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Main show · August 21, 2020

Fantasy Time Machine + Credit, Blame, and Brown Spots - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/21

RSSAug 21, 2020 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Time Machine + Credit, Blame, and Brown Spots - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/21

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42:18 ↗

quintessential post-type sleeper, tight-in candidate. Over 500 receiving yards in his rookie season. Had a stretch of games where he was very fantasy relevant. In his rookie season, very hard to do for a tight-in. Last year, you throw it out. It's gone. Drawing rave reviews at camp. Also very, very necessary. Jameson Crowder cannot carry this offense. Rashad Perryman, he's not going to carry this offense. And Sam Darnold has, you know, a rapport with Chris Herndon. I think he has great upside ability.

42:47 ↗

So I'm going to go with Chris Hernden to breakout. All right. And you all know I like Blake Jarwin as a breakout tight in. I also like this guy. I had no idea, but go on. I like this guy as a breakout tight in. And he's more of a Mark Andrews type of a player to me where Andrews got it done, low volume, efficiency, just being Mark Mandrews. Like out there just dominating with huge touchdown plays. I want to bring up. Thank you.

43:16 ↗

I want to bring up Jonu Smith starting tight end from the Tennessee Titans. And here's the first number I want to go to is avoided tackles. So last year, Travis Kelsey was number two in avoided tackles. He avoided 15 tackles on 97 receptions. Jono Smith, number three, he avoided 14 tackles on 35 receptions. The dude is elusive. The dude is super strong. He was second in average yards after catch.

43:46 ↗

He is a Mark Andrews type of player, and the Tennessee Titans are a Baltimore Ravens type of an offense. It runs through. They want to slow it down, win with defense, and Smith won't have high volume. But when he touches the ball, big things are going to happen. So if he can really remove himself from the shadow of Delaney Walker, who was just a stalwart,

44:15 ↗

for the Tennessee Titans offense for years, which, and Delaney Walker is now gone. It's Smith's job. I think that Jonu can come through as a potential breakout guy, low volume, but big plays. Yeah, and that was what we saw last year. The games that he was fantasy relevant were games he scored in. He had three touchdowns last year, all three of those weeks. He was the top 12 tight end. He's been in the league a little bit of time. Sure.

44:43 ↗

He's moved forward in fantasy finish each and every year as well. Definitely fits the big play role. One more fantasy time machine for you. We also have some best ball we're going to get into. 2020's Devante Parker. Oh, my. Late round, dart throw type of pick. Younger, but been in the league for a little while. Surprise everyone in the fantasy space to the point where, you know.

45:14 ↗

There wasn't anybody who once Devante Parker had a good game started him the next week. And then he had a good game and then he got started the next week. It was, wait, is this real? Right. The Mirage for three or four weeks before you had to finally believe it. So what do you guys think? Who's the 2020 dart throw? And I'm going to throw that dart throw at the wide receiver position coming out of nowhere.

45:38 ↗

For me, the name that seemed obvious was Brashad Perryman. I like it. He was drafted to be great, just like Devante Parker was. First round pick. He was not great, just like Devante Parker was. And then as the years went on, he was known to be not great. Just, yeah, this guy is washed. He's never going to become anything. And then all of a sudden,

46:04 ↗

There's a flash of brilliance. And it took a couple injuries to superstars Mike Evans and Chris Godwin last year. But when he was given that opportunity, Bashad Berman just caught fire the last month. And I mean, I don't believe it. I still don't believe it. Like I don't hear what I'm not saying. I think it was a mirage. I heard you believed it. I heard it was. I think it was a mirage what we saw.

46:32 ↗

And here's what we saw. The last month of the season last year, he was the wide receiver two for fantasy. And it wasn't, you know, sometimes you have that in a month stretch. It's because someone had some singular dominating, unfathomably good game. But Jason. Yes, voice of public opinion. Number two. Yes, there is a brown spot on this take. Oh, no. There is certainly a stain here.

47:01 ↗

And, yeah, Adam Gase is an issue. But the reality is, I don't think anybody looked last year at the Dolphins offense. And there was a problem there. It was a brown spot there. It was persisting from year to year. Right. It was one of those things where the offense looked bad. The quarterback situation looked bad.

47:21 ↗

But it became about, well, there's nowhere else to go with the ball. Preston Williams went down. Gisicki was there. It was basically those three players. Well, if you look at the Jets, it's very similar. I mean, you brought up Chris Herndon. Okay, maybe he's the guy. Maybe he's Giskeke like. You've got Jameson Crowder, who's, you know, short yardage close to the line. Maybe that's the Preston William. But so different than Breshad. And Breschad Perriman, the downfield option. If Sam Darnold just starts.

47:51 ↗

you know, chucking it deep. It's going to be to pair him in and maybe he breaks out. And when that does, like if that happens for a couple weeks, I will believe it earlier than I did last year with Devante Parker. Do you think, out of curiosity, do you think Jets fans are happy that we've picked two Jets in this fantasy time machine section or unhappy because I've hit that drop three times? Well, I think they are neither. Number two. Four times. They're realistic people.

48:21 ↗

They probably- Jets fans, right? Here's what they're saying when we're picking these. Here's what their answers. Nope. Brashah Perriman, not happening. Chris Herndon. He's a jet. We know what it's like to be pessimistic about our home team. But the reality is a lot of times these bad situations, especially these nebulous ones where you don't know where the value is going to come. Those are where the breakouts come from.

48:47 ↗

precisely because it's a murky situation. I, when we got into the show doc today and we were putting in our projections here, I went to put Bradshaw Perryman in and Jason had won the prize of Rashad Perryman. I think that's the best answer. It just fits the bill so much. The player that had you given up on, like Devante Parker, became a laughing stock, broke out. I think that's the right answer, but I have a, I have a suggestion. What if it was? I want to hear it. What if it was Dante Pettis?

