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Main show · March 12, 2019

The Overreaction Episode + AB News, Free Agency Updates

RSSMar 12, 2019 · transcript indexed
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The Overreaction Episode + AB News, Free Agency Updates

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Inside the episode

125 passages
13:57 ↗

was going to be the guy. And then it was like, okay, well, Adlatavius Murray, oh, wait, now we also drafted Delvin Cook. That happened a couple years ago, Jerich McKinn, the perfect comp for the Damien Williams situation. Looks like he's going to be the guy. Carlos Hyde could also theoretically take away some of the goal line work from Damien Williams. I'd still rather have the pass catching back in Kansas City. I was never think, I never thought Damien Williams was a one. I have them around probably RB 15 through 18. I still think that,

14:27 ↗

Damien Williams is, I think he's secured as a one now. I don't disagree that they'll draft a fantasy one? Yes. I think he will be a running back one now because I firmly believe it's his job. Carlos Hyde to me is about as good as maybe a little bit better than Spencer Ware at this point in his career. And we've seen the long-term history of Andy Reid. Andy Reid, yes, Carlos Hyde will touch the ball. He'll get on the field. I'm not saying that's

14:56 ↗

that he's, that Damien Williams is getting 90% of the touches. But Andy Reid prefers to use one guy predominantly. So you're talking that 65% range, which is fantastic in today's NFL for a running back timeshare. At on top of that, he'll be in either the first or second highest scoring offense in the NFL with Patrick Mahomes. I think Damian Williams is locked in as a running back. Wow. That's profound. Jason, where are you at? I agree with.

15:26 ↗

Parts of what both of you are saying, it's best realistic case for Damien Williams, right? Because best case would have been they don't bring anybody in, and that's impossible. They were going to bring people in. Bringing in a 29-year-old Carlos Hyde is great because he's good enough to keep them from putting a lot of capital. You know, if they went after a day two running back, I'd be surprised now. I wouldn't have been earlier. But he's not good enough to just supplant. And all of a sudden in camp, it's going to be like, oh, dude, it's.

15:56 ↗

Have you seen this Carlos Hyde guy? You know, so Damien Williams, I think, is the lead back, but I don't see him as a top 12. I'm with Andy that, you know, 15 to 17 that range. And Carlos Hyde becomes an important, an important late season handcuff type. At a minimum, I think there's a lot of risk to Damian Williams. I think if you're picking, let's say you did have them in that top 12 range, I don't see anybody riskier than Damian Williams in that group. I won't necessarily disagree with that.

16:26 ↗

But with that risk comes, I mean, great responsibility. Yes, comes great responsibility. But comes top five upside. The running back for Andy Reid is always incredibly valuable. Frank Gore has a job. No, he doesn't. One year, one year, two million dollar contract with the Buffalo Bills just announced. Yes. He is eternal. What? Yes, Frank. He is all. Wow.

16:55 ↗

He is Frank Gore. So their two running backs as of right now are a combined 65 years old between Shady McCoy and Frank Gore? How is that possible? Wow. Yes. One year deal for Frank Gore. Do you think this could open the door for them to release? Yeah, Shady. Shady has always been a release candidate for me.

17:19 ↗

I don't think this opens the door. It's already been open. Well, we've got Gore. We, yeah, I was going to say nobody. Got on lockdown here. Nobody says, hey, I got picked up Frank Gore. We're good to go. Hey, I'm just, look, another, another feather in the cap for Dynasty because he's on my dynasty team. I'm excited. Sure. He's not, he's got a job. He's not retired. Danny Emendola, one year, $4.5 million contract. Jesse James as well to the Lions, Danny Mandola. Best case scenario for him.

17:47 ↗

They need a slot receiver. There are slot receivers running all over the free agent market. Adam Humphreys, Jameson Crowder, who, by the way, just signed with the Jets. It's going to be interesting to see what Almondola can do. The name's escaping me, but who stepped in for a... Bruce Ellington. Bruce Ellington stepped in for a brief period of time. Targets galore. It was highly targeted in Detroit.

