Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - AFC East Breakdown, News, Mailbag

sleeper-wise, J. Ajai, a lot. Let me give you his college numbers. 2,300 yards, 32 total touchdowns, 500 passing. No, that's not career. That's last year. And 32 touchdowns in a year. It's Boise State, okay? You're not playing in the SEC, but he did all he could have do in college. And obviously they were concerned. He was going to be a round one, round two guy, concerns with the knee. If he's healthy,

He's a home run sleeper in fantasy because he can catch the ball. Lamar Miller, if you look at the amount of carries they want to give him, they don't want to give him more than 12. I mean, that's the range. And he's good. He's good in that range. That's fine. From a Miami Dolphin standpoint, I'm excited to give the ball to Lamar Miller 10, 12 times and throw the ball and hand it off to Ajai 5 or 6. And then if Miller goes out, I mean, you talk about Cameron Artis Payne, if Jonathan Stewart goes out, if Miller goes out. Yeah.

I think Ajayi is a good offense. We've talked a lot about more of the other rookies, the rookies that got drafted ahead of the fifth round. And Ajai, I think, is a very good fantasy stash guy. But I want to make the case for Lamar Miller. And here's the case for Lamar Miller. Last year, he finished the year as an R.B.

Uno. One. As an RB1. I don't see. They waited till the fifth around to draft a running back. They didn't know what Jai was going to be there. They kept passing on them round after round after round. It shows me a little bit of confidence that they don't need a running back. At that value, sure. I mean, you should draft a Jai in the fifth. But they are going to give Lamar Miller the ball at least.

the same amount of times I gave him last year, which wasn't that many. He got 216 attempts last year. You want your number one running backs to get more, but he was an RB1 with those carries. His carries aren't going to dip this year unless there's an injury, and we presume healthier, generally speaking. So I think Lamar Miller can repeat at least an RB2 and still has the potential we know factually to be an RB1, and you're drafting him where in the third, I would think? No.

Hard to argue with that. The last interesting tidbit on Miller and on his carries is he only got above 15 carries four times last year. Yep. But three of those were the last three weeks. So maybe they were trying to finish how they're going to keep going. I don't know. That's just an interesting. Yeah. Yeah. And he absolutely could be a guy that comes out and proves it to the fantasy community that's doubting him or he could not.

That would be a perfect. If you get a value in Lamar Miller in the third or even if he drops, I've seen him drop into the fourth once or twice. Oh, that would be amazing. Yeah, if you grab him, then grab a Jai Leight. Oh, yeah, grab him as your last pick and then you've got the running backs on a good offense. Yeah. On a good team that, like you said. With Indomacu, Sue, that helps Lamar Miller. Yeah, I don't want to overstate one man's role, but it makes sense. Improved defenses are good for running backs. Yeah, they want to be that kind of a team. So.

I want you guys to, in a standard league, put the wide receivers of the Miami Dolphins in order. Impossible. No, no, no. You have to do it. I can do this. It's required. All right. Yeah. I guess you can't. Mike, go ahead. I was waiting for the list. Yeah, what's the list? Which one do you want me to rank? All of them. Yeah, standard scoring. This is not complicated. Give me the top four Miami wide receivers. It's still in standard. It's still going to be Jarvis Landry. Then.

Kenny Stills, Greg Jennings. Oh, maybe. I'm going to go Landry, Stills, Parker Jennings. That was difficult. That was like pulling T. This is a really difficult task. Clearly there was two people confused by you. All right. So here's. And we outnumber you. Put the wide receivers in order? Here are, here are my, here's my order of those four guys in standard leagues. I'm going to go Jarvis Landry.

