Starts of the Week + Week 5 Breakdown, Power Wheels - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/6

28.3 implied points, 28.3. That's right. 283. What? The Buccaneers against the Falcons. Oh, the numbers that are bad. Look, Tom Brady's 10 and O in his career versus Atlanta, including that 28 to 3 Super Bowl victory in four games versus Atlanta since becoming a buccaneer. Here's his lines. 3902. 399. and four, 276, and five, 368 and 4. Tom Brady is just gone nuclear on the Falcons. He's got his weapons back. You play him. Mike? All right. I'm going with Joe Burrow. We, this is the week. He gets the Ravens. I have him just outside of the elite quarterbacks. He's my, so my favorite of who's not in that bunch last year against Baltimore, the QB2.

And the QB won. That 525 and 4 performance was against the Ravens. And the Ravens, they look exactly the same as last year where you're going to be able to exploit that secondary. All right. I'm going with a quarterback from the highest over under of the week, Derek Carr. Oh, there it is. Send in the car. How's it feel? Oh, super nerve-wracking. It's also a Monday night football game. Oh, no. The Chief's defense has been really, really bad against the past. The Raiders are throwing at the fourth highest rate in the NFL, and the Chiefs are being thrown on 72% of the time. That's the highest in the NFL. And the reason being is they're going to score a ton of points against the Raiders. So the volume should be there. He has an elite weapon. Like last year when matchups were lined up like this for Derek Carr, it was still a little bit of a...

more of a gamble, I think, in my mind with dependency on Waller and Renfro. You add Devante Adams to that mix, and they're in a must-win situation. Mac Hollins, baby. You add Mac Hollins to the mix. That's what I was getting at. He gets large, like, ETN gets smaller. Mac Hollis is just, if they were on the field, if they played each other, he would just siphon the entire body away. You would watch ETN disappear as Mac Hollins. He would just be a jersey. Becomes on the ground. Yeah. It's like a Dementor? Is that what they did? Matt Collins is. Sure. Yeah, I like that. Running back. At running back James Robinson against Houston. This is a game at home, seven point favorites against the Texans. And the Texans are allowing 172 rushing yards per game. The most runs of 10 plus yards or more. James Robinson should be a smash play this week.

I'm going with Damien Harris, who says he does not care about your snap counts or your algos or your math because he's just getting it done and the matchup is there. The Lions are the only team to give up top 12 running back points every single week. They're allowing 5.3 yards per carry. The way that Harris and Ramandre, it's being handled, it's alternate drives. So I think that there is a... There is a good chance for Harris and Remandre to both end up in the top 24 this week. Their home favorites, if it's zappy, if it's a hobbled Mac Jones, they're going to rely even more on Harris and Remandre. All right. Here we are in the starts of the week at Running Back, and everybody knows that the emotional pits guaranteed touchdown thing. That came outside the context of the actual guarantee area, which is the starts of the week. That's where Thieland and Tonian were.

And that's where Kareem Hunt is this week. Kareem Hunt's my start of the week at running back. Oh, man. I guarantee he's going to score a touchdown this week. He's had 15 opportunities per game, but he has somehow not gotten into the end zone the last few weeks. He's been failing in the hunt zone. Mike has been screaming at the television. It's happening in this game against the Chargers. He was the RB8 last year against them with a couple of touchdowns. It's happening this week, Kareem Hunt. Okay. I like that. You put in a little... Plus 165 anytime touch on score. Okay. Let's see. Where are we? Wide receiver. Wide receivers. I'm going with Chris Olave, regardless of the quarterback situation. Michael Thomas is still banged up. And if James Winston is there, I mean. You could have 15 targets. Yeah. Seattle's allowing the third most expected points per pass attempt. And more importantly, the second most 20 plus yard passing plays. That is the Chris Olave.

Special sauce. He's seeing nearly four deep targets per game. The chasm between Chris Oliva's league leading 673 air yards. And second place, some guy named Tyreek Hill at 453 is absurd. The combination of the deep targets combined with Seattle's matchup, I just don't see how he doesn't have a big play in this game. I'm going with Robert Woods of the Tennessee Titans. Bobby Trees. Trailing Berks is out and quietly over the past three weeks. Once it's seeing a 26% target share, he's recovered from that ACL. Then you look at them. Getting stronger. Look at the matchup. The manders have given up top 12 wide receiver points every week. Top six and three of the four. Christian Kirk, six for 117. Ammon Ra, 9 for 116. And dose. Devante Smith, 8 for 169 and touchdown. CD Lamb.

Six for 97 in a touchdown. Robert Woods as the number one for this team. I love it, Mike. I love it because I have to play him. I signed him and I have to play him. And I love hearing that. It's a good play. I'm going to go with T. Higgins against Baltimore with wide receiver one potential on the week. And I mean one overall. Last year against Baltimore, he scorched them. 15 targets in week seven, 13 more in week 17. Baltimore is allowing the most fancy points to opposing wide receivers in the game. The third most 20 plus yard passes. Jamar Chase is always in your lineup too. They're both amazing starts this week in that game against Baltimore. At tight end, we're going to conk, conk, baby. Tyler Conklin, I have finally come around after every single week saying, I don't believe I wouldn't pick him up. All the quarterback's changing, but he won't.

go away. Until now when you make him start of the week. Of course. Keep on conkin. He's the tiny world. He has the most routes run at the position. Miami is allowing the highest pass success rate in the NFL. So if you just need points from the position, which I think a lot of people out there, they just don't want a goose. They just want to get, you know, eight, nine points. If you're in full PPR, I'm going to take 40 plus routes, seven plus targets, and have some guaranteed points from Conklin this week against me. And he looks spectacular if he rips his helmet off. That's true. Conking on heaven's door. Okay. Conkon on heaven's door. Yeah. I mean, it's there. I heard a chuckle from the deucer's alley back there. Oh, yeah. It was chuckle worthy. Yeah.