18:10 ↗

Deshawn Jackson, as of this moment of this recording, he has posted that he has done with the Bucks on Instagram. I believe he said, thanks for the time, Tampa. It didn't work out. That's what he said. It did not. Which we agree. It worked out when he had Fitzpatrick. Fair. Yeah, so now you're looking at a Tampa offense. And I want to get your reaction, Mike, because I think heading into the offseason, we're looking at this situation with Bruce Ariens and James Winston.

18:37 ↗

and the capability of that offense, the vertical passing game. But if you just remove Adam Humphreys, who did have a big role, and you remove Deshaun Jackson, and you start to look at it fresh, with fresh eyes, no draft yet, and you say, hey, it's Mike Evans, and it's Chris Godwin, and it's O.J. Howard, is some of the shine off of that situation at all to you? No, no. The offense as a whole? Correct. Losing both of those pieces.

19:03 ↗

I can understand that maybe as a whole, but you get so incredibly excited for the potential of Chris Godwin. Mike Evans is a stud. We haven't done our full rankings yet. We're still working through them. I can't imagine Mike Evans not being in the top 12. And Chris Godwin has massive upside. He already had his little mini breakout this past season. He's a fantastic route runner. Always getting open. He's got great hands.

19:33 ↗

And he has the perfect coach to utilize his skill set. He is a must trade for target. I've been trying to get him the last couple days with, you know, the idea that those two wide receivers could be gone. He hasn't broken. Yeah, Bryce just went up. Yeah, he hasn't broken out yet. But, I mean, go in whatever league you're in and try to get Godwin because he's going to be an every week starter. He's, you know, he's going to be that caliber of a player next year. You can get him now.

20:00 ↗

According to Mike Rodak, the oldest NFL running backs under contract for 2019, number one, Frank Gore, 35 years old, Buffalo. Number two, Chris Ivory, 30 years old, Buffalo, number three. Sean McCoy, 30 years old. I forgot Ivory was that old. They're almost 100. Hey, they got 100 years of experience, Jason. 100 year bill. Wow. That is almost 100 years of running back experience. And that is. If I've learned anything about today's NFL, you need.

20:29 ↗

30-year-old running backs. Yeah, that's what we've learned. That's the plan for success. CJ Uzama, three-year, $18 million contract to return to the Bengals. Alan Hearns, the Cowboys exercise as option. He's back next year. And then Jameson Crowder. How many times this offseason are we going to hear the new Jarvis Landry for Adam Gay's comparison?

20:56 ↗

when it comes to Jameson Crowder and what he's going to do in the slot in New York. I'd put the over under at two per day. Two per day. Two per day. A tuper? A tuper. As we call them. In the biz, that's what they call it. Tupor. Yeah, it's going to be a lot. But Jameson Crowder to the Jets means Quincy and Nuno almost, he's going to be moving outside. Or, I mean, one of those two will probably go outside. You could question whether they think.

21:24 ↗

Okay, Crowder can... Oh, Crowder won't go outside. Zero percent chance. So you think... Let me... Let me ask you this. ...played outside before, and he's fine. Andy, how does this make you feel good, bad neutral about having Robbie Anderson on your dynasty team? Good. You like it? I just want the office to be better. I want Adam Gay's equipped to... You know, Quincy and Noonwal is 6-2. He's a 225 wide receiver. He can play out there.

21:52 ↗

and they want to use them more. And look, anything that gives you the opportunity to single up, Robbie Anderson, we'll see if left Bell lands in New York. We'll see what other weapons they have. Do we have numbers on the potential Crowder contract yet? Not that I know of. It's definitely interesting since they just locked up Quincy. And if you're giving Jamison Crowder...

22:12 ↗

If they've already announced that he's coming to the team this early on in the process, you have to imagine it's a good contract. Yeah, I would think it is. I mean, look. What does that say for Anderson's long-term status with the New York Jets? Can you invest three high-level contracts at the wide receiver? No, you can't, but I don't feel like they have any high-level contracts. Robbie's there this year. Well, Quinn's, what's, oh, look, Quincy's there. There's a lot of money right now available.

22:40 ↗

A lot of teams have cab space. There aren't a lot of talented players out there and available. Quincy and Noonaw, they want to... I guess it was only a four-year-thirty-six for Quincy. Yeah, as I was going to say, they're not huge deals. And, you know, Crowder will come inside. He's 5-9-1-70. He'll play the slot. He can play it well if he stays healthy. The honest truth is you've got injury concerns. Anunwa and Crowder both have been banged up. It looks like the Jets are giving Crowder a three-year...

