Week 10 Matchups + In-or-Out, Swimming With the Fishes

He ended up with 265 yards, but no touchdowns. And it was quarterback 21 on that week. But I think that 265 yards, that is his floor. It's just, does he get the touchdown or not? Yeah, and I think he's got a good chance of getting the touchdown. He's been electric. He has, you know, you look at, okay, Philip Rivers has led the league in passing yards, but he hasn't necessarily.

Looked great doing it. Matthew Stafford has looked amazing. Last week alone, he had two of those Pat Mahomes' no-look passes. I don't know if you guys saw those. He had one where it was downfield, two defenders crossing, threads the needle with a no-look pass. This should have been everywhere. He's just, he's in a groove right now. He's bawling out. Now the back issue that...

that you know popped up made him limited Thursday it's popped up all year yeah there's no difference in this injury than what he's been dealing with all season long i think he can get it done in this game i you know it's it's not uh it's not a smash play it's a difficult matchup but i like this game for david montgomery a lot oh yeah i mean the lion's defense you mix that with the bears being at home they're favored it's a low over under

and Mitchell Tribisky's a liability when he steps back to pass the football. So last two games, 48 touches, 175 rushing yards, seven catches, 48 receiving yards and three touchdowns for David Montgomery. He's a smash play this week. And Alan Robinson, it really doesn't matter to fantasy owners how good we think he is. You still play him. Last week sucked. It felt really, really bad. But with this matchup, I'm still playing him.

All right, T.J. Hawkinson's my tight-in start of the week. The bears are giving up points to the tight-in position, including five really nice performances against them this year. And then I have word that Trey Burton is actually Jay Grizz's start of the week. Really? Because Jay Grizz is trying to get a solid zero. I just feel like Trey Burton's banged up. I feel like Nagy was talking about that. Well, he was also out there getting one of the...

Seven errant throws the Mitchell Trubisky through last week was his way. I don't want to put this on him, but I feel like this is a Homer pick. Oh, for Jay Gris? That's how I view it a little bit. He needs to be unbiased. Right. That's why I went Kyler Murray as the start of the week at quarterback. Yeah, I think, you know, I would go, I'll bet Jay Gris would pivot to someone like Adam Shaheen. That's fair. Okay. Dolphins, one in seven, Colts, five and three.

Colts are 12 and a half point favorites. It's a 44 point over under the games at home in Indianapolis. They just lost the nail biter. I don't have any illusions that the Dolphins are going to compete in this one myself.

Being 12.5 point favorites while you don't know who your quarterback is is incredible. Like usually the game line is off. Right. You can't bet on a game where they're not sure who the quarterback's, they're like, it don't matter. They're fine. These aren't the Jets. Yeah, Jacobi Berset. I would play him if he's back out there. Marlon Mack. You've got to start him. T.Y. Hilton should be out. So what's your alternate upside play?

pass catcher wise for the Colts. It's Zach Pascal, man. It's Pascal's season. He is filled in pretty admirably when he has had to. Week three. And like, and he just, he just pops in when they need him. When they don't need Pascal, he just gets you like zero points. But when they need him, he jumps in, you know, week three, two for 53 in a touchdown, 72 yards the next week. Then they didn't need him in week five. Yeah, he says, good, goodbye.

But then two weeks later, six for 106, then they didn't need him. They took a week off. Take a little vacate. A little one for six. Then five for 76 with a touchdown. He's in, and it's the dolphins. People, it's the dolphins. The nice thing is he's been on 100% of snaps the last two weeks. I think Chester Rogers could be more involved. He's a decent player as well. But if you've got to pick one of these wide receivers, it's Zach Pascal, if I've got to pick a...

just a receiver that's not necessarily a wide receiver. I actually think Eric Ebron is a really good play because he has been the squeakiest wheel ever. You buy the narrative that he had a sit down meeting. Yeah, well, I mean, yeah, I guess that is a narrative, but it's also a fact. He sat down to talk to Frank Reich. Oh, he didn't stand. He sat about his role. He's been very unhappy with his utilization.

Look, this is a guy who had a... Well, he's a pro bowler last year. He had a ton of touchdowns. He's feeling like he's being... He's a weapon that's not being utilized. Yeah, and the team could use him. So if T.Y. Hilton is out, I think Eric Ebron here against the dolphins should be a really good play. So if you're in a flex situation, you'd flex Ebron over Pascal? No, I think Pascal's targets...

are going to be a little bit more assured. And so the ceiling, I think, you know, but Eric Ebron probably has a higher touchdown upside. So I'm usually the safe risk-averse type player where I will take targets over touchdown opportunities. Speaking of safe on the other side of the ball, we have a quote. This is from Jason. He said, quote, I love Devante Parker. This was from earlier this week. Do we have the sound bite? Did that get in here?

I don't have the sound bite. We wanted to spare our ears. No, Devante Parker's been really, really good. In six of eight games, he has 55 yards. The question. Or more. Or more. That would be really specific. Oh, on the dot. Yeah. Six of his games, he gets 55 yards exactly. But this feels like it was forced in. It does feel forced in.

The fact that it wasn't exact. But he does have a touchdown in four of the last five games. He's been performing well. This has the feeling to me of a trap game for Devante Parker. Loses Preston Williams on the road, heavy underdogs, 15 point, implied point total. To me, this is the game where we all, you know, we all buy in and then we all.

