AFC East Breakdown + Late Round Dart Throws - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/21

You also had Bruce Ariens leaving in Tampa. So you have a couple of offenses that were like well-oiled machines losing kind of crucial pieces. But, you know, Byron Lefowitz still there. You have a ton of stability on this offense. And obviously the stallion running the show. Excellent. So do you have any concerns about the loss of Brian Dable? No, no concerns whatsoever. I have no concerns over the loss of Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley, Brian Dable. Josh Allen has proven that he is.

You know, among the best of the best. He will run this offense. He'll run it quickly. He'll run it efficiently. And I think you want pieces of it. Sure. What does that say about a Brian Dable? Who you can look at the Giants with optimism because of his arrival. But then we don't think it's a negative impact. Like if you were adding Brian Dable to the bills. I think it's more of like, so Ken Dorsey who took over, he was the quarterback coach for several years. So to me, it's more just.

You have a feller here who was able to learn under Brian Dable. And I mean, unless there's something I haven't seen here about the Buffalo Bills trying to change what the offense was over the last couple of years, I think they'll just, like, there's definitely some variables of Dorsey, you know, new at this. But overall, it's, it's, it goes to Josh Allen. And your confidence in him as a quarterback as just a.

just such an imposing quarterback who can take over the game running or passing so that you just feel confident in what they're up to. Yeah, he was the number one quarterback last year in fantasy, which makes it two consecutive years for Josh Allen. And I believe last year's stat total was maybe the fourth highest fantasy output at quarterback in the Super Bowl era. So this was a prolific year in a year where people questioned whether he could do it again.

They lose Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley, they add James and Crowder, O.J. Howard, to the passing game. James Cook in the second round, a rookie running back. And so, you know, Josh Allen is that special type of fantasy quarterback that wins you, your matchup. He can go out there and put up 33 plus points like he did seven times last year. And, wow, this is stunning. Five weeks is the QB1, more than Herbert, Brady, Mahomes, Rogers, Stafford, and Dak.

Combined. He has to do that again, though, if you're going to take him in the second round. That's a lot of keesh there for a fantasy quarterback. Yeah. Will he? No. He won't have that many. Will he finish as the quarterback won? Yes. Well, he has, you know, that's how I've got him projected. Is he worth it? He's not worth a second round pick. I don't think so. Not when you have.

the Jalen Hertz, Kyler, Trey Lance mobile quarterbacks who aren't going to be that far away from Josh Allen later in drafts, and then you get a first round or a second round, a third round, running back, wide receiver, and build your depth around your team in other ways. I still think it's a mistake to take him very, very high, even though I assume he's going to finish as the number one quarterback. Last quarterback to do it three years in a row, Dante Colpepper.

Wow. So I would have thought Rod. Oh, Rogers kept doing the thing where he was one, then two. Yes. Then one than two. He checked the microphone. Devin Singletary was the running back two for the final four weeks of the season. Man. So this is where it's good because Josh Allen, not really confusing on what he's going to bring. What the crap is Devin Singletary going to be where they, the drafting of James Cook.

Clear indicator that they are officially moving away from Zach Moss. I don't blame you for blanking on that name. I mean, what a boring player. It didn't work out. But there's just the running backs. Thank you. The bill's running back saw 15% of the team's targets. That's fourth lowest in the NFL. Like that's not enough to give you a really high end running back one.

Singletary is being drafted anything like that. But him and James Cook are being drafted right next to each other because the fantasy community is like, ah, you've, you have fooled me with Devon Singletary before. And yet he was so dominant to the end of the season. Where are you guys at in the ADP of the eighth round for Devon Singletary is?

Can he continue that end of season at all? Yeah, I've actually been drafting both of these running backs, and I like Devin Singletary in the eighth round. That's where you get a drop off from some of those great wide receivers, and you're kind of in a middling tier of a lot of question marks at wide receivers. You're grabbing a guy who was really, really good down the stretch, and yes, they... Before that was bad.

Like before that, if you had been playing him, yes, he finished as the RB 11 in week two and 22. But before, it was bad. Before that, the constant thing for him, you know, was 40%, 44%, 26, 45%, 35%, 34% snaps. That's how it was to start the year. So yeah, he was at that fantasy relevant. At the end of the year, 82, 93, 68, 80, 76. They said, they said Zach Moss sit down. Yes, they just stop it. Well, they tried.

somebody else first. Right. They tried Matt Burrito. So they were, I mean, they were trying hard not to play Singletary. So it's hard to say that, you know, after three years that this is a lock.

but the cost is very minimal. Yeah, in the eighth round, the starting running back for the bills, I think is a valuable gamble. What you saw him do down the stretch, and it wasn't like, like, yeah, he beat up on Atlanta and New Jersey, but he also had great games against New England, Carolina, and Tampa Bay's run defenses, which were great. So in the eighth round, I'm fine drafting Devon Singletary because he's not.

You're running back one, you're running back two. You're taking a shot at a great offense. And really, the same could be said about Cook. When you're late and you're drafting a bench running back when you want a, okay, maybe they were scrambling and looking. I think both guys are just, it's a risky pick that is worth taking because they're both talented and on a great offense. It feels a little bit like the struggle we've had in Kansas City in recent years.

finding peripheral value where, okay, Clyde wasn't going to be just the guy, so then do you grab Darrell Williams, you know, Derek McKinnon get a draft selection, where you're trying to find that player that by nature of the offense gets a lot of opportunities. But the one troubling thing in Buffalo is that Josh Allen is going to soak up a lot of goal line. Yes. And they're not afraid to throw the ball to maybe the most reliable pass catcher in the game.

and Stefan Diggs around the goal line. So Diggs, very safe, being drafted in the top of the second round everywhere. Yeah, and I've taken him at the end of the first a couple of times. I think he should be in the conversation to me with the top three guys, the Cooper Cup, Jamar Chase, and Justin Jefferson trifecta. Diggs.

