Starts of the Week + Week 14 Breakdown, Jason Takes a Lap - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/5

But he had been averaging over four receptions in the previous seven games. And the Chiefs, the one place they need to, they can beat them is with the tight-in position. And Ladd-McConkie's banged up. So, all right, we'll take a break. We'll hit the forecast. All right, time to preview our matchups for week 14. It's time for Fantasy Forecast, presented by Draft King Sportsbook. Well, we know the story. You know the story out there. If you are competing, if you're listening, if you're in it for the fantasy playoffs, you know. You don't have any Broncos. Bye-bye, Cortland Sutton. You don't got the Colts and Richardson and Taylor. You don't have the commanders and your delightful Jaden Daniels and Terry McLaren. You don't have the Patriots, the Ravens or the Texans either. So it's going to be a week where you've got to piece it together. And here's what you can hope for. An equal disadvantage for your opponent. You know, you are probably.

making decisions on players you don't want to have to play, but your opponent probably is too. So we're going to try to help you out, get you going. We'll start with the game that surprisingly had three players in the previous starts of the week segment. Jacksonville, who was two and ten, fighting hard for that number one spot, which I believe they have right now, facing the Tennessee Titans who would love to lose this game and get there. Well, maybe not love to, but they're three and nine in the draft king sports book line here, Tennessee at home minus three and a half, the over under 39 and a half.

That gives Tennessee 21, Jacksonville 18. We've talked a lot about this game already. What are your thoughts beyond the names in the starts of the week? I think that what you brought up during starts of the week is accurate. I worry that Mack Jones is not going to be able to do enough on the road against the Titans to really force a higher scoring game and a lot more fantasy greatness here. I think the real questions are on the ancillary receivers. for the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Parker Washington's, Evan Ingram, are these guys, because you're going to start Brian Thomas. Yeah, I think you mostly in this situation, the prescription is to what? Avoid incillary options, right? Go with the primary guys. I believe despite Brian Thomas having a great fantasy week last week, he was still near the top in terms of like air yards not caught, right? Yeah, he caught four of his 10 targets. Yeah, I mean, so like Brian Thomas is in. I thought you were actually going to bring up.

the running back room in Jacksonville and if you can do anything there. Oh, man. That's a tough one. I mean, if I have to start one, it would be Travis E.N. He's getting more volume. I'm not confident in either, but you might need that this week. I would shy away from Tank Bigsby personally. I think there's better options out there. But no, I just bring up Parker Washington because he was so involved last week, 12 targets, over 100 yards. NBS or? I think I would go NBS there. In this game with Nick Westbrook-Aquini. I mean, we've been saying this. I have said over and over you can't start him. He's scored a touchdown every time. He's got the third best odds to score a touchdown in this game. Now, honestly, I think you can start him. And I think people will. And he's going to get you. He's going to get you. Andy, you are doing this. You're starting him in league of record after. And you've been pounding the table for the last month before it was cool. Yeah, the hyphen, the hyphen. The hyphen.

You're saying, I'm putting him in. He's on the field every snap. His opportunities are there, and he's, you know, he's been scoring touchdowns. And so now you're actually starting them. Enjoy your goose. Your Christmas goose. What happens, though? Like, what is the apology tour going to be like if he gets back into the end zone this week? Because Jay, you've been calling for his demise. Like, if he keeps, what have you three touchdowns this week? If he scores a touchdown this week. I will make a donation in his name. Okay. Because it, and I will, I will recommend him as my start of the week every week from here on now for forever. Outrageous. He's plus 185 on an anytime touchdown on draft kings. And Mike, you talked about Ridley and Pollard. Yep. Both can be played. And then Levis, if you are wild, crazy, and wearing titanium underpants. It's the same. It's like you read off all those quarterbacks that we are missing. And there are leagues out there that.

