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Main show · September 19, 2019

Starts of the Week + Week 3 Breakdown, Right Angle Analysis

RSSSep 19, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 3 Breakdown, Right Angle Analysis

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Inside the episode

148 passages
27:30 ↗

I love Aaron Rogers this week. All right. So much that we are featuring him in a later segment. Ooh, I wonder what that segment is. You'll see. Aaron Jones had a big week last week. He's our consensus RB9. There were, now what I'm not familiar with this quote. Oh, yeah. So I'll take it from Matt LaFloor. Yeah, thank you, Mike. I'll take it from here. So Matt LaFleur saw what Aaron Jones could do with a full.

28:00 ↗

featured workload and he's like, whoa, that's too good. I need to get Jamal Williams more involved. I want to even up the carry count. And to that, we say LaFleur cram it up your cram hole. Oh, that's our comment to him. Yes. Oh. So you're rebelling in a very adolescent fashion against Matt LaFleur. Yes.

28:23 ↗

I buy the comments, though. And that's the problem. That's the concern. That's the problem. Aaron Jones, very good last week, had the touchdown. Very good running back. Much better running back than Jamal Williams. So what do we do here? Obviously our expectation is Aaron Jones is out there. You play Aaron Jones and you bench Jamal Williams. You know, even if he says he wants it to be.

28:44 ↗

more even. I mean, he was the one in charge last week. He gave Aaron Jones all the run in the world. They won. He played great. So, yeah, maybe Jamal Williams gets a few more carries. Maybe he doesn't. And this is just coach speak trying to say, hey, Jamal, I still love you too. Come on, buddy. But no, Aaron Jones is a good play here. Jamal Williams is a good play if you're in like a 62 team league. Okay. Yeah, that's good advice. Devante Adams, he's out there. Emmanuel Sanders, he's a must start at this point. Yes, he is.

29:14 ↗

Great rapport and one of the better fantasy wide receivers thus far through two weeks. Yep. His recovery is nothing short of sensational. And just remember if you're like, what it's Joe Flacco, Manny Sanders, can it really continue? Look what Manny Sanders was doing last year before the injury with garbage at the quarterback position. Like, Manny Sanders is a, he's a must start for me. He's the wide receiver for right now. And on a team of the struggling offense, incredibly leads.

29:40 ↗

all wide receivers in red zone targets with seven. Yes. So when they're down there, there is one player that Joe Flacco has confidence in, and his name is Emmanuel Sanders. MVS, Geronimo, Allison, would you play either this week in the plus matchup? I think that you can, and with you guys, I would play MVS in this one, just seeing the way that Geronimo has been being utilized. This isn't the normal slot-wide receiver routes that we're used to seeing with the old McCarthy regime.

30:09 ↗

where Randall Cobb would at least not just stand on the line of scrimmage, but those are the targets that Geronimo is getting, so I would pivot to Marquez. All right, the Falcons take on the Colts in the Colts in one and a half point home favorites in this one, both teams one and the overrunners at 47. So I think we're expecting some fireworks in this game, some offensive production for your fantasy team. Matt Ryan, leading the league in interceptions. Don't care. Doesn't really matter. 320 and 3 touchdowns.

30:39 ↗

Is that on last week? Is that what last week was? Or three picks? Brooks? Yep. Got no context there. Yeah. I'll go check that. Yes, it was. Last, last week. That was last week, right? Yes. Well, he was three and three. He has surpassed 300 past yards, yards each of the two weeks. Matt Ryan's a must start. Jacobi Burset on the other side. Whoa, what? Hold on. No, no, that's fine. Matt Ryan is a must start. Okay. I do think that he's, but.

31:08 ↗

This is, I still think, a really good defense. This is the first time that they're at home as well. They started the year on the road. Like, I paid to pick the Colts up to play against Falcons, even though you don't usually want to play against Falcons. For fantasy defenses, you get points for turnovers and sacks primarily, and Matt Ryan is handing out turnovers and sacks. The Colts are good defense at home. So I had a hesitation, but still, he's a top 10 quarterback. Okay.