You know, there's a lot of lost targets to this offense. Manuel Sanders has gone. Cole Beasley is gone. And so obviously we've had so much offseason talk about Gabriel Davis. I love Gabriel Davis, depending on where he's being drafted, which is wildly different depending on what platform you're on. But I think Diggs is just, he's guaranteed to be great. He could have had more touchdowns than he had last year based on his, you know, in zone targets and is just...

You know, they just paid him a ton of money, too. So I love grabbing Diggs if he's in the second round. Gabe Davis, we call him the 35 reception man, because that's what he's done both of his first two years. He's going to need to do a lot more than 35, put up a lot more than 35 receptions to deliver this year on the promise, but it's that potential third year breakout. It's the explosiveness we saw in the very end of the season when he saw most of the snaps.

the playoff. What was it, a four touchdown game? And I mean, a lot of things have to bounce the right way of not just a player having a great game. You need other people to screw up and help you get to that point. But it was the same thing as Devon Singletary where the team favored Emmanuel Sanders, which at the beginning of the season, Emmanuel Sanders had some juice. He was helping that team out. And then as the season progressed, the snap started to go up and up for Gabe Davis.

And he looks like he is a full-time player, you know, bigger, like not huge, but 6-2, 2-10. I mean, that's a decent-sized wide receiver. And for me, the Gabe Davis situation is not even like arguing. Is Gabe Davis a great top-tier wide receiver? I don't care. Do the bills?

view him as their second wide receiver because Josh Allen is going to throw a whole bunch of touchdowns and yardage. So I think that Gabe Davis, as long as the ADP is not out of control, which in your homely, if you're listening right now and you've got a home league draft in August, he should be at the point where it is well worth the risk of his ADP. Just be careful. Don't get out of control and let the hopes and dreams of what Gabe Davis can become. Have you drafting him in like,

the fifth round when you have true known number one wide receiver still on the board. Yeah, and in Underdog, he is, I mean, you're getting him at the beginning of the fourth sometime. Yeah, that's, yeah, no thank you. His ADP is 43.5 right now. And it's, I mean, what it says to me that, you know, the, the, the, the, the, the sharp minds, the money there is, is in on Gabriel Davis. And I don't think he returns, like when you take that pick, he has to be great. You're basically drafted his ceiling. No.

But in your home leagues, your fantasy football leagues, he's going to be there in the sixth, seventh round, and I would scoop that up left and right. What about center? Not center. Well, we'd need three rounds for that. Oh, you know what I mean? It's like six round left, seventh round right, eighth round would be the center. Okay. It reminds me a little bit of the Marvin Jones. Marvin Jones was the big touchdown target in Cincinnati before he had an opportunity for more snaps. Again, two four touchdown games on that team.

Gabe Davis, like you said, if he's in the seventh, eighth round, then yes. It's going to be interesting. James and Crowder will be interesting under the same premise. I mean, if Cole Beasley was a relevant fantasy asset with a 19% target share and he's being replaced by a younger than you think he has Jameson Crowder. Wait. Do you want to guess? I do. Okay. Because I would have been sure like he's 28.

Oh, then you are under. Yeah, he's 29. So older than you expected. Oh, okay. So, okay, well, 29 is not a young, I was just really surprised. Yeah, but he's been around the block a lot. I mean, you would have been thinking, you know, 31, 32 year old receiver with the career he's had. Compared to Cole Beasley, who is 33, spring chicken.

There you go. I mean, that's a good example. Also, Dawson Knox is part of this offense and had a breakout year last year. I'm looking at Jameson Crowder's profile on the fancy footballers.com. I totally forgot. Remember when he was Jameson Target? What? That was his name? Yeah, that we had, there was the year because he was getting so many freaking targets. In Washington? No, I don't even remember that. What a bad nickname. Why would we do that? Jameson Target?

In the moment it was great, Jason. Yeah, it sounds so bad now. Well, because he's not getting targets. Yeah, fair enough. Or one, because it wasn't targets. It was just James's a target. It'll be interesting because Gabe Davis, like I said, 35 is the reception peak of his career. So if it doesn't come to fruition, if he ends up being a lower volume touchdown kind of wide receiver, which is very possible.

Jameson Cratter and Dawson Knox could be more involved than we saw last year sharing some of that Cole Beasley Target chair. Yeah, I mean, the reality here is it could have been summed up. Not even Jameson Targets? No, just Target. Jameson Targets sounds okay. Yeah. Jameson Target is like that's the, that is the new line coming out. Right. Like that target. This is the target at like in the city of Jameson. Have you guys been to the Jameson target?

Like, that's what it sounds like to me. But basically draft bills. Das and Knox is the tight-in nine right now. Okay. Are you comfortable there in the ninth round? I, yes. Would you take the shot? I'm willing to do that, yes. They do start the year on the road against the defending Super Bowl champion. So that'll be a fun game. All right, quick break back with the Patriots.