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Main show · November 5, 2020

Starts of the Week + Week 9 Breakdown, Boom Boom! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/5

RSSNov 5, 2020 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 9 Breakdown, Boom Boom! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/5

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Inside the episode

148 passages
27:40 ↗

The tea leaves are trending for sure this time in the direction of Zach Moss. He gets the high fantasy value carries near the goal line. Two touchdowns last week. Singletary did have a fine week. Same amount of carries. Same amount of carries. I still employ a I don't play Devon Singletary. I still haven't been convinced that I actually want him in my fantasy lineup. For example. Singletary or Philip Lindsay?

28:07 ↗

Ooh, that's a good one. I was going to say, I definitely hang out. I mean, those guys are best friends. I'm going to say, I will play Todd Gurley over Devin Singletary. I would play Todd Gurley over Zach Moss as well, personally. I would play them over either. That one's pretty close. And to answer Andy's question, because I loved it, I would play Philip Lindsay over Devin Singletary. While Devin Singletary is, I think, great. He can make, he never gets tackled on the first.

28:31 ↗

guy, but he doesn't have breakaway speed, whereas Philip Lindsay has that. And that's what you're going to need if either one of these guys, you need an outside the 20-yard line touchdown, and Philip Lindsay can do that. Devin Singletary can't. We have seen Zach Moss with the Dolly Parton. He has out-touch single-carry nine to five inside the 10-yard line we're playing in three fewer games. That actually surprises me in the favor of Singletary, the fact that that's the case.

29:00 ↗

But I guess Singletary missed. He had those opportunities probably when Moss was out. Yeah, that's what we're saying is he's out-touched him despite playing three fewer games. Chris Carson won't practice until tomorrow. If he's in, you need to start him in this one. Buffalo struggled tremendously against running backs. Now, Carlos Hyde is already out. So we do know he's gone. But Travis Homer, 100% in?

29:23 ↗

DJ Dallas last week had 23 touches on 79% of snaps. I don't think it stays that way even if Carson misses. You think Travis Homer will be more involved? I think he'll be more involved because Homer was dealing with injury and they were really quick this week to come out and say Homer's fine. Okay. That doesn't mean Dallas isn't the better play of the two. I just would be you're really risking things starting DJ Dallas in this game because Dallas was super inefficient.

29:51 ↗

And you need the touchdown. If you don't get the touchdown, if it goes to Homer, you're getting nothing out of DJ Dallas. I mean, I guess this is obviously dependent upon whether or not Chris Carson starts. If Chris Carson starts, you start him and nobody else. But if Carson is out, I think I would re-roll DJ Dallas just because the matchup is good and the points are going to be scored. They're, you know, a road favorite team and a 55.5 point over under.

30:19 ↗

Obviously, if it switches to Homer, then you're right. But what we saw last week was DJ Dallas was the next man up? Yeah, yeah. So I guess you have to make a judgment call there. Not a fun situation in that backfield right now. Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalfe, you always play them. Stefan Diggs, yep. He's leading the NFL in targets right now, averaging 87 yards per game. He will get his in this game.

30:48 ↗

And he will probably get a lot more than his. He'll get like a bonus gift from the Seattle secondary giving up 43 fantasy points a game to opposing wide receiver. 43 fantasy points a game. Here's the thing. Those points have to go to not just Stefan Diggs. You can play Cole Beasley. I think you could play John Brown. We're going to talk about him in a little bit. He is a really perfect archetype for this matchup against what beats Seattle. He did not practice. He didn't practice.

31:17 ↗

That was Wednesday. Well, that remains to be seen if John Brown's going to miss time. But I wanted to highlight Cole Beasley. Seattle has been getting crushed by slot-wide receivers, Julian Edelman, Russell Gage, C.D. Lamb, even old man Larry Fitzgerald put up a pretty solid stat line, 8 for 62. Before last week's debacle of a two-target game for Cole Beasley, he was averaging seven targets a game. I would throw the last week out, too, with the weather situation. Yeah, exactly. So is Cole Beasley?

31:47 ↗

Okay. It seems like a smart play, especially with John Brown. He's still easing himself back into this offense. Brown might represent more of a distraction that affords things for Diggs and Beasley. The offense is better with him in there. That being said, Cole Beasley or McCole Hardman after last week. Ooh, man.

