

overall offense. So clearly they could not pass the ball. That's what that means. Dead last in passing yards per game. They tried towards the end of the year to just take it out of Gino's hands. Don't give them the opportunity to throw interceptions over and over and over and over and over. So from a rushing perspective, you're talking about guys getting no respect. Yeah. Chris Ivory is the bell cow. Stephen Ridley's there. He's hurt. He's recovering. Zach Stacey is a...

42:38 ↗

I think a footnote. They're going to get cut. Yeah. And so Chris Ivory is sitting on the third best rushing team in the league. But by himself as essentially the complete bell cow. Yeah. So nobody likes it. Yeah. Why no respect from Chris Ivy? Because last year he was in fantasy, even though he had decent numbers by the end of the year, if he didn't score, he wasn't good. Which is why I am not as high on him. But Chris Johnson's now gone.

43:07 ↗

So maybe Ivory's carries will go up. He only had 198 last year. If that can get up into the 220s, 2.30s, then he's a little bit more interesting. We have them at the same spot in our rankings. 32. We both have them at 32, which is probably low. Yeah, it could be. We haven't refreshed that in a little while. But, yeah, I think, I think RB1 on the third best rushing offense needs to be considered, especially because that defense is going to improve. And how do you win games? You rush the ball. And you play defense. And they've got, you know.

43:36 ↗

An improved defense, Revis is back, new head coach. Anybody else that you want to speak about? Obviously, Brandon Marshall has come into town putting Eric Decker in that wide receiver two spot. I like Marshall a lot. I think he's going to come in and be a target monster on that team. Yeah, I agree. I'm high on Brandon Marshall, and I really like Eric Decker. I've talked about a good amount, and I like him even more now that he can go back to his natural kind of being the two.

44:05 ↗

on the team. And Eric Decker has had success. He had success last year with Gino Smith, and he actually had some success with Tim Tebow. So the guy, he's used to playing with maybe not so great quarterbacks. But with Galey coming in for the system, I think it's going to fit Gino a little bit better. And I think the offense might be a little more uptempo, might score a little bit more.

44:31 ↗

If you watched college ball last year and you watched Ohio State, you saw Devin Smith catch every single pass that was thrown deep to him. He was drafted in the second round by the Jets. And if you're, I was talking to Jason about this yesterday off air. If you're in a basketball league and you're looking for a guy that can blow up three or four times this year, do not count out Devin Smith. He is a down the sideline, high point the ball. He's not a huge guy, but he is one of the best I've ever seen in catching a deep pass. And Gino can throw.

45:01 ↗

the ball down the field. And either Brandon Marshall or Eric Decker, who have both struggled with injuries lately last year, they both had injury problems. Either one of them goes down and it's going to be Devin Smith on the field with that opportunity and the talent is there. So clearly that is a guy to watch for deeper sleepers. All right, that is the AFC East. We've got one more division to go over. That would be the NFC East and we'll pick that up next week.

45:29 ↗

Let's go ahead and answer some questions. Mailbag. All right, if you have a question, you can call us on the question voicemail box. Is that what it's called? We need to get a sponsorship for that. I know. The blank, blank hot take line. Pets candy. I don't know. I saw this. Oh, wow. Yeah. If you saw the video, you know what he's talking about. There's a giant.

45:55 ↗

giant pez dispenser with an Arizona Cardinals. If there was real peasant here? There was earlier this week. My six-year-old found it and he's like, what are these? I'm like, they're soap sized candy. Give them back to me. They're vegetables. Yeah. What I was trying to say is you can call us on our voicemail and leave us a message. A question 302-464 TFFB. 302-664-8332.

46:22 ↗

You can also go on the site and click the big submit a question button in the upper right corner, the fantasy footballers.com. And you can also find us on Twitter at the FFBallers. Send your questions over. We're happy to answer as many as humans can answer every single day. Was that fair, Mike? That is fair. All right, let's go to a voicemail question here first. I'm going to call you. I think you guys are away. Kobe Fleener. Jason Wynn and the...

47:46 ↗

We shall. The gloves are going to have to come off. First of all, I think Kobe Fleener should be offended by the way that you said his name. Right. Yeah. Can this be like a temporary boxing? Oh, yes. Game on! We welcome. We welcome that. Oh, for sure. Call us out. We don't just make stuff up. So make the case, Mike. I've got plenty to say on Travis Kelsey. And you know what? Let me say this first. I get what you're saying. I do. I get what you're saying from a purely...

48:15 ↗

Statistical standpoint. I looked at Kelsey, first half of the season, second half of the season. Really didn't see a big difference in yards per game from Kelsey, five touchdowns last year. So what gives? Well, here's the interesting thing about Kelsey compared to a lot of those tight ends who were listed. Kelsey played 66% of the snaps because he was injured and he was designed. They worked at a plan to have Kelsey come in.

48:42 ↗

Very, very slowly. Compared to like Greg Olson, who played 96.6% of the snaps. Oh, is that a higher threshold than 66? Week 1, 33%, 37%. You're talking about a guy who wasn't on the field. You want to know who had a great on field percentage of offensive snaps? Anthony Fasano in Kansas City. Where was? Oh, he was on the Chiefs, too? Yeah, he was on the Chiefs. He played 91% of the snaps. Well, he's, where, what's he doing?