31:35 ↗

Marlon Mack, we talked about it earlier. We don't know what his status is right now. If he's playing, I'm playing him. That's the way I'm going to do it. He is the RB7 in half point scoring through two weeks. He had a Monster Week 1, as we said. You can flex Jordan Wilkins. If Mac is out, Wilkins will be one of the better midweek waiver wire pickups. And at this point, you know, I don't know what the best prescription would be, but I would say,

32:03 ↗

Look at today Thursday's practice reports. Brooks, make sure you buzz in if we hear anything. But if Mac is out, I think you can play Jordan Wilkins with confidence. As long as it's flex confidence, I agree with that. I don't know if I would go as far as RB2, but he becomes a start. DeVanta Freeman. It's not been good. 8 for 19, 11 for 22. It's not been good, but this is a matchup that DeVantza Freeman.

32:33 ↗

should be able to break out of the slump. If Freeman has another very poor game against this matchup, then that's, I mean, that's, I think, time to jump ship. But the first couple of matchups for Freeman, they've not been plus matchups for the running back position. I don't know that this is a very plus match. I realize that the first two weeks, they've been torched. But Derek can. 30.8 fantasy points per game through the first two weeks.

33:02 ↗

Who'd they play? So it was Derek Henry and the Tennessee Titans who obviously that's their whole offense. And then it was the Chargers with Austin Echler and Justin Jackson Torchuk. So I'm not saying that they, but we saw them last year as a good defense. There's no reason to think that they are all of a sudden one of the worst defenses. So this should be a middle of the road matchup, not just a super plus matchup. That's how I see it. Yeah, I don't disagree though with Mike's sentiment that if Devonci Freeman doesn't show up in this game, you've got three weeks of it.

33:32 ↗

And this should be a match. If he can't produce here, when are you going to start him at any point in time? So this is make a break time for Devante Freeman. He's only had one opportunity in the red zone all year. So we'll see what happens. Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones. They're in there. T.Y. Hilton. Yep. Absolutely. The wide receiver seven through two weeks. So it's going to be smooth sailing for T.Y. Hilton again this week.

33:58 ↗

Eric Ebron, Austin Hooper. At this point in time, you can really look at Austin Hooper. And I, look, I hate to say this because they feel so different. But I don't know that there's a massive difference between what Austin Hooper is providing you and Darren Waller. I knew that was the name you were going to say. You knew it, right? Because they're very similar in the situation. If you're getting targets, you know, five plus targets, five to ten targets a game at tight end.

34:24 ↗

You're up there. You're doing your job. Yeah, I mean, you're going to have decent fantasy production in PPR leagues. And, yeah, so Austin Hooper is someone that you can pick up and play in the Barfielandsky. Nine targets, week one, six targets through two weeks to speak to Jason's point. I mean, in this game, who would you rather start? I would rather start Austin Hooper or Eric Ebrook. Yeah, Eric Ebron's in the roulette of time end role. And we didn't even talk about Jimmy Graham. Maybe that was on purpose in the previous game.

34:53 ↗

But Jimmy Graham and Eric Ebron, just pick your favorite to either goose you or score a touchdown. That's the way it feels. Oh, getting goose by inside end. Not good. Not good. So we'll see what happens in this one. Monitor Marlon Mac's situation. That's the big headline. Ravens. Oh, yes. Cheez. Oh, yes. Let's go. Just a 52.5 point over under. That seems low. You want the over in that one?

35:23 ↗

Yes. We did see, now, Lamar Jackson's been nothing short of spectacular through two weeks. Patrick Mahomes has been Patrick Mahomes. Yep. That being said, if you watched the film on Lamar Jackson last week, he finally had a handful of those, you know, severe overthrows, mistakes throwing the football. Had a bunch of great throws as well. But you finally saw him start to make a few mistakes through the air, but he made up for it with a monstrous game on the ground.

35:52 ↗

his career high. Who are you not starting in this matchup? Because on the chief side, we'll circle back to the running backs. But let's stay at the wide receiver position. Watkins, Robinson, Hardman. Are you fine with all three? Yes. Markis Brown? Yes. The only wide receiver to start there? Yep. The only one. And he was actually in on, what, 65% of snaps last week? Yeah. And his target share was actually...

