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Main show · October 16, 2019

Week 7 Buy/Sell + TNF Preview, Mailbag!

RSSOct 16, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 7 Buy/Sell + TNF Preview, Mailbag!

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Inside the episode

135 passages
27:53 ↗

But I'm playing Jared golf this week. So absolutely. Against the Falcons, I totally understand those who want to rage bench, want to rage drop him. I, I totally understand. But fantasy football is a game of matchups. And this is as juicy as they come. The matchup is so good. Look, he's inside. He's in a dome. I just talked about. I almost made, Brandon Cooks is one of those guys. I didn't use him as my start of the week.

28:22 ↗

because I'm terrified of another collapse. But the matchup is perfect for a big blow-up game here. My worry is this offensive line. Austin Corbett bust, you know, second-year player coming into a team, not knowing anything about their scheme and their offensive line system and all that jazz, maybe being thrust into a starting role is not good for Goff.

28:52 ↗

is a great quarterback for the system that can protect him. When he gets pressure, oh boy, it is not as pretty. Now, I don't know if the Falcons D-Line still trying to rely on Vic Beasley of yesteryear can actually pressure him. So this could be a great matchup. Mike, I know you believe in golf a little bit more than I do. I think the answer here is dependent upon your options.

29:21 ↗

Right. Sure. But, okay, so passing yards allowed. This is recent history for the Atlanta Falcons. 340 to the Cardinals, 426 to the Texans, the Titans, 27, the Colts, 300. You can throw on this team. Keanu Neal is out, and that has transformed this defense. Not in a positive way. Look, but they...

29:47 ↗

I want my quarterbacks against the falcons. Look, I totally get it. I have a roster where I have golf and I have wins. Now, there's a perfect example of what we were talking about earlier. My rankings, because I'm trusting the process of what you just described, I've got golf ahead of wins. But as the fantasy owner, I have such a hard time putting Goff in because of...

30:11 ↗

Yeah, I get it. You know, the one and a half point that I got last week. So let me ask you this. Here's a guy that's close in rankings this week. We like him, but he's not, he doesn't have the, you know, it's not the same, you know, he's down in the rankings. But would you start Josh Allen against Miami over golf? Ooh. That's one of those like. That's very close. Currently, my rankings have Josh Allen just a couple spots behind him. Right. That's what I'm saying. He's behind, but.

30:40 ↗

If you want that gut check of not having to worry about the possible golf implosion. I think that Allen's, Allen might be a tiny bit safer, but the concern for Josh Allen, if you want to build that case is Miami won't be able to score. Right. They will not be able to score against Buffalo. I believe I saw the implied team total for Miami. It was 11.

31:06 ↗

Points. That's yuck. And honestly, I don't know how they get that. Yeah, I don't know how they get there either. Meanwhile, on the Falcon's side, Matt Ryan is on one of the longest streaks of 300 plus passing yards of all time because Matt Ryan's really good. And you can score on the Rams. I know they just got their big acquisition of Jalen Ramsey, but I expect that the Falcons can keep up. So that's why I have Jared Goff ranked a little bit higher. This one's from the website, Eric.

31:34 ↗

wants to know Hunter Henry or Darren Waller rest of season. Darren, I am the Wallerous. Oh, goook-c-choo. We all love Darren Waller so, so very much around the office. But do we love him more than Hunter Henry in a PPR? The way that I see these two players is I see that Darren Waller's floor is safer.

31:59 ↗

than Hunter Henry's. I believe that because even though you saw the one game where he comes out and Hunter Henry was like the go-to target, that's going to flip. It's going to be Keenan Allen most of the time. He's going to be the go-to target and not Hunter Henry. This was a matchup thing. But Hunter Henry's ceiling is much higher as we saw this last week because the offense is better. The quarterback is better. I expect far more touchdowns for the Chargers than I do for the Raiders. And so Waller is the safe weekly every play.

32:29 ↗

Hunter Henry is safe enough where I would prefer to have the ceiling of Hunter Henry and those big breakout games. We have this problem in League 1. We have Darren Waller and we have Hunter Henry. Yeah, we do. I'm fine trading either and starting either, but I would take Hunter Henry rest of season. So if it came down to, you have to trade one of these players and you prefer Hunter Henry. Is it enough of a preference that you would not...

32:56 ↗

trade him as in depending on your return no i think right now if you're talking this week i'm trading him now you're probably going to get more for hunter henry because he came back so you would be willing to move him and yes i'd be well yeah because the gap is not large between those two players i love both of them going forward if you can get more for either one of those tight ends i'm fine trading either this one's from twitter jason georgia rob 13 says i'm one and five

33:26 ↗

Should I just give up? Never! Never give up. Never surrender. I love Michael Keaton. All right. No, you know, so here's the thing about... Yes. He wanted in on that. He got it. You love Michael Keaton too, huh? Who doesn't? Yeah, seriously. National treasure. If you don't like, like, genuinely, if someone else, oh, I hate Michael Keaton. That's a weird thing. That's a weird hate. That's a weird hate.

33:52 ↗

That's just a mean person. That's being contrarian just to be contrarian. But back to the question. So you're one in five. Here's the thing that I know from my experience, we've done this show forever. We hear every year people who are one in five, oh and five, they came back, they got in the playoffs and won the championship. But here's why. There's two reasons. One, I've never been in a league with perfect parity ever in my life. There are good teams in every league and bad teams in every league. If you're one in five, the schedule says you've probably...

34:22 ↗

played more of the good teams while those other teams with good schedules have played more of the bad teams. The way scheduling works in a 16-week season is it's going to flip for you. You're going to win. Other people are going to lose. That's one half of it. The other half is that the other teams that have a worse record, maybe they played good teams too, but they're going to start giving up. They're going to start quitting. The people that don't quit keep winning. So, you know, I just...

