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Main show · September 26, 2018

Trade Targets, Snap Count Surprises, Shark Bait

RSSSep 26, 2018 · transcript indexed
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Trade Targets, Snap Count Surprises, Shark Bait

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13:13 ↗

And those attempts, that turned at only 32% of the running back rushing yards, which is not good. And I understand he was getting carries up by the goal line, but you could see Bilal Powell was vastly superior with his opportunities. So I'm concerned about Crowell this week against Jacksonville.

13:32 ↗

Jason, I hadn't seen yours until just now, and I'm actually a little surprised. So who's your pump the break? My pump the brakes this week is Marvin Jones. This is a pump the brakes that's saying that the expectation of what has been happening is not one I want to necessarily bank on this week. There is not a specific cornerback matchup. The lions go on the road to Dallas. This is not one of these cornerback matches where I go, man.

14:01 ↗

Because that guy's going to be shadowing him, he's going to lock it down. This is simply based on a number of factors centered around volume. The Marvin Jones, we've seen him have two really good weeks in a row, which means most people are going to start him. That's pretty much, you know, people chase the points. Oh, he's been involved. He's got a touchdown in back-to-back weeks.

14:22 ↗

But this is a, they're not going to be playing the Patriots. They're going on the road to Dallas. The over under for Vegas is 43 and a half points. They don't expect a big barn burner there. And I think that makes sense, right? You're at home. Zeke is going to run the ball. They're going to slow it down. So now if you have less total passing volume and less touchdowns going up on the board, on the road, now you're splitting that up between Golden Tate, Marman Jones, and Kinney Gawaday.

14:51 ↗

He's a guy that I think a lot of people want to bank on as a locked and loaded wide receiver too, but he's had four receptions each of his first three weeks. And if you don't get that touchdown and you only end up with four receptions, only six targets last week in a lower scoring game, I just think I'm a little hesitant for him to just put up a touchdown every single week. So I don't think he gets a touchdown this week based on the matchup, the over under. And if he doesn't get a touchdown, you're going to be disappointed.

15:19 ↗

The Cowboys contained Carolina and New York the first two weeks in terms of wide receiver fantasy points. They only give up 10 and then 16. Yeah, shockingly they were... Last week, they gave up 32 because Tyler Lockett, you know, they were on the road. It's interesting because I've been on the fence in my dynasty league between Keel and Cole and Marvin Jones this week. Yeah. And I've been going back and forth, back and forth. You know, Keel and Cole has to face the Jets.

15:47 ↗

but he's the clear target leader on that team versus Marvin Jones who has that deep playability. If you get that play, you're really, really happy. Even, you know, you brought up how the Cowboys. But now I switched back to Cole, Jason. You're welcome. Yes. Your thank you is deserved. Yes. No, but even with that monster game from Tyler Boyd, over the first three weeks, the Cowboys are the third best against wide receiver from fantasy production. Tyler Boyd.

16:15 ↗

Or Tyler Locker? Tyler Locker? Oh, man. What year is it? I got very confused. So I'm going to pump the brakes on Calvin Ridley. I heard a stat yesterday that is mind-blowing, but Calvin Ridley had more touchdowns in one game. Two games. Sorry, in two games. Then Julio Jones has had in his previous 24 games. I mean, it's just... I love Calvin Ridley, the talent. I...

16:46 ↗

I love Julio Jones, the talent, more. And I know the world freaks out when someone scores three touchdowns. And it's just not going to happen like that each and every week. The snap count percentage for Ridley, I believe, is still in the 60% range. And I think while you're going to get the boom-buss games, look, we've seen it from that offense in the past. There was a run of Taylor Gabriel touchdowns. There was a run of Muhammad's a new success. I think Ridley's better than those two players.

17:15 ↗

And more well-rounded, but I am pumping the brakes on making him an auto start. On an auto start, and this is on a one-week basis? Or, you know, because a lot of people doing waivers picking him up. I look at him. I look at his upcoming schedule. I really like it. Cincinnati this week, but then Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay and New York before the buy. Well, I mean, I think Ridley's going to be in that, you know, I'd rather start Marvin Jones rest of the season than Calvin Ridley. Sure. So.

17:44 ↗

You know, if you're talking about two, three fringe guy, I think that's what you're going to end up with by the end of the season. They have to face Cincinnati this week. They are at home. They have a nice schedule, like you said, Pittsburgh, Tampa. So I think there's opportunity, but I think, you know, the overreaction is why I'm bringing them up.

18:04 ↗

People love chasing those. I want a triple touchdown game. Yeah, those are nice. All right. That was Pump the Braves from O'Reilly Auto Parts, Better Parts, Better Prices. Every day. Let's move on to the news. News and notes from around the league. Old busted drop. I know. Look, the funky news drop is, it's in my board and we'll use it from time to time. You can't, you know, you can't get funky every day. Can you? We want to funk.