36:21 ↗

pretty nice i mean 13 targets this past week and lamar jackson threw the ball 37 times but that's for where for what they are doing like marquis brown is is getting a very nice target share so far all right mark andrews a must start at tight in travis kelsey must start it tight in let's go to the running backs mark ingram you're going to play them you're not going to play anybody else

36:45 ↗

Red zone rushes this year, Mark Ingram has seven, but Gus Bus has actually received eight. Are you worried at all about Red Zone work for Ingram? I said this from before the offseason. I think Gus Edwards is a problem for Mark Ingram in general on the season. These first three weeks for Baltimore have been so great for fantasy. I'm not hesitant the slightest on Mark Ingram, but as time goes on, yeah, I think...

37:09 ↗

I think when the games are more Baltimore scoring what you're used to, which is the lower scoring defensive games, then, yeah, you'll be missing out on some of that red zone worse. Some of it, but the numbers are skewed because Gus Edwards carried the ball 17 times when they blew out Miami 59 to 10. In a closer game that was competitive the whole entire time, Gus Edwards carried the ball three times. Yeah, I think that's a good point. Damien Williams and LaShawn McCoy.

37:39 ↗

Do we have any practice report updates, Brooks, on either of those players? The one from yesterday was McCoy was supposed to practice, but he did not. That's the latest I've seen. So both Damien and LaShawn are not practicing. So, yeah, I mean, one. Survival of the fittest in that backfield, you know. Very nice. Very nice. Very, uh, Darwinian thoughts that you had there. Well, Darwin Thompson, pick them up.

38:07 ↗

Yes. Look, if both of these guys are out, holy crap, yes. You play Darwin Thompson. Daryl Williams will play too in that situation. Yeah, it's not going to be the entire Darwin show. You could have a top five running back. You could. But how do you feel, let's say. Who do you stash today? Jordan Wilkins or Darwin Thompson if you're going to the waiver. Darwin. Okay. Darwin for me, because I'm going for the upside. So let's break this down for Darwin. Damien plays. He is the...

38:36 ↗

He is fantastic in passing work, but McCoy doesn't play. How excited are you for Darwin then? I'm actually not that excited in that situation. Okay. But if Shady plays and Damien is out, more excited. Yeah. That's where I lean is while. I just wanted to see where your temperature was. Yeah, if Damien was completely out and with McCoy dealing with what seems to be an injury that could linger a little bit, the workload might not be massive for him. So I'd be more interested in Darwin at that point.

39:05 ↗

This game's going to be fun. Yes, very excited for it. Should be fun. You know, the one thing is that the Ravens defensively have been what the Ravens defensively often are, and they've been stalwart, especially against the running back position. Sunday night football is so mad they can't flex games right now. I was going to say, this game just feels like I should not see a 1 p.m. Eastern start time. No. But at least we get the Redskins Bears on Monday night. Oh, yeah.

39:32 ↗

This show has been going so well. Why do we have to bring that up? At least we get Jacksonville, Tennessee tonight. Come on. I'm trying to be positive. Keep things beautiful. Thank you. So get this. Total points. You take the Thursday night game and the Monday night game. You add those games together. Do you take that total or do you take the total of the Chief's Ravens game? Someone's got to make a prop bet on that. I'm taking Chief's Ravens. Fair.

40:01 ↗

All right, the Bengals travel to take on the Bills. You know, I'm not sure that 4-1 neutral game script recipes working for the Bengals, but their defense isn't working either, and they're being pushed into that. Bills are 2-0. I'm surprised at this game line. I thought it would be closer. I did. I thought it would be closer. The Bills are six-point home favorites against Cincinnati here. The game's a 44 point over under.

40:32 ↗

No. I'm tempted to. Andy's almost upset of the week. Well, you guys were giving Andy Dalton so much love earlier in the show by extension of your comments that I might as well get in. I think we like him more than Gardner. I really do think the bills win this game. I think it just goes down to the wire. You're going to have mistakes from both sides of the football. Bills have a great defense, but we have seen.

41:06 ↗

the Bengals moved the ball. And, you know, in week one, I think that's the template I'm looking at. In week one, it was a nail biter between the Bengals and the Seahawks, right? And that was in Seattle and that went down to the wires. So, you know, that's the template I'm seeing here. I think a game's closer than a six-point line. It's fair, but the bills are going to win. Okay. Well, that's something that has rarely been said with such conviction over the last 10 years.

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