Greg Jennings. Greg Jennings. Devonte Parker, Kenny Stills. Any chance Jordan Cameron leads them all? Yeah. There's a chance. Well, no, because of health. But yes, there's a chance. Because Ryan Tannihil likes his tight hand. You know this. Oh, come on, man. We need a drop for. Mike Wallace is gone, obviously. There will be.

touchdowns to spread around. I don't know what Landry will do on the touchdown front. Love Jarvis Landry. Tanahill loves Jarvis Landry. I think Cameron coming in there, I mean, they had Charles Clay last year, so I don't see Landry really losing much, but I don't know what to expect from Stills, and we don't know the health of Parker. So the other guys, it's a little bit muddy. Somebody's going to have a good year there, though. Yeah, and Stills is a highly efficient. He's a great...

wide receiver, in my opinion. I don't... You like him a lot. I just don't... I don't understand why they traded him. I don't get that... Well, okay, maybe because... They're like me. They're like, me. They're like, I can draft a guy and not pay him and get the same... They already weren't paying him. He has two years left of not being paid, and he had... He had an almost 80% catch rate. He was fourth in the NFL. Clearly, the Saints know what they're doing. They got rid of that bum Jimmy Graham. Hey. Hey.

All right, let's move on to... Don't make me start on Jimmy Graham. The offense with the least. The Buffalo Bills were the 26th ranked offense. Yeah, I know you're going to... No, I'm asking, this is a real question. Wow, they don't have a quarterback, man. That's a problem. In the National Football League, if you don't have a quarterback, you're not very good. That's true. News flash. Is it...

Is it easier or harder to run the ball when you don't have a quarterback? You don't have to make the case about their offensive line to me. I know where this is going. Trust me. It's like I got directions to this point in the day real early. To prepare yourself. 26th offense, 25th rank rushing offense, 18th passing, 18th scoring. Matt Castle, E.J. Manuel, competing for who gets to throw interceptions for your fantasy team in the first half of the year. That's a doozy of a competition.

They brought in an offensive guard in the third round. They brought in LaShawn McCoy via trade, Charles Clay, who I think actually could have a sneaky good year there. Matt Castle, like I mentioned, has not looked good in OTAs. People were saying he might get cut. That was the talk. That's so bizarre. People went out and watched the bills, and they walked away saying the starting quarterback could be cut.

That's what the result was. So I'm not very confident there. Percy Harvin is there as well, and you have healthy Sammy Watkins in the mix. Here's LaShawn McCoy, because I know I'm going to have to talk about this. Yes. Their offensive line is not good. And their running game will not be impressive. LaShawn McCoy will have a good fantasy season because LaShawn McCoy will be used a lot. And it is not going to be...

What did he finish last year? I think at 12. Yeah. 12. Okay, so the year before that, Philly had a really good offensive line. Last year, I know the PFF numbers, but if you asked people around Philly, they were banged up, they had issues, and that... Yeah, they were banged up, but they were still producing. They were still a fantastic line. Okay. We'll agree to disagree on that part of things. And there are plenty of...

you know, places that rank lines that disagree on Philly's lines. So I'll give you that. Yeah, exactly. And LaShaul McCoy is the Barry Sanders of today in the sense that he leads the league in miss tackles and carries for loss, which is what Sanders did too, okay? He likes to dance around. He makes guys miss and then, you know, but that's not, there's not, they need a downhill runner in Buffalo because of the offensive line. All that to say, LaShaul McCoy will be an RB one because he will have insane production.

in that team. In terms of usage, I mean. Volume. Volume. Sorry, that's what I mean. How many carries you got him going for? At least $3.25. Okay. Did you know that Rex Ryan has not had a running back go over 300 carries since 2009? Yeah. Well, do you know Greg Roman has had Frank Gore for three years and he's put up $1,100 plus in that offense with eight in the box every single week? Yeah, but a better line. Okay. Better line.

I like LaShawn McCoy this year, but as a two. If you can get him as your second running back, I love having him there. I think a lot of people are drafting. You won't. I've seen it. No, you won't get him as your two. Mike and I are, Mike and I have a difference. I have him at four. Mike has him at 12. Mike has him as the same RB he was last year. I have him at four. I believe LaShawn McCoy will get all the work.