32:09 ↗

The Hardman thing is so hard to navigate because we've never seen anything like that, that type of involvement. And I'll call it an easy man. It's hard. That question is hard. That was a good one. But we've never seen that, even though it should have happened weeks ago when Sammy Watkins left, they went to DeMarcus Robinson. I think my faith in the targets for Cole Beasley is higher. So let's say.

32:38 ↗

If you're in a half for a full point PPR, I would go Cole Beasley. If it's standard, sure, I'll take the shot for Hardman. Chicago Bears 5 and 3 taking on the Tennessee Titans at 5 and 2. Titans are six point favorites in this one. It's a 46.5 point over under. I can't believe I'm going to do this. Oh, yeah. Oh, you should. Andy's almost upset of the wig. Yeah.

33:11 ↗

The bears just stay in games. Do you want to throw the cards? You want me to do it? I'm asking if you want to do it. It's really fun. Okay. Yeah, I'd like, I'd like a shot. Celebration of Madaggy. Now, I got to get the sound right. Ready? Yep. Ah! It was pretty good. It's pretty good. Go to YouTube. Check it out. It's fun. Yeah, I mean, he does have a magic touch this here. Even in games they lose, they stay in them. I can't believe the Titans have a six point.

33:38 ↗

line in this one the way the Titans played last week. They were super disappointing in the passing game. Yeah, they're in every game, and it's always surprising, but they're in every game because of their defense. It's surprising because of their offense. This is pretty simple to figure out. Their defense has just been outstanding. And I wondered if it would take a step back this year. It did not. There is a crazy step. They have not given up a quarterback one performance. The Chicago Bears haven't. To anyone outside of Patrick Mahomes.

34:07 ↗

That's forgivable. Week 11 of the 2018 season. What? Not all year this year. No. Not all year last year. I mean, that says this is, you know, Ryan Tanahill's bench Ryan Tanahill. I agree. Yeah. And Tanya Hills had a couple of weeks in around, mind you, again, forgivable. It's Pittsburgh. But then Cincinnati last week, disappointing outside the top 12 for Ryan Tannahill in a game you expected him to be there. And, um,

34:33 ↗

You just got to sit him down in this one. The bear's defense is too good. And the recipe is going to be, you know, Derek Henry. And they're going to give him the opportunities. You never sit Derek Henry. He'll be in your lineup. And you're still playing AJ Brown. If he's a, AJ Brown's great. But Corey Davis, who has emerged, he's averaging nearly 14 fantasy points a game. Are you willing to roll him out in this matchup? So I, Corey Davis or Cole Beasley. I would play Corey Davis over.

35:03 ↗

Cole Beasley. Both of those guys are players I would hope I can pivot off of and go to someone with a little bit. You know, Cole Beasley has a high floor, but I don't know that he's got the ceiling. Corey Davis has a lot of risk here in this matchup. I want Cory Davis on my roster, but I don't view him as a must start every week. He's a great matchup play. This is a bad matchup. So I would prefer to bench him. What about Johnny Smith? Are you moving forward with somebody else? I mean, this week.

35:32 ↗

You know, are you, it's the opposite of staying in the flames with Johnny Smith right now. He's had some rough games in a row. I, Ross Dwelly, if Jordan Reed's out or Johnny Smith. Oh my gosh. I mean, here's what's brutal is the Chicago Bears have been beat by tight ends. I mean, Jared, Jared Kuk.

35:53 ↗

last week. The Rams put up. Jared Kuk. The fifth most points at the tight end position two weeks ago. Tampa Bay, the Colts, Detroit week one. I mean, they have been susceptible to the tight end position, but Jono Smith has been just removed from this offense, man. Weeks one through five, he's averaged 15 fantasy points per game. Week six through eight, it's two fantasy points game. The targets have just disappeared. All that being said, I don't think they're going to.

