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Main show · November 17, 2021

Playoff Primer + Strength of Schedule League Winners - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/17

RSSNov 17, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Playoff Primer + Strength of Schedule League Winners - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/17

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28:02 ↗

teams could score on that Jacksonville team. And while the matchups are juicy for fantasy numbers for the offense, like Atlanta, Tennessee and Houston, does that just turn into, because San Francisco wants to run, run, run, run, run all day long and then have Garoppolo thrown third down. Does, like, that matchup against Atlanta, will they be able to do enough against the 49ers? That would be my hesitation for streaming Garoppolo.

28:32 ↗

Well, Big Ben does have a great playoff schedule. I personally am a no on that one. He's called a trap. You look and you see Tennessee is one of those great ones. That's the first matchup. And we just talked about that. Tennessee's defense is better than its number four ranking on the year. And how many times has Big Ben been in the top 12? I'm guessing zero. You are correct. He's only been in the top 20, three times this year.

29:00 ↗

He has not missed games yet. Oh, he's due. Yeah. Well, you know, he gets better as the season goes on. We saw that at the end of last year. With less Claypool, less juju. That really helps as well. Kyler, Aaron Rogers, and Dak Prescott all have very nice playoff schedules as well. Kyler's lines up great. Detroit, Indianapolis, and Dallas. Indies at home. I mean, that's a smash schedule. Kyler, to me, is the league winner here this year. Last year's Lamar Jackson, the one that...

29:29 ↗

is truly someone that can go out and score 40, 50 points easily in great matchups who right now has been injured. Their managers might be struggling. They need someone. I would be trading for Kyler who might not play this week, has a buy week next week. You know what I mean? Like managers might not be in a position where they can just keep holding on to Kyler if they need to manufacture wins. And his playoff schedule, Detroit Indy Dallas, I want.

29:56 ↗

Kyler in those matchups, especially because they're holding them out to get him healthy. So healthy Kyler at that point, he is a league winner. I agree. And we'll talk about some of these worst matchups as well. I want to thank today's sponsors. IP Vanish, thank you for sponsoring today's episode. If you haven't heard us talk about them before, IP Vanish is a VP in a virtual private network. It's an important tool that you can use to safely browse the internet.

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30:52 ↗

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33:00 ↗

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33:29 ↗

All right, the running backs. Let's look at some of the best running back schedules as of right now heading into the fantasy football playoffs. Was that the, wait, was that the shark again? No, no, that was too happy for a shark. I just, there are a couple of guys that I absolutely love targeting right now. It's nice when you're out surfing if you're on alert for like sharks that you can hear them coming because of the growls. Oh, yeah. People always look for the fin, but if you listen closely.

33:58 ↗

That's the sound. Do you hear one of them coming? And it's weird. Like they just say what they are. Right. Yeah. They don't say like, I'm going to eat you. Most animals do that when they're bear, bear, bear, bear. They're like Pokemon. Well, in that case, I hope you don't hear a mag because you toast. It's too late. It's too late. Yeah. At that point, when you run into one of those, you hope to get, you want to be swallowed. Full swallowed hole. Oh, no, you want the teeth.

34:28 ↗

Otherwise, you're going in. No, if I go in full swallow, maybe I can come out on the other end. Yeah, I don't want the teeth. Alive. Alive. You just say you want to be shredded alive. Yes, end it. Towards a piece. You don't want to live in that. They're big, Mike. That belly is going to smash you. I don't know. Pinocchio showed me that you can. That documentary showed me you can live in there. All right. David Montgomery, is he going to do it in back-to-back years. Yes, he is. The short answer is yes.

34:57 ↗

What about the long answer also yes? The long answer is yes. Affirmative. David Montgomery, a lot was made in this offseason about how he beat up on the easy schedule. Well, good to know he can do that. He's looked really good this year. Yes. He hasn't had the fantasy production you want because of obviously the injuries that have come along the way. But Minnesota, Seattle, the New York Giants, those are three good matchups in weeks 15, 16, and 17.

35:27 ↗

He is, I think exactly what he said. Andy, it's back-to-back years where he's going to win people championships. Let's also talk about James Robinson, Houston and New York, the Jets for the first two weeks. That's delightful. He's probably going to smash the rest of this year. I mean, he is too good and too involved. And ultimately, this team, it's going to be so interesting in the off season to see what they do and what the fantasy football community.

35:55 ↗

how they viewed James Robinson because there was concern about dynasty value with Travis ETN and then redraft value with Travis ETN. And now are we going to do it again? Like is the template there to where we're going to doubt him completely again? Yeah. Yeah, I think that we will make that mistake. And it's really hard to know how the utilization will work when ETN is back. But.