49:17 ↗

Yeah, look. You forget Dante Pettis' draft pedigree. I mean, second round pick. Second round pick. Had some breakout games toward the end of his rookie season, lost the favor of his coach, but they are dealing with some injuries over there in San Francisco. I can't talk about him too much because I open myself up to potential litigation. But what if it was? I mean, the camp reports on Dante Pettish are positive right now. It would be great. It would be awesome. It's not going to be, though.

49:44 ↗

Probably not. Yeah, well, we're talking in the world of low probability right now. This is a time machine. Just remember nobody believe in Devante Parker at the beginning of last year. Yeah, if we had brought that name up, it would have been laughed at. And that's why we bring up Brasad Perriman and Dante Pettis. Mike, who do you think? Oh, my. I'm bringing up a player who has also been in the league for quite some time. I was trying to go, you know, like a little really more literal with the comparison of the players where Parker had been in forever and had.

50:13 ↗

really not done much. This player has, he's got a little bit more on his resume than Devante Parker had coming into this year, but no one's expecting anything. From the Lizard King, Sammy Watkins. Oh, bloodied. Look, I get it. I ran the spell check on this show, Doc, and it said, did you mean McCole Hardman? I get it. But he just, it's hard to quit the lizard.

50:41 ↗

Man, he just cut that up. When you have completely given up on Sammy Watkins, as we finally did, it looked like the Kansas City Chiefs had finally given up on Sammy Watkins after the week one explosion. He goes into the playoffs and he's like the most productive player on the team through that stretch of games. Sammy Watkins was a huge reason why Kansas City was able to win the Super Bowl.

51:09 ↗

He helped with the comebacks early on. And it's wild. It's a wild place we live in where I'm trying to endorse Sammy Watkins again. Well, Sammy Watkins has always had the 37 bullet points of why he should be great. Yes. There's never been a time now. I mean, he's got the best quarterback in football. He's the number two on the best offense in football. He has always had the reasons why it should happen. And he has always deceived us. Yes. Well, it's.

51:39 ↗

I mean, the blood type. He can change it. He can't change the temper of his body. So he has to just go with the flow. The reasons are there. Like you said, the bullet point is there. He's best offensive football. He was willing to take less money to come back to the team. Once again, while this whole segment is about a time machine, I will, I'm going to be honest with the listeners at home. You've been to the future?

52:06 ↗

No, I don't actually have a time machine. If I did, I would not be using it for these purposes. I'd be living large. Here's the reality. Last year, you know, we talked about the 2019 version of George Kittle, Robert Woods, Nick Chubb. The only issue with this trying to pick the next Devante Parker is that those don't happen every year.

52:30 ↗

The Devante Parker, I went back to 2018, 27, trying to find these guys who have been in the league a long time and then finally broke out and they were, you know, they were, they were totally surprising. And, you know, there's always a late tight end that breaks out or, you know, an undervalued wide receiver. I, I do believe that our answers here are.

52:52 ↗

really in line with what could happen. I mean, Prashad Perriman, Sammy Watkins, even Dante Pettis, they do fit the bill of what Devante Parker is and did and what could happen. But I would say the probabilities that there is a Devante Parker low. This season is probably very low. Well said. Also, how many consecutive weeks does Sammy Watkins have to give fantasy football managers before?

53:20 ↗

You start him. Before the endorsement. The boy who cried wolf situation. I want to make a joke and say eight, but honestly. Two? If you got two strong games to open, you would be playing Sammy Watkins. I would be advising you to play Sammy Watkins. He's heating up. That's the chief's effect, too. If you have a chance to get a part of that offense. And just to help out, producer, Judge Giiamatti Brooks wants people to know his pick would be.

53:49 ↗

New York Giants Sterling Shepard. He's always at a soft spot in his heart for the Shepherd. Yeah, four years? Is this his fifth year now? Yeah, same as Parker. That's actually a really good pick. The only reason I don't think it applies is because coming into last year, Devante Parker sucked. And I think most people look at Sterling Shepard and say,

54:07 ↗

He's a really good wide receiver. It just hasn't happened yet. Yeah, he's been solid. He isn't 11th round pick at least. Oh, certainly. Draft-wise, value-wise, I do like throwing that name out there. I think people look at him as like maybe we've seen the best of Sterling Shepard. So that would be a situation where maybe with a fully healthy year, we haven't. I like it. I like it. Thanks for the addition. Not a lot. All right. Let's do some basketball. Bestball breakdown, presented by Underdog Fantasy.

54:42 ↗

I know we had the time machine drop, but that drops really good, too. Look, I do great work, guys. I am really enjoying. I've been getting screenshots of people's underdog draft and implementing some of the strategies we've been sharing, and I absolutely love it. People crush of these drafts. Look, if you want to play best ball, underdog fantasy is the place to do it. If you don't know what best ball is, you draft.

55:09 ↗

And then the computer sets your optimal lineup. You don't go in and make weekly or daily transactions. It's draft and you're done. Who's the best drafter? It is a ton of fun. And on Underdog Fantasy, look, they've got the best ball mania for a chance at a million dollars in prizes. Underdog Fantasy.com, go sign up or you can download it on the app store. The tip I want to give today, it's short and sweet. I feel like I've been talking about my strategy of going after these tight ends a little bit more.

55:39 ↗

But drafting an elite tight end in best ball in the second round pick, I know there's an opportunity cost of going in on Travis Kelsey or George Kittle. And for this tip, I'm even going to include the other two guys, Mark Andrews and Zach Gertz. The thing about using an early pick on one of these guys, you know, you know what they're going to do. They're going to give you a positional advantage at the tight end position.

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