They weren't good the last few years, were they, on offense? In terms of the offensive line? No. Okay. So Fred Jackson came out and put up RB1 numbers two years ago. So in that kind of a situation, LaShaquois is more talented. LeShaun McCoy needs to get the respect of the volume in the fantasy world, in my opinion. And I don't care if you, you know what I mean? We could talk about it until we're blue in the face. And we will. I have no doubt we'll do it 15 times in the season. No, I just, I don't understand why a guy can't be a productive fantasy player, even if you don't like

his ability in general. It's just the, it's not his ability. It's the, Andy, where did you say you have McCoy? Four. Four. Fourth. Wow. Wow. Wow. I just, yeah. Three in PPR. I think that's pretty high. It is high. It's not that high. Well, you can't get much higher. I mean, you know, average draft position right now, he's the seventh ranked running back. So, I mean, I see what you're saying in that sense. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

That's fine. I like the volume. I love the opportunity. I think that he's on the downside of his career and he's going to get a low yards per carry. But with a low yards per carry, if he gets the ball 325 times, I am absolutely fine with that. Yeah, 325 times. But there's also a concern that Lashaw McCoy has had 622 carries in the last two years. People were freaking out about DeMarco Murray. LaShawn McCoy's had more carries the last two years.

So looking at the wide receiver position for Buffalo, Sammy Watkins, what do you expect from him? Is it just quarterback devoid fear? Yeah, the quarterback situation is pretty much horrendous for Watkins. And it's hard to really know what Watkins can do in the pro level because of the quarterback play. And he was banged up almost the entire year last year. He had certain weeks he looked great. He's absolutely great. He's coming off of hip surgery.

128 targets, almost 1,000 yards. But it just, what is, can his body really hold up if he's already getting beat up? Year one. Yeah, I, I, the career does not make. No, I agree with that, but he should be. He missed less games than Odell Becken did last year. He's, he's, he's one of the most talented wide receivers out of last year's draft class, and last year's draft class was amazing. The problem was, if you put Sammy Watkins on other teams, he'd be.

The problem is two things. One, it's the quarterback play that we're talking about. And two, it's the makeup of the team. This is a Greg Roman run, run, run the ball, defense, defense, defense, low scoring, which means fewer touchdowns. You know, that's going to be a big key for Watkins. I expect Watkins to get 1,000 yards and around 70 catches. And so that could be really good, wide receiver 2, or that could be...

kind of lower wide receiver three solely depending on does he get five touchdowns or does he get eight touchdowns and i've got him at six so i've got him more towards that uh you know that that that wide receiver three range just because of the offense he's in charles clay finishes as a tight end number two i'm sorry he finishes as tight in number 17 16 i'm i'm really torn right now on charles clay i liked him a lot

when he was in Miami, and I was looking up the numbers. There's an interesting discrepancy between Rex Ryan and Greg Roman teams. Yeah, I was going to say, how'd Vernon Davis do when Greg Roman took over? He killed Vernon Davis. Well, he also scored 13 touchdowns one year. Not with Greg Roman. Yeah, with Greg Roman. Seriously? Yeah. As offensive coordinator? Yes, 2013. Do you not remember? No, I thought that that was the year before Roman. See why no one likes talking to Mike?

Yeah, shut up. All right. So the question, what I was bringing up was, in Rex Ryan, when he was with the Jets and he had Dustin Keller, Dustin Keller averaged 100 targets. But Greg Roman teams don't seem to feature the tight end as heavily. So the question is who wins out that battle? Is Charles Clay going to get those targets? He got that money, but is he going to get the targets? That's a good question.

Something that needs to be said, or at least I feel like it needs to be said, is the fact that you don't want to over-globalize in fantasy good offense, bad offense, okay? Because you get production from players on bad team. Yeah, the 22nd rank offense in the league was the New York Jets. That's 327 yards a game, okay? You're talking about a differentiation of not that much. You know, the dolphins are in the middle of the road. That's 350. So you're talking 30 yards a game difference. There's production to be had on every single roster. So don't just look at a team and say,