Backup quarterbacks have been stashed. He has a quarterback 9 finish this year, which was against the Chargers on the road. So it's, you know, he can. He can get there. The Jets are 3 and 9. The Dolphins are 5 and 7. The Jets are going to Miami. The Draft King Sportsbook line is Miami minus 6. The overrunners 45. I mean, to say the vibes are not good for the Jets is an understatement. They're as bad as they've ever been. I don't want this conversation today. to just be about how much we dislike how it's gone. Because that's the conversation with the Jets every week. Let's just focus on real essential questions here about Brees Hall, Garrett Wilson, and Devante Adams. You start all three. I mean, that's just the truth. I agree. The truth is you start all three. Garrett Wilson, last three games have been dud, dud, dud, but he's had the target still. He had 10 targets this last week. David, and the...

So many of them were uncatchable. Rogers is not playing well. But if you watch the Jets game, he did actually have a couple really nice throws to Devante Adams. And Rogers, for everything where he is in his career right now, the missed pass to Garrett Wilson that should have been a touchdown, he's not going to miss that every single time. So Garrett Wilson, the player is still playing well. And we just need Rogers to... be a little bit better, which is not impossible. Yeah, the target volume is there. So I can't imagine benching either one of Garrett Wilson or Devante Adams. The expectation shouldn't be that you've got a wide receiver one, but the volume is there and you hope one of them gets a touchdown. The real question is, Brees Hall is health. I don't know if the practice reports are out yet for. We're looking to see if we get a Thursday report on Brees Hall. If he doesn't practice Thursday,

I'll be concerned. Yeah. If he doesn't practice Wednesday, it's like, okay, we're managing this injury that we've been managing. The scarier part is, I mean, several times you could see him during the game last week. He played. Like, he didn't have these practices. He ends up playing. But you could see him on the side, and he is not doing well. That's terrifying. That's terrifying. We'll let you know if we get a report by the end of the show on Breece Hall today. On the other side, Tua Tunga Viloa has three consecutive top ten finishes at the quarterback position. He's like reverse Tua in right now. Oh, where he normally fails off in the back half of the year? Yeah. Well, that's because he skipped the first half, Mike. This is his first half. You know what I mean? This is his first half. He's leaving the NFL in completion percentage. He's got a superstar hall of fame tied in and Johnny Smith. He's leading the NFL in completion percentage because he's throwing the ball mostly to Devani H. H. And Johnny Smith.

and won't push the ball down the field. Well, did you see the, did you guys talk about Tyreek Hill's kind of cryptic tweet? No. No. Or Instagram post. He's kind of, he puts something out there that I think shows him walking into the locker room and says, kind of alludes to the possible, a possible retirement. Oh, man. Oh, man. And it kind of seems like they're retiring him right there on the field on certain weeks. Oh, man. Yeah, Tyreek. has he had a cryptic post and he said love what you do because it will soon end oh my gosh these guys i've got i've got i'm i'll share it with you guys um i'll repost it on my twitter right now this is but it's not like i'm hanging around this is absurd because he was we had the reports whatever was two years ago of a i'm going to finish out my contract with the dolphins and that's it

And that circulated like hot fire. He walked that back pretty quick. But it was, I mean, it was out there enough to hit a news cycle. And then he just got money, right? Yeah, well, they moved money around. Yeah, they kind of give him an extension, but it was more like that Amari Cooper style thing where they gave him a bunch of money up. Sure. But you had that and it was like, well, no, I'm going to keep playing. And now we're back to I'm not getting the ball. He didn't practice? arresting him like they do every week. Tyree Kill or Joanne Jennings? Genuine question this week. Oh, my gosh. The Jets are still fourth against wide receivers. You know, I'm going to make it even worse. Tyree Kill or Jalen Waddle and Tyree Kill are Joan Jennings. Both of those questions. And I'll leave the studio. I'll take Tyree Kill over Jalen Waddle. He's still got a touchdown in three of the last four games. He's.