36:24 ↗

They're going to be able to throw outside as much as they want to. I will play Johnny Smith over Ross Dewelly. I will too. Johnny Smith is a more talented player than Ross Dewelly. Ross Dewelly is just an opportunity play. He might get enough targets to where he's... What about Hayden Hearst? I'd play Hurst. I would play Hurst. Okay. A little safer? Yeah. It's a little scary. All right. Alan Robinson, put him in your lineup every week. David Montgomery, put him in your lineup every week. I mean, the opportunities...

36:54 ↗

are through the roof. I don't have the exact stat in front of me. He has something like third, fourth, or fifth, and like total routes run. Yeah, the injury to Tariq Cohen was a very big deal for Montgomery. I mean, we are going now on five consecutive weeks with five or more targets for Montgomery. That is delicious. That's a 92 target pace. And if you watched the game last week, like, I had some people when we were kind of given Montgomery a hard time.

37:22 ↗

come out and say, look, this line, this line is so bad. He has no opportunity to do anything. Last week he had a 38-yard run. He had 21 rushing attempts. And Tennessee's defense has been super disappointing. So you play Montgomery. Mike mentioned the, you know. You could take the shot on Darnel Mooney. Yeah, Deep League shop opportunity.

37:46 ↗

And Jimmy Grandpa, are we just kind of dunzo there? I don't think so. I mean, Jimmy Grandpa is going to stink most weeks. But what he is is going to be the rest of season. You're just hoping that near the goal line, he gets target. He's still getting targets near the goal line, even in the games where he doesn't come down with it.

38:06 ↗

He's a crapshoot at Tident. I don't want to start him. He is in that list of names where if you've got to take a gamble, if you had Kittle and you lost him, you've got to pick someone off of waivers, I would play him over-dwelling. He was, in last week, I mean, I really liked Jimmy Graham going against the Saints. He had seven targets. He only turned that into two for 13. But if you watch the game, there was a, Jimmy Graham took a shot.

38:35 ↗

And you could see that he was physically uncomfortable. He got hurt. And he did miss Wednesday's practice with, and he's now questionable with a knee injury. So that's something to monitor because the knee injury really hampered him last week. Yeah, that is something to monitor. Yeah, he needs those at 100% to run at 60%. Yeah. Baltimore, 5 and 2, taking on the Indianapolis Colts at 5 and 2. Another great matchup this week. The Ravens are 2 and a half point.

39:03 ↗

Road favorites. It's a 47 point over under. In my opinion, that line shows a great deal of respect for what the Colts have been able to do this year. In the past couple of weeks, they've been pretty good for Phillip Rivers. And this defense, we know, formidable. Sixth against quarterbacks, eighth against, or seventh against running backs, second against tight ends. This is not a situation where, you know, it's a 47 point over under. I'd be taking the under in this game.

39:29 ↗

It hasn't been smooth sailing for Lamar Jackson behind center, you know, throwing the football. And, you know, one of the question marks in this game is the Ravens, Marlon Humphrey got added to the COVID list. There are close contacts. There's a chance that they could be losing some of their defensive starters here. Yeah, they had seven defensive players added to the list, six important players, real.

39:57 ↗

Patrick Queen was one of them, right? That's right. Judon was one of them. I mean, really great players on defense. Now, they are. They're the close contact. They're the close contact that the timeline says if all their tests come back negative, they should be there. They won't be practicing this week, but they should be there. But at least pay attention because obviously we don't want to play against the Baltimore Ravens. I talked about on the waiver show. I'm who, which running back from the Colts am I going to start? None of them.

40:22 ↗

Obviously, if they're missing like half their defense, that changes a little bit. But I don't expect them to be missing half their defense. And really, when I look at the options that you want to start in a game that has two great defenses like this, it's hard to find names. I mean, J.K. Dobbins, yeah, I'll start them. Well, even if you pretend the Colts are facing a nice, soft, luxurious run defense, even if you pretend, how do you...

40:49 ↗

Is it Taylor ahead of Wilkins after what happened last week? Is it, you know, what do you do there? Yeah, I feel like it's got to be Wilkins ahead of Taylor right now because of the current nicked up injury that Taylor has and what Wilkins did last week. Taylor's best fantasy finish on the year was RB9, which I think was two weeks ago. Last week, Jordan Wilkins was the RB6 and Heinz with the RB7. So whenever you have three to choose from against Baltimore, it makes it difficult.

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