Fantasy Football 2017 - Commish Tips + NFC West Breakdown

But in the beginning of that year, it's fact. He cost three games. He costs three games. Yeah. Add three victories. Carson Palmer. I heard a very interesting stat yesterday on Carson Palmer. Over the second half of the year, when he played much, much better, he had like the majority of his throws, 70-something percent of his throws, came in under two seconds from the snap. And that number was. That's a terrified man.

Well, no, it was a game plan, is what I'm saying. It wasn't terrified. It was a game plan change in the Cardinals' offense. First half of the year, it was four seconds. So that wasn't just fear of being sacked. That was a short-passing game was more involved. The utility of David Johnson, the ability. Look, they made adjustments. Carson Palmer, I've said it. He ended the year with a bunch of top 12 weeks. Is this team primed for a bounceback with Palmer, David Johnson,

Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown. What do you think about the potential fantasy-wise for the Arizona Cardinals really didn't lose any offensive pieces? You know, Michael Floyd's out the door, but he didn't do anything. I mean, the grimace Mike just made shows the impact Michael Floyd made. Two years ago. So let's talk, you know, ninth in the league in passing yards last year. Where do you see, MJ? Yeah, this team will be very reliant on John Brown because.

Carson Palmer to step four. David Johnson is going to be fine. He's safe. But as a whole, if you want the offense to rebound to where it was a couple years ago, you need that burner fast receiver option in a Bruce Ariens system. And J.J. Nelson is not going to get it done. He, I mean. As full time. Yes. He'll have his games. If you're in a best ball, grab him. I don't think he can get it done.

But the Cardinals do some really good stuff. I've been researching for Geron Brown, who, you know, if you want a super deep, you know, a super deep flyer pick, I think Geron Brown is a guy that is very valuable. He looked good before he tore his ACL. Right after he tore his ACL last year, they gave him a one-year contract after. They said, hey, I want to make sure he sticks around. And there's this, you know how.

Baltimore is having just, you know, death left and right. And the chargers for years as well have been looking. You're referring to injuries, right? I'm just saying that the guys drop in like flying. It's death left and right. It's not going well in Baltimore right now. As a fan, but the Cardinals have implemented this. The Cardinals have implemented this load system where, I mean, they are using technology to.

track every single thing done. And once a player reaches whatever their load is, so like Geron Brown right now is at a 300 load, when he reaches that based on how much he's doing in practice, they shut him down and they say you're not allowed to do anything else. And they've done this. It's helping him. That's what they did to help Carson Palmer last year, is they shut him down when you reach a certain load in practice. And that's why he got better the second half of the year. They're doing that. They didn't.

have that same kind of system to shut him down in the first half of the year. I believe that will help Carson Palmer quite a bit. And if Geron. That's interesting stuff. If Geron Brown can actually, or I'm sorry, John Brown, if he can get healthy with his lives, I do think there will be a bounce back for the offensive, you know, totality for the Cardinals. I think a lot of people want to know, is it Chad Williams, is it Geron Brown in that wide receiver three, DFS flyer, deep league role?

You know, right now I would probably tell you as Jerome Brown. Yeah, I would agree. Chad Williams, some reports of him being out of shape, not doing what he needed to do. I feel like for the Cardinals, John Brown is this last puzzle piece. So, but I'm talking like the kind of puzzle where when you put it in, there's just this, it all just lights up and glows because he'll get, or he helps Larry Fitzgerald be better. He helps Carson Palmer.

David Johnson, there's so much reliant on John Brown, and they have no other player of that caliber. So if John Brown is still, if he still struggles with his sickle cell trait, then I think that's big problems. I completely agree. And let's be honest, I think he is struggling with it.

And if I had to... That's not good. No, it's not. So I said all those rosy things that could come true for the Cardinals, but if I had to put my expectation as to whether or not John Brown will succeed, not if he can. And if he does, I think he will go full hand. But I don't think he's going to, I don't think he's going to be able to be healthy this season. That's a really...

stupid into that story. Sorry. Sorry. Wow. I mean, that was as sad as he's had two different. He's had two different leg injuries this off season. You don't think Williams. You don't think Brown can step in and make enough of an impact to give you that boost you're talking about. That's right. I do. All right. David Johnson, we know his story. Pretty good. You draft him at the top. Larry Fitzgerald, do we expect the same from him? This is a guy who led the league in receptions last year. Number one.

I don't expect him to be number one, but he'll be a tremendous PPR guy, has the weekly upside where he can drop two touchdowns. But he's similar to Doug Baldwin that we were talking about, where the end of the season numbers are going to look better than the actual week to week. Look for a hot start, in my opinion, for the Arizona Cardinals on offense. They play Detroit, Indy, Dallas, San Francisco the first four weeks. That's a good.

You know, Philly after that, Tampa after that. I'm not, you don't see that kind of gauntlet of defensive teams. We'll see what happens. That makes Carson Palmer. Very interesting late-round streamer. Very, very interesting of, because he's not likely a, you're not likely to stream. If you grab Palmer, because you're going to grab a new quarterback off the Waverwire who has a good matchup, you go, oh, well, that, guess what? That's Carson Palmer again and again and again. All right. Let's talk about the Los Angeles Rams because.

They're in this division, and we're talking about all the teams in this division. Before we do that, I want to remind people, if you want all of this consistency data, the week-to-week consistency, career charts, consistency percentages like I've been breaking down where, you know, I was telling you Russell Wilson, was the top 12 QB 43% of the time. Those are all new features in this year's Ultimate Draft Kit at Ultimate DraftKit.com. This is the time to get in there, dominate your draft, put yourself in the position to...