23:07 ↗

28 and a half million deal. That's a pretty good deal. But I think you're going to see that throughout. I think in three days, we may not feel like it's that special is all I'm saying. I'm just talking. In context with having to resign Robbie and all the smoke screen of Will Levy and Bell come and eat 50% of their cap. Numb, numb, numb. Yeah. That's how I would eat it too. Here's the deal. By the way, switch your league to, switch your dynasty league to sleeper. Yeah.

23:38 ↗

Download the Sleeper app. It's free. Check it out. You get all the news reports. And before we move into overreactions, the main part of the show, I do want to remind you about Hulu. Okay, here's the thing. Let's say you go to a court side game. There's pros and cons, right? You go to a court side game. I did this years ago, paid up for some tickets to see a playoff game. The pro is the best way to watch a game. We did this earlier in the preseason. We saw a court side game. The bad thing, you don't ever want to watch sports any other way.

24:07 ↗

Especially basketball. It's too good. It's too nice. That's what Hulu's all about. Once you try it, you can't go back. They ruin TV for you. That is the gist of what Hulu is. And once you get it, it's ruined forever. And forever is about how long it'll take for the Knicks to win another title. What? Just slamming the Knicks right in the middle? Tons of shows, movies, original live TV,

24:38 ↗

Start your free trial today. It's simple. Hulu.com. H-U-L-U dot com. That's all right. I'm not going to do what you all think I'm going to do, which is just flip out. How you doing, Jeff? You flipping out over there, Jay? What's going on? You had a look on your face. I'm doing great. I mean, I just connected the dots between that great drop and our show intro. Yeah. You talk about Tommy C, my buddy? Yeah. Tommy C.

25:15 ↗

All right, overreaction time, guys. Let's go ahead and start with the two players that we talked about at the beginning of the show. Antonio Brown, Oakland Raider, Juju Smith-Suster. When I posted real quick, 10 minutes before the show, I just threw through the Who's Your Biggest Overreaction Candidates onto Twitter? Let the Foot Clan reply. Juju's name came up, okay? Because you're getting a lot of it. And Juju's not doing anything to stop your hype.

25:44 ↗

Because he's out there. He's, because he's the best, man. He's out there tweeting about, hey, I'm going to give you big numbers. I'm ready. Let's go. And here's... Juju is a player for this generation. He is. He is. He's a hashtag player. He's a hashtag player. Here's the thing. Juju is... Juju had kind of a year last year, if he didn't know. 111-11 receptions. 1,426 yards.

26:10 ↗

Maybe you don't realize that about Juju's season seven touchdowns. Was the number nine fantasy wide receiver. I don't think Juju's going to. The overreaction concerns that I have would be ones that put Juju Smith-Schuster in the top five of all fantasy players. And I've seen this. And a lot of people think he's a top five wide receiver for next season. I disagree. I think that is an overreaction. I think that is in an attempt to imbue.

26:35 ↗

The absence of the Antonio Brown targets and Juju Smith-Schuster will be able to run wild and do anything he wanted to do. My problem with that contention is that it is very, very hard, no matter how good you are, no matter how much of a star you are, Jason, is that to repeat 1,400 plus yards receiving doesn't happen if your name's not Julio Jones over the last handful of years. Nobody's done it.

27:03 ↗

other than Julio Jones over the last five years. Everybody else that's had these banner years, T.Y. Hilton, even Antonio Brown, the repeat of those seasons is very difficult. You also played a season in which Juju was in the slot, never faced double coverage. 0.8% of the routes he ran were double coverage. Antonio Brown faced that 9% of the time, and you don't have any proven commodity in James Washington right now. You don't.

27:33 ↗

You look at the Pittsburgh Steelers offense in that team. They are a worse football team today than they were before they traded in Antonio Brown. You've got issues with age and Big Ben and other things that have come to a head. You're losing Lev Bell and Antonio Brown. And now it's can juju throw up 115 and 1,5-10? Yeah, he can. But I'm not projecting that.

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