You know, he's not been special or a lead especially yardage wise. You know, he's averaging 52 yards per game over that span. But Jalen Waddle, while it's nice to see him kind of be remembered, I still think the pecking order is Tyreek first. So I would play Tyreek over Waddle. I think Joanne Jennings versus Tyreek is a legitimate question that needs to be asked. I don't think I'd have the stones to play Jim's over there. I don't think I would either. I've got the fears that Stevenson from Chicago, I'm hoping he's focused on Debo or at least splitting, but if he were to be isolated on Jalen Johnson? Yes, yes. Jalen Johnson, yeah. Tyreek, I think I'd still play him over. Johnny Smith, you play him. He's been amazing since week six. He leads all NFL pass catchers in first downs per route run. I had an interesting question. You're playing Devon H.

But I had somebody send in this question. They said, who's the true backup insurance back for H&? Because we've been talking on the show. Go out and get the guy and insure the guy. My answer to that was no one. Yeah. It was because it's Rahimosa or is Jalen Wright. And the answer to me is no one. However, if you wanted to pick one, I'd pick right because you'd be looking at catastrophe. Which one would you pick then if you're going to get it correct? Unlimited diarrhea. Oh, you didn't like that one? I was about to say swish. Because I said right. Yeah. Okay. It's really good. Yeah. Take a lap. All right. Rahim Moster, Jalen Wright. Oh, he's really taking a lap. Around the table. Okay. Please don't kick the cameras. I know. I know. Very good. Very good. Is this new? I hope not. Moster's just so uninvolved. Oh, yeah. That's new. I'm going to make you take a lap someday. Age. Okay.

What's weird is the, because A-chan is not playing, you know, normal running back stuff here of, what, seven carries the past week, despite being like the primary guy. The offense would have to change so drastically of what they're running right now to if A-chan is not on the field. But if A-chan's gone, then Tyree Kill actually. Do you know what his rushing attempts for a game is on the year? I would imagine around 11 a game. Yes. You're the best guesser I've ever met in my life. Every time that I asked you to guess, you're right on. It's from the former carnival job. Yeah. He was the high weight guy. I know your weight. I can tell when your pockets are stuffed. Wait. Is that how you beat the system? Well, of course that's how you beat the system. You get a skinny person and you put a little weight in the pocket? Well, no, I mean, like a weight. Some lead? Yeah. I mean, it's easy to beat.

Uh, no, I mean, you, I mean, usually pockets, but you can't get them to like, you can't get your weight lower on the scale. No, that's. Yeah, that's not possible. Some people have been trying for a long time. He's, he's holding a bunch of helium balloons. Guess my weight. All right, Atlanta is six and six. You're 50 pounds. Um, the Falcons are six and six. They take on the 10 and two Minnesota Vikings. Mike was pointing out. You know, everyone makes so much of the Detroit season. And here's Minnesota, one game behind. Ten and two, man. Still in contention for the buy. The Draft King Sportsbook line here, Minnesota minus five and a half. The overrunners 46. If you don't remember, there is only one buy in each of the conferences. So it is, it will come down to the wire. I was on record. Now, you guys previewed the game for tonight. I think it's, what's the line? Because I didn't get to participate in that. What was the line on the Detroit?

Green Bay game. What is it right now? I'll have to look it up. Because I told Mike in the studio two, three days ago. You did. I will verify it. Detroit minus three. Yeah, so just. Andy's almost upset of the week. This is the one. Yeah, I think Detroit loses this week. I think they lose tonight. Minnesota plays Atlanta at home. They can easily win that game. They're favored by five and a half. The overrunner's 46. And all of a sudden, you are. We could be set up for a week 18. But they face each other? Yeah. No. They base each other in week 18? They do. And they were so close in their first match. The Minnesota schedule is Atlanta this week. Maybe. But I would pick Minnesota. Chicago next week. I'll pick Minnesota. Seattle on the road. I'll pick Minnesota at home against Green Bay. And then Detroit, the final week, that's going to be fun. Yeah, I mean, the point being that Minnesota is just right in the thick of it. The games haven't been.