49:11 ↗

Oh, he's gone. Oh, he's gone now. He's gone. So that 91% of snaps that Anthony Fassano was on the field for, I wonder where they're going to find a way to make up for that. So it's round two, baby. Here we go. Travis Kelsey, 81 targets. And we're talking about 66% of snaps. 81 targets, 67 for 862. He had an 82.7% catch rate. That led tight ends. He had 503 yards after the catch. That led tight ends.

49:39 ↗

He forced 17 missed tackles. The guy was an absolute beast. We call him Zeus for a reason because he is a physical monstrosity. Vernon Davis, he was a tight end who played with. Who's that guy? Alex Smith, the guy who checks down and only throws to the tight end. Is that the quarterback in Kansas City? That would be one and the same. Vernon Davis averaged 105 targets per season. Two top.

50:07 ↗

three fantasy finishes for Vernon Davis when he was with Alex Smith. 24 tight ends, some of which you mentioned, all of which you mentioned, got more snaps than Kelsey last year. We are projecting. That is what we were doing with Travis Kelsey. Because everything that he did in the small amount of time that he had on the field says that Kelsey is going to be a gigantic.

50:30 ↗

We could be wrong on that, but you have to project. If you want to win in fantasy football, what you need to do is you've got to find the guys who are going to...

50:40 ↗

very much outperform last year. Who's going to take a rise up? And you've got to have reasons for that. So the fact that Anthony Fasano is gone, that Kelsey's going to be on the field, that he's a physical freak, and that he showed, you know, broken tackles, yards after catch. I mean, he is... He also fumbled four times. So he finished where he finished with four fumbles, which is, I mean, hopefully he doesn't keep doing that. He also graded out as the best run-blocking tight end in the NFL. He's going to be on the field. It's over. The fight's over. All right. Next question here. I think we did a...

51:11 ↗

Our best in defending ourselves. Thanks for calling us out. Hey, guys. First time. That's what we have to say to you. You know, when I play the voicemail and then close it, that's what happens. Hey, guys. First time calling in, but I just started listening this summer. Love the show. So my question is, my league is going from 10 people to 12, and I've never done a 12-team league before.

51:40 ↗

So I was wondering what advice you can give me on that. It's half-point PPR, and last year I picked three running backs from my first three picks, and it's the championship loss there. Thanks for the question. Thanks for helping me out, and see you later. So one of the more important things in a 12-team league is to be better prepared than other people.

52:00 ↗

past those first few rounds. First few rounds are going to play out pretty much the same. Focus on running backs like you're saying. Avoid the quarterback. But the main difference is the depth of the rosters. When you start getting to your flex position and positions like that, when you get an eighth round, the ninth round, you're going to have to go deeper. And especially for, you know, the guys that are there, now you figure in the 10th round, you've literally got what?

52:28 ↗

12 times, you got 2 times 10, you got 20 extra players, you're deeper. You're on your own, man. I wasn't even listening to you. That you're not used to drafting. So I think that your best advice that you can get for going from a 10 to a 12 is to be prepared for those 7, 8, 9th rounds. Pick the wide receivers and the running backs who have upside potential, have them targeted, highlight them on your list. That's what I would focus on, or the later rounds, because everybody always focuses on just...

52:57 ↗

those top 10 guys. Yeah, that's good advice, and I appreciate the call. I think your recipe to success is only going to be more proven in a 12-team league. You chose to go running back early. Position scarcity becomes more of an issue with 12-team leagues, and so keep that recipe up. Sounds like you did great. Got to the championship game, and I think it'll be fine. So that's some good advice from Jason there. Let's move on to a question from James in Sacramento.

53:25 ↗

He says, why am I not hearing more about Owen Daniels? Emmanuel Sanders replaced Decker and flew under the radar last year. Could this be a similar situation with Daniels replacing Thomas? Well, first quick... He doesn't replace Thomas. Right. The reason that you're not hearing it is Virgil Green. Because...

53:45 ↗

There are two camps. There's the camp that says Virgil, well, I guess three, right? The camp that says Virgil Green is going to be the man. The camp that says that Owen Daniels is going to be the man. And the camp that says neither of them is going to be the man because they're both going to be in the mix. And I think there's probably a little bit of that last one that's that's got some truth to it. But I'm in this because I know that we differ on this. I'm in Owen Daniels on the, you know, if you got to pick who's going to be the predominant pass catcher, I'm on the Owen Daniels side. Andy, who are Owen Daniels? I thought you were Virgil Green.

54:14 ↗

I thought I remember talking about it. I think Virgil Green by far has the most upside. I will agree with that. That doesn't mean that in every situation I draft him. But depending on where I'm drafting, if I'm drafting for upside, if I'm drafting two tight ends for some reason in the back of the draft. Don't do it. I know. But, you know, you might take a flyer on. If you draft a guy like Ifer, I might draft a guy like Versa green at the end and just see what happens. But, but yeah, from an upside perspective, you know, what's interesting about Denver is that when Julius Thomas broke out,

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