36:20 ↗

We know he's not back this season. The rest of, it's not just the playoffs. Really, the rest of the way, he's got maybe one or two hard matchups, and everything else is easy living. So James Robinson, David Montgomery, and I've said it for weeks now, personally, Giovante, those are my three big targets for the playoffs.

36:44 ↗

You are doing the same Tray Lance thing. We need to also mention Melvin Gordon. Oh, absolutely. Because Melvin Gordon is easier to acquire in trades. The Giovante Williams height may not come to fruition this year. Everybody wants it to happen. It may not happen. He had eight carries last week. Absolutely. No, Melvin Gordon has been phenomenal.

37:04 ↗

and should be targeted as well. The projection of end of season, you know, the rookie getting a slightly more work and maybe the timeshare changing. That's just a projection. That hasn't happened yet. Ironically, we did see right before this week when he only had the eight carries. He actually did have his snaps and touches go up. His utilization actually overtook Melvin. Gordon, it didn't work out because Gordon got...

37:31 ↗

The touchdown Javontes was called back. It was the snaps, not the touches. Yeah, and a lot of those snaps, I believe, came after the Melvin Gordon Fumble. So it remains to be seen if that's a one week. Correct. Yeah, punishing. Do you have interest right now? And if one of them were to go down. Oh, yes. League player changes. Do you have interest in he doesn't have three straight weeks of?

37:56 ↗

Incredible matchups, but it bookends with Week 15 and Week 17 with great matchups. But Clyde Edwards Allaire, supposed to be back this week for the Kansas City Chiefs. It is real up in the air what that situation is. Darrell Williams has played extremely well. Does Darrell Williams hold the job? Does Clyde go to 60% of the job? What does that look like? It is that worth the risk of going to trade for Clyde right now.

38:23 ↗

It's a great question. I did a lot of deep diving on these two players this morning. Oh, fantastic. And specifically the receiving work. Like this game, I think it, I think Daryl Williams is maybe the sneakiest ad right now in fantasy football to be a potential league winner. Clyde, now Clyde could absolutely do that as well based on the schedule. But it's definitive, statistically, and in.

38:52 ↗

action by Andy Reid, who we all trust, that Daryl's a better pass catcher, period. End of sentence. You look at the last two seasons, Darrell catches a much higher percentage of his passes. He makes more out of them. He has a better yards per reception. He has a better, more long plays in that game. And then he just went out and put up nine for 101 and one. So what do I think is going to happen? I think Daryl has a carved out permanent role on a great offense.

39:22 ↗

How that split goes, it's anybody's guess. I would be pure, it'd be pure speculation to whether or not I think he'll get any first and second down work. But I think they're both going to be involved in the same way that, you know, we talk about a Melvin Gordon and a Giovante Williams from a snap perspective and a use perspective, you know, Clyde is catching 10% fewer of his targets than Darrell has his entire career. And he's not as explosive.

39:49 ↗

He just isn't. So I don't know what that will look like. I don't know what the team will do. But that's, you know, I was trying to figure out why this is happening. And I think those numbers back up what the team does. Yeah, that's where it gets wild to me, where looking at when they were actually sharing time between Daryl and Clyde, you know, they're both getting a handful of targets per week where it.

40:18 ↗

but not a huge volume going to the running back position, which is very bizarre for, historically speaking, for Andy Reid teams of them not utilizing the running back in the past catching game. And then you have, it feels like there's been a intentional shift over the last month or so, you know, a month and a half, that, no, this is something in fact that we need to do. And so you have to, as a fantasy football player,

40:47 ↗

This is making your projection where Andy's projecting it's going to be Daryl Williams or make your projection that it's going to be Clyde Edwards O'Leary. I think that you can make a problem is I think Daryl's passing. I think he's the passing guy. And I think that Clyde's going to get a lot more work when they're winning. And so you're looking at that more like McKissick and Gibson. And Clyde's proven to be a really, you know, he went into his injury with two solid weeks on the ground with lots of volume. But saying like you could make a very.

41:18 ↗

I'm not always one to try and talk down the price of a player because it's usually you can see right through people. Like, well, you know, I'll just take them off your hands. Like, yeah, no, there's a reason you're trying to trade for this player right now, but you can make a very compelling case to trade for either of these players. For Clyde's, look what Darrell Williams has done. And like, or if it's Darrell Williams, Clyde's coming back. He's an expiring fantasy football asset. You, like,

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