Thank you, Brooks. Nice to have you back. I'm going with Dallas Goddard. Good day. Here's the deal. He plays the Arizona Cardinals and they stink. Dallas Goddard is averaging five targets and 60 yards. And let me remind you, he plays the Arizona Cardinals. Opposing tight ends are being targeted 27% of the time versus Arizona. Three red zone targets so far, no touchdowns, positive touchdown regression can be coming. Yeah, and you might think, well, they played against Darren Waller and Travis Kelsey, and so maybe they're not really bad schedule adjusted. They are the 30th best against tight ends. They suck. Yep. Did you know a couple fun facts from that game? Do you know that the Eagles have never won a game there ever? What, in Arizona? Yeah, in that stadium. I think that's going to change. They're 0 and 4. O and 4 all time. Is that including the...

awesome NFC championship. I believe it would include that. Well, I didn't know playoffs. I mean, you know, sometimes, you know, starting it out there for maybe, you know, an almost upset or something. Oh, I, I dare you. I dare you. T.J. Hawkinson, taking on New England. I can gauge whether an almost subset is going to work by Jason's gaping mouth hole, which is large. Yeah. I'm not saying I'm doing it. I'm just saying I could do it. Well, you got the button. T.J. Hawkins is my start of the week. New England has given up five touchdowns to the tight end position in the last three weeks, including three straight games. They have been bad. And Hawkinson is super necessary. Again, Jason got the turd nice and shiny, and I'm putting it in the display window this week. They were wrong. They were wrong. You can shine a turd. You can shine it. You can sell it. And I don't know if you should go out there and sell it just yet. Just wear gloves.

You know, they have the, what is the, what are those forests called when the wood becomes petrified? Petrified. A petrified turd? That's where I was going. It was going to be a longer journey than you just screaming it from the microphone. I just wanted it that can happen. It's a lot better than a regular turd. You could display it then. And the smell would be gone. It would be a rock. That's true. It would be a rock turd. If you found a petrified turd. Would you just think it's a rock? I think people save those. Yeah. I think it's a fossil at that point. Have I held a petrified turd and not known it? Probably. Yeah, it's possible. Picking up shiny rocks. Yeah, that's where they get probiotics from. We just recycle them. Yeah. All right. I think we're done with the starts of the week, but we've got a much more important segment from a very sophisticated man.

Jason Moores, ironclad, locked and loaded, 100% guaranteed boom, boom, kicker of the wig. London felt nice, so I said, let's stay twice, whatever England's laws be, on horseback like Revere, shouting, Brits, Day Here! Victories with the Packers Mason Crosby. Okay. Yeah, boy, stay in England. Day here? Day here. D-A-E, day here. Now, is that, is that modern or is that old? Oh, that's super modern. No, that is not old English. The kids are saying day here. That's right. Hello, yellow. Where's my, where's my Uber Eats? Day here. That's right. Yeah. By the way, injury update for you. Curtis Samuel with an illness absent from practice. Dotson. Dotson. Still not there. Yeah. We don't have Dotson. He's going to miss.

So, yeah, the Washington and Tennessee matchup previews on tomorrow's show. So we'll talk more about that. Give you some more updates. I'm getting sent Etsy links from Al Borland. What do I have here, Al? It's a $50,000 petrified poop. Really? Yep. It's called a frightening prehistoric effigy. But it's a bowel movement. A dino poop? Is it dino turd? I mean, that's got to be a dinosaur. I have no idea. Or is it like a real big one from like a prehistoric rat? Like a mammoth? A woolly mammoth? It looks pretty big. It looks disgusting. I don't understand how it's $50,000. It sounds like a deal. It's listed under quote, rare find. This item is hard to come by. I would imagine so. Yeah. There must be somebody in this world. That's their, that's their gig. Like they go out and they look for.

Dino turds. Oh, is that like the great find? They're treasure hunters. But, you know, it's like, I finally found it. The turd. Yeah, that was going to be one of the Indiana Jones, but they actually cut that script. Good call. They went with aliens. All right. Hey. They should have gone back to the turd because they ended up with one. Twitch promo here for you. That's where we'll be on Thursday night. On Twitch, tonight. I'm barely alive at the end of this episode because I'm so distracted by the petrified bowel movements. But ballerslive.com, 8 p.m. Eastern, please come and join us. It's going to be a lot of fun. We just want to hang out. We want you there. Be there. Yes. Yes. And so ballerslive.com, it's going to be a blast. Jason's going to say things that he's never thought of before. I mean.

Me live is a real problem. We've seen that before. Yeah. Come and enjoy the experience. Yes. All right. That is it. More matchups tomorrow. Wheel of Shame. Yeah, baby. We'll see you tonight, everybody. Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on join thefoot.com. And follow us on Twitter at the FF ballers.