decisive of late. They've been very close. They're chiefs-esque at the moment. Yeah, they did not beat. They were not leading against Arizona until the final score with under a minute to go. They, what did they win by three points against, was it Jacksonville? I mean, Chicago. Chicago. Okay. They've had some close games. A couple weeks ago, though, like a month ago against Jacksonville, that was that game where they should have lost. They tried everything they could to lose, but Jacksonville wasn't good enough to beat them. I think it was like 12. They scored 12 points in one. So in this game at home, I really like Sam Darnel. I really like Aaron Jones. I really like Justin Jefferson. I really like Jordan Addison. I think Jordan Edison is going to get it done in this one. Hawkinson, I'm feeling squeamish about T.J. Hawkinson. Not that I wouldn't play them, but because there are these other, like KDOTN you brought up, right? And then there's players that are emerging maybe at the tight-in position that you would think twice about, whether it's Joanne Johnson getting going, whether it's Fergalicious.

T.J. Hawkinson has been weird. He's had two really good games and three really bad games. Yeah, but they've gone back and forth. And he is red light, yeah. So now it's a green light. So you're all in there. But you'd play Kettle over him, right? Yeah, I would play Kittle for sure. So the Minnesota side, they're set up against an Atlanta team that is 30th against the wide receiver position, 31st against quarterbacks. Sam Darnold was my streaming quarterback of choice losing Lamar this week? I picked him up two weeks ago. for this week. I'm playing Darnold. I'm trusting those explosive wide receivers, and I'm hoping Atlanta's functional enough to make it a game. Yeah, that makes sense. The running backs here on both sides of the ball, you've got Aaron Jones playing well, Bijon playing exceptional. The DK receptions line for both of these guys is, I really like both. Three and a half for Bijon, two and a half for Aaron Jones.

Bijan has just been getting it done. And when I watched that Kirk Cousin's film, as hesitant as I was for the Darnell Mooney play, I was even more bullish on Bijan. I'm like, they need to use him the way that they're using him right now in the receiving game. Obviously, you're going to be playing him, but it's going to continue working in the passing game. Yeah, that's what you're going to have to count on. Yeah, I mean, that's where. Minnesota is number one against the run. Yeah, that if you're just handing the ball out. Yeah, the passing game is where Bijon has been doing great work and is so needed for Kirk Cousins right now. So you can kind of prescribe it the same way you did James Connor last week where he said, hey, we're going to play Connor because he's going to get the rock and he's going to get the passing work. Kyle Pitts. Oh, man. Have the ceremony right now. He's retired for fantasy for this year. Colossal NFL draft bust colossal.

fantasy football rookie draft pick. Yes, yes, that is 100% true. He will be a cautionary tale for the future prediction of all generational talents. Some end up like Brock Bowers. Some end up. One ends up like Brock Bowers. You draft a tight end. I will say this. If you draft a tight end in the top five, I'll do it again. You'll do it again? Yeah, like I'll be in on that guy. Oh yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah, yeah. For the cautionary tale. But it's like if you give me the same circumstances, I'm going to pick him every time. Well, and he had a significant injury that he doesn't seem to have really made it back from. Guys, guys, he's 24 years old. We got a lot of Kyle Pitts talking left to do over the next six, seven years to be 27. I, I, I, and break out. Man, I hope we never.

It could happen. I hope we don't have to keep talking. New Orleans, the Saints, four and eight, taking on the two and ten New York Giants. That's a fart fest. My favorite player in this is the New Orleans' New Orleans, minus four and a half on the road over under a 41. Drew Locke has been announced as the starter for the Giants. It is a slight upgrade over, you know, what they had in Tommy DeVito. Would they... could really use as somebody like Daniel Jones to come in and take over as the starter, but they're not going to be able to do that. No. Both rushing defenses are terrible, so Tyrone Tracy and then Alvin Camara, who, you know, we can speculate on Kendra Miller and Joanne Johnson and Foster Monroe and Jamal Williams. It's Alvin Camara. Alvin Camara will be the consolidation of opportunity most valuable in the running game.

