Starts of the Week + Week 3 Breakdown, Right Angle Analysis

Their defense is fantastic and the offense is good enough now. Well, I certainly love Josh Allen this week. He's got a great opportunity against the Bengals defense that is 23rd in the league against fantasy quarterbacks, 32nd in the league against fantasy running backs. And yes, I'm quoting both for Josh Allen because he likes to run the football. You must start Josh Allen in this game. Agreed. He's a great option. Andy Dalton on the road here, not a stream worthy candidate.

They can't run the football right now. We mentioned Joe Mixon is at what, 1.59 yards per carry on the year so far. Still got a bum ankle. Seems difficult that this is going to change on the road against Buffalo. I do think it could change on the road against Buffalo. Not that it's going to be a great game, but we have to remember. I think people who have personally had Joe Mixen, they've been going through that experience, it's been a rough one. He's been terrible. There's been support groups. Yes.

But, you know, it's one of those things where there's been, this is a new offense, a new offensive system being installed. So many of his good runs have been called back on penalty. He's been injured. Now another week to get healthy. He is still a great back. And I think he's a startable asset. And a lot of people won't touch him right now. I have confidence to say, look, this isn't his best matchup. He's not going to be a top 10 back this week. But if I had him, I would be starting him.

You are the highest on mixing this week. You've got them at 19 on your ranking. So like you said, not an RB1, but a player you're fine starting. On the other side, Frank Gore. This is happening. Oh, yeah. It's happening. This is all on the health of Devin Singletary. To me, the hamstring, if you missed what had happened. Devin Singletary had a run to the outside. He pulled up lame with the...

and had to do the one-legged scoot out of bounds because the hamstring is a problem. We don't have an official word yet that Devin Singletary is going to miss. It just appears to be trending that way. And Frank Gore got a bunch of work. I mean, efficiency be darned. It doesn't matter because I'm picking the bills to win this game, and I think that Frank Gore is going to see a lot of work.

Yeah, it's a shame that Singletary got banged up. We were starting to see him emerge as a big play type of guy. He actually leads the NFL with five 15 plus yard runs on only 10 attempts. So he was showing the fantasy football community what he had. And now, unfortunately, you're going to have to wait a little while, most likely. You're not going to see those runs from Gore.

No, he has zero of them on 30 attempts. Not shocking. Yeah. Does he just go down at about the 14-yard mark, if necessary? If necessary, he will, there's a certain style of running you have to do to be infinite, to be all. I'm picturing the mental picture of like a robot running out of battery, like at the 14th. See, I picture him more of like, he is actually a superhero in real life, but he has to do the thing where he,

You got to pull the punches or you'll be exposed. He should pull just a few. Few fewer. Yeah, a few fewer. Yeah. John Brown, would you start him? Yes. All right. He's got a 27% target share right now and a 144 target pace. That's incredible. So we'll see. He's, you know, he started hot last year. We saw that. And then, you know, didn't, but there was a quarterback changeover. So Tyler Boyd. Yep. John Ross. I am playing him.

In three wide receiver leagues or as a flex, unless I have a fantastic option. But this is the big test for John Ross. I know he scored most of his points last week on the garbage time touchdown. So we'll see does he get the targets that he received in week one? But he's got a really, really tough matchup. Here he should see a lot of Tredavius White. So this is a big test for John Ross to see if he.

is actually living up to that first round draft. I would prefer to not start John Ross this week. I get it. The stat line last week, you just brought it up. It was very inflated by a super late garbage time score. This is one of those things where John Ross is not going to just be great every week of the season. There's going to be plenty of bad weeks. Is this Buffalo's home opener? I believe it is Buffalo's home opener. I wanted to.

vet that but they started i think jets uh on the road and yes it is yes it's their home opener yeah it'll be an interesting game i mean we if they win this game and if the patriots somehow knock off the jets you'll have a three and oh three you know head to head match up next week

with a line that's over 15 points. You think that the Patriots line over the bills will be 15? It'll be over. That will not happen. I'm going to say right now, I think their line will be 12. Is the game in New England? Remind me of where the game is. The game is in Buffalo. There's 0% chances at 12. 10. So you're lowering it? Well, yeah. Hold on it'll be double digits. I will predict if both teams are 3 and 0.

If they're both 3 and 0, I think the line will be seven points. I lean closer to 7, yes. I mean, a road seven point favorite. That's against an undefeated team. Against an undefeated team. That's pretty bold. All right. Let's get to this one. The Jets at 0 and 2. Take on the Patriots. Now, the incredible, we talked about the implied point totals. The Patriots are 2 and 0.

The game has a 43.5 point over under. You're like, oh, that's kind of low. Well, the implied point total, because the line is 23 have the Patriots scoring 33 points and the Jets scoring 11. I don't know how they score 11 points. That was my thing with Miami the week prior. Is it Love Bell? Lev Bell can get you to 11. I don't think it's possible. Love Bell gets you 11 fantasy points. I mean, they're going to have to get so lucky to score 11 points. Let's simplify this. Lev Bell, the only player you can play on the entire Jets team? Agreed. And you should play him.

Yeah, I think so. I mean, the carry count, the touches, the help he is to a young quarterback around the line of scrimmage, he will catch probably 10 passes again. Yeah. Yeah, and the fantastic thing about Levi-on-Bell, like in PPR, he's so valuable right now. Levy on Bell, through the season, has negative air yards. Right. Negative 21 air yards is a dominant PPR running back right now.

If I want to go for the NFL record and completion percentage, I would line Lev Bell up about six, seven yards behind the line of scrimmage, snap it and throw it soon. On the other side, you have Sony Michelle, James White, Rex Burkhead. Michelle, we have as our consensus RB16 on the week. I think Jason dug this up. Somebody did. What is this? Zero force mistackles on the year for Sony and Michelle. Yep, according to pro football focus, he has not forced a mistackle yet. I don't care.