34:49 ↗

Always play for this year, no matter your record, unless you're, like, at the trade deadline and you're out of the playoffs and you're going to keep her, then there are reasons to help your team's future. You could be 8 and 5. Yes. Just saying. They're just saying that's in the range of outcomes. This is from Twitter from Gerger. Gervi. Nailed it.

35:14 ↗

It's ad Gigi. Oh, I see it. Good. That's exactly right. I just lost Will Disley. Oh, poor one out for Big Montana, 12 team league. Jason, this is insanity of where we are today. Oh, my goodness. Would you trade the Pats defense and Mike Williams for George Kittle? Oh, I assume that this trade has been talked about negotiated. It's too specific. And they are.

35:43 ↗

ready to do it. This is on the table. But the person with the Pat's defense isn't sure they should make the move. It's unbelievable. And here's why they're not sure because they've had the Pat's defense. They have won every single week. You can leave the tight end spot blank when you have the Pat's defense right now. We always say that when you get 20 plus points from your defense, it's usually a guaranteed win. You can lose with that. But when you get

36:13 ↗

So many points from a position that doesn't usually score a lot, you know, those multi-touchdown defensive games, it's really difficult to lose with the rest of your roster. So you've been winning. That being said, and I know the playoff schedule is good. Yes. You can win with streaming defenses. Not everybody out there is going to have the, you know, the Patriots, and so they automatically win the championship. Tight-ins are much more difficult to come by. And the schedule, while it is...

36:42 ↗

still mighty fine for the Patriots. It's not as easy. So the next couple weeks, easy. Then they come up with a rougher spot that I don't expect them to just be as dominant as they've been. I would much rather have the top three tight-in in George Kittle. So I would do the deal. I completely agree. This one is from at Glassjaw Diaries.

37:10 ↗

What should I do with Joe Mixon? Is he even worth trading to someone, or should I just drop it? Oh, you cannot, should not, do not, will not drop in a tree, will not drop from my knees. No, you don't drop Joe Mixon. That was the rhyme? Yeah. I think it was excellent. Can I, can we get a ruling from the singular to a plural, though? It's still rhymed. It was terrible. Oh, come on.

37:38 ↗

I'm out of here. It's a solo show from here. Oh, all right. We checked the machine. Yeah, the machine's never wrong. There was a question here. It was about Joe Mixen. We're not dropping Joe Mixen. Look, that's not happening. Are you trying to trade him with this low value that he currently has? Are you riding it out? What's happening for Joe Mixon? Are there better days ahead? Are there worse days ahead? I don't think that's possible, but...

38:06 ↗

I think there are better days ahead for Joe Mixon, but we've talked about him being an official level down player. The hope that you drafted is not ahead. The hope of the top 12 running back on a weekly basis, that's not ahead. Here's one thing that we've seen, though, from years and years and years of doing this and playing a fantasy football. When people try to buy low, Joe Mixon is a buy low candidate. Not everybody understands what that means. They think.

38:35 ↗

Oh, I can trade for him because he's bad. And so they do because he's been bad. They trade for him and they, quote, buy low in their own mind. But what they've actually done is just paid for Joe Mixon. And now they're actually able to get him and that's what they're seeing as like, oh, I could scoop him up as opposed to what a true buy low is, which is get him for next to nothing. So Joe Mixon is a guy you should be shopping because there's probably one person in your league.

39:05 ↗

that's running back needy that is willing to still pay a premium for Joe Mixon. But I'm not going to trade him at this low of a value, meaning a true by-low. I'm not going to sell him there because I do think that he's at his bottom. All right. Speaking of another buy-low question, this one is off the Instagram. That's from Sean Patchell.

39:31 ↗

wants to know is Keenan Allen a by-low candidate? Oh, heck yeah. Oh, heck yeah. All right. You're still in on Keenan Allen? 100%. Keenan Allen does this. I went back this morning and looked at the 2018 consistency chart. And everything he does, he does in stretches. Started the year with a bad three games in a row. And you're like, oh, no. Right. He's not the guy we draft. I remember a few years ago when Keenan Allen was like, you were in the car.

40:01 ↗

You pulled over. You were on the freeway. There's nothing around you. You stopped. You opened the door, and you kicked Keenan Allen out. Oh, yeah. And said, good luck, Buster. You are the worst. You are dead to me. I'll let the vultures get you. And then he went and hopped in that Lexus. He hitchhikes. He hitchhikes. Yeah, I mean, in a Bentley and said, I'm the wide receiver one for the rest of the season. So, I mean.

40:28 ↗

Last year he had a terrible stretch of three games and a biweek and whatnot. He had a great stretch of five games in a row. Then three bad games. I don't know why the history with him and Rivers is on again, off again, but he is too good of a wide receiver, too highly targeted through the course of a season. I want the highs of Keenan Allen. I will accept the lulls. And because you've had quite a few games in a row, I think the change is coming here pretty soon.

40:57 ↗

It's weird. It is a very strange thing. But it's almost like this offense lost its groove once Melvin Gordon came back. I know my comment was not hilarious. It was not as funny as what I was laughing. I'm looking through our questions. Here's one. All right. I read the question first. And then it got better because it comes in from Twitter from at your mama.

41:26 ↗

Wait, there's no way that's a real handle. It's not. This is purely a troll. I don't know if it was a troll by one of our producers. But he said, would you trade Duke Johnson and Cooper Cup to a complete idiot for Scary Terry and Lev Bell? Yeah, I would much rather have the Scary Terry and Love Bell side of that. If you don't know what we're talking about, good. Yes, that is correct. But yeah, thanks your mama.

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