18:37 ↗

Ian Rappaport reporting that all signs point to Ryan Fitzpatrick starting week four against the Bears. Do you start Ryan Fitzpatrick in week four against the Bears? Yes. Okay. I mean, he's not a walked in must start, but I'm... He'll be in the top 12? Yeah, he'll probably be in the top 12. He's just airing it out. They can't run the ball. Just keep firing away. Doug Peterson said Alshon Jeffrey has been cleared for contact and he may be available for Sunday, but no decision yet. Excellent.

19:08 ↗

The Giants called Evan Ingram's injury a week-to-week MCL sprain. Two to four weeks is the estimate right now for Evan Engram. Who benefits from Ingram off the field? Are you looking at Sterling Shepard and saying, wow, he's a little more interesting in these next few weeks? Yes. Yeah, certainly. That's the guy that gets the bump. I don't think Red Ellison is going to be someone that you can count on at all, even though he came in and had a touchdown. Sterling Shepard's a great player. The only issue with Shepard has been

19:38 ↗

Are there enough targets to go around? You take them away from Evan Ingram, Sterling Shepard will be a flex. And what about Cody Latimer? You have any interest in? Nah. All right. He's had like, what, four years now to show me he can be a productive NFL receiver? Hard pass on Latimer on this side. Bruce Ellington injured reserve, Texans wide receiver, hamstring injury, farewell. Yeah.

20:08 ↗

The Patriots re-signed Kenyon Barner. Now, Rott, Ro. Kenyon Barner doesn't matter much, but what matters is they re-signed him, which is indicative of an issue with Rex Burkett. Yes, whenever you have an injury floating in the ether for any team out there, you go, oh, J. Ajay, he's not practicing today or whoever. And then all of a sudden you see that team.

20:34 ↗

promote someone from their practice squad, or sign a running back to the active 53. It's usually a really good indication that the presumptive, somewhat questionably injured starter is injured because they might not play. So yes, that's exactly how I read in to Kenyon Barner's signing. Could be nothing. I lean towards it being bad news for Rex Burkhead. I agree, but I also believe that Barner will be, this is more of a special team's.

21:01 ↗

Because Rex Burkett is an excellent special team's player, so perhaps they just take him off of that. And look, we've got to discuss Sony Michelle here because even I, like, I'm on record. I have started to believe that Sony Michelle is the player that I was down on compared to the consensus prior to the NFL draft. I never thought he was a real pass catching back, kind of showed that. But his opportunity is coming now. If Rex Burkhead is out of the way and.

21:31 ↗

He becomes the guy. He's got the chance to really take over here. He's a guy. I literally just traded away, but I wouldn't blame anyone for making him a trade target if you actually. He was almost mine. Believed in Sony Michelle. I don't, but. Their offense is going to be better. Sonny Michelle is going to be better. It takes time for running backs to acclimate to that system, whether you're Rex Burkhead, James White. It's taking them all time. First game out there, some jitters, some fears. I think it's going to be sunnier days for Sony Michelle. Sonnier.

22:00 ↗

Oh, yeah. It was right there, man. I really missed that one. Don't forget, it's Wednesday. So if your waivers have gone through, which they have by the time you listen to this, don't forget to drop it like it's high. Yeah. Make sure you check out who people have dropped this week especially, some of the people giving up on players. Maybe Larry Fitzgerald hits your waiver wire, maybe some of those type of guys. And a quick note, Fournette practicing, Yeldin not practicing. Fournett likely to play this week.

22:28 ↗

So that is good news. I remember that same note earlier this last week, though, as well. I think they took an attempt at resting him and just sneaking the win at home against Tennessee. Didn't work. And it didn't work. Yeah. So I guess they need them. Yeah. I think they made a good decision, though, because you need Fournet to be healthy. Hey, before we get into some cool snap article stuff.

22:55 ↗

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24:21 ↗

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25:41 ↗

Snap counts I wanted to take a minute to walk through this is a great time of the year to look at snap counts and how players role on the team is changing and this can be indicative of a player you want to trade away because their role is decreasing

26:07 ↗

And it can be indicative of a player you want to target because the team is gaining confidence in them. And this is key. That, yeah, the team's opinion, you know, it's so funny. We're always talking about how we're shifting our views on players and what. So are the teams. The actual NFL coaches and teams. We have breaking news. Breaking news. Your hunches were correct, my friends. The Patriots will be putting Rex Burkhead on the IR. Oh, my.

26:37 ↗

Mercy me. Go get Sony Michelle. Shoot, I just traded Sony Michelle. Wow. That escalated quickly. That, uh, yeah, well, there you go. Got the old sleeper alert. That is a disappointing conclusion to the Rex Burkhead preseason hype train. Yep. Yeah. You know, it's an injury. It happens. But.

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