I don't care either. In this matchup, when you're expected to score 33 points at home in a game that you're expected to win by 23 points, you're going to get goal line opportunities. Were you happy with Tony Michelle last week? Yeah. Yeah, I mean. He was one micro millimeter. That's a new. I'm going to double up. It's way smaller than a regular millimeter. If it doesn't say micro millimeter, it's not the real thing. He had a second touchdown that they actually.

the Patriots flagged to try to review and get it, and it was overturned. But he basically had a second opportunity to get in the end zone. Two touchdowns is well within the realm of possibilities here in this game. Yeah. And so the other question, you know, Antonio Brown's supposed to be out there. We didn't see a lot from Edelman and Gordon with Antonio Brown out there. And I think he'll get fed. He's definitely the one wide receiver I had the most confidence in in this game, you know, with all three of them out there. Yeah, I would play Brown. I just...

With what they showed last week where Antonio Brown was still limited in his snaps, but Tom Brady force fed him the ball. Antonio Brown is always open. So yes, I'm playing Brown. Scared of Edelman? Scared of Gordon? No, I will still play Edelman. I am scared to start Josh Gordon, though. Me too. I am less scared than you, too, gentlemen. He was still on the field a lot.

It only takes one play. I mean, it's one of those. I think Josh Gordon is going to have those weeks where you're disappointed in those weeks where they're monstrous and he helps you a lot. You're not going to just be able to tell because it's a good defense or a bad defense. And so, like for instance, we talked about John Ross. I would much rather play Gordon over John Ross. Wow. I think that's a very bold statement there. The argument for Josh, like why I'm.

lower on Josh Gordon when you're saying, yeah, he's out there running around. We see that all the time from Patriots wide receivers. We saw it from Chris Hogan a couple of years ago when you just kept sticking with him because he's out there and he's running more routes than anyone. He's always out there. The last couple of years has always been out there. I think, Mike, I think you should make a John Ross versus Josh Gordon waterbed since Jason just set it out there. I'd be all over that. What do you think, Mike?

I think my rankings do slightly favor Josh scoring, but I'm willing to take the, I'll take the bet. Why not? Waterbed. It's rare I can set a water bet between you two on. No, it's a good one. It's fair. All right, the lions at 1. Oh, and 1. Take on the Eagles. The Eagles in Philadelphia are six and a half point favorites. Now, Mike, I know we've got like a little pickum game we do around the office. I know you said you're taking the lions in this game. I certainly.

I don't think I'm taking the lines, but I don't like the line. Six and a half seems like a lot for an Eagles team that is pretty banged up, have had very uneven performances on both sides of the ball. You know, they've had moments where I said, wow, this is the team we expected to see. Carson wins looks great. And then we've had moments where they've looked a little disheveled and players now banged up. No Deshaun Jackson. No Alshan. Well, Alshan and D. Jacks are technically not marked as out.

Well, I think D.Jax is already rocking the doubtful. Yes. So it's very unlikely to see Deshaun Jackson. Alshan is still maybe. But we're expecting probably to see neither one. And so that makes Nelson Aguilar a flex play at the wide receiver position. Yes. And then Jordan Howard, people want to know, do you drop Jordan Howard right now? And, you know, is this the week, Miles Sanders begins to assert himself for fantasy purposes? Because he hasn't thus far. No games with more than three yards of carry. He hasn't scored. He's had problems.

Similar to Joe Mixon, though, that he's had some big plays called back. My confidence level with Miles playing him this week, it's certainly not very high. It's more of a desperation running back play. I don't want to roster Jordan Howard. And I don't want to roster Royce Freeman. But how do you cut these guys? I would find rostering Royce. It's like a one or two-click process depending on platform.

It's just, let them go, man. The difference between the two is Royce Freeman is seeing some passing down work and succeeding with the opportunities he's given. You're far more optimistic about Royce than I am because I don't see a world where, okay, so one time in two years, Royce Freeman's look better than Philip Lindsay.

I don't see a world where he has to establish himself to the degree of some massive workload. It's only injury. It's only injury that's going to make one of those two guys in the backfield. Otherwise, they're not fun to roster. What I'm talking about right now is just the Royce Freeman head to head against Jordan Howard. And yet, you are correct that we haven't seen Freeman look better than Philip Lindsay very often. But Royce Freeman was hurt all last year. So wouldn't you like to, I mean.

Genuinely, you're kind of a dangerous guy. Yes, I woke up feeling dangerous. Royce Freeman, Jordan Howard, or Darwin Thompson. That's the question I was just going to put on your roster. Who would I roster? Yeah, because, you know. Would you drop Royce Freeman to pick up a Darwin Thompson? For the upside to ride the snake, Mike. Wow. That literally, literally on this episode, I don't know if I could. I went to look at doing that.

But unfortunately. Who's got Darwin? Yeah, I paid zero fab for him. How does that feel? It feels pretty stupid. You know, that's tough, right? I mean, very tough. I would easily drop Jordan Howard for, for, easily for the upside potential. But what would you do with Royce? Asking for a friend? I would, you know, I probably. I'm holding him. I'd probably hold him. Because I know that at least with him, I know I've got guaranteed carries week to week in an emergency situation. I don't, ever.

want to be someone that watches football and roots for injuries. I don't want to be that person, which is why I have to drop Royce Freeman. It's solid. Because solid point. Carry on. All right. Here we go. 18 opportunities in week one for carry on. 15 in week two, did much more with them in week two. Could he get to 20 this week, Jason? Yeah, he certainly could get to 20. Will he get to 20 this week, Jason? I don't think he gets to 20 this week. Okay. All right. Let's start.