His rushing and receiving line, DK line is 124.5 yards. If you ask me how I overcome Mike's juggernaut team in our dynasty playoffs, I'm going to answer Alvin Kamara down the stretch. That's what I'm going to do, because he has the potential to really finish the season strong. Go Kendrae Miller. So, yeah, the fact that your hopes for that to stop are Kendra Miller makes me even more comfortable with it. Malik Neighbors has not been. Listen to this. A top 24 wide receiver since week four. That dude is up against it. It don't matter. Like he is the, he is the case of, let me give you his last four games. Okay. So you can understand what's going on a quarterback. His last four games, he is on pace for 182.8 targets in a season. Oh, that is awesome. All right. Okay. He's on pace for 123.3 receptions. Oh, that's actually exceptional. Yeah. I'm not sure.

He's on pace for 1,000 yards. Pretty darn good. Not on that. That's awful. That's awful on that. And then zero touchdown. So the numbers for him are design screens, pretty terrible opportunities and L's, right? They've lost a lot of ball games. I feel like Malik neighbors has to be in starts at discussions for people. For all of that, he has been over 10 fantasy points in what? three of the past six. Yeah, the numbers that you are saying there are obviously efficiency-wise awful and scoring opportunities rare. Not finished inside the top 25 in that stretch either. But when you have that many targets and you have that much talent, it's going to be very difficult. I mean, you're not wrong. You've got to take a look at who you have, but I can't imagine. Did you say your favorite player in the game was? The defense for the Saints. Yeah.

So it's just, yeah, I mean, I'm not saying you can't play him or shouldn't play him. I'm saying that you're upside. When you talked about James and Baker and you making the decision you're making, your Malik neighbor's upside, to me, it doesn't exist right now. Man, it's, it's hard. I mean, it's been true. It's 100% been true. I do feel like he's the type of player that can get schemed for a breakaway touchdown and therefore always has the upside just because of explosive athleticism. But it hasn't been happening. Let me ask you this, Jason. I'm going to give you some names, okay? Okay. Malik Neighbors or Jamison Williams tonight against Green Bay at home. Oh, man. I would probably play Malik Neighbors, and I feel like that might be wrong. I think Jameson Williams has a really good game tonight. And Jaden Reed as well. Malik Neighbors or Joon Jennings against Chicago. I don't want to play this game.

You signed up. I would go Malik Neighbors. Devante Adams. Neighbors. C.D. Lamb. I think I go neighbors. The number one Malik Neighbors starts a question on the website is cross-positional. It's Malik Neighbors in the Flex or Chuba Hubbard? I'd go Neighbors there. Okay. Other names just to mention real quick before we mercifully move on from this game because you're not considering quarterbacks here. It's just the MBS lottery ticket. NBS had three targets last week, four of the week before, and three the week before. He has scored in all three of those weeks. The truth of MBS is 100% if he doesn't score, you will be disappointed. Yeah. There's no real opportunity. It's pretty easy.

it's a fine play by the process and I'm not saying I wouldn't play it. Yeah. Yeah, it's just really understanding what you're getting yourself into. And the, for what it's word, like the Giants defense is not a plus matchup for wide receivers on the season. Because this was one of the things I was looking at when I was trying to put MBS in my order. That one stuck out to me. Now, if he scores, you're happy. If he doesn't. You're probably getting two catches. Yeah, the offense of the Giants won't do enough, which is why the running game of the opposing teams do well, which is also why I think, and I know we glossed over it a little bit, and you're 100% right that Alvin Cameras, the studs always start him. He's going to be fantastic. But I think that there are teams out there that need a starter at running back that could actually put Kendrae Miller in your lineup, actually start this week. That's how.