You know, we say set the foundation of your team. Jason says you don't win your league at the draft, but you sure is heck set the foundation for what you're doing the rest of the year. You can lose it at the draft. No doubt. Yeah, you make the wrong move at the draft. But the right move, that can set you up for the season. Even things like what we're talking about there with Carson Palmer, maybe being an early season streaming candidate. You can dive in there, 100 plus player profiles. Video profiles. Video profiles. Matt Harmon's reception is in there brand new this year.

A lot of good feedback on the UDK, so always happy to answer your questions in regards to that, and you can check it out at Ultimate DraftKit.com. Let's talk about the Rams 4 and 12 last year. For better or for worse, they have to put this franchise in the hands of Jared Gough at this point. John McVeigh comes in and replaces Jeff Fisher, you know.

I think everybody looks at that, hey, it couldn't have gotten much worse on the offensive side of the ball than Jeff Fisher had produced for that roster. Todd Gurley, very disappointing year. Out the door. Key subtractions. No more Kenny Britt, no more Lance Kendrick's. Ryan Quick's gone. Benny Cunningham's gone. They bring in Robert Woods. They bring in Andrew Whitworth, big left tackle signing, graded out as the second best left tackle in the league last year. He's a beast. He is a beast.

So that seems to bode well for both protecting golf and Todd Gurley, who struggled last year to break off the big play. In his rookie season, I believe he had eight plays of 25 or more yards. Last year, despite finishing the year, still as a top 18 running back, zero, zero runs of 25 plus yards. That killed you as a fantasy owner because you did not have those ceiling type of games. Because we have so many new listeners to the show, joining in right now.

I want to reiterate double down here. I am very, very optimistic about Todd Gurley this year. I think he offers fantasy owners a top five potential player at a good value. I know you guys are not on board with that and that's fine, but I did want to let people know I'm very excited about the Sean McVe offense about Todd Gurley being involved in the passing game for 40 plus receptions. Do you guys want to talk about the running game? You have to talk about Todd Gurley. Well, do it.

Do it then. And I'm not nearly as optimistic as Andy. I don't think that he's bad by any stretch. It could be a situation of last year. Just the team was was so bad that he's trying too hard. And he's not letting the game come to him. Could also be the fact that Jeff Fisher was trying to play 1979 football. Just the just.

failing over and over at it without bothering to switch things up with the play calling. But the Rams are going to still be a bad team. I mean, Jared Gough, I don't think is ready to start carrying this team yet. And it's so a low-scoring team. The offensive line has gotten better. So that's a checkmark for Todd Gurley. But it all comes down to the draft cost of Todd Gurley, which you're not being the top.

three pick for him this year, but you're still going to have to draft him in the first three rounds or so. And I think that the range of outcomes for Todd Gurley is just that running back two area. I love Todd Gurley. I noticed that you have him apparently higher than me in the rankings.

Yeah, and I don't know anybody could do that. I want that. What is happening right now? Listen, I want that to not get misconstrued. Can you cut that clip of I love Todd Gurley out, Brooks? I want it on my board right now. And if I could slow clap. I want it not. No, you're not going to like everything else I have to say. Todd Gurley or Lamar Miller. I just want to check something. Right now, right now it's Todd Gurley. That just changed in my rankings. I actually did put Todd Gurley over Lamar Miller. But hear me out. You do not.

You do not move Todd Gurley up to an elite running back. You do not take him at the top of the second round. You do not take him over DeMarco Murray and known assets. I do not expect Todd Gurley to have a top five season. Now, is that in his range of outcomes? Yes, I think it is in the range of outcomes. I put that at a low probability. But here's what I love about Todd Gurley. He is mid to late second.

round. He is near the Isaiah Crow Wells. His value at that point in the draft is a floor that is what you saw last year, which is, you know, the, the RB 15, the RB 16, 17, 70. I mean, volume, opportunity. I mean, I'm just saying for where he's going. Have you just described Carlos Hyde? Maybe. Yeah, if you like Carlos Hyde on that, on that team, we haven't talked about them. Yeah, we haven't got there. They finished worse than.

The Rams. And Carlos Hyde was finished higher in the fantasy rankings in 13 games. That is true. Then Todd Gurley. I mean, look, I'm not saying Todd Gurley is a great back. I'm not. But his volume is locked and loaded. Barring injury, there's no way, just like I had said, you know, a couple weeks ago on Lamar Miller, there's no way he doesn't get 250 carries.

and 30 plus receptions. I mean, I just can't fathom that not happening. And so if he sucks, which I think there's a good probability, he will suck. He is going to be okay as your RB2. I mean, nobody should be unhappy with that kind of production as your second running back. You can get a real, you can get shady in the first and Todd Gurley in the second.

That's what I'm saying. How bad was last year, Mike, for Todd Gordon? Bad. 13 of 16 weeks in the top 30. And yeah. Okay, top 30 for a guy who was taken. Right, that was the problem. He was the top three picks. He was nine of those weeks. So I said 13. Nine of them, he was top 24. He was still an RB one or two in those weeks. So if it's as bad as it gets and that's the worst you get, I think that's the point Jason's making. Jason went full Schrodinger's cat.

I don't know what you're talking about. The cat is both dead and alive at the exact same time. Yeah, sure. You can say I'm playing both sides of it. You did. You just said, I think I laid it out. He could be great. He could be terrible. He's Todd Gurley. For, do not, do not move his ADP up. Do not take me saying he does, he deserves to have, to be higher than he is. What I'm saying is where he's at right now. I don't know where you stay. Where he's at right now.