I totally get that. It's going to be easier for the dolphins coverage to roll to Parker to, you know, shut him down. That's probably part of why Mike has made Mike Gassicki the start of the week is that, you know, he's going to be more open with the Preston Williams situation. Where I think Devante Parker can still succeed is that as the dolphins are down, I don't think it's ever going to stop.

with just throwing it up to Devante Parker over and over and over. So, yeah, this could be a trap game, but I am still fine playing him solely because I think he's going to have a lot of deep targets. And when you get deep targets, you know, you don't have to have, you could have a good game with four receptions. And, you know, I would expect him to be up in the...

8 to 12 target range. Are you playing Christian Kirk, who we talked about earlier against Tampa Bay? Are you playing Devante Parker against Indianapolis? I love Christian Kirk this week. I think that there's just too many points scored in the Arizona Buccaneers game to rely on a dolphin. And what about Pascal on the other side versus Parker? I think I would go Parker there. I'd go Pascal. Okay. Kaelin Belage will get the start. Will you be happy with the fact that he's starting?

If you are Belosha's mother, then yes, you'll be like, yay. Do we mean like fantasy players? That is entirely what I mean. No. No. Okay. And then we may see some Miles Gaskin. He's a seventh round rookie. I'm not excited about, you know, it won't just be Gaskin potentially. What is it? Laird that will have an opportunity. Yeah, it will be. If there's a secondary opportunity, though, it will go to Miles Gaskin.

And just by the way, the Colts defense, sixth against fantasy running back. So this is not just a take against Kalin Belage. It is. But it's also the matchup is really rough. By the way, if you were a huge fan of the year 2013, there's the potential for a Brian Hoyer, Ryan Fitzpatrick matchup in this one. Oh, yeah. Which would really bring me back. All right, Panthers, five and three take on the Packers at 7 and 2. This game's in Green Bay. The Packers.

five and a half point favorites and a 47.5 point over under. It was a bad game last week for Green Bay, compounded by the fact that and our resident Al Borland Packer fan posted yesterday, how did we get our butts kicked by this Chargers team that we saw on the field last night? This is the NFL, baby. Any week, you know. You ain't no Raiders. Yeah, you ain't no Raiders, Al.

How does that make you feel? But what do we think takes place in this game? The Packers, 26 point implied point total, 20 for the Panthers. Kyle Allen looks to be the quarterback rest of the season, obviously, for the Panthers. This is what they've got to go on. They have Christian McCaffrey, dot, dot, dot, the rest. McCaffrey's going out there, but what do you expect from the Panthers offense? And are there other weapons that you can count on? Yeah, so I think the Panthers,

You know, when I look at the game as a whole and try to project what I think the outcome is going to be, I think the Packers are going to slap the Panthers around here. I think coming off of that atrocious game last week, they're going to be up for this matchup. And, you know, they're pretty good against the pass. I don't think Kyle Allen and Curtis Samuel and DJ Moore are the guys that are really going to crush him. Now, Christian McCaffer, obviously.

He's going to be great. This is the weakness of the Packers defense is their running game. So, you know, if they can pound the rock a ton and stay close in this game, maybe I'm wrong. But I do think on the flip side that Aaron Rogers is going to have a very good game. You know, he is much better at home in Lambo. And in this year. Yes. He's a much better quarterback this year than he has been in a while. Highest yards per attempt since 2014. Yep.

To speak quickly to the wide receivers, DJ Moore is interesting. I mean, the last four weeks, eight targets, 10, 9, 10, and he's been solid for fantasy. He hasn't scored in that time, but he's getting the target volume. He's the first round pick. He's the go-to guy for Kyle Allen. So DJ Moore is at least interesting to me as a wide receiver three players. Sure. He's been top 24, three of the last four games. So that speaks to that.

Any starting wide outs you're interested in on Green Bay outside of Devante Adams? Just Adams. And then Aaron Jones, my start of the week, think he bounces back. And Jamal Williams could have an opportunity against the 28th ranked Panthers defense in terms of points given up to the running back position. Williams could keep it going. I would potentially need, you know, another touchdown like he's been.

Pulling in the last four weeks. He's just been a touchdown machine. Get down near the goal line. But the reality is whoever the back is has been pretty successful getting those touchdowns. All right. And then Greg Olson or Jimmy Graham in this game. Who do you like more? I'm going to go with Greg Olson. The Packers have not been very good against tight ends. They're 26 giving up 11.7 fantasy points per game. And, you know, all of those. I think I'm done with him. You think you're.

Completely out with Jimmy Graham? No, I'm sorry with Greg Olson. I think I'm done with Greg Olson. Well, you asked the question, Greg Olson or Jimmy Graham. That's fair. Very fair. So please don't put. Yeah, because if you're out on Olson, that means you're in on Jimmy Graham. Oh, yeah. I just mean the last five times you play Greg Olson, you were really disappointed, even in good matchups. What three for four are you, man? That's a Darren Waller line. And you're disappointed. Yeah, I was going to say this is the...

Here's his last few games going backwards. His positional finish to speak to Andy. He was the 22nd tight-in, the 32nd tight-in, the 14th tight-in, the 84th tight-in, and the 46th tight-in. That seems impossible. The first three weeks, the first three weeks, he was rather good, especially against Tampa Bay and Arizona. Go figure.

The 84th seems arbitrary. Like there were like 27 that played that week, but then they're like... Was that a goose? That was a goose. Yeah. So you're just, you're with guys that didn't play. Right. Basically. All right. Rams, Steelers. This game, uh, the Rams are three and a half point favorites. 43 and a half point over under. Another game I was slightly tempted to go with the almost subset pick, but didn't. The Steelers have gotten it done three consecutive weeks despite inconsistent play.