That's outrageous to me. I don't think it is that outrageous. He is very healthy. He was running full speed sprints his first week on the IR. And the Rizzler has been asked questions about, like, Kendrae Miller. This is a quote from Nick Underhill talking about Kendrae Miller being out of the doghouse and on good terms with Darren Rizzie. Nick Underhill, great beat reporter for the Saints. Quote, we're going to let that dog off the leash. I'm ready to get out there and bark a little bit. Oh, dog analogies. I just think he's a good player who is in a good matchup. They need him without Taysom Hill. I mean, I get it. I get it. He's a backup. It's terrifying. It's terrifying. I wouldn't do it this week. I mean, Jamal Williams also is back last week. Jamal Williams is burnt toast. Burnt toast or not. If he's the one on the field and Kenry Miller isn't, you won't get any points from Kennery Miller. Yeah, that is. Didn't Jamal Williams get like one touch last week? Yeah, he did.

Yeah, he was on the field for 6% of snaps. Yeah, one target. Yeah, I mean, Kendra was on the field for zero. I think Kendry Miller is a great speculation ad. I don't have the courage to play him this week. Dude, I'm, but this will be a victory lap for you. I'm going to pick him up and start him in League of Record. I'm going to make the playoffs in the back, Kendrae Miller. But having said that, like, I do. Go do that. Go do that. I'm on it. Go do it. The world, like, I think there is a very decent chance that the number one pickup.

of next week's waiver wire is going to be Kendrae Miller. So just stash him right now. I am prepared to be wrong about this. Yeah. I would be so outrageously nervous to start him on the back of just the head coach saying he's not the dog house. But who knows? Off the leash. Maybe you're right. He's still, we're still waiting for his first bark in the NFL. That's true. Still waiting for the first one in two, two, three years. All right. We'll take a break. Come back with some more matchups and see what you think about. Bryce Young this week. All right, the Panthers are three and nine taking on the 10 and two Philadelphia Eagles who are on a roll. The DK Sportsbook line Philly minus 12 and a half. The overrunner is 46. They have one eight in a row. Their defense is dominant. And that is the problem with this game. The problem with this game for fantasy purposes for the Panthers is how good the Philadelphia defense is. This is, you know, it was fun to watch Bryce Young last week. Sort of won the ball game.

Let me be clear. Tampa sucks. Their defense sucks. This is the opposite of that. Philadelphia at home in this game, I just don't have the confidence here that Bryce Young can do enough. It's one of the reasons why Hubbard is getting sat down by a lot of people in fantasy. It's one of the reasons that, look, I'm not. I'm not fighting to play Thielen in Legat this week. If you need a PPR start, I'm okay with Thielen. So you're not Chuba's DK rushing yard line at 58 and a half. You're not feeling good on that one? No, I'm actually not. I'm actually not feeling good. And you talk about Jonathan Brooks getting on the field more last week and getting third down opportunities. Chuba had the big fumble. That feels like a good under. Yeah, and it feels like Jonathan Brooks in the second half will get some play. And it's not even just third down. Like there was a sequence where.

They were around the goal line. They were inside the 10. And Brooks got multiple looks. In both the rushing and receiving game. So it didn't end up in a touchdown. But it was high value real important plays that Brooks got. Chuba's a great player. I'm just scared about this matchup because I don't think you're going to be, there's not going to be a lot of that game clock where you're in the circumstance that you would want to try to run Chuba and not give Brooks opportunities. And on the other side. Holy crap, Sequin Barclay. His rushing line, guys. Oh, I don't know it. I can't see it right now. It's because your eyes are closed. I'm going. I'm going to guess. 92? You're a coward. Is it over 100? Yeah. No. Keep going. 110? More. What? His rushing line? 114.5. Oh, my gosh. I'm playing against him this week. Kill me. See you. Oh, he will.